• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ordered probit model

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Analyzing the Determinants of Online Seafood Purchasing Using Heckman's Ordered Probit Sample-Selection Model (Heckman 순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 소비자의 온라인 수산물 구매 결정요인 분석)

  • Heon-Dong Lee
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.37-53
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    • 2024
  • In the post-COVID-19, the food industry is rapidly reshaping its market structure toward online distribution. Rapid delivery system driven by large distribution platforms has ushered in an era of online distribution of fresh seafood that was previously limited. This study surveyed 1,000 consumers nationwide to determine their online seafood purchasing behaviors. The research methodology used factor analysis of consumer lifestyle and Heckman's ordered probit sample-selection model. The main results of the analysis are as follows. First, quality, freshness, selling price, product reviews from other buyers, and convenience are particularly important considerations when consumers purchase seafood from online shopping. Second, online retailers and the government must prepare measures to expand seafood consumption by considering household characteristics and consumer lifestyles. Third, it was analyzed that consumers trust the quality and safety of seafood distributed online platforms. It is not possible to provide purchase incentives to consumers who consider value consumption important, so improvement measures are needed. The results of this study are expected to provide implications on consumer preferences to online platforms, seafood companies, and producers, and can be used to establish future marketing strategies.

Securing Objectivity of Qualitative Assessment Results using Ordered Probit Model (순서형 프로빗 모델을 활용한 정성적 평가 결과의 객관성 확보방안)

  • Jeong, Minkyu;Kang, Yuncheol;Kim, Namchul;Chung, Kwanghun
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2022
  • In the service sectors, the qualitative evaluation method in the form of a survey is widely used as a major assessment tool to evaluate the quality of service. However, the results obtained from a survey can involve the subjective judgment of the respondent. In this study, we propose a method to secure objectivity by excluding subjectivity that may be included in the qualitative evaluation results. In particular, we deal with a situation where the same type of qualitative evaluation tool is used repeatedly by several service providers. To this end, by utilizing both the Ordered Probit model and third-party evaluation results, we determine whether subjectivity is involved in the results. After correcting subjectivity, the final results are obtained through statistical analysis. The application analyzed in this study is the medical service area. With the actual evaluation results supplied by the service providers, we explain how objectivity can be secured from the assessment data by applying our proposed approach.

Analyzing the Characteristics of Trip Chaining Activities of the Elderly in Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 고령자의 통행사슬 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyangsook;Choo, Sangho;Kim, Jiyoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.68-79
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    • 2014
  • This paper analyzes the characteristics of trip chaining activities of elderly and explores temporal and spatial distribution. The research also estimates ordered probit model and binary logistic model to investigate various factors affecting trip chaining and mode choice patterns. We utilized household survey data for elderly conducted in 2006 and 2010 in Seoul metropolitan area. Research results indicate that trip chaining showed an increasing trend and simple trip chaining counts for more than 85%. GIS mapping expressed spatial distribution of trip departure and arrival areas, particularly showing regional changes in job-related trips. We also found that more factors influence trip chaining in 2010, compared with 2006, and travel cost is more sensitive than travel time in determining travel mode. The research contributes to establish transportation policies based on travel behavior of elderly in a upcoming super-aged society.

Analysis of Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity on Freeway Climbing Lanes (고속도로 오르막차로 교통사고 심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • Youn, Seokmin;Joo, Shinhye;Lee, Seolyoung;Oh, Cheol
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.85-95
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The objective of this study is to analyze factors affecting traffic accident severity for determining countermeasures on freeway climbing lanes. METHODS : In this study, an ordered probit model, which is a widely used discrete choice model for categorizing crash severity, was employed. RESULTS : Results suggest that factors affecting traffic accident severity on climbing lanes include speed, drowsy driving, grade of uphill 3%, gender (male offender and male victim), and cloud weather. CONCLUSIONS : Several countermeasures are proposed for improving traffic safety on freeway climbing lanes based on the analysis of crash severity. More extensive analysis with a larger data set and various modeling techniques are required for generalizing the results.

Ordered Probit Model Of Speed Selection Behavior (순서형 프로빗모형을 이용한 속도선택행태에 관한 연구)

  • 강경우;백병성
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 1998
  • 지난 30여년간 운전자의 속도선택의 행태에 대하여 많은 연구가 이루어졌다. 그러 나, 과거 대부분의 연구는 운전자의 개별적인 특성과 제한속도에 대한 운전자의 인지 정도 를 고려하지 않고, 다만 운전자의 속도선택과 도로 및 차량간의 상호 관련성에 중점을 두고 있다. 본 연구는 운전자, 차량 및 통행특성 등의 요인을 고려하여 운전자의 속도 선택에 대 한 행태를 분석하고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 운전자의 속도 자료와 설문자료를 조사한 수, 두 가지 자료를 범주형 자료로 구분하여 Ordered Probit Model을 적용하여 분석하였다. 분 석결과 i) 고소득의 남성운전자가 고속의 주행 행태를 보였으며, 운전경력이 많은 운전자일 수록 높은 속도를 선택하는 것으로 나타났다. ii) 차량에 관해서는 배기량이 높은 차량일수 록 고속의 속도를 나타낸 반면에 안전장치가 많은 차량의 경우에는 저속의 주행속도를 보이 는 것으로 나타났다. iii) 통행 특성 면에서는 일일통행거리가 중요 변수인 것으로 나타났다. iv) 운전자의 심리적 측면에서는 운전자가 인식하고 있는 제한 속도가 또한 중요변수로 분 석되었다.

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Analysis of Intra-city Bus Demand during Rainfall Using Ordered Probit Model (순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 강우시 시내버스 이용수요의 변동분석)

  • Jeong, Heon-Yeong;Song, Geum-Yeong;Kim, Gwang-Uk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2011
  • After implementing "Semi-public management system of intra-city bus", the burden of financial aid for unprofitable routes is on the increase in Busan metro city. It becomes a heavy burden on the local finance, which needs to be resolved for improving the intra-bus system. The rainfall is one of the factors influencing the demands for intra-bus in urban transportation. Motivated by this fact, this study investigates the impact of rainfall on the intra-city bus demand. Actual bus users are surveyed on their patterns and recognition of using the bus according to the amount of rainfall. A rainfall forecast model using ordered probit model is presented, and the elasticity of the intra-city bus utilization to the amount of rainfall is also analyzed. The resulting findings could be applied to promote the use of intra-city buses and also be utilized as basic data for other studies to improve the intra-city bus system.

Developing the Accident Injury Severity on a Field of Construction Work Using Ordered Probit Model (순서형 프로빗 모형을 적용한 공사장 교통 사고심각도 분석)

  • Hong, Ji-Yeon;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Lee, Soo-Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2011
  • The traffic accidents at a construction site, which happen due to construction vehicles' frequent access to a construction site, its subsequent conflicts with ordinary vehicles and pedestrians, and inappropriate installation & management of traffic security facilities, have not many proportions in all traffic accidents, but obviously, the accident damage is quite serious when comparing the level of the fatal per one accident. This research conducted an analysis of traffic accident injury severity using Ordered Probit Model in relation to 241 traffic accident cases that occurred caused by construction sites among the traffic accidents that took place in Seoul and Gyeoggi-do region for two years from 2006 until 2007. As a result, the significant variables enough to explain traffic accident injury severity were analyzed to be the state of road surface, linear shape of an accident spot & whether the damaging car belongs to the vehicle for construction, and whether vehicles have access to a construction site at the time of an accident. Through this, this research found out some fact as follows: first, there need to be more aggressive management of the vehicles for construction and a year-round placement of the manpower who can control vehicular access to a construction site. Second, it is necessary to get drivers to recognize the fact that there exists a construction site on the construction section which is on the border of curved roads in advance to prevent a traffic accident, helping to reduce socioeconomic loss & costs incurred by a traffic accident.

Severity Analysis for Vulnerable Pedestrian Accident Utilizing Vehicle Recorder Database of Taxi (택시 영상DB를 활용한 교통약자 보행자 사고의 심각도 분석)

  • Chung, JaeHoon;Sul, Jaehoon;Choi, SungTaek;Rho, JeongHyun;Lee, Jisun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.98-106
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    • 2014
  • This study proposes severity analysis for pedestrian accidents by improving variables which were used for general severity analysis. The existing variables were collected based on the interviews with policeman or witnesses and evidence of accidents. Therefore, existing variables were subjective and had several measurement errors. In order to improve such problems, this study collected variables from vehicle recorder of taxi which recorded the moment of accidents. As a result, explanatory power of independent variables was enhanced and the complete objective variables could be collected. After collecting variables, ordered probit model was developed by utilizing vehicle recorder database. Fitness of ordered probit model was 0.23. Vehicle speed and pedestrian's eye direction variables were the most critical factors for severity of pedestrian accident. In addition, severity analysis for vulnerable pedestrian was carried out. As a result, it was revealed that vehicle speed, pedestrian's eye direction and safety zone variables affected the severity of pedestrian accidents most. Particularly, vehicle speed variable is the most important factor. Consequently, driver's defensive driving and compliance to the regulations are the priority to reduce severity of pedestrian accidents and prevent pedestrian accident.