• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parameter Variation

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A Sensitivity Analysis of Design Parameters of an Underground Radioactive Waste Repository Using a Backpropagation Neural Network (Backpropagation 인공신경망을 이용한 지하 방사성폐기물 처분장 설계 인자의 민감도 분석)

  • Kwon, S.;Cho, W.J.
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2009
  • The prediction of near field behavior around an underground high-level radioactive waste repository is important for the repository design as well as the safety assessment. In this study, a sensitivity analysis for seven parameters consisted of design parameters and material properties was carried out using a three-dimensional finite difference code. From the sensitivity analysis, it was found that the effects of borehole spacing, tunnel spacing, cooling time and rock thermal conductivity were more significant than the other parameters. For getting a statistical distribution of buffer and rock temperatures around the repository, an artificial neural network, backpropagation, was applied. The reliability of the trained neural network was tested with the cases with randomly chosen input parameters. When the parameter variation is within ${\pm}10%$, the prediction from the network was found to be reliable with about a 1% error. It was possible to calculate the temperature distribution for many cases quickly with the trained neural network. The buffer and rock temperatures showed a normal distribution with means of $98^{\circ}C$ and $83.9^{\circ}C$ standard deviations of $3.82^{\circ}C$ and $3.67^{\circ}C$, respectively. Using the neural network, it was also possible to estimate the required change in design parameters for reducing the buffer and rock temperatures for $1^{\circ}C$.

Numerical Simulation of Immiscible Water-Gas Simultaneous Flow in the absence of Capillary Force in a Single Fracture (단일절리에서 모세관압을 고려하지 않은 불혼합성 물과 가스의 동시거동 해석)

  • 한일영;서일원
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.69-81
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    • 2001
  • The constitutive relation among capillary pressure, saturation and relative permeability should be predetermined in order to simulate immiscible water-gas flow in porous media. The relation between saturation and relative permeability becomes more important when the capillary force can be disregarded and viscous friction force governs the flow. In this study, a 2-dimensional finite difference numerical model was developed, in which the variation of viscosity with pressure and that of relative permeability with water saturation can be treated. Seven cases of parallel plate tests were performed in order to obtain the characteristic equation of relative permeability which would be used in. the developed numerical model. It was not possible, however, to match the curves of relative permeability from the plate tests with the existing emperical models. Consequently a logistic equation was proposed as a new emperical model. As this model was composed of the parameter involving aperture size, any aperture size of fracture can be applied to the model. For the purpose of verification, the characteristic equation of relative permeability was applied to the developed numerical model and the computed results were compared with those of plate test. As a result of application of numerical model, in order to check the field applicability, to single fracture surrounding an underground storage cavern, the simultaneous flow of water and propane gas was able to be simulated properly by the model.

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Syngas Concentration and Efficiency in Heavy Residual Oil Gasification with 1 Ton/Day-Class Entrained-Bed Reactor (1톤/일급 분류층 가스화기에서 중질잔사유의 가스화 합성가스 조성 및 효율 변화)

  • 주지선;나혜령;윤용승
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 2003
  • With the 1 ton/day-class entrained-bed gasification system, heavy residual oil from local refinery was gasified at the operating conditions of 1,000~1,20$0^{\circ}C$ and 3 $kg_f$/$\textrm{cm}^2$ in order to determine the variation of syngas composition, carbon conversion, and cold gas efficiency. Produced syngas consists of mainly CO, H$_2$, $CO_2$, and the methane concentrations. Results yielded a maximum syngas composition of 45% H$_2$ and 26%, CO at the 31 kg/hr feeding condition. The maximum carbon conversion and cold gas efficiency were 87% and 68%, respectively at the feeding conditions of 20 kg/hr and oxygen/feed ratio of 1.2. When oxygen feeding amount that is one of the most important operating parameter in gasification was increased, concentration of hydrogen in the syngas is greatly increased comparing to the concentration of CO and $CO_2$. The temperature exhibited about 11$0^{\circ}C$ raise while oxygen/feed ratio changed from 0.6 to 1.2. Methane concentration showed enhanced dropping rate with increase in gasifier temperature and the useful relationship between the gasifier temperature and methane concentration existed such that it can be employed as an indirect measure of inside gasifier temperature.

Breeding of New Synthetic Egg Production Line in Domestic Chicken by Intlroducing Sex Linked Gene. I. Production of the Autosexing Breed (성 감별 유전자를 도입한 다산계계통 신품종 육종에 관한 연구 I. 반생유전계통 조성)

  • 오봉국;손시환;이정구
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 1992
  • This study was carried out to build up new synthetic egg Production lines which had sex linked gene for feather color sexing and had also superior combining ability for producing the best commercial chicks. In order to make autosexing layer line, the commercial layers which had Z$^{s}$ Z$^{s}$ and Z$^{s}$ W were mated. Among progeny, the chicks which had homozygote of silver gene and non-silver gene were selected for making dam and sire lines. Afterwards the closed flock breeding method was utilized to improve general performances of the each line. The performances of egg production in synthetic line were 161 day for age at sexual maturity, 219 eggs for total egg number to 60 weeks of age, 84% for hen-day egg production and 619 for average egg weight. There was no difference in egg production between new synthetic lines and imported breeds. In the analysis of genetic trends, the estimates of genetic parameter in the autosexing lines were similar to those of the general population of layer breeders. This results indicated the consistency of genetic variation from this selection.

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Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of Time-Dependent Deformation in Prestressed Concrete Box Girder Bridges (프리스트레스트 콘크리트 박스 거더 교량의 시간에 따른 변형의 확률 해석 및 민감도 해석)

  • 오병환;양인환
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 1998
  • The reasonable prediction of time-dependent deformation of prestressed concrete(PSC) box girder bridges is very important for accurate construction as well as good serviceability. The long-term behavior is mostly influenced by the probabilistic characteristic of creep and shrinkage. This paper presents a method of statistical analysis and sensitivity analysis of creep and shrinkage effects in PSC box been taken into account - model uncertainty, parameter variation and environmental condition. The statistical and sensitivity analyses are performed by using the numerical simulation of Latin Hypercube sampling. For each sample, the time-dependent structural analysis is performed to produce response data, which are then statistically analyzed. The probabilistic prediction of the confidence limits on long-term effects of creep and shrinkage is then expressed. Three measure are examined to quantify the sensitivity of the outputs of each of the input variables. These are rank correlation coefficient(RCC), partical rank correlation coefficient(PRCC) and standardiozed rank regression coefficient(SRRC) computed on the ranks of the observations. Three creep and shrinkage models - i. e., ACI model. CEB-FIP model and the model in Korea Highway Bridge Specification - are studied. The creep model uncertainy factor and the relative humidity appear to be the most dominant factors with regard to the model output uncertainty.

FE Analysis on the Structural Behavior of the Single-Leaf Blast-Resistant Door According to Design Parameter Variation (설계변수에 따른 편개형 방폭문의 구조거동 유한요소해석)

  • Shin, Hyun-Seop;Kim, Won-Woo;Park, Gi-Joon;Lee, Nam-Kon;Moon, Jae-Heum;Kim, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.11
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    • pp.259-272
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    • 2019
  • Steel-concrete single-leaf blast-resistant doors are protective structures consisting of a steel box and reinforced concrete slab. By the domestic blast-resistant doors, the structure is not designed efficiently because few studies have examined the effects of variables, such as the blast pressure, rebar ratio, and steel plate thickness on the structural behavior. In this study, the structural behavior of the doors was analyzed using the FE method, and the support rotation and ductility ratio used to classify the structural performance were reviewed. The results showed that the deflection changes more significantly when the plate thickness increases than when the rebar spacing is a variable. This is because the strain energy absorbed by the door is reduced considerably when the plate thickness increases, and as a result, the maximum deflection becomes smaller. According to a comparison of the calculated values of the support rotation and the ductility ratio, the structural performance of the doors could be classified based on the support rotation of one degree and ductility ratio of three. On the other hand, more explosion tests and analytical studies will be needed to classify the damage level.

Hot-Carrier Degradation of NMOSFET (NMOSFET의 Hot-Carrier 열화현상)

  • Baek, Jong-Mu;Kim, Young-Choon;Cho, Moon-Taek
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.3626-3631
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    • 2009
  • This study has provided some of the first experimental results of NMOSFET hot-carrier degradation for the analog circuit application. After hot-carrier stress under the whole range of gate voltage, the degradation of NMOSFET characteristics is measured in saturation region. In addition to interface states, the evidences of hole and electron traps are found near drain depending on the biased gate voltage, which is believed to the cause for the variation of the transconductance($g_m$) and the output conductance($g_{ds}$). And it is found that hole trap is a dominant mechanism of device degradation in a low-gate voltage saturation region, The parameter degradation is sensitive to the channel length of devices. As the channel length is shortened, the influence of hole trap on the channel conductance is increased. Because the magnitude of $g_m$ and $g_{ds}$ are increased or decreased depending on analog operation conditions and analog device structures, careful transistor design including the level of the biased gate voltage and the channel length is therefore required for optimal voltage gain ($A_V=g_m/g_{ds}$) in analog circuit.

Reproducibility of Hypothesis Testing and Confidence Interval (가설검정과 신뢰구간의 재현성)

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.645-653
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    • 2014
  • P-value is the probability of observing a current sample and possibly other samples departing equally or more extremely from the null hypothesis toward postulated alternative hypothesis. When p-value is less than a certain level called ${\alpha}$(= 0:05), researchers claim that the alternative hypothesis is supported empirically. Unfortunately, some findings discovered in that way are not reproducible, partly because the p-value itself is a statistic vulnerable to random variation. Boos and Stefanski (2011) suggests calculating the upper limit of p-value in hypothesis testing, using a bootstrap predictive distribution. To determine the sample size of a replication study, this study proposes thought experiments by simulating boosted bootstrap samples of different sizes from given observations. The method is illustrated for the cases of two-group comparison and multiple linear regression. This study also addresses the reproducibility of the points in the given 95% confidence interval. Numerical examples show that the center point is covered by 95% confidence intervals generated from bootstrap resamples. However, end points are covered with a 50% chance. Hence this study draws the graph of the reproducibility rate for each parameter in the confidence interval.

Minimum Safety Factor for Evaluation of Critical Buckling Pressure of Zirconium Alloy Tube (지르코늄 합금 관의 임계좌굴 압력 산정을 위한 최소안전율)

  • Kim, Hyung-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Yong;Yoon, Kyung-Ho;Lee, Young-Ho;Lee, Kang-Hee;Kang, Heung-Seok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.281-287
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    • 2011
  • We consider the uncertainty in the elastic buckling formula for a thin tube. We take into account the measurement uncertainty of Young's modulus and Poisson's ratio and the tolerance of the tube thickness and diameter. Elastic buckling must be prohibited for a thin tube such as a nuclear fuel rod that must satisfy a self-stand criterion. Since the predicted critical buckling pressure overestimated that found in the experiment, the determination of the minimum safety factor is crucial. The uncertainty in each parameter (i.e., Young's modulus, Poisson's ratio, thickness, and diameter) is mutually independent, so the safety factor is evaluated as the sum of the inverse of each uncertainty. We found that the thickness variation greatly affects the uncertainty. The minimum safety factor of a thin tube of Zirconium alloy is evaluated as 1.547 for a thickness of 0.87 mm and 3.487 for a thickness of 0.254 mm.

The Consideration for Optimum 3D Seismic Processing Procedures in Block II, Northern Part of South Yellow Sea Basin (대륙붕 2광구 서해분지 북부지역의 3D전산처리 최적화 방안시 고려점)

  • Ko, Seung-Won;Shin, Kook-Sun;Jung, Hyun-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Petroleum Geology
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    • v.11 no.1 s.12
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2005
  • In the main target area of the block II, Targe-scale faults occur below the unconformity developed around 1 km in depth. The contrast of seismic velocity around the unconformity is generally so large that the strong multiples and the radical velocity variation would deteriorate the quality of migrated section due to serious distortion. More than 15 kinds of data processing techniques have been applied to improve the image resolution for the structures farmed from this active crustal activity. The bad and noisy traces were edited on the common shot gathers in the first step to get rid of acquisition problems which could take place from unfavorable conditions such as climatic change during data acquisition. Correction of amplitude attenuation caused from spherical divergence and inelastic attenuation has been also applied. Mild F/K filter was used to attenuate coherent noise such as guided waves and side scatters. Predictive deconvolution has been applied before stacking to remove peg-leg multiples and water reverberations. The velocity analysis process was conducted at every 2 km interval to analyze migration velocity, and it was iterated to get the high fidelity image. The strum noise caused from streamer was completely removed by applying predictive deconvolution in time space and ${\tau}-P$ domain. Residual multiples caused from thin layer or water bottom were eliminated through parabolic radon transform demultiple process. The migration using curved ray Kirchhoff-style algorithm has been applied to stack data. The velocity obtained after several iteration approach for MVA (migration velocity analysis) was used instead or DMO for the migration velocity. Using various testing methods, optimum seismic processing parameter can be obtained for structural and stratigraphic interpretation in the Block II, Yellow Sea Basin.

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