• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.1117-1125
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• 2014

In a longitudinal study, subjects can experience same type of events repeatedly. Also, there may exist intermittent dropouts resulting in repeated observation gaps during which no recurrent events are observed. Furthermore, when such observation gaps have incomplete forms caused by the unknown termination times of observation gaps, ordinary approaches result in biased estimates. In this study, we investigate the effect of ignoring observation gaps and propose methods to overcome this problem. For estimating the distribution of unknown termination times, an interval-censored mechanism is applied and two cases are considered. Simulation studies are carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed method. Conviction data of young drivers with several suspensions are analyzed to illustrate the suggested approach.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.113-122
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• 2016

경시적 자료는 반복적으로 측정된 다변량 자료의 한 형태로 임상학, 보건학, 경제학에서 자주 발생된다. 시계열자료와 구분되는 가장 큰 특징은 표본수와 공변량 효과의 추정에 있다. 경시적 자료는 일반적으로 시계열 자료보다 더 큰 표본 개체로 이루어져 있으며 연구의 주 관심은 특정 공변량의 효과를 추정하는 데 있다. 또한 시계열 자료보다 반복 측정 횟수가 짧으며 개체마다 다른 관측 횟수와 다른 관측 중단 시점을 가질 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 관측 시점과 관측 종료 원인이 경시자료와 서로 연관된 경우에 결합 모형을 적용함으로써 이들간의 연관성을 분석하고자한다. 따라서 이들 변량간의 연관성을 모형화하기 위해 이변량 랜덤효과가 적용된다. 실제 자료 분석에서는 간경변증 환자의 핼액 응고 수치 시간을 관심 있는 경시적 자료로 환자가 병원 방문시점과 관측 중단원인들간의 상호 연관관계를 규명하고자 하였다. 특히, 중도 절단원인은 사망이나 간이식을 받는 사건일 때 발생하는데 본 연구에서는 사망 사건과의 연관성이 고려되었다. 결과를 통해 혈액 응고 시간이 길고 병원 방문 시점이 빈번할수록 사망할 가능성이 높음을 알수 있었다. 또한 혈액응고 시간이 길수록 병원 방문 횟수가 빈번하였다.

• 대기
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.299-316
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• 2008

The intensive upper-air observation network was organized over southwestern region of the Korean Peninsula during the Korea Enhanced Observing Program in 2005 (KEOP-2005). In order to examine the effect of additional upper-air observation on the numerical weather forecasting, three Observing System Experiments (OSEs) using Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS) and Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with KEOP-2005 data are conducted. Cold start case with KEOP-2005 data presents a remarkable predictability difference with only conventional observation data in the downstream and along the Changma front area. The sensitivity of the predictability tends to decrease under the stable atmosphere. Our results indicates that the effect of intensive observation plays a role in the forecasting of the sensitive area in the numerical model, especially under the unstable atmospheric conditions. When the intensive upper-air observation data (KEOP-2005 data) are included in the OSEs, the predictability of precipitation is partially improved. Especially, when KEOP-2005 data are assimilated at 6-hour interval, the predictability on the heavy rainfall showing higher Critical Success Index (CSI) is highly improved. Therefore it is found that KEOP-2005 data play an important role in improving the position and intensity of the simulated precipitation system.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.151-158
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• 1995

A numerical model has been developed to predict the deposition of air pollutants considering canopy effect. In this model, the deposition velocity is calculated using the deposition resistances(aerodynamic resistance, viscosity resistance, surface resistance). Using the results, a comparative study was made between the model calculation and observation results. The calculated daily variation of deposition resistances and in daytime most of the model cases are well agreed with observation results, and a slight difference was found in nighttime. From the results, it is suggested that the present model is capable of estimating the deposition velocity of air Pollutants considering characteristics of canopy layer.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.537-543
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• 2008

The sediment resuspension and diffusion model is an integral part of a sediment transport and morphologic change model. We examined a vertical one-dimensional sediment resuspension and diffusion model using field data collected at about 10-m depth off the Saemangeun $4^{th}$ dike. The field data include waves, currents and suspended sediment concentration near the bed for about a day in May, 2007. The suspended sediment concentration obtained from the 1D model overestimated the observation about two orders of magnitude with single grain size and multiple grain sizes. The incorporation of the bed armoring effect, which adjusts the amount of suspended sediment with the available bed sediment, improved the agreement between the model and observation within a factor of two.

• Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.107-116
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• 1996

A shallow water numerical model is established to investigate the response of coastal water in the Korea Strait to typhoons that pass nearby the Korea Strait. Atmospheric pressure and wind by Fujita's formula (1952) and Miyazaki et al. (1961), respectively are used in the model. The model results show an agreement fair with the observation partially, but poor with the amplitude of the sea level variation. In particular, the discrepancy is larger in a typhoon passing through right side than that through left side of the Korea Strait. The model showes that the disagreement between the model and the observation can be caused by numerically unrealistic distributions of armospheric pressure and wind around the strait. In the Korea Strait the isostatic effects in the model were underestimated, whereas the wind fields were overestimated.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.721-730
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• 2010

In satellite remote sensing, irregular temporal sampling is a common feature of geophysical and biological process on the earth's surface. Lee (2008) proposed a feed-back system using a harmonic model of single period to adaptively reconstruct observation image series contaminated by noises resulted from mechanical problems or environmental conditions. However, the simple sinusoidal model of single period may not be appropriate for temporal physical processes of land surface. A complex model of multiple periods would be more proper to represent inter-annual and inner-annual variations of surface parameters. This study extended to use a multi-periodic harmonic model, which is expressed as the sum of a series of sine waves, for the adaptive system. For the system assessment, simulation data were generated from a model of negative errors, based on the fact that the observation is mainly suppressed by bad weather. The experimental results of this simulation study show the potentiality of the proposed system for real-time monitoring on the image series observed by imperfect sensing technology from the environment which are frequently influenced by bad weather.

• 대기
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• 제33권1호
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• pp.33-47
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• 2023

In this study, for the application of observation errors to the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) to utilize the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere & Climate-2 (COSMIC-2) new satellites, the observation errors were diagnosed based on the Desroziers method using the cost function in the process of variational data assimilation. We calculated observation errors for all observational species being utilized for KIM and compared with their relative values. The observation error of the calculated the Global Navigation Satellite System Radio Occultation (GNSS RO) was about six times smaller than that of other satellites. In order to balance with other satellites, we conducted two experiments in which the GNSS RO data expanded by about twice the observation error. The performance of the analysis field was significantly improved in the tropics, where the COSMIC-2 data are more available, and in the Southern Hemisphere, where the influence of GNSS RO data is significantly greater. In particular, the prediction performance of the Southern Hemisphere was improved by doubling the observation error in global region, rather than doubling the COSMIC-2 data only in areas with high density, which seems to have been balanced with other observations.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.119-128
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• 2000

This paper proposes a method for detecting interactions in a two-way layout with one observation per cell. The identification of interactions in the model is not clear for they are confounding with error terms. The $L_1$-Estimation is robust with respect to a y-direction outlier in linear model so we are able to estimate main effects without affection of interactions, If an observation is classified as an outlier we conclude it contains an interaction. An empirical study compared with a classical method is performed.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제13권11호
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• pp.1092-1098
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• 2007

A mobile robot localization problem can be classified into following three sub-problems as an observation likelihood model, a motion model and a filtering technique. So far, we have developed the range sensor based, integrated localization scheme, which can be used in human-coexisting real environment such as a science museum and office buildings. From those experiences, we found out that there are several significant issues to be solved. In this paper, we focus on three key issues, and then illustrate our solutions to the presented problems. Three issues are listed as follows: (1) Investigation of design requirements of a desirable observation likelihood model, and performance analysis of our design (2) Performance evaluation of the localization result by computing the matching error (3) The semi-global localization scheme to deal with localization failure due to abrupt wheel slippage In this paper, we show the significance of each concept, developed solutions and the experimental results. Experiments were carried out in a typical modern building environment, and the results clearly show that the proposed solutions are useful to develop practical and integrated localization schemes.