• Title/Summary/Keyword: Over-dispersion

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Evaluating the Economic Damages to Anglers of the Marine Recreational Charter due to the Herbei Spirit Vessel Oil Spill (허베이 스피리트호의 기름유출에 따른 바다유어낚시어선 이용객의 경제적 손실평가연구)

  • Pyo, Heedong
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.289-302
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    • 2014
  • This paper aims to evaluate the indirect economic damages to anglers of the marine recreational charter caused by marine pollution associated with the Herbei Spirit vessel, which spilled 12,547 kl of crude oil in Taean coastal areas in December 2007. In order to evaluate the indirect cost to anglers of the charter fishing, consumer surplus for charter fishing is estimated using a Poisson model (PM), a negative binomial model (NBM), a truncated Poisson model (TPM), and a truncated negative binomial model (TNBM), which account for the characteristics of count data (non-negative discrete data), for individual travel cost method (ITCM). Because of over-dispersion problem in PM and TPM, NBM and TNBM are considered to be more appropriate statistically. All parameters such as income, fishing careers, travel cost and catch that are estimated are statistically significant and theoretically valid. Based on TNBM results, consumer surplus per trip and per person was estimated to be 277 thousand won, total consumer surplus per person and per year about 2.3 million won, and the marginal effect of consumer surplus on % changes in catch rate is about 33 thousand won. The consumer surplus was converted into total indirect economic damages for aggregation which are evaluated to be 125 billion won, reflecting the number of anglers and damage rate.

Estimating Consumer Surplus for Recreational Sea Fishing using Individual Travel Cost Method (개별여행비용법을 이용한 바다 유어 낚시의 소비자 잉여추정)

  • Pyo, Hee-Dong;Park, Cheol-Hyung;Chung, Jin-Ho
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2008
  • This paper aims at estimating consumer surplus for recreational sea fishing in Tongyeong coastal area using individual travel cost method. A Poisson model (PM), a negative binomial model (NBM), a truncated Poisson model (TPM), and a truncated negative binomial model (TNBM) are applied for individual travel cost method in order to account characteristics of count data (non-negative discrete data.) The survey was conducted for 462 inshore anglers using personal interview method in Tongyeong during July and October 2007. Respondents were asked about how often they do fishing, travel costs, catch, income, and so on. Because of over-dispersion problem in PM and TPM, NBM and TNBM were considered to be more appropriate statistically. All parameters estimated are statistically significant and theoretically valid. As the results based on TNBM, consumer surplus per trip was estimated to be 183,486 won, total consumer surplus per person and per year 3,399,658 won, and the marginal effect of consumer surplus on % changes in catch rate is 185,372 won.

A Numerical Experiments on the Atmospheric Circulation over a Complex Terrain around Coastal Area. Part II : (연안부근 복잡지형의 대기유동장 수치실험 II -부산광역지역에 대한 국지순환모형의 적용-)

  • 김유근
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2000
  • Since Pusan metropolitanarea where is composed complex terrain is connected to sea the sea-land breeze circulation and the mountain-valley circulation are apt to form A regional scale circulation system is formed at a region which has complex terrain because of curves of its and affect to the dispersion and advection of air pollutants. LCM Local Circulation Model which a propriety was verified described that sea breeze and valley wind at the daytime and land breeze and mountain wind at the nighttime were well devellped over the Pusan metropolital area. Next for the investigation of accuracy of simulated results an observed value at Kae-Kum and Su-Young on the pusan metropolitan area were compared with it at those points. From the comparison of the temperature and horizontal velocity between the results of LCM and an observed values they have a similar trend of a diurnal variation. For the prediction of dispersion and transportation of air pollutants the wind field should be calculated with high accuracy. A numerical simulation using LCM can provide more accuracy results around Pusan metropolitan area.

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Electro-Optic Characteristics of the Fringe-Field driven Reflective Hybrid Aligned Nematic Liquid Crystal Display (Fringe-Field 구동형 반사형 Hybrid Aligned Nematic 액정 디스플레이의 전기-광학 특성)

  • 정태봉;박지혁;손정석;송제훈;이승희
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.201-206
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    • 2004
  • We have performed computer simulation and experiment to obtain electro-optic characteristics of reflective hybrid aligned nematic (R-HAN) cell driven by fringe field, in which the cell consists of polarizer, optical compensation film, LC layer and reflector. Conventional R-HAN cell driven by fringe field using only the LC layer shows high wavelength dispersion at dark-state and thus viewing angle characteristic is strongly wavelength-dependent. In order to improve this demerit, we added one optical compensation film to conventional R-HAN cell. The display with optimized cell parameters shows low wavelength dispersion at dark-state and exhibits a wide viewing angle without the occurrence of grey scale inversion over a wide range of viewing angles and the contrast ratio greater than 5 over exists about 120$^{\circ}$ in vortical direction and 160$^{\circ}$in horizontal direction. Experimental results show good agreements with theoretical results and fast response time.

Integer-Valued GARCH Models for Count Time Series: Case Study (계수 시계열을 위한 정수값 GARCH 모델링: 사례분석)

  • Yoon, J.E.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2015
  • This article is concerned with count time series taking values in non-negative integers. Along with the first order mean of the count time series, conditional variance (volatility) has recently been paid attention to and therefore various integer-valued GARCH(generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) models have been suggested in the last decade. We introduce diverse integer-valued GARCH(INGARCH, for short) processes to count time series and a real data application is illustrated as a case study. In addition, zero inflated INGARCH models are discussed to accommodate zero-inflated count time series.

Sidewalk Gaseous Pollutants Estimation Through UAV Video-based Model

  • Omar, Wael;Lee, Impyeong
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2022
  • As unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) technology grew in popularity over the years, it was introduced for air quality monitoring. This can easily be used to estimate the sidewalk emission concentration by calculating road traffic emission factors of different vehicle types. These calculations require a simulation of the spread of pollutants from one or more sources given for estimation. For this purpose, a Gaussian plume dispersion model was developed based on the US EPA Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES), which provides an accurate estimate of fuel consumption and pollutant emissions from vehicles under a wide range of user-defined conditions. This paper describes a methodology for estimating emission concentration on the sidewalk emitted by different types of vehicles. This line source considers vehicle parameters, wind speed and direction, and pollutant concentration using a UAV equipped with a monocular camera. All were sampled over an hourly interval. In this article, the YOLOv5 deep learning model is developed, vehicle tracking is used through Deep SORT (Simple Online and Realtime Tracking), vehicle localization using a homography transformation matrix to locate each vehicle and calculate the parameters of speed and acceleration, and ultimately a Gaussian plume dispersion model was developed to estimate the CO, NOx concentrations at a sidewalk point. The results demonstrate that these estimated pollutants values are good to give a fast and reasonable indication for any near road receptor point using a cheap UAV without installing air monitoring stations along the road.

Basic Efficiency Assessment of polymer cementitious Self leveling for floor-finishing materials (폴리머 시멘트계 Self leveling 바닥마감재의 기초성능평가)

  • 도정윤;김완기;소양섭
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.1005-1010
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    • 2001
  • Recently, polymer-modified mortar has been studied for proposed use on industrial floors as top layers with thin thicknesses, typically 5~ 15mm. The purpose of this study is to evaluate basic properties of self leveling materials using polymer modifier as kinds of SBR, PAE, SUBA. Superplasticizer and thickener have been included in the mixes to reduce bleeding and drying shrinkage as well as in order to facilitate the workability required. The self leveling materials using four types of polymer dispersion are prepared with polymer-cement ratios which respectively range from 50%, 75%, and were tested for basic characteristics such as adhesion in tension, crack resistance test, rebound test after the preparative tests for unit weight, air content, consistency ratio etc. The results show almost as equal quality as existing commercial industrial flooring when mortar is modified by polymer dispersion. Adhesion in tension of polymer modified mortars using each SBR and PAE emulsion was over 10 kgf/$cm^{2}$. Crack or flaw derived from shrinkage is strongly dependent on the type of polymer dispersion because of each different total solid of polymer. It is judged that polymer modified mortar with self-leveling can be very well suited for Floor-finished.

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Investigation of Dispersion and Storage Processes of Pollutants in Natural Streams (자연하천에서 오염물질의 확산 및 저장에 관한 연구)

  • 서일원;유대영
    • Water for future
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 1995
  • Mathematical models have been developed in which storage-relaease processes of pollutants are modeled to explain storage effect of variations of flow and channel geometry on mixing and transport of polluted releases in natural channels including low flow conditions. The models were tested by using the laboratory dispersion data. Comparisons between concentration-time curves predicted by using the proposed model incorporating two different submodels show that Storage-Diffusion Model seems to be superior in explaining physical processes inside the storage zone to the Storage-Exchange Model even though accuracies of simulation results by two models are about the same. The proposed model shows significant improvement over the conventional one-dimensional dispersion model in predicting natural mixing processes in open channels.

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Dispersion of Heavy Metals in the Geochemical Environment around the Geumwang Gold-Silver Mine (금왕 금·은광산 주변 지구화학적 환경에서의 중금속 원소들의 분산)

  • Park, Jong-Jin;Kim, Myeong-Kyun;Chon, Hyo-Taek
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 1997
  • Soil, tailings, stream sediment and surface water samples collected in the vicinity of the Geumwang Au-Ag mine were analyzed in order to investigate the pollution level of heavy metals and to determine the dispersion patterns. Although the maximum concentrations of soils collected at the flotation plant and tailings dam were 9,270 ppm As, 17 ppm Cd, 1,480 ppm Cu, 10,080 ppm Pb and 18,400 ppm Zn, dispersion of heavy metals were limited in the vicinity of the flotation plant and tailings dam. This may be due to high pH values (> 8.0) of the soils by flotation solution for mineral processing. The pH values of water samples near the flotation plant and tailings dam were over 8.0 and Cd, Cu and Zn concentrations were not detected. The waters in the vicinity of Geumwang mine generally belong to a $Ca^{2+}-SO_{4}{^{2-}}$ $(HCO_3{^-})$ type.

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A Study on Transmission Performance for Optical NRZ Transmitters (광 NRZ 송신기의 전송 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Soo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.119-123
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a theoretical study of transmission performance for an optical NRZ (nonreturn-to-zero) transmitter employed a Mach-Zehnder modulator. Especially, we have investigated the effects of the ${\alpha}$-parameters that represents the chirps and the driving voltage ratios(=driving voltage/switching voltage) of Mach-Zehnder modulators for transmitting 25Gbps optical NRZ signals at a wavelength of 1550nm without any dispersion compensation methods over single mode fiber. By optimizing the negative values of ${\alpha}$-parameters for the dispersion tolerance with the change of driving voltage ratios, it has been tested whether the transmission performance has improved. We have verified the improvement by the BERs and the optical eye diagrams.