• Title/Summary/Keyword: Optimal service rate

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Optimal Forecasting for Sales at Convenience Stores in Korea Using a Seasonal ARIMA-Intervention Model (계절형 ARIMA-Intervention 모형을 이용한 한국 편의점 최적 매출예측)

  • Jeong, Dong-Bin
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - During the last two years, convenient stores (CS) are emerging as one of the most fast-growing retail trades in Korea. The goal of this work is to forecast and to analyze sales at CS using ARIMA-Intervention model (IM) and exponential smoothing method (ESM), together with sales at supermarkets in South Korea. Considering that two retail trades above are homogeneous and comparable in size and purchasing items on off-line distribution channel, individual behavior and characteristic can be detected and also relative superiority of future growth can be forecasted. In particular, the rapid growth of sales at CS is regarded as an everlasting external event, or step intervention, so that IM with season variation can be examined. At the same time, Winters ESM can be investigated as an alternative to seasonal ARIMA-IM, on the assumption that the underlying series shows exponentially decreasing weights over time. In case of sales at supermarkets, the marked intervention could not be found over the underlying periods, so that only Winters ESM is considered. Research Design, Data, and Methodology - The dataset of this research is obtained from Korean Statistical Information Service (1/2010~7/2016) and Survey of Service Trend of Korea Statistics Administration. This work is exploited time series analyses such as IM, ESM and model-fitting statistics by using TSPLOT, TSMODEL, EXSMOOTH, ARIMA and MODELFIT procedures in SPSS 23.0. Results - By applying seasonal ARIMA-Intervention model to sales at CS, the steep and persisting increase can be expected over the next one year. On the other hand, we expect the rate of sales growth of supermarkets to be lagging and tied up constantly in the next 2016 year. Conclusions - Based on 2017 one-year sales forecasts for CS and supermarkets, we can yield the useful information for the development of CS and also for all retail trades. Future study is needed to analyze sales of popular items individually such as tobacco, banana milk, soju and so on and to get segmented results. Furthermore, we can expand sales forecasts to other retail trades such as department stores, hypermarkets, non-store retailing, so that comprehensive diagnostics can be delivered in the future.

Bridge Appropriate Maintenance Budget Allocation Considering Safety and Service Life (교량 안전성과 공용년수를 고려한 적정 보수보강 예산 배분)

  • Sun, Jong-Wan;Lee, Huseok;Park, Kyung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.130-137
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    • 2017
  • To maintain traffic safety during the target lifetime of bridges, it is essential to secure an appropriate maintenance budget and allocate that budget appropriately. This paper proposes a reasonable budget allocation system that considers various impact factors to improve the conventional budget allocation method simply considering the bridge scale. The maintenance action rate model and the unit cost model based on the prior maintenance history were developed to allocate appropriately the bridge maintenance budget for the total bridges of the management organization with the target management level. A method to determine the optimal budget allocation ratio for each management subject was proposed and case analysis was conducted using the proposed model. Proper budget allocation was made considering the bridge types, current safety level, and service life as well as the bridge size as an impact factor of the budget allocation of the bridge. The developed method can prevent budget waste and provide a rational basis for budget allocation by implementing the rational budget distribution.

Cell Selection Method using Multi-Criteria Decision Making in Heterogeneous Networks (이종 망에서 퍼지 다기준 의사 결정을 이용한 셀 선정 방법)

  • Lee, Jong-Chan;Park, Sang-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2008
  • It is essential to maintain constant QoS despite of cell overload or erroneous wireless link during transmission because QoS of a multimedia service may be severely degraded by small delay or packet loss. This paper deals with a cell selection method for supporting the QoS of multimedia services over heterogeneous networks. The proposed scheme is based on Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making (FMCDM), in which uncertain parameters such as user system preference, the communication cost and cell load, and the transmission delay are used in the decision process using the aggregation function in fuzzy set theory. In this scheme, errors in the evaluation parameters impose milder changes on the total evaluation value than in binary logics. Simulation is focused on the average delay and packet loss rate, and the simulation results show that our proposed method provides mobile terminals the optimal performance.

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Quality Characteristics of Muffins with Xylitol (자일리톨 첨가 머핀의 품질특성)

  • An, Hye-Lyung;Heo, Soo-Jin;Lee, Kwang-Suck
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2010
  • The principal objective of this study is to develop the optimal recipe for muffins prepared with replacement of sucrose with xylitol. The effect of xylitol on properties of muffins was evaluated in terms of height, volume, weight, specific volume, baking loss rate, crumbScan, colorimeter, sensory evaluation, and staling of muffins during storage days(0, 1, 3, 5 days) was measured by texture analyzer. Hardness of muffins was increased by adding xylitol, significantly during storage. Lightness(L value) of crust was increased significantly as the contents of xylitol increased. According to sensory evaluation, the muffins(control group) without xylitol had highest score in appearance and texture. In flavor, taste and overall acceptance, muffins with 25% of xylitol showed the best result but were not significant between the muffins(control group).

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An ABR Service Traffic Control of Using feedback Control Information and Algorithm (피드백 제어 정보 및 알고리즘을 이용한 ABR 서비스 트래픽제어)

  • 이광옥;최길환;오창윤;배상현
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2002
  • Asynchronous transfer mode (ATM) can be efficiently used to transport packet data services. The switching system will support voice and packet data services simultaneously from end to end applications. To guarantee quality of service (QoS) of the offered services, source rate to send packet data is needed to control the network overload condition. Most existing control algorithms are shown to provide the threshold-based feedback control technique. However, real-time voice calls can be dynamically connected and released during data services in the network. If the feedback control information delays, quality of the serviced voice can be degraded due to a time delay between source and destination in the high speed link, An adaptive algorithm based on the optimal least mean square error technique is presented for the predictive feedback control technique. The algorithm attempts to predict a future buffer size from weight (slope) adaptation of unknown functions, which are used for feedback control. Simulation results are presented, which show the effectiveness of the algorithm.

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Physical Properties and Sensory Evaluation of Muffins with Trehalose (트레할로스를 첨가한 머핀의 물리적 특성 및 관능평가)

  • Heo, Soo-Jin;An, Hye-Lyung;Lee, Kwang-Suck
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2010
  • The principal objective of this study was to develop the optimal recipe for muffins prepared with replacement of sucrose with trehalose. The effects of trehalose on properties and staling of muffins during storage days(0, 1, 3, 5 days) were evaluated in terms of height, volume, weight, specific volume, baking loss rate, crumbscan, colorimeter, texture analyzer and sensory evaluation. Crust thickness of muffins containing trehalose evaluated with crumbscan decreased as the content of trehalose increased. Lightness(L value) of muffins with trehalose increased for the storage days, but muffins without trehalose decreased. yellowness(b value) increased significantly as the trehalose content increased. Hardness value of muffins was reduced by adding trehalose; however, the resilience value of muffins with trehalose increased significantly. Finally, the sensory evaluation revealed that muffins with 25% of trehalose showed the best result in texture, taste and overall preference.

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A Study on the Quality Characteristics of Morning Buns Made from Different Particle Sizes of Goami Powder (입도가 다른 고아미 가루로 만든 모닝빵의 품질 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ah;Lee, Kwang-Suck
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.218-230
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to increase the consumption of rice rich in dietary fiber, Goami, substituted for flour in making morning buns. Goami powder was prepared in different particle sizes by grinding 5 min. 10 min. 15 min. 20 min. To determine the optimal water quantity of Goami powder dough for morning buns, the hardness of the flour and the Goami powder dough was measured. The appropriate water quantity of Goami powder morning buns was set at 119 mL ~ 218 mL. GB4 had the highest fermentation rate after 60 mim. fermentation. The volume index of the flour morning buns was the highest. The flour morning buns and GB4 showed about the same hardness. The L-values of flour morning buns were higher than those of the Goami powder morning buns. In the sensory evaluation, the overall preference was the highest in the flour morning buns. Among the Goami powder morning buns, GB3 and GB4, grinded for 15 min., were the most preferred.

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Efficient Radio Resource Allocation for Cognitive Radio Based Multi-hop Systems (다중 홉 무선 인지 시스템에서 효과적인 무선 자원 할당)

  • Shin, Jung-Chae;Min, Seung-Hwa;Cho, Ho-Shin;Jang, Youn-Seon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.5A
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    • pp.325-338
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a radio resource allocation scheme for a multi-hop relay transmission in cognitive radio (CR) system is proposed to support the employment of relay nodes in IEEE 802.22 standard for wireless regional area network (WRAN). An optimization problem is formulated to maximize the number of serving secondary users (SUs) under system constraints such as time-divided frame structure for multiplexing and a single resource-unit to every relay-hop. However, due to mathematical complexity, the optimization problem is solved with a sub-optimal manner instead, which takes three steps in the order of user selection, relay/path selection, and frequency selection. In the numerical analysis, this proposed solution is evaluated in terms of service rate denoting as the ratio of the number of serving SUs to the number of service-requesting SUs. Simulation results show the condition of adopting multi-hop relay and the optimum number of relaying hops by comparing with the performance of 1-hop system.

Game-Based Content Caching and Data Sponsor Scheme for the Content Network (콘텐츠 네트워크 환경에서 게임이론을 이용한 콘텐츠 캐싱 및 데이터 스폰서 기법)

  • Won, JoongSeop;Kim, SungWook
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2019
  • Recently, as the types of services that can be enjoyed in mobile telecommunication networks such as social networks and video streaming are increasing, mobile users(MUs) can access mobile contents easily by consuming mobile data. However, under a mobile telecommunication environment, MUs have to pay a high data fee to a network service provider(SP) in order to enjoy contents. The 'data sponsor' technique, introduced as a way to solve this problem, has attracted attention as a breakthrough method for enhancing contents accessibility of MUs. In this paper, we propose an algorithm that determines the optimal discount rate through the Stackelberg game in the data sponsor environment. We also propose an algorithm to design edge caching, which caches highly popular content for MUs on edge server, through many-to-many matching game. Simulation results clearly indicate that the profit for CP's content consumption is improved by about 6~11%, and the profit of CP according to the ratio of edge caching is improved by about 12% than the other existing schemes under data sponsor environment.

Determination of cyromazine in commercial insecticides using HPLC-DAD

  • Kim, Young-Wook;Han, Bok Hee;Kang, Young Eun;Rhee, Chae Hong;Seo, Sang-Ji;Kim, Soohee;Jeong, Wooseog;Her, Moon
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Service
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.261-265
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    • 2020
  • Each commercial cyromazine insecticide has different HPLC conditions. The aim of this study was to establish a standardized chromatographic method for the determination of cyromazine in commercial insecticides. The separation was achieved on two C18 columns - Waters® Bondapak C (4×300 nm i.d., 10 ㎛) and X bridge (4.6×250 nm i.d., 5 ㎛) using a mobile phase composed of water/methanol/ethanolamine (76:24:0.1, v/v), with UV detection at wavelengths 230 nm and 254 nm. A total of six commercial cyromazine insecticides were analyzed. In this study, the optimal high-performance liquid chromatography conditions for the analysis of cyromazine were as follows: a mobile phase of water/methanol/ethanolamine (76:24:0.1, v/v) at a flow rate of 1.0 mL/min and a detection wavelength of 230 nm using a X bridge C18 column (4.6×250 nm i.d., 5 ㎛) at a column temperature of 25℃. The calibration curve was linear in the concentration range of 5~50 ㎍/mL, with a correlation coefficient of 0.99995. The cyromazine detection limit was 0.2 ㎍/mL, and the limit of quantification was 0.59 ㎍/mL. The percentage recovery ranged from 99.8% to 101.0% for cyromazine, and the relative standard deviation was not over 2.0%. The cyromazine concentration ranged from 92.7% to 109.4% and was within the acceptable range (90~120%) for the percent of the labeled amount. This method was found to be suitable for determining cyromazine in commercial insecticides.