• 제목/요약/키워드: Parameterization

검색결과 326건 처리시간 0.025초

중규모 수치모델 WRF를 이용한 강원 지방 하층 풍속 예측 평가 (Evaluation of Surface Wind Forecast over the Gangwon Province using the Mesoscale WRF Model)

  • 서범근;변재영;임윤진;최병철
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.158-170
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    • 2015
  • 큰 에디 모의과정을 포함한 WRF 모델 (WRF-LES)을 이용하여 수치모델의 수평공간 규모에 따른 대기경계층 모수화 실험과 LES 모의 결과를 지표층 근처의 풍속 예측에 대하여 비교하였다. 수치실험은 복잡한 산악지형과 해안지역을 포함하는 강원도 지역에서 수평해상도 1 km와 333 m 실험을 수행하였다. 수평해상도 1 km 실험은 대기경계층 모수화 방안을 채택하였으며, 333 m 실험에서는 LES를 이용하였다. 복잡한 산악지역에서의 풍속 예측의 정확성은 수평해상도 1 km 실험 보다 333 m 실험에서 향상되었으며 해안지역에서는 1 km 실험에서 관측과 더 일치하였다. 지표층 근처의 큰 난류를 직접 계산하는 LES 실험은 산악지역의 풍속예측 개선에 기여하였다.

중/도시규모 기상모델을 이용한 고층건물군이 연안도시기상장에 미치는 영향 수치모델링 (Numerical Modeling for the Effect of High-rise Buildings on Meteorological Fields over the Coastal Area Using Urbanized MM5)

  • 황미경;오인보;김유근
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.495-505
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    • 2012
  • Modeling the effects of high-rise buildings on thermo-dynamic conditions and meteorological fields over a coastal urban area was conducted using the modified meso-urban meteorological model (Urbanized MM5; uMM5) with the urban canopy parameterization (UCP) and the high-resolution inputs (urban morphology, land-use/land-cover sub-grid distribution, and high-quality digital elevation model data sets). Sensitivity simulations was performed during a typical sea-breeze episode (4~8 August 2006). Comparison between simulations with real urban morphology and changed urban morphology (i.e. high-rise buildings to low residential houses) showed that high-rise buildings could play an important role in urban heat island and land-sea breeze circulation. The major changes in urban meteorologic conditions are followings: significant increase in daytime temperature nearly by $1.0^{\circ}C$ due to sensible heat flux emitted from high density residential houses, decrease in nighttime temperature nearly by $1.0^{\circ}C$ because of the reduction in the storage heat flux emitted from high-rise buildings, and large increase in wind speed (maximum 2 m $s^{-1}$) during the daytime due to lessen drag-force or increased gradient temperature over coastal area.

단기 앙상블 예보에서 모형의 불확실성 표현: 태풍 루사 (Representation of Model Uncertainty in the Short-Range Ensemble Prediction for Typhoon Rusa (2002))

  • 김세나;임규호
    • 대기
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2015
  • The most objective way to overcome the limitation of numerical weather prediction model is to represent the uncertainty of prediction by introducing probabilistic forecast. The uncertainty of the numerical weather prediction system developed due to the parameterization of unresolved scale motions and the energy losses from the sub-scale physical processes. In this study, we focused on the growth of model errors. We performed ensemble forecast to represent model uncertainty. By employing the multi-physics scheme (PHYS) and the stochastic kinetic energy backscatter scheme (SKEBS) in simulating typhoon Rusa (2002), we assessed the performance level of the two schemes. The both schemes produced better results than the control run did in the ensemble mean forecast of the track. The results using PHYS improved by 28% and those based on SKEBS did by 7%. Both of the ensemble mean errors of the both schemes increased rapidly at the forecast time 84 hrs. The both ensemble spreads increased gradually during integration. The results based on SKEBS represented model errors very well during the forecast time of 96 hrs. After the period, it produced an under-dispersive pattern. The simulation based on PHYS overestimated the ensemble mean error during integration and represented the real situation well at the forecast time of 120 hrs. The displacement speed of the typhoon based on PHYS was closest to the best track, especially after landfall. In the sensitivity tests of the model uncertainty of SKEBS, ensemble mean forecast was sensitive to the physics parameterization. By adjusting the forcing parameter of SKEBS, the default experiment improved in the ensemble spread, ensemble mean errors, and moving speed.

亂流의 媒介變數化에 따른 沿岸流의 수치모델 (A Numerical Model Study of the Coastal Ocean Flow Due to the Turbulence Parameterization)

  • 유광우
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.50-63
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    • 1994
  • 두 가지의 서로 다른 난류 변수화를 삼차원적이고 시간의존적인 연안해역의 모델 실험으로 수행하였다. 난류 변수화 중의 하나는 일정한 와동복합화 한 것, C1이고 다 른 하나는 층화 의존적인 와동혼합화, C2이다. C2를 이용한 유체흐름은 강한 경압적 흐름이며 담수와 염수의 수직적인 혼합을 제한하고 있다. 하구언으로부터 방출되는 유 출류는 C2의 경우가 C1의 경우보다 훨씬 더 관성적이며 강한 플륨(plume) 전선을 형성 한다. C에서는 강한 유출류로 인하여 초림계적인 유체흐름의 상태, 즉 표층류의 유출 소도가 경압적 위상속도를 능가하는 상황이 하구언의 외해쪽에 존재할 수 있다. 담수 영역에서 의 유체의 조율과정은 C1의 경우와 C2의 경우가 상당이 바른 바, C에서 의 유체의 흐름은 강한 경압적인 특성을 보여준다.

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WRF, MM5, RSM 모형에서 모의한 2004년 7월 11-18일의 동아시아 몬순의 비교 (Intercomparison of the East-Asian Summer Monsoon on 11-18 July 2004, simulated by WRF, MM5, and RSM models)

  • 함수련;박선주;방철한;정병주;홍성유
    • 대기
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2005
  • This study compares the summer monsoon circulations during a heavy rainfall period over the Korean peninsular from 11 to 18 July 2004, simulated by three widely used regional models; WRF, MM5, and RSM. An identical model setup is carried out for all the experiments, except for the physical option differences in the RSM. The three models with a nominal resolution of about 50 km over Korea are nested by NCEP-DOE reanalysis data. Another RSM experiment with the same cumulus parameterization scheme as in the WRF and MM5 is designed to investigate the importance of the representation of subgrid-scale parameterized convection in reproducing monsoonal circulations in East Asia. All thee models are found to be capable of reproducing the general distribution of monsoonal precipitation, extending northeastward from south China across the Korean peninsula, to northern Japan. The results from the WRF and MM5 are similar in terms of accumulated precipitation, but a slightly better performance in the WRF than in the MM5. The RSM improves the bias for precipitation as compared to those from the WRF and MM5, but the pattern correlation is degraded due to overestimation of precipitation in northern China. In the comparison of simulated synoptic scale features, the RSM is found to reproduce the large-scale features well compared to the results from the MM5 and WRF. On the other hand, the simulated precipitation from the RSM with the convection scheme used in the MM5 and WRF is closer to that from the WRF and MM5 simulations, indicating the significant dependency of simulated precipitation in East Asia on the cumulus parameterization scheme.

CFD 모델을 이용한 건물군 주변의 흐름 특성 연구 (A Study on the Characteristics of Flows around Building Groups Using a CFD Model)

  • 이한경;김재진;이영곤
    • 대기
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.501-510
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    • 2015
  • In this study, the characteristics of flows around building groups are investigated using a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model. For this, building groups with different volumetric ratios in a fixed area are considered. As the volumetric ratio of the building group increases, the region affected by the building group is widened. However, the wind-speed reduced area rather decreases with the volumetric ratio near the ground bottom (z ${\lesssim}$ 0.7H, here, H is the height of the building group) and, above 0.7H, it increases. As the volumetric ratio decreases (that is, space between buildings was widened), the size of recirculation region decreases but flow recovery is delayed, resulting in the wider wind-speed reduced area. The increase in the volumetric ratio results in larger drag force on the flow above the roof level, consequently reducing wind speed above the roof level. However, above z ${\gtrsim}$ 1.7H, wind speed increases with the volumetric ratio for satisfying mass conservation, resultantly increasing turbulent kinetic energy there. Inside the building groups, wind speed decreased with the volumetric ratio and averaged wind speed is parameterized in terms of the volumetric ratio and background flow speed. The parameterization method is applied to producing averaged wind speed for 80 urban areas in 7 cities in Korea, showing relatively good performance.

기상청 지구시스템모델에서의 구름입자 수농도 모수화 방법 개선 (Improvement of Cloud Physics Parameterization in the KMA Earth System Model)

  • 이한아;염성수;심성보;부경온;조천호
    • 대기
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.111-122
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    • 2014
  • In the Korea Meteorological Administration earth system model (HadGEM2-AO), cloud drop number concentration is determined from aerosol number concentration according to the observed relationship between aerosol and cloud drop number concentrations. However, the observational dataset used for establishing the relationship was obtained from limited regions of the earth and therefore may not be representative of the entire earth. Here we reestablished the relationship between aerosol and cloud drop number concentrations based on a composite of observational dataset obtained from many different regions around the world that includes the original dataset. The new relationship tends to provide lower cloud drop number concentration for aerosol number concentration < 600 $cm^{-3}$ and the opposite for > 600 $cm^{-3}$. This new empirical relationship was applied to the KMA earth system model and the historical run (1861~2005) is made again. Here only the 30 year (1861~1890) averages from the runs with the new and the original relationships between aerosol and cloud drop number concentrations (newHIST and HIST, respectively) were compared. For this early period aerosol number concentrations were generally lower than 600 $cm^{-3}$ and therefore cloud drop number concentrations were generally lower but cloud drop effective radii were larger for newHIST than for HIST. The results from the complete historical run with the new relationship are expected to show more significant differences from the original historical run.

METRI AGCM의 복사 모수화 개선에 따른 겨울철 기후모의의 특징적 변화 (Changes in the Characteristics of Wintertime Climatology Simulation for METRI AGCM Using the Improved Radiation Parameterization)

  • 임한철;변영화;박수희;권원태
    • 대기
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.127-143
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    • 2009
  • This study investigates characteristics of wintertime simulation conducted by METRI AGCM utilizing new radiation parameterization scheme. New radiation scheme is based on the method of Chou et al., and is utilized in the METRI AGCM recently. In order to analyze characteristics of seasonal simulation in boreal winter, hindcast dataset from 1979 to 2005 is produced in two experiments - control run (CTRL) and new model's run (RADI). Also, changes in performance skill and predictability due to implementation of new radiation scheme are examined. In the wintertime simulation, the RADI experiment tends to reduce warm bias in the upper troposphere probably due to intensification of longwave radiative cooling over the whole troposphere. The radiative cooling effect is related to weakening of longitudinal temperature gradient, leading to weaker tropospheric jet in the upper troposphere. In addition, changes in vertical thermodynamic structure have an influence on reduction of tropical precipitation. Moreover, the RADI case is less sensitive to variation of tropical sea surface temperature than the CTRL case, even though the RADI case simulates the mean climate pattern well. It implies that the RADI run does not have significant improvement in seasonal prediction point of view.

양파 광합성 예측을 위한 잎의 기체교환모형 모수 추정 (Leaf Gas-exchange Model Parameterization and Simulation for Estimating Photosynthesis in Onion)

  • 이성은;문경환;신민지;오서영
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.233-238
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    • 2020
  • 식물의 생리적 과정과 환경 요인 간 상호작용에 바탕을 둔 프로세스 모형은 작물 생육 및 생산성 예측을 위한 좋은 도구이다. 탄소 획득과 바이오매스 증가는 프로세스 모형 개발의 주요 구성요소로서, 작물모형 내에서 광합성 과정의 이해 및 통합에 중요한 역할을 한다. 본 연구는 1980년 Farquhar 등에 의해 제안된 C3 식물 잎의 광합성 모델인 FvCB 모형의 양파에 대한 적용 가능성 평가 및 적합한 모수 추정을 목표로 수행되었다. 이를 위해 온도구배하우스에서 재배된 조생종 양파 품종인 '싱싱볼'과 '썬더볼'의 광합성 측정 결과를 바탕으로 Vcmax, Jmax, TPU 및 Rd 값을 추정하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 양파의 기체교환 모형은 다양한 환경 조건에서 양파의 광합성 반응 예측 및 설명에 유용하게 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

Development of a Dynamic Downscaling Method for Use in Short-Range Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling Near Nuclear Power Plants

  • Sang-Hyun Lee;Su-Bin Oh;Chun-Ji Kim;Chun-Sil Jin;Hyun-Ha Lee
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.28-43
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    • 2023
  • Background: High-fidelity meteorological data is a prerequisite for the realistic simulation of atmospheric dispersion of radioactive materials near nuclear power plants (NPPs). However, many meteorological models frequently overestimate near-surface wind speeds, failing to represent local meteorological conditions near NPPs. This study presents a new high-resolution (approximately 1 km) meteorological downscaling method for modeling short-range (< 100 km) atmospheric dispersion of accidental NPP plumes. Materials and Methods: Six considerations from literature reviews have been suggested for a new dynamic downscaling method. The dynamic downscaling method is developed based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 3.6.1, applying high-resolution land-use and topography data. In addition, a new subgrid-scale topographic drag parameterization has been implemented for a realistic representation of the atmospheric surface-layer momentum transfer. Finally, a year-long simulation for the Kori and Wolsong NPPs, located in southeastern coastal areas, has been made for 2016 and evaluated against operational surface meteorological measurements and the NPPs' on-site weather stations. Results and Discussion: The new dynamic downscaling method can represent multiscale atmospheric motions from the synoptic to the boundary-layer scales and produce three-dimensional local meteorological fields near the NPPs with a 1.2 km grid resolution. Comparing the year-long simulation against the measurements showed a salient improvement in simulating near-surface wind fields by reducing the root mean square error of approximately 1 m/s. Furthermore, the improved wind field simulation led to a better agreement in the Eulerian estimate of the local atmospheric dispersion. The new subgrid-scale topographic drag parameterization was essential for improved performance, suggesting the importance of the subgrid-scale momentum interactions in the atmospheric surface layer. Conclusion: A new dynamic downscaling method has been developed to produce high-resolution local meteorological fields around the Kori and Wolsong NPPs, which can be used in short-range atmospheric dispersion modeling near the NPPs.