• Title/Summary/Keyword: Output Prediction

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Recursive Least Squares Run-to-Run Control with Time-Varying Metrology Delays

  • Fan, Shu-Kai;Chang, Yuan-Jung
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.262-274
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    • 2010
  • This article investigates how to adaptively predict the time-varying metrology delay that could realistically occur in the semiconductor manufacturing practice. Metrology delays pose a great challenge for the existing run-to-run (R2R) controllers, driving the process output significantly away from target if not adequately predicted. First, the expected asymptotic double exponentially weighted moving average (DEWMA) control output, by using the EWMA and recursive least squares (RLS) prediction methods, is derived. It has been found that the relationships between the expected control output and target in both estimation methods are parallel, and six cases are addressed. Within the context of time-varying metrology delay, this paper presents a modified recursive least squares-linear trend (RLS-LT) controller, in combination with runs test. Simulated single input-single output (SISO) R2R processes subject to various time-varying metrology delay scenarios are used as a testbed to evaluate the proposed algorithms. The simulation results indicate that the modified RLS-LT controller can yield the process output more accurately on target with smaller mean squared error (MSE) than the original RLSLT controller that only deals with constant metrology delays.

Manufacture of Real-time Power Simulator for Electric Railway (전기철도용 실시각 급전시뮬레이터 제작)

  • Jang, Dong-Uk;Chung, Sang-Gi;Kim, Hyol-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1473-1479
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the high speed train was operated and then the train system's reliability requirements are growing more and more. The exact prediction simulation is necessary in the design of power feeding system by the increase of railway electrification. In order to develope the AC feeding system analysis technology, real-time power simulator was manufactured. It is composed to eight channels analog input, forty channels analog output and forty-eight channels digital I/O. The size of simulator rack is 19" and the two I/O boards are installed the PXI chassis built into the real time os. The signal I/O is possible through BNC connector. The test results of manufactured simulator are obtained that the error range of analog I/O signal is below 1 % and simulation condition is set to 1 ms and the simulation output of the analog output compares the results of the simulator.

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Neural Network-based Modeling of Industrial Safety System in Korea (신경회로망 기반 우리나라 산업안전시스템의 모델링)

  • Gi Heung Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2023
  • It is extremely important to design safety-guaranteed industrial processes because such process determine the ultimate outcomes of industrial activities, including worker safety. Application of artificial intelligence (AI) in industrial safety involves modeling industrial safety systems by using vast amounts of safety-related data, accident prediction, and accident prevention based on predictions. As a preliminary step toward realizing AI-based industrial safety in Korea, this study discusses neural network-based modeling of industrial safety systems. The input variables that are the most discriminatory relative to the output variables of industrial safety processes are selected using two information-theoretic measures, namely entropy and cross entropy. Normalized frequency and severity of industrial accidents are selected as the output variables. Our simulation results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed neural network model and, therefore, the feasibility of extending the model to include more input and output variables.

Determination of Optimal Adhesion Conditions for FDM Type 3D Printer Using Machine Learning

  • Woo Young Lee;Jong-Hyeok Yu;Kug Weon Kim
    • Journal of Practical Engineering Education
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.419-427
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    • 2023
  • In this study, optimal adhesion conditions to alleviate defects caused by heat shrinkage with FDM type 3D printers with machine learning are researched. Machine learning is one of the "statistical methods of extracting the law from data" and can be classified as supervised learning, unsupervised learning and reinforcement learning. Among them, a function model for adhesion between the bed and the output is presented using supervised learning specialized for optimization, which can be expected to reduce output defects with FDM type 3D printers by deriving conditions for optimum adhesion between the bed and the output. Machine learning codes prepared using Python generate a function model that predicts the effect of operating variables on adhesion using data obtained through adhesion testing. The adhesion prediction data and verification data have been shown to be very consistent, and the potential of this method is explained by conclusions.

Modelling for TBM Performance Prediction (TBM 굴진성능 예측을 위한 모델링)

  • 이석원;최순욱
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.413-420
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    • 2003
  • Modelling for performance prediction of mechanical excavation is discussed in this paper. Two of the most successful performance prediction models, namely theoretical based CSM model and empirical based NTH model, are discussed and compared. The basic principles of rock cutting with disc cutters, especially Constant Cross Section cutters, are discussed and a theoretical model developed is introduced to provide an estimate of disc cutting forces as a function of rock properties and the cutting geometry. General modelling logic for the performance prediction of mechanical excavation is introduced. CSM computer model developed and currently used at the Earth Mechanics Institute(EMI) of the Colorado School of Mines is discussed. Example of input and output of this model is illustrated for the typical operation by Tunnel Boring Machine(TBM).

A Prediction for Manpower Profile of Software Development Using Predictive Filter (예측필터를 이용한 소프트웨어 개발 인력분포 예측)

  • Lee Sang-Un
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.416-422
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    • 2006
  • Most of the existing statistical models of software manpower profile are based on the assumptions of the usage and development process. Therefore, there is no universally applicable estimation and prediction model. To develop a prediction model, this paper suggests the predictive filter as a prediction model for software manpower profile. Firs of all, we investigate the software manpower profile and we suggest the input-output of predictive filter and method for parameter determination. Then, its usefulness is empirically verified by analyzing the actual data obtained from the software projects. Based on the average relative prediction error and Pred(0.25), the suggested predictive filter is compared with other well-known statistical estimation models. As a result, the predictive filter generally has a simple structure and on the other hand, it adapts the software manpower profile very well.

Load-slip curves of shear connection in composite structures: prediction based on ANNs

  • Guo, Kai;Yang, Guotao
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.493-506
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    • 2020
  • The load-slip relationship of the shear connection is an important parameter in design and analysis of composite structures. In this paper, a load-slip curve prediction method of the shear connection based on the artificial neural networks (ANNs) is proposed. The factors which are significantly related to the structural and deformation performance of the connection are selected, and the shear stiffness of shear connections and the transverse coordinate slip value of the load-slip curve are taken as the input parameters of the network. Load values corresponding to the slip values are used as the output parameter. A twolayer hidden layer network with 15 nodes and 10 nodes is designed. The test data of two different forms of shear connections, the stud shear connection and the perforated shear connection with flange heads, are collected from the previous literatures, and the data of six specimens are selected as the two prediction data sets, while the data of other specimens are used to train the neural networks. Two trained networks are used to predict the load-slip curves of their corresponding prediction data sets, and the ratio method is used to study the proximity between the prediction loads and the test loads. Results show that the load-slip curves predicted by the networks agree well with the test curves.

Artificial Neural Network Prediction of Normalized Polarity Parameter for Various Solvents with Diverse Chemical Structures

  • Habibi-Yangjeh, Aziz
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.1472-1476
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    • 2007
  • Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are successfully developed for the modeling and prediction of normalized polarity parameter (ETN) of 216 various solvents with diverse chemical structures using a quantitative-structure property relationship. ANN with architecture 5-9-1 is generated using five molecular descriptors appearing in the multi-parameter linear regression (MLR) model. The most positive charge of a hydrogen atom (q+), total charge in molecule (qt), molecular volume of solvent (Vm), dipole moment (μ) and polarizability term (πI) are input descriptors and its output is ETN. It is found that properly selected and trained neural network with 192 solvents could fairly represent the dependence of normalized polarity parameter on molecular descriptors. For evaluation of the predictive power of the generated ANN, an optimized network is applied for prediction of the ETN values of 24 solvents in the prediction set, which are not used in the optimization procedure. Correlation coefficient (R) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.903 and 0.0887 for prediction set by MLR model should be compared with the values of 0.985 and 0.0375 by ANN model. These improvements are due to the fact that the ETN of solvents shows non-linear correlations with the molecular descriptors.

Real-time Energy Demand Prediction Method Using Weather Forecasting Data and Solar Model (기상 예보 데이터와 일사 예측 모델식을 활용한 실시간 에너지 수요예측)

  • Kwak, Young-Hoon;Cheon, Se-Hwan;Jang, Cheol-Yong;Huh, Jung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.310-316
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    • 2013
  • This study was designed to investigate a method for short-term, real-time energy demand prediction, to cope with changing loads for the effective operation and management of buildings. Through a case study, a novel methodology for real-time energy demand prediction with the use of weather forecasting data was suggested. To perform the input and output operations of weather data, and to calculate solar radiation and EnergyPlus, the BCVTB (Building Control Virtual Test Bed) was designed. Through the BCVTB, energy demand prediction for the next 24 hours was carried out, based on 4 real-time weather data and 2 solar radiation calculations. The weather parameters used in a model equation to calculate solar radiation were sourced from the weather data of the KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration). Depending on the local weather forecast data, the results showed their corresponding predicted values. Thus, this methodology was successfully applicable to anywhere that local weather forecast data is available.

Evaluation of Hydraulic Conductivity Function in Unsaturated Soils using an Inverse Analysis (역해석기법을 이용한 불포화토 투수계수함수 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Joonyong;Han, Jin-Tae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2013
  • Unsaturated hydraulic conductivity function is one of key parameters to solve the flow phenomena in problems of landslide. Prediction models for hydraulic conductivity function related to soil-water retention curve equations in many geotechnical applications have been still used instead of direct measurement of the hydraulic conductivity function since prediction models from soil-water retention curve equations are attractive for their fast and easy use and low cost. However, many researchers found that prediction models for the hydraulic conductivity function can not predict the hydraulic conductivity exactly in comparison with experimental outputs. This research introduced an inverse analysis to evaluate the hydraulic conductivity function corresponding to experimental output from the flow pump system. Optimisation process was carried out to obtain the hydraulic conductivity function. This research showed that the inverse analysis with flow pump system was suitable to assess the hydraulic conductivity in unsaturated soil, and the prediction models for the hydraulic conductivity were led to the significant discrepancy from actual experimental outputs.