• Title/Summary/Keyword: Observation-error model

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Effect of Combined Rainfall Observation with Radar and Rain Gauge (강우 레이더와 지상 우량계의 통합관측효과)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Kyoung-Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.11
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    • pp.841-849
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    • 2007
  • This study evaluated the effect of combined rainfall observation of using rain gauge and rain radar. The effect of combined observations is to be evaluated by considering the decrease of measurement error due to combined use of design orthogonal observation methods. As an example, this study evaluated the rain gauge network of the Keum river basin, and showed how the density of rain gauges could be decreased by combining the radar observation. This study applied the researches on sampling error by North and Nakamoto(1989), Yoo et al. (1996) and Yoo (1997), also the simple NFD model for representing the rainfall field. The model parameters were decided using the rainfall characteristics (correlation time and length) estimated using the data collected in the Keum River Basin by 28 rain gauges and the operation rule of radar was assumed arbitrarily. This study considered the rain gauge density criteria provided by WMO(1994) and the rain gauge density installed in the Keum river basin to decrease the rain gauge density under the condition of introducing the radar.

Accuracy Assessment of Planetary Boundary Layer Height for the WRF Model Using Temporal High Resolution Radio-sonde Observations (시간 고해상도 라디오존데 관측 자료를 이용한 WRF 모델 행성경계층고도 정확도 평가)

  • Kang, Misun;Lim, Yun-Kyu;Cho, Changbum;Kim, Kyu Rang;Park, Jun Sang;Kim, Baek-Jo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.673-686
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    • 2016
  • Understanding limitation of simulation for Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) height in mesoscale meteorological model is important for accurate meteorological variable and diffusion of air pollution. This study examined the accuracy for simulated PBL heights using two different PBL schemes (MYJ, YSU) in Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model during the radiosonde observation period. The simulated PBL height were verified using atmospheric sounding data obtained from radiosonde observations that were conducted during 5 months from August to December 2014 over the Gumi weir in Nakdong river. Four Dimensional Data Assimilation (FDDA) using radiosonde observation data were conducted to reduce error of PBL height in WRF model. The assessment result of PBL height showed that RMSE with YSU scheme were lower than that with MYJ scheme in the day and night time, respectively. Especially, the WRF model with YSU scheme produced lower PBL height than with the MYJ scheme during night time. The YSU scheme showed lower RMSE than the MYJ scheme on sunny, cloudy and rainy day, too. The experiment result of FDDA showed that PBL height error were reduced by FDDA and PBL height at the nudging coefficient of $3.0{\times}10^{-1}$ (YSU_FDDA_2) were similar to observation compared to the nudging coefficient of $3.0{\times}10^{-4}$ (YSU_FDDA_1).

The Control of a Bipedal Robot using ANFIS (ANFIS를 이용한 이족보행로봇 제어)

  • Hwang, Jae-Pil;Kim, Eun-Tai;Park, Mignon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11c
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    • pp.523-525
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    • 2004
  • Over the last few years, the control of bipedal robot has been considered a promising research field in the community of robotics. But the problems we encounter make the control of a bipedal robot a hard task. The complicated link connection of the bipedal robot makes it impossible to achieve its exact model. In addition, the joint velocity is needed to accomplish good control performance. In this paper a control method using ANFIS as an system approximator is purposed. First a model biped robot of a biped robot with switching leg influence is presented. Unlike classical method, ANFIS approximation error estimator is inserted in the system for tuning the ANFIS. In the entire system, only ANFIS is used to approximate the uncertain system. ANFIS tuning rule is given combining the observation error, control error and ANFIS approximation error. But this needs velocity information which is not available. So a practical method is newly presented. Finally, computer simulation results is presented to show this control method has good position tracking performance and robustness without need for leg switching acknowledgement.

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A Bayesian state-space production model for Korean chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) stock

  • Jung, Yuri;Seo, Young Il;Hyun, Saang-Yoon
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2021
  • The main purpose of this study is to fit catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) data about Korea chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) stock with a state-space production (SSP) model, and to provide stock assessment results. We chose a surplus production model for the chub mackerel data, namely annual yield and CPUE. Then we employed a state-space layer for a production model to consider two sources of variability arising from unmodelled factors (process error) and noise in the data (observation error). We implemented the model via script software ADMB-RE because it reduces the computational cost of high-dimensional integration and provides Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, which is required for Bayesian approaches. To stabilize the numerical optimization, we considered prior distributions for model parameters. Applying the SSP model to data collected from commercial fisheries from 1999 to 2017, we estimated model parameters and management references, as well as uncertainties for the estimates. We also applied various production models and showed parameter estimates and goodness of fit statistics to compare the model performance. This study presents two significant findings. First, we concluded that the stock has been overexploited in terms of harvest rate from 1999 to 2017. Second, we suggest a SSP model for the smallest goodness of fit statistics among several production models, especially for fitting CPUE data with fluctuations.

Effective Reduction of Horizontal Error in Laser Scanning Information by Strip-Wise Least Squares Adjustments

  • Lee, Byoung-Kil;Yu, Ki-Yun;Pyeon, Moo-Wook
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2003
  • Though the airborne laser scanning (ALS) technique is becoming more popular in many applications, horizontal accuracy of points scanned by the ALS is not yet satisfactory when compared with the accuracy achieved for vertical positions. One of the major reasons is the drift that occurs in the inertial measurement unit (IMU) during the scanning. This paper presents an algorithm that adjusts for the error that is introduced mainly by the drift of the IMU that renders systematic differences between strips on the same area. For this, we set up an observation equation for strip-wise adjustments and completed it with tie point and control point coordinates derived from the scanned strips and information from aerial photos. To effectively capture the tie points, we developed a set of procedures that constructs a digital surface model (DSM) with breaklines and then performed feature-based matching on strips resulting in a set of reliable tie points. Solving the observation equations by the least squares method produced a set of affine transformation equations with 6 parameters that we used to transform the strips for adjusting the horizontal error. Experimental results after evaluation of the accuracy showed a root mean squared error (RMSE) of the adjusted strip points of 0.27 m, which is significant considering the RMSE before adjustment was 0.77 m.

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Times Series Analysis of GPS Receiver Clock Errors to Improve the Absolute Positioning Accuracy

  • Bae, Tae-Suk;Kwon, Jay-Hyoun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.25 no.6_1
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    • pp.537-543
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    • 2007
  • Since the GPS absolute positioning with pseudorange measurements can significantly be affected by the observation error, the time series analysis of the GPS receiver clock errors was performed in this study. From the estimated receiver clock errors, the time series model is generated, and constrained back in the absolute positioning process. One of the CORS (Continuously Operating Reference Stations) network is used to analyze the behavior of the receiver clock. The dominant part of the model is the linear trend during 24 hours, and the seasonal component is also estimated. After constraining the modeled receiver clock errors, the estimated position error compared to the published coordinates is improved from ${\pm}11.4\;m\;to\;{\pm}9.5\;m$ in 3D RMS.

Statistical Correction of Numerical Model Forecasts for Typhoon Tracks

  • Sohn, Keon-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.295-304
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    • 2005
  • This paper concentrates on the prediction of typhoon tracks using the dynamic linear model (DLM) for the statistical correction of the numerical model guidance used in the JMA. The DLM with proposed forecast strategy is applied to reduce their systematic errors using the latest observation. All parameters of the DLM are updated dynamically and backward forecasting is performed to remove the effect of initial values.

Development of a Transient Groundwater Flow Model in Pyoseon Watershed of Jeju Island: Use of a Convolution Method (컨벌루션 기법을 이용한 제주도 표선유역 부정류 지하수 흐름 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Seung-Gu;Koo, Min-Ho;Chung, Il-Moon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.481-494
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    • 2015
  • Groundwater level hydrographs from observation wells in Jeju island clearly illustrate distinctive features of recharge showing the time-delaying and dispersive process, mainly affected by the thickness and hydrogeologic properties of the unsaturated zone. Most groundwater flow models have limitations on delineating temporal variation of recharge, although it is a major component of the groundwater flow system. Recently, a convolution model was suggested as a mathematical technique to generate time series of recharge that incorporated the time-delaying and dispersive process. A groundwater flow model was developed to simulate transient groundwater level fluctuations in Pyoseon area of Jeju island. The model used the convolution technique to simulate temporal variations of groundwater levels. By making a series of trial-and-error adjustments, transient model calibration was conducted for various input parameters of both the groundwater flow model and the convolution model. The calibrated model could simulate water level fluctuations closely coinciding with measurements from 8 observation wells in the model area. Consequently, it is expected that, in transient groundwater flow models, the convolution technique can be effectively used to generate a time series of recharge.

Optimal Network Design for the Estimation of Areal Rainfall (면적강우량 산정을 위한 관측망 최적설계 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Hyeong;Yu, Yang-Gyu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.187-194
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    • 2002
  • To improve the accuracy of the areal rainfall estimates over a river basin, the optimal design method of rainfall network was studied using the stochastic characteristics of measured rainfall data. The objective function was constructed with the estimation error of areal rainfall and observation cost of point rainfall and the observation sites with minimum objective function value were selected as the optimal network. As a stochastic variance estimator, kriging model was selected to minimize the error terms. The annual operation cost including the installation cost was considered as the cost terms and an accuracy equivalent parameter was used to combine the error and cost terms. The optimal design method of rainfall network was studied in the Yongdam dam basin whose raingauge numbers need to be enlarged for the optimal rainfall networks of the basin.

ON ASYMPTOTIC TESTS IN TEREE-FACTOR FACTORIAL DESIGNS WITH NO REPLICATIONS

  • See, Kyoung-Ah
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.31-50
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    • 1999
  • We revisit the problems of testing three-factor classifica-tion models with a single observation per cell. A common approach in analyzing such nonreplicated data is to omit the highest order in-teraction and regard it as error. This paper discusses the use of a multiplicative model(See and Smith 1996 and 1998) which is applied on residuals in order to separate the variablility due to three-factor interaction from what is counted as random error. in particualr to test the significance of the interaction term we derived an approxi-mated distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic based on the quadrilinear model known as Tucher's three-mode principal compo-nent model. The derivation utilizes the distribution of the eignevalues of the Wishart matrix.