• Title/Summary/Keyword: Operating rule curve

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Development of Multi-Reservoir System Operation Rule Curves for Hydropower Maximization in the Nam Ngum River Basin of Lao PDR (라오스 남능강 유역 다중 저수지 시스템의 최적 수력발전 운영규정 곡선 개발)

  • Lee, Hyun-Jae;Jang, Woong-Chul;Lee, Il-Ju;Lee, Jin-Hee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.803-814
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    • 2022
  • The Lao government is continuously developing hydro-power dams in addition to the existing eight power plants in the Nam Ngum River basin and is expanding the power capacity of the existing power plants to meet the expected increase in electricity demand. Accordingly, the Lao government has requested an update on the existing reservoir operating rule curve in order to run the power plants efficiently. To this end, this study reviewed the current independent operating system as well as the joint operating system in order to maximize the annual power generation produced by a power plant by using CSUDP, general-purpose dynamic programming (DP) software. The appropriate operating regulation curve forms (URC/LRC, MRC) were extracted from the DP results, and the annual power generations were simulated by inputting them as the basic operating data of the reservoir operation set of the HEC-ResSim program. By synthesizing the amount of the annual power generation simulated, the existing operation regulation curve, the operational performance, and the opinion of the field operator, the optimal reservoir operation regulation curves that maximize the annual power generation of the target power plant were developed. Results revealed that a system operating in conjunction with the reservoir produces about 2.5 % more power generation than an independent reservoir due to the synergistic effect of the connection.

Selection of markers in the framework of multivariate receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in binary classification

  • Sameera, G;Vishnu, Vardhan R
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.79-89
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    • 2019
  • Classification models pertaining to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis have been extended from univariate to multivariate setup by linearly combining available multiple markers. One such classification model is the multivariate ROC curve analysis. However, not all markers contribute in a real scenario and may mask the contribution of other markers in classifying the individuals/objects. This paper addresses this issue by developing an algorithm that helps in identifying the important markers that are significant and true contributors. The proposed variable selection framework is supported by real datasets and a simulation study, it is shown to provide insight about the individual marker's significance in providing a classifier rule/linear combination with good extent of classification.

Development of Operating Rule Curve for Multipurpose Water Supply in Heightened Agricultural Reservoir (농업용 둑높임저수지의 다중 용수공급을 위한 이수운영기준곡선 개발)

  • Park, Jong-Yoon;Jung, In-Kyun;Lee, Kwang-Ya;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1389-1400
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    • 2013
  • This study developed an operating rule curve (ORC) for multipurpose water supply (irrigation and environmental water) in heightened agricultural reservoir. Among the 20 reservoirs in improvement project of agricultural reservoir dam heightening, the 4 representative reservoirs (Ungyang, Gungchon, Yongam and Unam) were selected for the study according to the analysis of statistical characteristics. Available environmental water supply amounts during irrigation and non-irrigation periods, which is the range from release restricted water level to high water level were estimated by water balance analysis using reservoir operation model. Reliability, resiliency and vulnerability criteria for water system performance were used to assess the multiple water supply capacity. The ORC was presented as the percentile rank for the daily reservoir water level from the results of reservoir operation using the past couple of decades weather data. The water levels for each percentile were divided into 3 buffer sections representing drought (5~25%), normal (25~75%), and flood (75~95%) year to operate the heightened agricultural reservoir with ORC.

An RNN-based Fault Detection Scheme for Digital Sensor (RNN 기반 디지털 센서의 Rising time과 Falling time 고장 검출 기법)

  • Lee, Gyu-Hyung;Lee, Young-Doo;Koo, In-Soo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2019
  • As the fourth industrial revolution is emerging, many companies are increasingly interested in smart factories and the importance of sensors is being emphasized. In the case that sensors for collecting sensing data fail, the plant could not be optimized and further it could not be operated properly, which may incur a financial loss. For this purpose, it is necessary to diagnose the status of sensors to prevent sensor' fault. In the paper, we propose a scheme to diagnose digital-sensor' fault by analyzing the rising time and falling time of digital sensors through the LSTM(Long Short Term Memory) of Deep Learning RNN algorithm. Experimental results of the proposed scheme are compared with those of rule-based fault diagnosis algorithm in terms of AUC(Area Under the Curve) of accuracy and ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristic) curve. Experimental results show that the proposed system has better and more stable performance than the rule-based fault diagnosis algorithm.

Analysis of Operation Plan by Multipurpose Supply for Heightened Agricultural Reservoir (둑높임저수지 다중용수공급에 따른 운영 방안 분석)

  • Kim, Hae Do;Lee, Kwang Ya;Park, Jong Yoon;Han, Guk Heon;Lim, Heung Chang
    • KCID journal
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2012
  • The aim of this study was to analyze the operation plan for heightened agricultural reservoir, in terms of water supply to downstream paddy fields and instreams. Operation of agricultural reservoir before the heightened reservoir project is easy to manage because of its single purpose, which is irrigation water supply. However, after proceeding the heightened project, there is needed to be set the operation rule because of its multiple purpose, which is water for irrigation and supply to the stream. In this paper, propose the method of design the criteria of supply to the stream and operation rule curve for the heightened reservoir. According to simulation results by proposed operating rule for the Gumsa reservoir, the yearly amount of water supply to the stream can be 2,588 thousand $m^3$, 3 times of the heightened space (2,588 thousand $m^3$).

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Evaluating Future Stream Flow by Operation of Agricultural Reservoir Group considering the RCP 8.5 Climate Change Scenario (RCP 8.5 기후변화 시나리오를 고려한 농업용 저수지군 운영에 따른 미래 하천유량 평가)

  • Lee, Jaenam;Noh, Jaekyoung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to evaluate future stream flow by the operation of agricultural reservoir group at the upper stream of the Miho River. Four agricultural reservoirs with storage capacities greater than one million cubic meters within the watershed were selected, and the RCP 8.5 climate change scenario was applied to simulate reservoir water storage and stream flow assuming that there are no changes in greenhouse gas reduction. Reservoir operation scenarios were classified into four types depending on the supply of instream flow, and the water supply reliability of each reservoir in terms of water supply under different reservoir operation scenarios was analyzed. In addition, flow duration at the watershed outlet was evaluated. The results showed that the overall run-off ratio of the upper stream watershed of the Miho River will decrease in the future. The future water supply reliability of the reservoirs decreased even when they did not supply instream flow during their operation. It would also be difficult to supply instream flow during non-irrigation periods or throughout the year (January-December); however, operating the reservoir based on the operating rule curve should improve the water supply reliability. In particular, when instream flow was not supplied, high flow increased, and when it was supplied, abundant flow, ordinary flow, and low flow increased. Drought flow increased when instream flow was supplied throughout the year. Therefore, the operation of the agricultural reservoirs in accordance with the operating rule curve is expected to increase stream flow by controlling the water supply to cope with climate change.

Application of Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curves for Clinical Diagnostic Tests (임상진단 검사에서 ROC 곡선의 응용)

  • Pak, Son-Il;Koo, Hee-Seung;Hwang, Cheol-Yong;Youn, Hwa-Young
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.312-315
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    • 2002
  • Diagnostic tests often require the determination of cut-off values that discriminate uninfected from infected individuals. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve has been frequently used to attain this purpose and gives a representation of diagnostic accuracy (sensitivity and specificity) of a prediction model when varying the cut-point of a decision rule on a whole spectrum. We have written and tested a visual basic application program in EXCEL for maximum likelihood estimation of a binormal ROC curve, which also computes univariate statistics of a diagnostic test employed. Examples applying for computed tomographic images in radiology and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus research are given to illustrate this approach. This stand-alone module is available from the first author on request.

A STUDY ON THE FATIGUE LIFE PREDICTION OF GUIDEWAY VEHICLE COMPONENTS (안내궤도 차량 부품의 피로 수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Soo-Ho;Park, Tae-Won;Yoon, Ji-Won;Jeon, Yong-Ho;Jung, Sung-Pil;Park, Joong-kyung
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.997-1002
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    • 2007
  • A guideway vehicle is used in automobile, semiconductor and LCD manufacturing industries to transport products efficiently. Since the operating speed of the guideway vehicle should be increased for maximum productivity, the weight of the vehicle has to be reduced. This may cause parts in the system to fail before the life of the system. Therefore estimation of the fatigue life of the parts becomes an important problem. In this study, the fatigue life of the driving wheel in the guideway vehicle is estimated using a S-N curve. To obtain the fatigue life of a part, the S-N curve, load time history applied on a driving wheel and material property are required. The S-N curve of the driving wheel is obtained using the fatigue experiment on wheels. Load time history of the wheel is obtained from multibody dynamics analysis. To obtain the material properties of the driving wheel, which is composed of aluminum with urethane coating, a compression hardware testing has been done with the static analysis of the FE model. The fatigue life prediction using computational analysis model guarantees the safety of the vehicle at the design stage of the product.

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Securing Inflows to Reservoir with Low Ratio of Watershed to Paddy Field Areas by Operating Outside Diversion Weir (유역외 보의 연계운영에 의한 유역배율이 작은 저수지의 유입량 확보 가능성)

  • Noh, Jae-Kyoung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2011
  • This study was performed to ascertain the possibility of securing inflows to reservoir with low ratio of watershed to paddy field areas by outside diversion weir. The case of Maengdong reservoir and Samryong diversion weir was selected. Most of inflows to Maengdong reservoir with watershed area of $7.06\;km^2$ and total storage capacity of $1,269{\times}10^4\;m^3$ are filled with intake water from outside Samryong diversion weir. Only using water storage data in Maengdong reservoir from 1991 to 2009, the range of water intake in Samryong diversion weir to Maengdong reservoir was optimized to 0.135~30 mm/d, from which water intake to Maengdong reservoir was $1,672.9{\times}10^4\;m^3$ (70.1 %) and downstream outflow to Weonnam reservoir was $714.4{\times}10^4\;m^3$ (29.9 %). The parameters of DAWAST model for reservoir inflow were determined to UMAX of 313.8 mm, LMAX 20.3 mm, FC 136.8 mm, CP 0.018, and CE 0.007. Inflows to Maengdong reservoir were $427.1{\times}10^4\;m^3$ (20.3 %) from inside watershed, and $1,672.9{\times}10^4\;m^3$ (79.7 %) from outside. Paddy irrigation water requirements were estimated to $1,549{\times}10^4\;m^3$ on annual average. Operation rule curve was drawn by using daily inflow and irrigation requirement data. By securing the amount of inflow to Maengdong reservoir to about 80 % from outside Samryong diversion weir, water supply capacity for irrigation of $1,549{\times}10^4\;m^3/yr$ was analyzed to be enough. Additional water supplies for instream flow were analyzed to $1,412\;m^3/d$ in normal reservoir operation, $36,000\;m^3/d$ in withdrawal limit operation by operation rule curve from October to March of non irrigation period.

Fatigue Analysis of Reduction Gears Unit in Rolling Stock Considering Operating Characteristics (운행특성을 고려한 철도차량 감속기의 피로해석)

  • Kim, Chul-Su;Kang, Gil-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1085-1090
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    • 2011
  • To assure the safety of rolling stock, it is important to perform the fatigue analysis of reduction gear unit in rolling stock considering a variation of velocity and traction motor capability. This paper presents fatigue analysis of the damage of reduction gear unit of railway vehicle under variable amplitude loading(VAL) based on quasi-static fatigue analysis using finite element model and linear Miner's rule. The VAL for the simulation was constructed from the tractive effort curve and train run curves of railway vehicle under commercial operation condition using MSC.ADAMS dynamic analysis. The finite element model for evaluating the carburizing effect on the gear surface was used for predicting the fatigue life of the middle gear based on strain-life based approach. The results showed that the frequent high starting torque due to a quick start as well as increasing numbers of stops at station would decrease the fatigue life of reduction gear unit.