• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.397-402
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• 2013

In super-tall building construction projects, schedule risk factors which vertically change and are not found in the low and middle-rise building construction influence duration of a project by vertical attribute; and it makes hard to estimate activity or overall duration of a construction project. However, the existing duration estimating methods, that are based on quantity and productivity assuming activities of the same work item have the same risk and duration regardless of operation space, are not able to consider the schedule risk factors which change by the altitude of operation space. Therefore, in order to advance accuracy of duration estimation of super-tall building projects, the degree of changes of these risk factors according to altitude should be analyzed and incorporated into a duration estimating method. This research proposes a simulation model using Monte Carlo method for estimating activity duration incorporating schedule risk factors by weather conditions in a super-tall building. The research process is as follows. Firstly, the schedule risk factors in super-tall building are identified through literature and expert reviews, and occurrence of non-working days at high altitude by weather condition is identified as one of the critical schedule risk factors. Secondly, a calculating method of the vertical distributions of the weather factors such as temperature and wind speed is analyzed through literature reviews. Then, a probability distribution of the weather factors is developed using the weather database of the past decade. Thirdly, a simulation model and algorithms for estimating non-working days and duration of each activity is developed using Monte-Carlo method. Finally, sensitivity analysis and a case study are carried out for the validation of the proposed model.

• 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.115-123
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• 2024

본 연구의 목적은 인공지능과 위험관리라는 2가지 키워드를 통해 어떻게 인공지능 서비스의 장점 활용과 한계요인을 동시에 극복하는데 기여 하고자 한다. 이를 위해 2가지 사례인 (1) 인공지능을 활용한 위험 모니터링 프로세스 제시와 (2) 인공지능 서비스의 개발 및 운영에서 등장하는 한계요인을 최소화하기 위한 운영 툴킷에 대해 소개 하였다. 이 사례 분석을 통해 다음과 같은 시사점이 제안하고자 한다. 첫째, 인공지능 서비스는 우리 삶에 깊숙이 관여하고 있으며 이로 인해 등장하는 한계 요인을 최소화하는 장치가 필요하다. 둘째, 인공지능을 활용한 위험관리 모니터링은 적합하고 신뢰성이 있는 데이터 확보가 우선적으로 고려되어야 한다. 셋째, 인공지능 서비스의 개발과 운영시 등장하는 한계를 극복하기 위해서는 업무 단계별로 위험관리 프로세스를 적용하여 상시 모니터링이 요구된다 라는 것이다. 본 연구는 발전하고 있는 인공지능이 제공하고 한계요인을 최소화 할 수 있는 방안에 대한 연구이며 향후 관련 시장의 성장과 발달에서 위험관리에 대한 연구에 기여 할 수 있다.

• Journal of Chest Surgery
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.235-244
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• 2004

동맥전환술은 대혈관전위증이나 Taussig-Bing 기형의 가장 보편적인 수술법으로 인정되고 있다. 동맥전환술 후 수술사망에 영향을 미치는 위험인자와 함께 관상동맥 이식 수기변형의 유효성을 알아보고자 하였다. 1994년부터 2002년 7월까지 동맥전환술을 동아대학교 병원에서 한 명의 외과의에 의하여 시행된 85예의 대혈관전위증과 양대혈관 우심실기시증 환아를 대상으로 후향적 조사를 하였다. 관상동맥이식 수기변형 등 수술(병원)사망에 관여한다고 생각하는 여러 인자들을 다변량 회귀분석을 통해 수술사망에 미치는 위험인자들을 파악하였다. 전체 수술사망(병원사망)은 모두 17예(20%)였으며 수술사망률이 98년 이전은 31.0% (13/42), 98년 이후는 9.3% (4/43)로 감소하였다. 대동맥궁 기형을 동반하지 않은 경우는 전체 사망률이 12.5% (9/72)였으나 동반된 경우는 61.5% (8/13)로 높은 사망률을 보였다. 관상동맥이식 수기변형을 하지 않은 경우 사망률은 28.1%(18/64)를 보인 반면 관상동맥이식 수기변형을 한 경우는 4.8% (1/21)로 많은 사망률의 감소가 관찰되었다. 다변량 회귀분석에서 심폐기가동시간($\geq$ 250분), 대동맥차단시간($\geq$ 150분), 대동맥궁기형이 동반된 경우, 수술 전 사건(event)이 있었던 경우, 개방 관상동맥 이식술(open coronary reimplantation technique)이 수술사망의 위험인자로 파악되었다. 동맥전환술의 수술사망률은 수술시기가 경과함에 따라 감소하였으며, 대동맥궁 기형의 동반과 술 전 사건(event)이 수술사망의 중요 위험인자였다. 비전형적 관상동맥 형태는 수술사망의 위험요소가 아니었으며 관상동맥 이식의 수기변형이 수술사망을 낮추는 데 매우 유효하였던 것으로 생각된다.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1419-1424
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• 2004

Railway safety is based on a risk analysis and safety assessment for the whole railway system as human, train, electric, signaling, operation, maintenance and etc. Therefore in this study, after investigating the accidents happened in electric railway on Choongang line for 5 years, from '97 to '01, a Data-Base was made through a cause and result analysis. In consideration of economic loss and human resources damage, a risk assessment for electric railway was also performed.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권8호
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• pp.497-502
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• 2021

This study aims to investigate the determinants of default risk of rural banks in East Java, Indonesia. The method used is descriptive verification and logistic regression analysis. The data used is secondary in the form of monthly annual financial reports of rural banks in East Java during the period 2009-2018. From the results, it was shown that net interest margin (NIM) as a proxy of market risk, non-performing loan (NPL) as a proxy of credit risk, operation efficiency as a proxy of operational risk and return on assets (ROA) as a proxy of profitability have a significant influence on default risk. Meanwhile, the loan to deposit (LDR) ratio as a proxy of liquidity risk has no significant influence on default risk. Banks need to implement risk management and meet the capital adequacy requirements of regulators so that they are resistant to risk, and also, compliant with bank governance to be able to produce high returns for rural banks have an impact on sustainability and its existence. The ability to identify setbacks in bank conditions and the ability to distinguish between healthy and problematic banks will enable to anticipate default banks.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제49권2호
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• pp.286-294
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• 2017

The events at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station in March 2011 point out, among other matters, that concurrent accidents at multiple units of a site can occur in reality. Although site risk has been deterministically considered to some extent in nuclear power plant siting and design, potential occurrence of multi-unit accident sequences at a site was not investigated in sufficient detail thus far in the nuclear power community. Therefore, there is considerable worldwide interest and research effort directed toward multi-unit site risk assessment, especially in the countries with high-density nuclear-power-plant sites such as Korea. As the technique of probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has been successfully applied to evaluate the risk associated with operation of nuclear power plants in the past several decades, the PSA having primarily focused on single-unit risks is now being extended to the multi-unit PSA. In this paper we first characterize the site risk with explicit consideration of the risk associated with spent fuel pools as well as the reactor risks. The status of multi-unit risk assessment is discussed next, followed by a description of the emerging issues relevant to the multi-unit risk evaluation from a practical standpoint.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2021년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.291-292
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• 2021

In modular construction, it is insufficient for safety management of workers, and workers are still exposed to the risk of accidents due to work at high places for lifting and assembly work in modular construction sites. Therefore, it is necessary when preventive safety management through risk management of workers on modular construction sites. This study is a basic study for the risk assessment(checklist) of modular construction, and the purpose of this study is to analyze the risk factors of the module lifting work at the modular construction site. It is intended to identify the hazard risk factors and improvement measures of the existing lifting operation, by analyzing the case of the risk assessment of the existing RC method, and to identify the risk factors for each work process when lifting the module. In the future, the results of this study are expected to be utilized in the development of checklists for risk assessment as safety management plan for modular construction sites.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.107-125
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• 2007

With the rapidly increasing of Korean enterprises, the importance of foreign exchange(FX) risk management for the future operation generated from FDI contract is becoming the critical problem of international business. This type of FX risk, called as "economic exposure risk", requires us of the unique risk management principles and techniques. In this paper, we identify the properties of economic exchange rate exposure, analyze the identification and measurement processes of risk sources and strength, and perform the estimation of the main determinants and its profile effects of the invoicing currency for the efficient management of economic FX exposure.

• 한국화재소방학회논문지
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.11-19
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• 1997

본 논문은 도시지역에있어 위해 활동주변에 위치한 일반대중에 미치는 위험성의 계량 방법을검토했 다. 이 연구는 대다수의 인구와 관련된 사회적 위험성에대한 산출, 표현 그리고 해석에 대하여 중점적 으로 다루었으며, 또한 각기 다른 인구밀도와 배경을 가진 각국의 위험성 범주를 비교했다. 결론적으로 사회적 위험성 범주는 위험에 노출될 수 있는 대상 인구에 대하여 보다 광범위한 적용을 권장한다.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.121-126
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• 2007

Evaluation of collision risk plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This paper presents a new collision risk model formula that is one modification model on the basis of one approach to the evaluation of collision risk using sech function produced in earlier studies. And as a tool of the evaluation field of ship collision, this paper applied the new model in appraising the collision risk and represented how to decide the safe range of own ship's action. Moreover this paper also analyzed theoretically how to determine the coefficients as described in the new modification model, and suggested the appropriate values as applicable.