• Title/Summary/Keyword: Outage Rate

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Probabilistic Generation Modeling in Electricity Markets Considering Generator Maintenance Outage (전력시장의 발전기 보수계획을 고려한 확률적 발전 모델링)

  • Kim Jin-Ho;Park Jong-Bae
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.8
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    • pp.418-428
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a new probabilistic generation modeling method which can address the characteristics of changed electricity industry is proposed. The major contribution of this paper can be captured in the development of a probabilistic generation modeling considering generator maintenance outage and in the classification of market demand into multiple demand clusters for the applications to electricity markets. Conventional forced outage rates of generators are conceptually combined with maintenance outage of generators and, consequently, effective outage rates of generators are newly defined in order to properly address the probabilistic characteristic of generation in electricity markets. Then, original market demands are classified into several distinct demand clusters, which are defined by the effective outage rates of generators and by the inherent characteristic of the original demand. We have found that generators have different effective outage rates values at each classified demand cluster, depending on the market situation. From this, therefore, it can be seen that electricity markets can also be classified into several groups which show similar patterns and that the fundamental characteristics of power systems can be more efficiently analyzed in electricity markets perspectives, for this classification can be widely applicable to other technical problems in power systems such as generation scheduling, power flow analysis, price forecasts, and so on.

Impact of Maintenance Outage Rate Modeling on the Minimum Reserve Rate in Long-term Generation Expansion Planning (예방정비율(MOR) 모델링 방식이 수급계획의 최소설비예비율 산정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Hyoungtae;Lee, Sungwoo;Kim, Wook
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.12
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    • pp.1712-1720
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    • 2017
  • In South Korea, minimum reserve rate, which is to satisfy reliability standard, has been determined by simulation result using WASP. But, it is still controversial whether the level of minimum reserve rate is adequate. Thus, in this study, various analyses of minimum reserve rate are being conducted. WASP uses the probabilistic simulation technique to evaluate whether reliability standard is satisfied. In this process, forced outage rate and maintenance periods of each generator play important roles. Especially, the long-term plan can be varied depending on how maintenance periods deal with. In order to model maintenance periods in the probabilistic simulation technique, WASP uses derating method. However, broad analyses have to be conducted because there are various ways including derating method to model maintenance periods which result in different results. Therefore, in this paper, 3 different maintenance outage rate modeling methods are applied to arbitrarily modeled system based on the basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand of South Korea. Results show impact of each modeling method on minimum reserve rate.

Performance Analysis of M-ary Optical Communication over Log-Normal Fading Channels for CubeSat Platforms

  • Lim, Hyung-Chul;Yu, Sung-Yeol;Sung, Ki-Pyoung;Park, Jong Uk;Choi, Chul-Sung;Choi, Mansoo
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2020
  • A CubeSat platform has become a popular choice due to inexpensive commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) components and low launch cost. However, it requires more power-efficient and higher-data rate downlink capability for space applications related to remote sensing. In addition, the platform is limited by the size, weight and power (SWaP) constraints as well as the regulatory issue of licensing the radio frequency (RF) spectrum. The requirements and limitations have put optical communications on promising alternatives to RF communications for a CubeSat platform, owing to the power efficiency and high data rate as well as the license free spectrum. In this study, we analyzed the performance of optical downlink communications compatible with CubeSat platforms in terms of data rate, bit error rate (BER) and outage probability. Mathematical models of BER and outage probability were derived based on not only the log-normal model of atmospheric turbulence but also a transmitter with a finite extinction ratio. Given the fixed slot width, the optimal guard time and modulation orders were chosen to achieve the target data rate. And the two performance metrics, BER and outage data rate, were analyzed and discussed with respect to beam divergence angle, scintillation index and zenith angle.

Outage Performance of an efficient Diversity Enhancing Scheme in a Single link Fading Channel (단일 링크 페이딩 채널에서 효율적인 다이버시티 차수 증대 방법과 Outage 분석)

  • Lee, Seok-Won;Han, Jae-Min;Oh, Eun-Sung;Hong, Dae-Sik
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.153-154
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we propose a diversity-enhancing scheme in a single link fading channel using repetition QPSK symbol code. The proposed scheme can be converted to rate outage formula and obtains enhanced diversity performance while guaranteeing the required data rate. Simulation result shows that the proposed scheme improves the rate outage performance compared to the conventional BPSK diversity schemes.

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Performance of Selective Decode-and-Forward Relay Networks with Partial Channel Information

  • Rui, Xianyi
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.139-141
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    • 2010
  • In this letter, closed-form approximations for outage probability and symbol error rate are presented for a selective decode-and-forward relay network with partial channel information. An independent but not identically distributed Rayleigh fading environment is considered. Numerical and simulated results demonstrate the validity of the analytical results.

Performance Analysis of Amplify-and-Forward Two-Way Relaying with Antenna Correlation

  • Fan, Zhangjun;Xu, Kun;Zhang, Bangning;Pan, Xiaofei
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.1606-1626
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    • 2012
  • This paper investigates the performance of an amplify-and-forward (AF) two-way relaying system with antenna correlation. The system consists of two multiple-antenna sources, which exchange information via the aid of a single-antenna relay. In particular, we derive the exact outage probability expression. Furthermore, we provide a simple, tight closed-form lower bound for the outage probability. Based on the lower bound, we obtain the closed-form asymptotic outage probability and the average symbol error rate expressions at high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), which reveal the system's diversity order and coding gain with antenna correlation. To investigate the system's throughput performance with antenna correlation, we also derive a closed-form lower bound for the average sum-rate, which is quite tight from medium to high SNR regime. The analytical results readily enable us to obtain insight into the effect of antenna correlation on the system's performance. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to verify the analytical results.

A Study on Assessment of Forced Outage Rates for Reliability Evaluation of Power System (전력계통의 확률론적 신뢰도평가를 위한 사고확률 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Sang Sik;Tran Trung Tinh;Choi Jae Seok;Jeon D.;Kim T.;Cha S.;Choo J.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.195-198
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    • 2004
  • In recent, the Importance and necessity of some studies on reliability evaluation of grid comes from the recent black-out accidents occurred in the world. The quantity evaluation of transmission system reliability is very important under competitive electricity environment. Accurate probabilistic reliability evaluation depends on assessment of forced outage rate of elements, generators, transmission lines. This paper describes basic theory of relationship between outage rates and reliability evaluation for assessing FOR(forced outage rate) of elements of power system. In case study, FORs assessed and supplied from Canada Electricity Association is introduced and FORs assessed from using actual historical data from 1997 to 2002 for transmission lines of KEPCO system.

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Load-Aware Cell Selection Method for Efficient Use of Network Resources (효율적 망 자원 이용을 위한 부하 인지 셀 선택 기법)

  • Park, Jaesung
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.12
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    • pp.2443-2449
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    • 2015
  • Downlink (DL) data rate for a MS is influenced by not only the signal to interference and noise ratio (SINR) but also the amount of radio resources allocated to the MS. Therefore, when a MS uses SINR to select a cell to associate with, it cannot receive the fastest DL data rate all the time if it associates with a congested cell. Moreover, the SINR-based cell selection may result in cell loads unbalance, which decreases the efficiency of a network. To address the issue, we propose a novel cell selection method by considering not only SINR but also a cell load which are combined into two cell selection criteria. One is the maximum achievable data rate and the other is the minimum outage probability. The simulation results show that the cell selection based on the maximum achievable data rate is superior to the SINR-based method and the method using the minimum outage probability in terms of the system efficiency and the fairness in cell loads while the cell selection method based on the minimum outage probability is superior to the others in terms of the outage probability of a MS.

Outage Rate Calculating Method of Energy Storage System for the Application on Power System Operation (전력계통 운영적용을 위한 전기저장장치 고장률 산정방안)

  • Song, Seung-Heon;Choi, Woo-Yeong;Kook, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.188-192
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    • 2019
  • As the contribution of the Energy Storage System (ESS) on the power system operations has increased, it is required to secure the reliability on the capacity of ESS and this needs to consider the outage rate in calculating the available capacity of ESS. However, the existing method of calculating the outage rate does not consider the configuration of ESS and this does not accurately calculate the available capacity of ESS. For this, this paper analyzes the structural characteristics of ESS in Korean power system and proposes a method to calculate the outage rate of ESS. Through the study cases adopting the Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) ESS for providing the frequency response service, the effectiveness of the proposed method verified.

The Development of Lightning Outage Rate Calculation Program (송전선로 뇌 사고율 예측계산 프로그램 개발)

  • Kang, Yeon-Woog;Shim, Eung-Bo;Kweon, Dong-Jin;Kwak, Ju-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.118-125
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    • 2008
  • The outages of transmission lines give big damages to the industrial world Lightning outages occupy above 50[%] among the outages of transmission lines. To decrease the lightning outage rates, it is necessary to try countermeasures considering economical points. For the lightning protection of power transmission lines, it is very important to accurately predict the lightning outage rate because the reliability criterion for transmission line is normally specified as the number of flashovers per 100[km] per year. The phenomenon of an insulator flashover by a lightning stroke is a very complex electromagnetic event. And to calculate the lightning outage rates of transmission lines, so many calculation should be repeated because there are many overhead lines and power lines. Therefore it is necessary to develope a program for it. In this paper, we briefly introduce the basic concept for lightning outage calculation algorithm and the program.