• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ohlson model

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A Comparative Analysis of Artificial Intelligence System and Ohlson model for IPO firm's Stock Price Evaluation (신규상장기업의 주가예측에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Yong;Lee, Gyeong-Rak;Lee, Seong-Weon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.145-158
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    • 2013
  • I estimate stock prices of listed companies using financial information and Ohlson model, which is used for the evaluation of company value. Furthermore, I use the artificial neural network, one of artificial intelligence systems, which are not based on linear relationship between variables, to estimate stock prices of listed companies. By reapplying this in estimating stock prices of newly listed companies, I evaluate the appropriateness in stock valuation with such methods. The result of practical analysis of this study is as follows. On the top of that, the multiplier for the actual stock price is accounted by generating the estimated stock prices based on the artificial neural network model. As a result of the comparison of two multipliers, the estimated stock prices by the artificial neural network model does not show statistically difference with the actual stock prices. Given that, the estimated stock price with artificial neural network is close to the actual stock prices rather than the estimated stock prices with Ohlson model.

The Optimal Determination of the "Other Information" Variable in Ohlson 1995 Valuation Model

  • Bolor BUREN;Altan-Erdene BATBAYAR;Khishigbayar LKHAGVASUREN
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study delves into the application of the Ohlson 1995 valuation model, particularly addressing the intricacies of the "Other information" variable. Our goal is to pinpoint the most suitable variables for substitution within this category, focusing specifically on the Mongolian Stock Exchange (MSE) context. Research design, data, and methodology: Employing data spanning from 2012 to 2022 from 60 MSE-listed companies, we conduct a comprehensive analysis encompassing both financial and non-financial indicators. Through meticulous examination, we aim to identify which variables effectively substitute for the "Other information" component of the Ohlson model. Results: Our findings reveal significant outcomes. While all financial variables within the model exhibit importance, certain non-financial indicators, notably the company's level and state ownership participation, emerge as particularly influential in determining stock prices on the MSE. Conclusions: This study not only contributes to a deeper understanding of valuation dynamics within the MSE but also provides actionable insights for future research endeavors. By refining key variables within the Ohlson model, this research enhances the accuracy and efficacy of financial analysis practices. Moreover, the implications extend to practitioners, offering valuable insights into the determinants of stock prices in the MSE and guiding strategic decision-making processes.

A Study on the Effects of Entry Barriers for the Stock Prices of Venture Businesses. (진입 장벽이 벤처기업 주가에 미치는 영향)

  • Oh Sung-Bae;Kim Dong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.384-390
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to test empirically the effects of Entry Barriers for the stock prices of Venture Business using the Ohlson Model which is modifying and extending in terms of growth and the potential growth energy. Because the traditional Ohlson model(1995) on which the firm's value is determined only based on abnormal earnings and book value have numerous limitations when we evaluate the value of venture Businesses with high technology and new emerging market. In order to overcome these limitations, We can introduce items of net sales growth ratios and industrial property-to-net asset ratios into as proxy variables of the growth and potential growth energy. In the process of analyzing these research tests, we have set three kinds of hypotheses and tested then empirically compared with KOSDAQ ordinary listing business and KOSDAQ venture businesses between long-term analysis and short-term analysis. According to the degree of concentration reflecting HHI index, our empirical research were performed in depth. Therefore, the results of this study show us that all three kinds of Hypotheses are accepted.

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Return Premium of Financial Distress and Negative Book Value: Emerging Market Case

  • KAKINUMA, Yosuke
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine a financial distress premium in the emerging market. A risk-return trade-off of negative book equity (NBE) and distress firms is empirically analyzed using data from the Stock Exchange of Thailand. This research employs Ohlson's (1980) bankruptcy model as a measurement of distress risk. The results indicate that distress firms outperform solvent firms in the Thai market and deny distress anomaly often found in the developed market. Fama-Frech (1993) three-factor model and Carhart (1997) four-factor model verify the existence of a distress premium in the Thai capital market. Risk-seeking investors demand greater compensation for bearing risks of distress firms' going concern. This paper provides fresh evidence that default risk is a significant explanatory factor in pricing stocks in the emerging market. Also, this study sheds light on the role of NBE firms in asset pricing. Most studies eliminate NBE firms from their sample. However, NBE firms yield superior average cross-sectional returns, albeit with higher volatility. Investors are rewarded with distress risks associated with NBE firms. The outperformance of NBE firms is statistically significant when compared to the overall market. The NBE premium disappears when factoring size, value, and momentum in time-series analysis.

The Effects of Sustainable Tax Strategies on Value Relevance (조세전략의 지속가능성이 회계정보의 가치관련성에 미치는 영향)

  • Ma, Hee-Young
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2018
  • This study verifies whether the sustainable tax strategy provides unique information on earnings persistence and brings about the difference of value relevance of accounting information. Sustainability is measured by the 5-year coefficient of variation in cash ETR, such as in McGuire et al.(2013), which measures variability in long-term performance of tax avoidance. The value relevance of accounting information in this study is modified by the Ohlson model(1995), which explains the value of the firm by using accounting information such as net assets and net income and other non-accounting information. The samples of this study are the firms listed on the securities market from 2004 to 2015 and the final samples are 3,133 firm-year. The results of this empirical analysis show that the value relevance of accounting information increases as firms have long-term and sustainable tax strategies. Most of the prior studies on tax strategies have examined the tax minimization strategy that minimizes the tax cost. However, this study is different in that the sustainability of the tax strategy affects the value relevance of accounting information. The results of this study will be useful for the users to make decision using the value relevance of accounting information.

Value Relevance of Accounting Information in KOSDAQ (코스닥시장에서 회계정보의 매매관련성에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Sung-Yong;Park, Jong-Hyuk;Lee, Ho-Seoub
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.25
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    • pp.203-222
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    • 2008
  • This thesis examines whether accounting information-earnings and book values-has the value relevance in the KOSDAQ. The study is motivated by previous studies which have examined the value relevance of accounting information. Prior researches have focused on KSE(Korea Stock Exchange). But, prior researches have not examined the value relevance of accounting information in KOSDAQ. So, this study examined the value relevance of accounting information which is disclosed by firms on KOSDAQ and whether accounting information between firms on KOSDAQ and KSE has the discriminative value relevance, underlying the expectation that KOSDAQ firms will have higher future profitability than KSE firms. In other words, book-value multiples of KOSDAQ firms is higher than book-value multiples of KSE firms and earnings multiples of KOSDAQ firms is lower than earnings multiples of KSE firms. The value relevance of accounting information is examined by a valuation framework presented by Ohlson(1995), which expresses the stock-price as a function of both earnings and book values of equity. The results indicate that accounting information of KOSDAQ has significant explanatory power for stock price over the 2005-2007 period. KOSDAQ firm are divided by Venture firms and Small to Mid size firms. KOSDAQ Venture firms have the discriminative value relevance, compared with KSE firms. But, KOSDAQ Small to Mid size firms have not the discriminative value relevance, compared with KSE firms.

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The Relationship between the Key Audit Matters and Value Relevance of Accounting Information in the Financial Industry (금융업 핵심감사사항과 회계정보 가치관련성의 관계)

  • Ma, Hee-Young;Kim, Eun-Hae
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.123-136
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study is to verify the impact of the documentation of key audit matters on the value relevance of accounting information in accordance with the revised accounting audit standards in 2017. Investors will be able to identify the company's significant financial risks through key audit matters and use them to make investment decisions. Design/methodology/approach - From 2011 to 2019, the final sample is 290, based on the December settlement of accounts listed on the securities market. Ohlson (1995) was used to verify the incremental link between net income and the book value as a determinant of corporate value. Findings - First, the key audit matters in the financial industry was found to have a negative (-) effect that was significant to the value relevance of accounting Information. In addition, the value of the interaction between the key audit matters and the net income is a significant (+) relationship with the share price and the value of the interaction between the key audit matters and the book value is a significant (-) relationship with the share price. This means that the key audit matters is the determining factor of corporate value, positively reflects the accounting information in net income and negatively reflects the accounting information in book value. Second, among the key audit matters, the fair value assessment of financial instruments and the adequacy of premiums reserve have a significant impact on the value relevance of accounting information. Research implications or Originality - The results of this study suggest that investors recognize key audit matters as information about the company's major financial risks and reflect them differently in the value relevance of accounting information.

Value Relevance of Development Cost in IT Firms of KOSDAQ (코스닥 IT기업의 개발비의 가치관련성)

  • Kym, Moon-Hyun
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to test the valur relevance of development cost particularly focusing on IT firms of KOSDAQ. Test period is from 2005 to 2007 and the samples are 2,271 year-firms including 1,692 firms that reported development cost in financial statements. The basic test model is a modified Ohlson(1995)'s linear model. The empirical results show that there is the negative relation between stock price and development cost reported as asset. It means that development costs reported as asset is considered as expense in the market. It implies that development activities of KOSDAQ IT firms is not related to market-leading technologies or goods. Otherwise it might reflect the conservative valuation of market on the unstability of KOSDAQ market itself.

The Effect on Firm's Performance of Employee Stock Option (종업원의 주식보상시스템이 기업성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Jong-Hyuk
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.71-97
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    • 2009
  • In this study, I compare the ability of alternative accounting method for employee stock option to reflect firm value using the Ohlson's(1995) valuation model for 200 firms. The each methods, I compare are employee stock option expense recognition based on the K-GAAP disclosures, and asset recognition at the grant date based on the SFAS No. 123 Exposure Draft: Accounting for stock-based compensation. The model include: (1) a model that uses reported earnings, equity book value, and compensation expense based on the K-GAAP disclosures; (2) a model that uses pro-forma earnings, equity book value and adds a measure of the unrecognized asset arising form granting of employee stock options. Finding form estimating equations that the K-GAAP method for calculating compensation has no explanatory power, and the SFAS No.123 Draft Exposure method for arising asset and fair value compensation better captures than market's perception of the economic impact of stock options on firm values. However, the correlation of employee stock option compensation expense is positive. These results suggest that incentive benefits derived from employee stock option plans outweigh the cost associated with plan. In addition, I couldn't find evidence that company in KOSDAQ that have high growth potential benefit more from employee stock option plan compared to lager, more mature firm in SEC.

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The Effects of Other Comprehensive Income Items on Firm Value of Insurance Companies (보험회사의 기타포괄손익항목이 기업가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyun-Joo;Park, Gu-Yong;Park, Sang-Seob
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.203-217
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to verify the effects of unrealized gain or loss, that is the fair value evaluation item of insurance company's assets and liabilities, to capital markets focusing on fair value evaluation of insurance company's liabilities, which is the core of IFRS 17 that will be implemented in 2021. For this purpose we carried out regression analysis to verify the effects of changed other comprehensive income(OCI) and accumulated OCI, published in quarterly financial statements of listed insurance companies, on stock price utilizing Ohlson(1995)'s extended test model. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, changed OCI showed a significant negative(-) effects on stock price. Second, accumulated OCI revealed a significant positive(+) effects on stock price. Furthermore, extended test model classifying changed OCI and accumulated OCI in a basic model represented the highest $R^2$ number and public announcement policy of OCI, a kind of unrealized gain or loss item, implied that it could give positive impact on accounting information. But still the direction that unrealized gain or loss affects on firm value must be carefully reviewed and considered in the future via more detailed study by the user of information. Therefore this study is meaningful in that it can predict usefulness of information on insurance company's fair value evaluation via empirical test accompanied by introduction of newly established IFRS 17 and it also can suggest direction of information production suitable for capital market.

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