• Title/Summary/Keyword: Observation-error model

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Mesh size refining for a simulation of flow around a generic train model

  • Ishak, Izuan Amin;Alia, Mohamed Sukri Mat;Salim, Sheikh Ahmad Zaki Shaikh
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.223-247
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    • 2017
  • By using numerical simulation, vast and detailed information and observation of the physics of flow over a train model can be obtained. However, the accuracy of the numerical results is questionable as it is affected by grid convergence error. This paper describes a systematic method of computational grid refinement for the Unsteady Reynolds Navier-Stokes (URANS) of flow around a generic model of trains using the OpenFOAM software. The sensitivity of the computed flow field on different mesh resolutions is investigated in this paper. This involves solutions on three different grid refinements, namely fine, medium, and coarse grids to investigate the effect of grid dependency. The level of grid independence is evaluated using a form of Richardson extrapolation and Grid Convergence Index (GCI). This is done by comparing the GCI results of various parameters between different levels of mesh resolutions. In this study, monotonic convergence criteria were achieved, indicating that the grid convergence error was progressively reduced. The fine grid resolution's GCI value was less than 1%. The results from a simulation of the finest grid resolution, which includes pressure coefficient, drag coefficient and flow visualization, are presented and compared to previous available data.

Advanced Forecasting Approach to Improve Uncertainty of Solar Irradiance Associated with Aerosol Direct Effects

  • Kim, Dong Hyeok;Yoo, Jung Woo;Lee, Hwa Woon;Park, Soon Young;Kim, Hyun Goo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.26 no.10
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    • pp.1167-1180
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    • 2017
  • Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models such as the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are essential for forecasting one-day-ahead solar irradiance. In order to evaluate the performance of the WRF in forecasting solar irradiance over the Korean Peninsula, we compared WRF prediction data from 2008 to 2010 corresponding to weather observation data (OBS) from the Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA). The WRF model showed poor performance at polluted regions such as Seoul and Suwon where the relative Root Mean Square Error (rRMSE) is over 30%. Predictions by the WRF model alone had a large amount of potential error because of the lack of actual aerosol radiative feedbacks. For the purpose of reducing this error induced by atmospheric particles, i.e., aerosols, the WRF model was coupled with the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model. The coupled system makes it possible to estimate the radiative feedbacks of aerosols on the solar irradiance. As a result, the solar irradiance estimated by the coupled system showed a strong dependence on both the aerosol spatial distributions and the associated optical properties. In the NF (No Feedback) case, which refers to the WRF-only stimulated system without aerosol feedbacks, the GHI was overestimated by $50-200W\;m^{-2}$ compared with OBS derived values at each site. In the YF (Yes Feedback) case, in contrast, which refers to the WRF-CMAQ two-way coupled system, the rRMSE was significantly improved by 3.1-3.7% at Suwon and Seoul where the Particulate Matter (PM) concentrations, specifically, those related to the $PM_{10}$ size fraction, were over $100{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$. Thus, the coupled system showed promise for acquiring more accurate solar irradiance forecasts.

A hybrid model of regional path loss of wireless signals through the wall

  • Xi, Guangyong;Lin, Shizhen;Zou, Dongyao
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.3194-3210
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    • 2022
  • Wall obstruction is the main factor leading to the non-line of sight (NLoS) error of indoor localization based on received signal strength indicator (RSSI). Modeling and correcting the path loss of the signals through the wall will improve the accuracy of RSSI localization. Based on electromagnetic wave propagation theory, the reflection and transmission process of wireless signals propagation through the wall is analyzed. The path loss of signals through wall is deduced based on power loss and RSSI definition, and the theoretical model of path loss of signals through wall is proposed. In view of electromagnetic characteristic parameters of the theoretical model usually cannot be accurately obtained, the statistical model of NLoS error caused by the signals through the wall is presented based on the log-distance path loss model to solve the parameters. Combining the statistical model and theoretical model, a hybrid model of path loss of signals through wall is proposed. Based on the empirical values of electromagnetic characteristic parameters of the concrete wall, the effect of each electromagnetic characteristic parameters on path loss is analyzed, and the theoretical model of regional path loss of signals through the wall is established. The statistical model and hybrid model of regional path loss of signals through wall are established by RSSI observation experiments, respectively. The hybrid model can solve the problem of path loss when the material of wall is unknown. The results show that the hybrid model can better express the actual trend of the regional path loss and maintain the pass loss continuity of adjacent areas. The validity of the hybrid model is verified by inverse computation of the RSSI of the extended region, and the calculated RSSI is basically consistent with the measured RSSI. The hybrid model can be used to forecast regional path loss of signals through the wall.

Spacecraft Attitude Determination Study using Predictive Filter (Predictive Filter를 이용한 인공위성 자세결정 연구)

  • Choi , Yoon-Hyuk;Bang, Hyo-Choong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.33 no.11
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    • pp.48-56
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    • 2005
  • Predictive filter theory proposed recently can be characterized by inherent advantages of estimating modelling error and overcoming the disadvantage of the Kalman filter theory. A one-step ahead error is minimized to produce optimized filter performance in the form of the predictive filter. The main advantage of this filter lies in the ability to estimate both state vector and system model error. In this paper, attitude estimation results based upon the predictive filter theory is addressed. Mathematical formulation for estimating bias signal is peformed by using the predictive filter theory, and attitude estimation based upon vector observation is presented. From the results of this study, the potential applicability of the predictive filter is highlighted.

Comparative characteristic of ensemble machine learning and deep learning models for turbidity prediction in a river (딥러닝과 앙상블 머신러닝 모형의 하천 탁도 예측 특성 비교 연구)

  • Park, Jungsu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2021
  • The increased turbidity in rivers during flood events has various effects on water environmental management, including drinking water supply systems. Thus, prediction of turbid water is essential for water environmental management. Recently, various advanced machine learning algorithms have been increasingly used in water environmental management. Ensemble machine learning algorithms such as random forest (RF) and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) are some of the most popular machine learning algorithms used for water environmental management, along with deep learning algorithms such as recurrent neural networks. In this study GBDT, an ensemble machine learning algorithm, and gated recurrent unit (GRU), a recurrent neural networks algorithm, are used for model development to predict turbidity in a river. The observation frequencies of input data used for the model were 2, 4, 8, 24, 48, 120 and 168 h. The root-mean-square error-observations standard deviation ratio (RSR) of GRU and GBDT ranges between 0.182~0.766 and 0.400~0.683, respectively. Both models show similar prediction accuracy with RSR of 0.682 for GRU and 0.683 for GBDT. The GRU shows better prediction accuracy when the observation frequency is relatively short (i.e., 2, 4, and 8 h) where GBDT shows better prediction accuracy when the observation frequency is relatively long (i.e. 48, 120, 160 h). The results suggest that the characteristics of input data should be considered to develop an appropriate model to predict turbidity.

Speed control of IPMSM using the Disturbance Estimator (외란 추정기를 이용한 매입형 영구자석 동기전동기의 속도제어)

  • Jeon, Yong-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.867-872
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    • 2022
  • The effect of load is an important factor in precise speed control of a motor. n this study, we design a state observer that can estimate and define one state of disturbance including errors and nonlinear terms of mathematical models, which is not easy with a mathematical model. Then, the observation gain is set so that the estimation error of the state observation converges to 0, and the estimated state is used in the back stepping controller to design a controller capable of precise speed tracking. As a result of applying to 1 [hw] class Interior Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor, excellent stste variable observation and tracking performance can be confirmed.

The characteristics and compensation of friction of X-Y table (X-Y 테이블의 마찰력 특성 및 보상)

  • Park, Eun-Chan;Im, Hyuk;Choi, Jong-Ho
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.261-261
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    • 2000
  • This paper analyzes the characteristics of pre-sliding friction of an X-Y table of CNC machining center at velocity reversal, and presents a simple and effective method of friction compensation based on this characteristics. At velocity reversal, a large position tracking error occurs because of the discontinuous change of friction. The relationship between the occurrence time of maximum position tracking error and the acceleration at zero velocity is analyzed by using the spring-like friction model. Furthermore, the experimental observation verifies this relation. From this, the state transition tine from pre-sliding regime into sliding regime can be predicted. Using the predicted transition time, the friction can be effectively compensated and table experimental results show its effectiveness.

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Analysis of Seafarers' Behavioral Error on Collision Accidents (충돌사고에 대한 해기사의 행동오류 분석)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.237-242
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    • 2019
  • Behavioral errors of the seafarers are one of the major causes of collisions and are usually corrected through education and training. To correct this behavioral error, the structure in which the behavioral error occurs needs to be identified and analyzed. For this purpose, behavior observation data were obtained through ship maneuvering simulation for collision encounters. The 9-state behavior classification frame proposed by Reason was used for the behavior observation and 50 university students were involved in the experiment. Behavioral analysis used the behavioral model of collision avoidance success and failure, which was developed from the 9-state Left-to-Right Hidden Markov modeling technique. As a result of the experiment, the difference between behaviors of success and failure of collision avoidance was clearly identified, and the linkage between 9-state behaviors, required to prevent collision, was derived.

Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Hydrology and Water Quality using SWAT Model in the Mankyung Watershed (SWAT 모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 만경강 유역에서의 수문 및 수질 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyeon;Hwang, Syewoon;Jang, Taeil;So, Hyunchul
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.6
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    • pp.83-96
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study was to estimate the climate change impact on water quantity and quality to Saemanguem watershed using SWAT (Soil and water assessment tool) model. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated using observed data from 2008 to 2017 for the study watershed. The $R^2$ (Determination coefficient), RMSE (Root mean square error), and NSE (Nash-sutcliffe efficiency coefficient) were used to evaluate the model performance. RCP scenario data were produced from 10 GCM (General circulation model) and all relevant grid data including the major observation points (Gusan, Jeonju, Buan, Jeongeup) were extracted. The systematic error evaluation of the GCM model outputs was performed as well. They showed various variations based on analysis of future climate change effects. In future periods, the MIROC5 model showed the maximum values and the CMCC-CM model presented the minimum values in the climate data. Increasing rainfall amount was from 180mm to 250mm and increasing temperature value ranged from 1.7 to $5.9^{\circ}C$, respectively, compared with the baseline (2006~2017) in 10 GCM model outputs. The future 2030s and 2070s runoff showed increasing rate of 16~29% under future climate data. The future rate of change for T-N (Total nitrogen) and T-P (Total phosphorus) loads presented from -26 to +0.13% and from +5 to 47%, respectively. The hydrologic cycle and water quality from the Saemanguem headwater were very sensitive to projected climate change scenarios so that GCM model should be carefully selected for the purpose of use and the tendency analysis of GCM model are needed if necessary.

A Study on the Application of the National CIS and Environmental Observation Data for Assessment of Regional Water Balance: A Case of the Catchment of Guryang Stream (지역 물수지 평가를 위한 NGIS와 환경 관측 자료의 활용에 관한 연구 -구량천 유역을 사례로-)

  • Park, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.557-576
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    • 2009
  • Physical based water balance model had better simulation results than conceptial model, however it is difficult to obtain input data for the model. This study suggests some methods to obtain parameter values of BROOK90 from meteorological data, soil map, land-use map. Comparing measured and simulated discharge proved the methods to be valid. For validation model($2001{\sim}2003$), comparing measured and simulated discharge a daily mean bias error, Nash-Sutcliffe's model efficiency coefficient, coefficient of determination equal to -0.517, 0.87 and 0.89 respectively. The results of this study would be helpful to the hydrological study using physical based hydrological model not only in super site but in other catchments.