• Title/Summary/Keyword: Observation Error

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Adjoint-Based Observation Impact of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) on the Short-Range Forecast in East Asia (수반 모델에 기반한 관측영향 진단법을 이용하여 동아시아 지역의 단기예보에 AMSU-A 자료 동화가 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Sung-Min;Kim, Hyun Mee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2017
  • The effect of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) observations on the short-range forecast in East Asia (EA) was investigated for the Northern Hemispheric (NH) summer and winter months, using the Forecast Sensitivity to Observations (FSO) method. For both periods, the contribution of radiosonde (TEMP) to the EA forecast was largest, followed by AIRCRAFT, AMSU-A, Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI), and the atmospheric motion vector of Communication, Ocean and Meteorological Satellite (COMS) or Multi-functional Transport Satellite (MTSAT). The contribution of AMSU-A sensor was largely originated from the NOAA 19, NOAA 18, and MetOp-A (NOAA 19 and 18) satellites in the NH summer (winter). The contribution of AMSU-A sensor on the MetOp-A (NOAA 18 and 19) satellites was large at 00 and 12 UTC (06 and 18 UTC) analysis times, which was associated with the scanning track of four satellites. The MetOp-A provided the radiance data over the Korea Peninsula in the morning (08:00~11:30 LST), which was important to the morning forecast. In the NH summer, the channel 5 observations on MetOp-A, NOAA 18, 19 along the seaside (along the ridge of the subtropical high) increased (decreased) the forecast error slightly (largely). In the NH winter, the channel 8 observations on NOAA 18 (NOAA 15 and MetOp-A) over the Eastern China (Tibetan Plateau) decreased (increased) the forecast error. The FSO provides useful information on the effect of each AMSU-A sensor on the EA forecasts, which leads guidance to better use of AMSU-A observations for EA regional numerical weather prediction.

A Study on the Evaluation of Reliability for Settlement Predictions by Hyperbolic Method (침하예측을 위한 쌍곡선 식의 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 이승우;김유석
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 1997
  • Predictions of settlements under preloading for the improvement of soft soil is a very important element of construction management. Due to the non uniformity, difficulty of estimating resonable soil properties, predictions of settlements and settlement velocities at the design stage seldom agree with the actual future settlements. To overcome this problem, the prediction methods based on the settlement observation of initial preloading stage such as hyperbolic method and Asaoka method have been employed frequently. However the estimating method for the reliability of these predictions at the time of prediction has not been suggested. In this study, comparisons of predicted settlements by hyperbolic met hed and observed settlements are explored through case studies. And a stratagem of estimating reliability of settlement predictions by hyperbolic method is suggested as the result of investigation on the relationship between the initial observed time and error of settlement prediction by hyperbolic method.

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Separating Signals and Noises Using Mixture Model and Multiple Testing (혼합모델 및 다중 가설 검정을 이용한 신호와 잡음의 분류)

  • Park, Hae-Sang;Yoo, Si-Won;Jun, Chi-Hyuck
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.759-770
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    • 2009
  • A problem of separating signals from noises is considered, when they are randomly mixed in the observation. It is assumed that the noise follows a Gaussian distribution and the signal follows a Gamma distribution, thus the underlying distribution of an observation will be a mixture of Gaussian and Gamma distributions. The parameters of the mixture model will be estimated from the EM algorithm. Then the signals and noises will be classified by a fixed threshold approach based on multiple testing using positive false discovery rate and Bayes error. The proposed method is applied to a real optical emission spectroscopy data for the quantitative analysis of inclusions. A simulation is carried out to compare the performance with the existing method using 3 sigma rule.

A Suggestion for Data Assimilation Method of Hydrometeor Types Estimated from the Polarimetric Radar Observation

  • Yamaguchi, Kosei;Nakakita, Eiichi;Sumida, Yasuhiko
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.2161-2166
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    • 2009
  • It is important for 0-6 hour nowcasting to provide for a high-quality initial condition in a meso-scale atmospheric model by a data assimilation of several observation data. The polarimetric radar data is expected to be assimilated into the forecast model, because the radar has a possibility of measurements of the types, the shapes, and the size distributions of hydrometeors. In this paper, an impact on rainfall prediction of the data assimilation of hydrometeor types (i.e. raindrop, graupel, snowflake, etc.) is evaluated. The observed information of hydrometeor types is estimated using the fuzzy logic algorism. As an implementation, the cloud-resolving nonhydrostatic atmospheric model, CReSS, which has detail microphysical processes, is employed as a forecast model. The local ensemble transform Kalman filter, LETKF, is used as a data assimilation method, which uses an ensemble of short-term forecasts to estimate the flowdependent background error covariance required in data assimilation. A heavy rainfall event occurred in Okinawa in 2008 is chosen as an application. As a result, the rainfall prediction accuracy in the assimilation case of both hydrometeor types and the Doppler velocity and the radar echo is improved by a comparison of the no assimilation case. The effects on rainfall prediction of the assimilation of hydrometeor types appear in longer prediction lead time compared with the effects of the assimilation of radar echo only.

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Precision Validation of GPS Precipitable Water Vapor via Comparison with MWR Measurements (MWR 관측치와 비교를 통한 GPS 가강수량 정밀도 검증)

  • Ha, Jihyun;Park, Kwan-Dong;Chang, Ki-Ho;Yang, Ha-Young
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.291-298
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    • 2007
  • The precipitable water vapors (PWVs) obtained from Global Positioning System (GPS) and Microwave Radiometer (MWR) measurements have been compared for validation of precision of the GPS PWV at Daegwallyoung station for 21 days from Sep. 30 to Oct. 20, 2006. The GPS PWV is estimated using the delay of GPS signals due to the water vapor in the atmosphere with a local mean temperature equation, called HP model, and the MWR PWV by the combinational radiance observation of two channels (23.8 and 31.4 GHz). During the co-observation period, the MWR and GPS PWV show a similar trend, and the bias between the PWVs is 1.7 mm on average. When the bias is removed, the PWV of GPS gives good agreement with that of MWR, having about 1 mm for both the standard deviation and RMS error between the GPS and MWR PWV.

Random Parameter Negative Binomial Models of Interstate Accident Frequencies on Interchange Segment by Interchange Type/Region (RPNB 모형을 이용한 고속도로 인터체인지 구간에서의 교통사고모형 - 인터체인지 형태별/지역별로)

  • Lee, Geun Hee;Park, Minho;Roh, Jeonghyun
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2014
  • PURPOSES : The objective was to develop the advanced method which could not explain each observation's specific characteristic in the present negative binomial method that results in under-estimation of the standard error(t-value inflation) and affects the confidence of whole derived results. METHODS : This study dealt with traffic accidents occurring within interchange segment on highway main line with RPNB(Random Parameter Negative Binomial) method that enables to take account of heterogeneity. RESULTS : As a result, AADT and lighting installation type on the road were revealed to have random parameter and in terms of other geometric variables, all were derived as fixed parameter(same effect on every segment). Also, marginal effects were adapted to analyze the relative effects on traffic accidents. CONCLUSIONS : This study proves that RPNB method which considers each observation's specific characteristics is better fitted to the accident data with geometrics. Thus, it is recommended that RPNB model or other methods which could consider the heterogeneity needs to be adapted in accident analysis.

Determination of Orbital Elements and Ephemerides using the Geocentric Laplace's Method

  • Espitia, Daniela;Quintero, Edwin A.;Arellano-Ramirez, Ivan D.
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.171-185
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents a methodology for Initial Orbit Determination (IOD) based on a modification of the Laplace's geocentric method. The orbital elements for Near-Earth asteroids (1864) Daedalus, 2003 GW, 2019 JA8, a Hungaria-type asteroid (4690) Strasbourg, and the asteroids of the Main Belt (1738) Oosterhoff, (2717) Tellervo, (1568) Aisleen and (2235) Vittore were calculated. Input data observations from the Minor Planet Center MPC database and Astronomical Observatory of the Technological University of Pereira (OAUTP; MPC code W63) were used. These observations cover observation arcs of less than 22 days. The orbital errors, in terms of shape and orientation for the estimated orbits of the asteroids, were calculated. The shape error was less than 53 × 10-3 AU, except for the asteroid 2019 JA8. On the other hand, errors in orientation were less than 0.1 rad, except for (4690) Strasbourg. Additionally, we estimated ephemerides for all bodies for up to two months. When compared with actual ephemerides, the errors found allowed us to conclude that these bodies can be recovered in a field of vision of 95' × 72' (OAUTP field). This shows that Laplace's method, though simple, may still be useful in the IOD study, especially for observatories that initiate programs of minor bodies observation.

Loop Closure in a Line-based SLAM (직선기반 SLAM에서의 루프결합)

  • Zhang, Guoxuan;Suh, Il-Hong
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.120-128
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    • 2012
  • The loop closure problem is one of the most challenging issues in the vision-based simultaneous localization and mapping community. It requires the robot to recognize a previously visited place from current camera measurements. While the loop closure often relies on visual bag-of-words based on point features in the previous works, however, in this paper we propose a line-based method to solve the loop closure in the corridor environments. We used both the floor line and the anchored vanishing point as the loop closing feature, and a two-step loop closure algorithm was devised to detect a known place and perform the global pose correction. We propose an anchored vanishing point as a novel loop closure feature, as it includes position information and represents the vanishing points in bi-direction. In our system, the accumulated heading error is reduced using an observation of a previously registered anchored vanishing points firstly, and the observation of known floor lines allows for further pose correction. Experimental results show that our method is very efficient in a structured indoor environment as a suitable loop closure solution.

Optical alignment of a high-resolution optical earth observation camera for small satellites (소형 위성용 고해상도 광학카메라의 광학정렬)

  • Kim, Eugene D.;Park, Young-Wan;Kang, Myung-Seok;Kim, Ee-Eul;Yang, Ho-Soon
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.391-396
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    • 2004
  • Spaceborne earth observation or astronomical payloads often use Cassegrain-type telescopes due to the limits in mass and volume. Precision optical alignment of such a telescope is vital to the success of the mission. This paper describes the simulated optical alignment methods using interferograms, wavefront error, and reverse-optimization method for different levels of alignment accuracy. It concludes with the alignment experiment results of a Cassegrain type spaceborne camera with 300mm entrance pupil diameter.

Precise Point Positioning using Atomium (아토미움을 이용한 정밀절대측위)

  • Yu, Dong-Hui
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.910-915
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    • 2018
  • The precise time, which is an essential element of the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), such as US GPS, GLONASS in Russia, Galileo in Europe, and Beidou in China, is an important foundation for various economic activities around the world. Communication systems, power grids, IoT, Cloud computing and financial networks operate based on the precise time not only for the operating principles, but also for the synchronization and operational efficiency between tasks. In this paper, we introduce the Atomium software for the first time in South Korea. Atomium was developed by ORB in Belgium to calculate the clock error(clock solution) with GNSS signal observation data based on PPP method. The observation data is provided by Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science(KRISS). The results of MJD57106 with Atomium software are presented.