• 제목/요약/키워드: Ordered Logit model

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고령자의 비업무통행에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석: 수도권 사례를 중심으로 (A Study on the Factors Concerning Non-Work Trip of the Elderly People : A case of Seoul Metropolitan Area)

  • 한진석;오성호;박종일;김준기
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 2006년 수도권 가구통행실태조사 자료를 활용하여 비업무통행빈도에 대한 고령자의 통행특성을 분석하였다. 분석결과 비업무통행빈도에 대한 고령자의 통행특성은 타 연령층과 상이한 것으로 나타났으며, 분석모형은 특정 변수에 이분산성을 가정한 이분산 서열로짓모형의 설명력이 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 모형추정 결과 고령자는 연령층이 낮을수록, 여성일수록, 운전면허를 가지고 있을수록, 직업 및 가구내 미취학 아동이 없을수록, 그리고 가구내 특정수준 이상의 월평균소득이 있을 경우 비업무통행빈도가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 분석결과에 대한 정책적 시사점으로 모든 고령자에 대하여 획일적인 교통정책을 수립하는 것 보다 고령자의 개인적 특성차이(연령대별 건강상태 등)를 고려한 교통정책이 수립되어야 할 것으로 판단된다.

우리나라의 건강수요 및 의료수요에 대한 분석: Grossman Model을 중심으로 (An Analysis on the Health and the Medical Demand in Korea: Using the Grossman Model)

  • 황용하;사공진
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.332-341
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    • 2019
  • Background: This study analyzes the effects of the individual's health behavior on the health and the medical demand for the management of health and medical expenses. Methods: This study uses the Korea Health Panel Survey data from 2010 to 2015. We utilize the panel ordered logit model and the panel Tobit model with the subjective health status and the medical expenses as the dependent variables. Results: Chronic diseases would cause the deterioration of his or her health and the increase in medical expenses. Smoking and drinking alcohol would deteriorate one's health. The total amount of cigarettes increases medical expenses. Exercises could make people healthier, whereas excessive exercise might increase medical expenses. Private health insurance would increase medical expenses. Conclusion: Since health could reduce the medical expenses, people should promote one's health by changing one's behavior for health.

국내 회사채 신용 등급 예측 모형의 비교 연구 (Comparative study of prediction models for corporate bond rating)

  • 박형권;강준영;허성욱;유동현
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.367-382
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    • 2018
  • 회사채 신용 등급 예측 모형에 대한 연구는 신용 평가 기관이 회사채 신용 등급 평가에 사용될 것이라 예상 되는 여러 재무적 특성 변수들을 기반으로 진행되었으며 선형 회귀 모형(linear regression), 순위 로짓(ordered logit), 순위 프로빗(ordered probit), 서포트 벡터 기계(support vector machine), 랜덤 포레스트(random forest) 등 다양한 모형들을 적용하여 개발되었다. 하지만 기존 연구들에서 고려한 회사채 신용 등급은 연구에 따라 5등급에서 20등급까지 다른 등급 구간을 적용하였으며 분석에 이용된 표본 자료의 기간 및 대상도 상이하여 예측 성능의 공정한 비교에 어려움이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 2013년부터 2017년까지의 회사채 신용 등급 자료와 기존 연구들에서 사용된 재무 지표들을 통합하여 기존에 발표된 예측 모형들을 동일한 자료에 적용하고 예측 성능을 비교하였다. 추가적으로 Elastic-net 벌점화 회귀 모형 및 순위 로짓, 순위 프로빗 모형을 적합하여 LASSO 벌점이 선택됨을 확인하였으며 LASSO 벌점을 고려한 예측 모형이 대응하는 기존의 예측 모형들보다 향상된 성능을 보임을 확인하였다. 본 연구의 수행 결과, 랜덤 포레스트를 이용한 예측 모형이 15등급 기준 검증 자료에서 정확한 등급 예측률이 69.6%로 다른 모형과 비교하여 높은 예측 성능을 나타내었다.

고속도로 주행속도 변화에 영향을 미치는 도로기하구조 특성분석 : 제한속도 상향전후 비교를 중심으로 (Characteristics of Geometric Conditions Affecting Freeway Travel Speed : Focused on Speed Limit Change)

  • 홍성민;오철
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to identify the factors affecting the effectiveness of speed limit change that is defined as the amount of increased travel speed. METHODS : A ordered logit model was adopted to analyze the relationship between the change in travel speed and contributing factors. A stretch of Kyungbu freeway was selected for the analysis because the Korea expressway corporation has raised speed limit from 100km/h to 110km/h since September 1st in 2010. RESULTS : The results showed that geometric design elements, speeding cameras, and section length were identified as factors contributing the effectiveness. Contributing geometric design elements include the number of horizontal curves and vertical curves that do not meet the design requirement with 110km/h speed limit. CONCLUSIONS : The outcome of this study will be used for establishing various traffic operations and control strategies for freeway speed management.

대구 도심의 주거환경만족도와 거주의향 분석 (Analysis of Residential Environment Satisfaction and Residential Preference in Daegu Downtown)

  • 송흥수;임준홍;김한수
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2015
  • As an empirical study on Daegu Downtown showing decentralization phenomenon, the purpose of this study is, based on the residential satisfaction research targeting the Downtown residents, to analyze the residential environment satisfaction and residential preference. Considering the parameters of measurement, we used the Ordered Logit Model and Logistic Regression. The results are as follows: First, the comprehensive residential environment satisfaction is relatively lower than that in 2008 and the residential preference in Downtown is similar to that of the past. Second, among the 7 factors that constitute the Downtown residential environment, the house, the landscape, and the security have a relatively large influence on the comprehensive residential environment satisfaction. Third, the residential environment factors which affect those who are hoping continuous Downtown residence are the safety, the house and the complex.

친환경농산물 신뢰제고에 따른 소비의향분석 (Impact of Reliability on Consumers' Demand for Environmentally Friendly Agricultural Products)

  • 김충실;이상호
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2008
  • This paper examines the impact of reliability on consumers' demand for environmentally friendly agricultural products using ordered logit model. We survey 100 housewives living in the capital region and five metropolitian cities cross sectional data in 2007. This paper especially estimates the impact of instrumental factor, such as history tracking system, provision of information, safety assurance and labelling of brands on the consumers' demand. The main results show that provision of information and safety assurance affect consumers' demand more confident than others. In order to motivate consumers to buy more environmentally friendly agricultural products, the safety should be assured and more information on production and marketing channel should be labelled.

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기상·기후 정보 활용이 농가 소득에 미치는 효과 분석 (Effects of Utilizing of Weather and Climate Information on Farmer's Income)

  • 정학균
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.283-291
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of useof weather and climate information on farmer income. To accomplish the objective of the study a farm survey was conducted, whose target respondents were local correspondents and reporters of the Korea Rural Economic Institute. The ordered logit model was employed for empirical analysis on determining whether use of weather and climate information affects farmer income. The analysis results show that the greater is farmer use of short-range weather forecasts, the higher is the income. The results also show higher farmers income with use of short-range special weather forecasts. Based upon the empirical results, the dissemination of more precise weather and climate information is suggested to increase farmer income.

청년농업인의 영농정착 특성 분석 (Characteristics of Farming Settlement for Young Farmers)

  • 이소영;이민수;김진진
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to examine the characteristics of farming settlement in young farmers. In order to analyze the effect of each characteristic on young farmers' intention for settling into farming, an ordered logit model was employed. As for the individual characteristics affecting their intention for settling into farming, age and the highest education level showed a positive effect, while family-run farming had a negative effect, which was found statistically significant. For the financial characteristics, farm income had a statistically significant positive effect. On the other hand, the social and policy characteristics did not show any statistically significant effect.

고령가구와 비고령가구의 주거만족도 영향요인 비교연구 (A Comparative Study on Factors Affecting Housing Satisfaction of Elderly and Non-Elderly Households)

  • 이동성
    • 도시과학
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the factors affecting the housing satisfaction of elderly households in comparison with non-elderly households, and to present policy implications in terms of housing welfare policies. For this purpose, this study used ordered logit model analysis using '2019 Housing survey data'. As a result of the analysis, in the case of individual/housing characteristics, the analysis results of the non-elderly household model and the elderly household model were similar. However, in the case of regional characteristics, non-elderly households living in the metropolitan area showed higher housing satisfaction than non-elderly households living in the non-metropolitan area, whereas the elderly households living in the metropolitan area had lower housing satisfaction than the elderly households living in the non-metropolitan area. In addition, the satisfaction variable of neighborhood/environmental characteristics that had the greatest impact on the housing satisfaction of non-elderly households was found to be crime prevention status satisfaction, and the satisfaction variable of neighborhood/environmental characteristics that had the greatest impact on the housing satisfaction of elderly households was air pollution satisfaction. The results of the analysis can be used as various reference materials when establishing housing welfare policies for elderly households.

간선도로 기능별 보행사고 심각도 분석과 모형 개발 (Pedestrian Accident Severity Analysis and Modeling by Arterial Road Function)

  • 백태헌;박민규;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES: The purposes are to analyze the pedestrian accident severity and to develop the accident models by arterial road function. METHODS: To analyze the accident, count data and ordered logit models are utilized in this study. In pursuing the above, this study uses pedestrian accident data from 2007 to 2011 in Cheongju. RESULTS : The main results are as follows. First, daytime, Tue.Wed.Thu., over-speeding, male pedestrian over 65 old are selected as the independent variables to increase pedestrian accident severity. Second, as the accident models of main and minor arterial roads, the negative binomial models are developed, which are analyzed to be statistically significant. Third, such the main variables related to pedestrian accidents as traffic and pedestrian volume, road width, number of exit/entry are adopted in the models. Finally, Such the policy guidelines as the installation of pedestrian fence, speed hump and crosswalks with pedestrian refuge area, designated pedestrian zone, and others are suggested for accident reduction. CONCLUSIONS: This study analyzed the pedestrian accident severity, and developed the negative binomial accident models. The results of this study expected to give some implications to the pedestrian safety improvement in Cheongju.