• 제목/요약/키워드: Observation-error model

검색결과 254건 처리시간 0.025초

Validation of KREAM Based on In-Situ Measurements of Aviation Radiation in Commercial Flights

  • Hwang, Junga;Kwak, Jaeyoung;Jo, Gyeongbok;Nam, Uk-won
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • 제37권4호
    • /
    • pp.229-236
    • /
    • 2020
  • There has been increasing necessity of more precise prediction and measurements of aviation radiation in Korea. For our air crew and passengers' radiation safety, we develop our own radiation prediction model of KREAM. In this paper, we validate the KREAM model based on comparison with Liulin observations. During early three months of this year, we perform total 25 experiments to measure aviation radiation exposure using Liulin-6K in commercial flights. We found that KREAM's result is very well consistent with Liulin observation in general. NAIRAS shows mostly higher results than Liulin observation, while CARI-6M shows generally lower results than the observations. The percent error of KREAM compared with Liulin observation is 10.95%. In contrast, the error for NAIRAS is 43.38% and 22.03% for CARI-6M. We found that the increase of the altitude might cause sudden increase in radiation exposure, especially for the polar route. As more comprehensive and complete analysis is required to validate KREAM's reliability to use for the public service, we plan to expand these radiation measurements with Liulin and Tissue Equivalent Proportional Counter (TEPC) in the near future.

ERROR PROPAGATION ANALYSIS FOR IN-ORBIT GOCI RADIOMETRIC CALIBRATION

  • Kang, Gm-Sil;Youn, Heong-Sik
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한원격탐사학회 2008년도 International Symposium on Remote Sensing
    • /
    • pp.92-95
    • /
    • 2008
  • The Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) is under development to provide a monitoring of ocean-color around the Korean Peninsula from geostationary platforms. It is planned to be loaded on Communication, Ocean, and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) of Korea. The GOCI has been designed to provide multi-spectral data to detect, monitor, quantify, and predict short term changes of coastal ocean environment for marine science research and application purpose. The target area of GOCI observation covers sea area around the Korean Peninsula. Based on the nonlinear radiometric model, the GOCI calibration method has been derived. The radiometric model of GOCI has been validated through radiometric ground test. From this ground test result, GOCI radiometric model has been changed from second order to third order. In this paper, the radiometric test performed to evaluate the radiometric nonlinearity is described and the GOCI radiometric error propagation is analyzed. The GOCI radiometric calibration is based on onboard calibration devices; solar diffuser, DAMD (Diffuser Aging Monitoring Device). The radiometric model error due to the dark current nonlinearity is considered as a systematic error. Also the offset correction error due to gain/offset instability is considered. The radiometric accuracy depends mainly on the ground characterization accuracies of solar diffuser and DAMD.

  • PDF

휴먼에러의 검출 필터 설계 (Design of Human-Error Detect Filter)

  • 김환성;김승호
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국항해항만학회 2009년도 추계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.121-123
    • /
    • 2009
  • 종래의 휴먼에러를 검출하기 위한 검출기는 관측기 설계를 기초로 하였으며, 주로 계단형 휴먼에러를 가정하여 검출하는데 이론적 한계성을 지니고 있다. 본 연구에서는 보다 다양한 형태의 휴먼에러를 검출하기 위한 방법으로 휴먼에러에 포함될 수 있는 형태의 오류를 모델링하여 검출 필터로서 사용할 수 있음을 보이며, 휴먼에러 검출 필터의 존재조건을 고찰한다.

  • PDF

모델의 타당성 평가에 기초한 로바스트 동정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Robust Identification Based on the Validation Evaluation of Model)

  • 이동철
    • 동력기계공학회지
    • /
    • 제4권3호
    • /
    • pp.72-80
    • /
    • 2000
  • In order to design a stable robust controller, nominal model, and the upper bound about the uncertainty which is the error of the model are needed. The problem to estimate the nominal model of controlled system and the upper bound of uncertainty at the same time is called robust identification. When the nominal model of controlled system and the upper bound of uncertainty in relation to robust identification are given, the evaluation of the validity of the model and the upper bound makes it possible to distinguish whether there is a model which explains observation data including disturbance among the model set. This paper suggests a method to identity the uncertainty which removes disturbance and expounds observation data by giving a probable postulation and plural data set to disturbance. It also examines the suggested method through a numerical computation simulation and validates its effectiveness.

  • PDF

모델의 타당성 평가에 기초한 로바스트 동정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Robust Identification Based on the Validation Evaluation of Model)

  • 이동철;정형환;배종일
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
    • /
    • pp.2690-2692
    • /
    • 2000
  • In order to design a stable robust controller, nominal model, and the upper bound about the uncertainty which is the error of the model are needed. The problem to estimate the nominal model of controlled system and the upper bound of uncertainty at the same time is called robust identifcation. When the nominal model of controlled system and the upper bound of uncertainty in relation to robust identifcation are given, the evaluation of the validity of the model and the upper bound makes it possible to distinguish whether there is a model which explains observation data including disturbance among the model set. This paper suggests a method to identify the uncertainty which removes disturbance and expounds observation data by giving a probable postulation and plural data set to disturbance. It also examines the suggested method through a numerical computation simulation and validates its effectiveness.

  • PDF

광범위 환경에서 EKF-SLAM의 일관성 향상을 위한 새로운 관찰모델 (A new Observation Model to Improve the Consistency of EKF-SLAM Algorithm in Large-scale Environments)

  • 남창주;강재현;도낙주
    • 로봇학회논문지
    • /
    • 제7권1호
    • /
    • pp.29-34
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper suggests a new observation model for Extended Kalman Filter based Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (EKF-SLAM). Since the EKF framework linearizes non-linear functions around the current estimate, the conventional line model has large linearization errors when a mobile robot locates faraway from its initial position. On the other hand, the model that we propose yields less linearization error with respect to the landmark position and thus suitable in a large-scale environment. To achieve it, we build up a three-dimensional space by adding a virtual axis to the robot's two-dimensional coordinate system and extract a plane by using a detected line on the two-dimensional space and the virtual axis. Since Jacobian matrix with respect to the landmark position has small value, we can estimate the position of landmarks better than the conventional line model. The simulation results verify that the new model yields less linearization errors than the conventional line model.

농업기상 결측치 보정을 위한 통계적 시공간모형 (A Missing Value Replacement Method for Agricultural Meteorological Data Using Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Model)

  • 박다인;윤상후
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제27권7호
    • /
    • pp.499-507
    • /
    • 2018
  • Agricultural meteorological information is an important resource that affects farmers' income, food security, and agricultural conditions. Thus, such data are used in various fields that are responsible for planning, enforcing, and evaluating agricultural policies. The meteorological information obtained from automatic weather observation systems operated by rural development agencies contains missing values owing to temporary mechanical or communication deficiencies. It is known that missing values lead to reduction in the reliability and validity of the model. In this study, the hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal model suggests replacements for missing values because the meteorological information includes spatio-temporal correlation. The prior distribution is very important in the Bayesian approach. However, we found a problem where the spatial decay parameter was not converged through the trace plot. A suitable spatial decay parameter, estimated on the bias of root-mean-square error (RMSE), which was determined to be the difference between the predicted and observed values. The latitude, longitude, and altitude were considered as covariates. The estimated spatial decay parameters were 0.041 and 0.039, for the spatio-temporal model with latitude and longitude and for latitude, longitude, and altitude, respectively. The posterior distributions were stable after the spatial decay parameter was fixed. root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and bias were calculated for model validation. Finally, the missing values were generated using the independent Gaussian process model.

다중회귀분석에 의한 하천 월 유출량의 추계학적 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Stochastic Estimation of Monthly Runoff by Multiple Regression Analysis)

  • 김태철;정하우
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제22권3호
    • /
    • pp.75-87
    • /
    • 1980
  • Most hydro]ogic phenomena are the complex and organic products of multiple causations like climatic and hydro-geological factors. A certain significant correlation on the run-off in river basin would be expected and foreseen in advance, and the effect of each these causual and associated factors (independant variables; present-month rainfall, previous-month run-off, evapotranspiration and relative humidity etc.) upon present-month run-off(dependent variable) may be determined by multiple regression analysis. Functions between independant and dependant variables should be treated repeatedly until satisfactory and optimal combination of independant variables can be obtained. Reliability of the estimated function should be tested according to the result of statistical criterion such as analysis of variance, coefficient of determination and significance-test of regression coefficients before first estimated multiple regression model in historical sequence is determined. But some error between observed and estimated run-off is still there. The error arises because the model used is an inadequate description of the system and because the data constituting the record represent only a sample from a population of monthly discharge observation, so that estimates of model parameter will be subject to sampling errors. Since this error which is a deviation from multiple regression plane cannot be explained by first estimated multiple regression equation, it can be considered as a random error governed by law of chance in nature. This unexplained variance by multiple regression equation can be solved by stochastic approach, that is, random error can be stochastically simulated by multiplying random normal variate to standard error of estimate. Finally hybrid model on estimation of monthly run-off in nonhistorical sequence can be determined by combining the determistic component of multiple regression equation and the stochastic component of random errors. Monthly run-off in Naju station in Yong-San river basin is estimated by multiple regression model and hybrid model. And some comparisons between observed and estimated run-off and between multiple regression model and already-existing estimation methods such as Gajiyama formula, tank model and Thomas-Fiering model are done. The results are as follows. (1) The optimal function to estimate monthly run-off in historical sequence is multiple linear regression equation in overall-month unit, that is; Qn=0.788Pn+0.130Qn-1-0.273En-0.1 About 85% of total variance of monthly runoff can be explained by multiple linear regression equation and its coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.843. This means we can estimate monthly runoff in historical sequence highly significantly with short data of observation by above mentioned equation. (2) The optimal function to estimate monthly runoff in nonhistorical sequence is hybrid model combined with multiple linear regression equation in overall-month unit and stochastic component, that is; Qn=0. 788Pn+0. l30Qn-1-0. 273En-0. 10+Sy.t The rest 15% of unexplained variance of monthly runoff can be explained by addition of stochastic process and a bit more reliable results of statistical characteristics of monthly runoff in non-historical sequence are derived. This estimated monthly runoff in non-historical sequence shows up the extraordinary value (maximum, minimum value) which is not appeared in the observed runoff as a random component. (3) "Frequency best fit coefficient" (R2f) of multiple linear regression equation is 0.847 which is the same value as Gaijyama's one. This implies that multiple linear regression equation and Gajiyama formula are theoretically rather reasonable functions.

  • PDF

주간 별 센서 관측 모델 개발 및 중심찾기 성능 분석 (DEVELOPMENT OF DAYTIME OBSERVATION MODEL FOR STAR SENSOR AND CENTROIDING PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS)

  • 나자경;이유;김용하
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • 제22권3호
    • /
    • pp.273-282
    • /
    • 2005
  • 주간에 활용될 수 있는 별 센서의 성능을 알아보기 위해, 주간 별 센서 관측 모델을 개발하였다. 주간 동안 별 센서가 감지하게 될 별들에 대한 중심찾기 오차는 그 모델을 사용해서 계산되었다. 별 센서가 운용되는 주간 환경의 대기 물리량을 계산하기 위해 표준 대기 모델(LOWTRAN7)이 사용되었다. 주간 별 센서 관측 모델에는 별과 태양 사이의 다양한 분리각, 중심찾기 알고리즘, 그리고 별 센서의 다양한 시스템 특성이 고려되었다. 개발된 별 센서 모델은 벡터 관측을 통한 자세결정 성능의 예측에 있어서 보다 현실적인 오차 정보를 제공하게 될 것이다.

SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL INFLUENCES ON SOIL MOISTURE ESTIMATION

  • Kim, Gwang-seob
    • Water Engineering Research
    • /
    • 제3권1호
    • /
    • pp.31-44
    • /
    • 2002
  • The effect of diurnal cycle, intermittent visit of observation satellite, sensor installation, partial coverage of remote sensing, heterogeneity of soil properties and precipitation to the soil moisture estimation error were analyzed to present the global sampling strategy of soil moisture. Three models, the theoretical soil moisture model, WGR model proposed Waymire of at. (1984) to generate rainfall, and Turning Band Method to generate two dimensional soil porosity, active soil depth and loss coefficient field were used to construct sufficient two-dimensional soil moisture data based on different scenarios. The sampling error is dominated by sampling interval and design scheme. The effect of heterogeneity of soil properties and rainfall to sampling error is smaller than that of temporal gap and spatial gap. Selecting a small sampling interval can dramatically reduce the sampling error generated by other factors such as heterogeneity of rainfall, soil properties, topography, and climatic conditions. If the annual mean of coverage portion is about 90%, the effect of partial coverage to sampling error can be disregarded. The water retention capacity of fields is very important in the sampling error. The smaller the water retention capacity of the field (small soil porosity and thin active soil depth), the greater the sampling error. These results indicate that the sampling error is very sensitive to water retention capacity. Block random installation gets more accurate data than random installation of soil moisture gages. The Walnut Gulch soil moisture data show that the diurnal variation of soil moisture causes sampling error between 1 and 4 % in daily estimation.

  • PDF