• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1994년도 Proceedings of the Korea Automatic Control Conference, 9th (KACC) ; Taejeon, Korea; 17-20 Oct. 1994
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• pp.173-176
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• 1994

In this paper a closed-form predictive control which takes the intervalwise receding horizon strategy is presented and its stability properties are investigated. A slate-space form output predictor is derived which is composed of the one-step ahead optimal output prediction, input and output data of the system. A set of feedback gains are obtained using the dynamic programming algorithm so that they minimize a multi-stage quadratic cost function and they are used periodically.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제25권12호
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• pp.165-172
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• 2020

웹에서 접근하는 정보의 폭발적인 증가에 따라 사용자의 다음 웹 페이지 사용을 예측하는 문제의 중요성이 증가되었다. 사용자의 다음 웹 페이지 접근을 예측하는 방법 중 하나가 딥 러닝 기법이다. 웹 페이지 예측 절차는 데이터 전처리 과정을 통해 웹 로그 정보들을 분석하고 딥 러닝 기법을 이용하여 분석된 웹 로그 결과를 가지고 사용자가 접근할 다음 웹 페이지를 예측한다. 본 논문에서는 웹 페이지 예측을 위한 효율적인 웹 로그 전처리 작업과 분석을 위해 딥 러닝 기법을 사용하는 웹 페이지 예측 프레임워크를 제안한다. 대용량 웹 로그 정보의 전처리 작업 속도를 높이기 위하여 Hadoop 기반 맵/리듀스(MapReduce) 프로그래밍 모델을 사용한다. 또한 웹 로그 정보의 전처리 결과를 이용한 학습과 예측을 위한 딥 러닝 기반 웹 예측 시스템을 제안한다. 실험을 통해 논문에서 제안한 방법이 기존의 방법과 비교하여 성능 개선이 있다는 사실을 보였고 아울러 다음 페이지 예측의 정확성을 보였다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.205-211
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• 1997

For the prediction of multi-site rainfall with radar data and ground meteorological data, a rainfall prediction model was proposed, which uses the neural network theory, a kind of artifical Intelligence technique. The Input layer of the prediction model was constructed with current ground meteorological data, their variation, moving vectors of rain- fall field and digital terrain of the measuring site, and the output layer was constructed with the predicted rainfall up to 3 hours. In the application of the prediction model to the Pyungchang river basin, the learning results of neural network prediction model showed more Improved results than the parameter estimation results of an existing physically based model. And the proposed model comparisonally well predicted the time distribution of ralnfall.

• 대한화상학회지
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.1-6
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• 2020

Purpose: PL, creatinine and urine output are biomarkers of the suitability and prognosis of fluid therapy in severe burn patients. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the usefulness of predicting mortality by biomarkers and its change during initial fluid therapy for severe burn patients. Methods: A retrograde review was performed on 733 patients from January 2014 to December 2018 who were admitted as severe burn patients to our burn intensive care unit (BICU). Plasma lactate, serum creatinine and urine output were measured at the time of admission to the BICU and after 48 hours. ABSI score, Hangang score, APACHEII, revised Baux index and TBSA were collected after admission. Results: 733 patients were enrolled. PL was the most useful indicators for predicting mortality in burn patients at the time of admission (AUC: 0.813) and after 48 hours (AUC: 0.698). On the other hand, mortality prediction from initial fluid therapy for 48 hours showed different results. Only creatinine showed statistical differences (P<0.05) in mortality prediction. But there were no statistical differences in mortality prediction with PL and UO (P>0.05). Conclusion: In this study, PL was most useful predictor among biomarkers for predicting mortality. Improvement in creatinine levels during the first 48 hours is associated with improved mortality. Therefore, efforts are needed to improve creatinine levels.

• KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.15-20
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• 2021

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.115-120
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• 2017

The aim of this study is to develop construction safety and health management cost prediction model using support vector machine (SVM). To this end, theoretical concept of SVM is investigated to formulate the cost prediction model. Input and output variables have been selected by analyzing the balancing accounts for the completed construction project. In order to train and validate the proposed prediction model, 150 data sets have been gathered from field. Effects of SVM parameters on prediction accuracy are analyzed and from which the optimal parameter values have been determined. The prediction performance tests are conducted to confirm the applicability of the proposed model. Based on the results, it is concluded that the proposed SVM model can effectively be used to predict the construction safety and health management cost.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 1998년도 창립기념 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.211-218
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• 1998

The demand prediction becomes an essential mean to utilize efficiently finite traffic facilities and to provide the optimized schedules for transportation system. The demand prediction is one of the critical complex management schemes for distibuting resources of transportation service by means of computer system. The construction of a prediction model is based on data granulization, followed by processing the raw input data and evaluating the predicted output values. A large number of economic-social parameters are also to be implemented in conventional prediction models which are only based on a sequence of past data. The proposed prediction models are classified by static and dynamic characteristics and its performances are evaluated utilizing computer simulation.

• 생태와환경
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• 제43권1호
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• pp.161-167
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• 2010

In this study, we implemented an experimental approach of ecological model development in order to emphasize the importance of input variable selection with respect to time-delayed arrangement between input and output variables. Time-series modeling requires relevant input variable selection for the prediction of a specific output variable (e.g. density of a species). Inadequate variable utility for input often causes increase of model construction time and low efficiency of developed model when applied to real world representation. Therefore, for future prediction, researchers have to decide number of time-delay (e.g. months, weeks or days; t-n) to predict a certain phenomenon at current time t. We prepared a total of 3,900 equation models produced by Time-Series Optimized Genetic Programming (TSOGP) algorithm, for the prediction of monthly averaged density of a potamic phytoplankton species Stephanodiscus hantzschii, considering future prediction from 0- (no future prediction) to 12-months ahead (interval by 1 month; 300 equations per each month-delay). From the investigation of model structure, input variable selectivity was obviously affected by the time-delay arrangement, and the model predictability was related with the type of input variables. From the results, we can conclude that, although Machine Learning (ML) algorithms which have popularly been used in Ecological Informatics (EI) provide high performance in future prediction of ecological entities, the efficiency of models would be lowered unless relevant input variables are selectively used.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.1036-1043
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• 2014

환경오염과 에너지위기 문제를 해결하기 위하여 세계적으로 태양광전원의 설치가 매년 증가하고 있다. 하지만, 설치된 태양광모듈은 경년열화로 인한 성능저하와 운용상의 다양한 장애요소로 발전량 손실이 발생하여, 태양광모듈의 효율적인 운용을 위한 발전량예측과 상태진단 기술이 요구되고 있다. 기존의 발전량 예측 방법은 많은 파라미터를 고려해야하기 때문에 계산이 복잡하며, 표준시험 조건의 모듈 특성데이터를 사용하기 때문에 오차가 크게 발생한다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 태양광모듈에서 발생하고 있는 문제점을 분석하고 이에 대한 대책을 제시하기 위하여, 선형회귀분석법을 이용한 발전량 예측 알고리즘과 태양광모듈의 상태를 진단하는 알고리즘을 제안하였다. 또한, 이를 바탕으로 태양광모듈의 상태진단 평가시스템을 구현하여 시뮬레이션을 수행한 결과, 기존의 방법에 비하여 제안한 방법이 계산하기 편리하고 예측 오차도 감소함을 확인하였으며, 이상모듈의 상태와 위치를 신속하게 파악할 수 있어, 태양광모듈의 운용효율 향상에 유용함을 확인하였다.

• 신재생에너지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.81-85
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• 2006

The output performance characteristics for surveyed sites were analyzed, using developed model. It consists of two main parts, the deciding flow duration characteristic of river and performance prediction model to estimate the output characteristics of small hydropower plants. As a result, It was found that the flowrate concerning with 25% of time ratio on flow duration curve can be selected to design flowrate of small hydropower plants, and the output characteristics of small hydropower plants having overflow dam are different from large scale hydropower plants.