• Title/Summary/Keyword: Output Prediction

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On-line Failure Detection Method of DC Output Filter Capacitor in Power Converters (전력변환장치에서의 DC 출력 필터 커패시터의 온라인 고장 검출기법)

  • Shon, Jin-Geun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.483-489
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    • 2009
  • Electrolytic capacitors are used in variety of equipments as smoothening element of the power converters because it has high capacitance for its size and low price. Electrolytic capacitors, which is most of the time affected by aging effect, plays a very important role for the power electronics system quality and reliability. Therefore it is important to estimate the parameter of an electrolytic capacitor to predict the failure. This objective of this paper is to propose a new method to detect the rise of equivalent series resistor(ESR) in order to realize the online failure prediction of electrolytic capacitor for DC output filter of power converter. The ESR of electrolytic capacitor estimated from RMS result of filtered waveform(BPF) of the ripple capacitor voltage/current. Therefore, the preposed online failure prediction method has the merits of easy ESR computation and circuit simplicity. Simulation and experimental results are shown to verify the performance of the proposed on-line method.

Development of Process Analysis and Prediction Systeme to Improve Yield in Plasma Etching Process Using Adaptively Trained Neural Network (적응 훈련 신경망을 이용한 플라즈마 식각 공정 수율 향상을 위한 공정 분석 및예측 시스템 개발)

  • Choi, Mun-Kyu;Kim, Hun-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.98-105
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    • 1999
  • As the IC(Integrated Circuit) has been densified and complicated, it is required to thorough process control to improve yield. Experts, for this purpose, focused on the process analysis automation, which is came from the strict data management in semiconductor manufacturing. In this paper, we presents the process analysis system that can analyze causes, for a output after processes. Also, the plasma etching process that highly affects yield among semiconductor process is modeled to predict a output before the process. To approach this problem, we use adaptively trained neural networks that exhibit superior accuracy over statistical techniques. And in comparison with methods in other paper, a method that history of trend for input data is considered is shown to offer advantage in both learning and prediction capability. This research regards CD(Critical Dimension) that is considerable in high integrated circuit as output variable of the prediction model.

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Comparison of Different Deep Learning Optimizers for Modeling Photovoltaic Power

  • Poudel, Prasis;Bae, Sang Hyun;Jang, Bongseog
    • Journal of Integrative Natural Science
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.204-208
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    • 2018
  • Comparison of different optimizer performance in photovoltaic power modeling using artificial neural deep learning techniques is described in this paper. Six different deep learning optimizers are tested for Long-Short-Term Memory networks in this study. The optimizers are namely Adam, Stochastic Gradient Descent, Root Mean Square Propagation, Adaptive Gradient, and some variants such as Adamax and Nadam. For comparing the optimization techniques, high and low fluctuated photovoltaic power output are examined and the power output is real data obtained from the site at Mokpo university. Using Python Keras version, we have developed the prediction program for the performance evaluation of the optimizations. The prediction error results of each optimizer in both high and low power cases shows that the Adam has better performance compared to the other optimizers.

Genetic Programming Based Compensation Technique for Short-range Temperature Prediction (유전 프로그래밍 기반 단기 기온 예보의 보정 기법)

  • Hyeon, Byeong-Yong;Hyun, Soo-Hwan;Lee, Yong-Hee;Seo, Ki-Sung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.61 no.11
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    • pp.1682-1688
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces a GP(Genetic Programming) based robust technique for temperature compensation in short-range prediction. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, because forecast models do not reliably determine weather conditions. Most of MOS use a linear regression to compensate a prediction model, therefore it is hard to manage an irregular nature of prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation by a GP based nonlinear MOS for 3 days temperatures in Korean regions. This method is then compared to the UM model and has shown superior results. The training period of 2007-2009 summer is used, and the data of 2010 summer is adopted for verification.

Prediction of Short and Long-term PV Power Generation in Specific Regions using Actual Converter Output Data (실제 컨버터 출력 데이터를 이용한 특정 지역 태양광 장단기 발전 예측)

  • Ha, Eun-gyu;Kim, Tae-oh;Kim, Chang-bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.561-569
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    • 2019
  • Solar photovoltaic can provide electrical energy with only radiation, and its use is expanding rapidly as a new energy source. This study predicts the short and long-term PV power generation using actual converter output data of photovoltaic system. The prediction algorithm uses multiple linear regression, support vector machine (SVM), and deep learning such as deep neural network (DNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). In addition, three models are used according to the input and output structure of the weather element. Long-term forecasts are made monthly, seasonally and annually, and short-term forecasts are made for 7 days. As a result, the deep learning network is better in prediction accuracy than multiple linear regression and SVM. In addition, LSTM, which is a better model for time series prediction than DNN, is somewhat superior in terms of prediction accuracy. The experiment results according to the input and output structure appear Model 2 has less error than Model 1, and Model 3 has less error than Model 2.

On the Temperature Control of Boiler using Neural Network Predictive Controller (신경회로망의 예측제어기를 이용한 보일러의 온도제어에 관한 연구)

  • Eom, Sang-Hee;Lee, Kwon-S.;Bae, Jong-Il
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1995.07b
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    • pp.798-800
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    • 1995
  • The neural network predictive controller(NNPC) is proposed for the attempt to mimic the function of brain that forecasts the future. It consists of two loops, one is for the prediction of output(Neural Network Predictor) and the other one is for control the plant(Neural Network Controller). The output of NNC makes the control input of plant, which is followed by the variation of both plant error and prediction error. The NNP forecasts the future output based upon the current control input and the estimated control output. The method is applied to the control of temperature in boiler systems. The proposed NNPC is compared with the other conventional control methods such as PID controller, neural network controller with specialized learning architecture, and one-step-ahead controller. The computer simulation and experimental results show that the proposed method has better performances than the other methods.

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Development of Solar Power Output Prediction Method using Big Data Processing Technic (태양광 발전량 예측을 위한 빅데이터 처리 방법 개발)

  • Jung, Jae Cheon;Song, Chi Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.58-67
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    • 2020
  • A big data processing method to predict solar power generation using systems engineering approach is developed in this work. For developing analytical method, linear model (LM), support vector machine (SVN), and artificial neural network (ANN) technique are chosen. As evaluation indices, the cross-correlation and the mean square root of prediction error (RMSEP) are used. From multi-variable comparison test, it was found that ANN methodology provides the highest correlation and the lowest RMSEP.

Prediction of concrete strength using serial functional network model

  • Rajasekaran, S.;Lee, Seung-Chang
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.83-99
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    • 2003
  • The aim of this paper is to develop the ISCOSTFUN (Intelligent System for Prediction of Concrete Strength by Functional Networks) in order to provide in-place strength information of the concrete to facilitate concrete from removal and scheduling for construction. For this purpose, the system is developed using Functional Network (FN) by learning functions instead of weights as in Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). In serial functional network, the functions are trained from enough input-output data and the input for one functional network is the output of the other functional network. Using ISCOSTFUN it is possible to predict early strength as well as 7-day and 28-day strength of concrete. Altogether seven functional networks are used for prediction of strength development. This study shows that ISCOSTFUN using functional network is very efficient for predicting the compressive strength development of concrete and it takes less computer time as compared to well known Back Propagation Neural Network (BPN).

An AutoML-driven Antenna Performance Prediction Model in the Autonomous Driving Radar Manufacturing Process

  • So-Hyang Bak;Kwanghoon Pio Kim
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.3330-3344
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposes an antenna performance prediction model in the autonomous driving radar manufacturing process. Our research work is based upon a challenge dataset, Driving Radar Manufacturing Process Dataset, and a typical AutoML machine learning workflow engine, Pycaret open-source Python library. Note that the dataset contains the total 70 data-items, out of which 54 used as input features and 16 used as output features, and the dataset is properly built into resolving the multi-output regression problem. During the data regression analysis and preprocessing phase, we identified several input features having similar correlations and so detached some of those input features, which may become a serious cause of the multicollinearity problem that affect the overall model performance. In the training phase, we train each of output-feature regression models by using the AutoML approach. Next, we selected the top 5 models showing the higher performances in the AutoML result reports and applied the ensemble method so as for the selected models' performances to be improved. In performing the experimental performance evaluation of the regression prediction model, we particularly used two metrics, MAE and RMSE, and the results of which were 0.6928 and 1.2065, respectively. Additionally, we carried out a series of experiments to verify the proposed model's performance by comparing with other existing models' performances. In conclusion, we enhance accuracy for safer autonomous vehicles, reduces manufacturing costs through AutoML-Pycaret and machine learning ensembled model, and prevents the production of faulty radar systems, conserving resources. Ultimately, the proposed model holds significant promise not only for antenna performance but also for improving manufacturing quality and advancing radar systems in autonomous vehicles.

A Study on the Performance Improvement of GMDH Algorithm by Feedback (피드백에 의한 GMDH 알고리듬 성능 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Yeon-Chan
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.559-564
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    • 2010
  • The GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) algorithm can be used to predict the complex nonlinear systems. The traditional GMDH algorithm produces the prdicted output of the system model in the output layer through the input layer and the intermediate layers as the prescribed process. The outputs of each layer are produced only by the outputs of the former layer. However, in the traditional GMDH algorithm, though the optimal structure of each layer is derived, the overall structure may not be derived optimally. To overcome this problem, GMDH prediction model which has the overall optimal structure is constructed by feeding back the error between the predicted output and the real output. This can make the prediction more precise. The capability improvement of the proposed algorithm compared to the traditional algorithm is verified through computer simulation.