• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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• pp.147-147
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• 2019

The Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models determine the future state of the weather by forcing current weather conditions into the atmospheric models. The NWP models approximate mathematically the physical dynamics by nonlinear differential equations; however these approximations include uncertainties. The errors of the NWP estimations can be related to the initial and boundary conditions and model parameterization. Development in the meteorological forecast models did not solve the issues related to the inevitable biases. In spite of the efforts to incorporate all sources of uncertainty into the forecast, and regardless of the methodologies applied to generate the forecast ensembles, they are still subject to errors and systematic biases. The statistical post-processing increases the accuracy of the forecast data by decreasing the errors. Error prediction of the NWP models which is updating the NWP model outputs or model output statistics is one of the ways to improve the model forecast. The regression methods (including linear, polynomial and scaling regression) are applied to the present study to improve the real time forecast skill. Such post-processing consists of two main steps. Firstly, regression is built between forecast and measurement, available during a certain training period, and secondly, the regression is applied to new forecasts. In this study, the WRF real-time forecast data, in comparison with the observed data, had systematic biases; the errors related to the NWP model forecasts were reflected in the underestimation of the meteorological data forecast by the WRF model. The promising results will indicate that the post-processing techniques applied in this study improved the meteorological forecast data provided by WRF model. A comparison between various bias correction methods will show the strength and weakness of the each methods.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제34권6호
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• pp.683-696
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• 2023

The destruction and fracture of rock masses are crucial components in engineering and there is an increasing demand for the study of the influence of rock mass heterogeneity on the safety of engineering projects. The numerical manifold method (NMM) has a unified solution format for continuous and discontinuous problems. In most NMM studies, material homogeneity has been assumed and despite this simplification, fracture mechanics remain complex and simulations are inefficient because of the complicated topology updating operations that are needed after crack propagation. These operations become computationally expensive especially in the cases of heterogeneous materials. In this study, a heterogeneous model algorithm based on stochastic theory was developed and introduced into the NMM. A new fracture algorithm was developed to simulate the rupture zone. The algorithm was validated for the examples of the four-point shear beam and semi-circular bend. Results show that the algorithm can efficiently simulate the rupture zone of heterogeneous rock masses. Heterogeneity has a powerful effect on the macroscopic failure characteristics and uniaxial compressive strength of rock masses. The peak strength of homogeneous material (with heterogeneity or standard deviation of 0) is 2.4 times that of heterogeneous material (with heterogeneity of 11.0). Moreover, the local distribution of parameter values can affect the configuration of rupture zones in rock masses. The local distribution also influences the peak value on the stress-strain curve and the residual strength. The post-peak stress-strain curve envelope from 60 random calculations can be used as an estimate of the strength of engineering rock masses.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.11-20
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• 2017

For structural damage detection of shear buildings, this paper proposes a new concept using structural element mass-stiffness vector (SEMV) based on special mass and stiffness distribution characteristics. A corresponding damage identification method is developed combining the SEMV with the cross-model cross-mode (CMCM) model updating algorithm. For a shear building, a model is assumed at the beginning based on the building's distribution characteristics. The model is updated into two models corresponding to the healthy and damaged conditions, respectively, using the CMCM method according to the modal parameters of actual structure identified from the measured acceleration signals. Subsequently, the structural SEMV for each condition can be calculated from the updated model using the corresponding stiffness and mass correction factors, and then is utilized to form a new feature vector in which each element is calculated by dividing one element of SEMV in health condition by the corresponding element of SEMV in damage condition. Thus this vector can be viewed as a damage detection feature for its ability to identify the mass or stiffness variation between the healthy and damaged conditions. Finally, a numerical simulation and the laboratory experimental data from a test-bed structure at the Los Alamos National Laboratory were analyzed to verify the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed method. Both simulated and experimental results show that the proposed approach is able to detect the presence of structural mass and stiffness variation and to quantify the level of such changes.

• 한국지진공학회논문집
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• 제12권5호
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• pp.57-63
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• 2008

본 연구는 원자력발전소에 설치되는 캐비닛형 전기기기의 동적 진동시험 자료를 이용하여 캐비닛의 지진응답을 예측할 수 있는 기법을 제안하였다. 제안된 기법은 1) 절점질량 이상화 모델에 기반한 등가 지진하중 산정, 2) 진동시험자료에 기반한 캐비닛 구조의 입출력 상태방정식 규명, 3) 산정된 등가지진하중과 규명된 입출력 상태방정식을 사용한 지진응답산정의 과정으로 구성된다. 제안된 기법은 유한요소기법(FEM) 모델 개선(Model Updating)에 기반한 지진응답예측기법에 비하여 모델링 오차가 개입 되지 않는 장점을 가진다. 캐비넷 구조를 이상화한 2차원 프레임 모델과 3차원 상세 모델에 대한 수치검증을 통하여 제안된 기법이 지진응답을 매우 정확하게 예측을 함을 관찰하였고, 측정 노이즈에 대해서도 강인함을 관찰하였다. 추후연구로 실험검증이 요구된다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.511-519
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• 2019

The concrete gravity dam is one of the most important parts of the nation's infrastructure. Besides the benefits, the dam also has some potentially catastrophic disasters related to the life of citizens directly. During the lifetime of service, some degradations in a dam may occur as consequences of operating conditions, environmental aspects and deterioration in materials from natural causes, especially from dynamic loads. Cumulative Absolute Velocity (CAV) plays a key role to assess the operational condition of a structure under seismic hazard. In previous researches, CAV is normally used in Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) fields, but there are no particular criteria or studies that have been made on dam structure. This paper presents a method to calculate the limitation of CAV for the Bohyeonsan Dam in Korea, where the critical Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is estimated from twelve sets of selected earthquakes based on High Confidence of Low Probability of Failure (HCLPF). HCLPF point denotes 5% damage probability with 95% confidence level in the fragility curve, and the corresponding PGA expresses the crucial acceleration of this dam. For determining the status of the dam, a 2D finite element model is simulated by ABAQUS. At first, the dam's parameters are optimized by the Minitab tool using the method of Central Composite Design (CCD) for increasing model reliability. Then the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is used for updating the model and the optimization is implemented from the selected model parameters. Finally, the recorded response of the concrete gravity dam is compared against the results obtained from solving the numerical model for identifying the physical condition of the structure.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.61-68
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• 2024

국내 경부선 및 호남선의 고속철도교량은 대부분 PSC-box 형식으로 설계되어 있고, 경간장35~40m인 경우 약 4~5Hz 정도의 1차 휨 고유진동수를 가지고 있다. 이때 KTX 고속열차가 290~310 km/h 속도로 주행할 경우, 열차에 의한 가진 진동수가 교량의 1차 휨 고유진동수에 근접하면서 공진 유사 현상이 발생하게 된다. KTX와 함께 향후 운행예정인 EMU-320 고속열차의 증속에 대해서도 철도교량의 동적 응답을 통한 안전성 분석이 필요한 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 실제 철도교량에서 계측된 응답을 기반으로 구조해석모델 개선 기법을 통해 대상 철도교량과 거동이 유사한 해석모델을 구현하였다. 개선된 구조해석모델은 고속철도교량에 KTX가 주행할 때 계측된 응답과 비교하여 검증하고, 이를 통해 KTX와 EMU-320 고속열차가 증속할 경우 동적 응답 특성을 분석하였다. 또한, 결과적으로, 교량 중앙부의 최대 수직변위와 가속도의 변화는 철도설계기준과 비교하여 주행 안전성을 평가하였다.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.207-217
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• 2017

Because of the inevitable uncertainties such as structural parameters, external excitations and measurement noises, the effects of uncertainties should be taken into consideration in structural damage detection. In this paper, two probabilistic structural damage detection approaches are proposed to account for the underlying uncertainties in structural parameters and external excitation. The first approach adopts the statistical moment-based structural damage detection (SMBDD) algorithm together with the sensitivity analysis of the damage vector to the uncertain parameters. The approach takes the advantage of the strength SMBDD, so it is robust to measurement noise. However, it requests the number of measured responses is not less than that of unknown structural parameters. To reduce the number of measurements requested by the SMBDD algorithm, another probabilistic structural damage detection approach is proposed. It is based on the integration of structural damage detection using temporal moments in each time segment of measured response time history with the sensitivity analysis of the damage vector to the uncertain parameters. In both approaches, probability distribution of damage vector is estimated from those of uncertain parameters based on stochastic finite element model updating and probabilistic propagation. By comparing the two probability distribution characteristics for the undamaged and damaged models, probability of damage existence and damage extent at structural element level can be detected. Some numerical examples are used to demonstrate the performances of the two proposed approaches, respectively.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제81권5호
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• pp.617-631
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• 2022

In this paper the viscoelastic responses of four experimental steel-concrete composite beams subjected to highly variable environmental conditions are investigated by means of a finite element (FE) model. Concrete specimens submitted to stepped stress changes are also evaluated to validate the current formulations. Here, two well-known approaches commonly used to solve the viscoelastic constitutive relationship for concrete are employed. The first approach directly solves the integral-type form of the constitutive equation at the macroscopic level, in which aging is included by updating material properties. The second approach is postulated from a rate-type law based on an age-independent Generalized Kelvin rheological model together with Solidification Theory, using a micromechanical based approach. Thus, conceptually both approaches include concrete hardening in two different manners. The aim of this work is to compare and analyze the numerical prediction in terms of long-term deflections of the studied specimens according to both approaches. To accomplish this goal, the performance of several well-known model codes for concrete creep and shrinkage such as ACI 209, CEB-MC90, CEB-MC99, B3, GL 2000 and FIB-2010 are evaluated by means of statistical bias indicators. It is shown that both approaches with minor differences acceptably match the long-term experimental deflection and are able to capture complex oscillatory responses due to variable temperature and relative humidity. Nevertheless, the use of an age-independent scheme as proposed by Solidification Theory may be computationally more advantageous.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제13권5호통권57호
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• pp.109-120
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• 2009

본 논문은 외부 긴장된 긴장재의 손실 긴장력 추정에 대한 새로운 방법을 소개한다. 제안된 방법은 HGA과 FEM이 조합된 시스템 인식 기법으로 외부긴장된 긴장재의 손실된 긴장력이 추정된다. 제안된 기법의 인식변수로는 외부긴장 긴장재의 긴장력, 유효공칭직경, 단위길이당 질량과 레일리 감쇠 계수가 사용되었다. 첫째로 감쇠의 효과가 적용된 유한요소 모델 시스템을 모형화되고, 시스템 인식변수를 반복적으로 추정하는 역해석 기법을 이용하여 인식하게 된다. 마지막으로 3번의 수치실험을 통하여, 제안기법의 수치적 타당성 여부가 확인된다. 이때, 레일리 감쇠 계수를 제외한 인식변수들의 오차는 1%미만으로 인식된다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제56권6호
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• pp.1950-1958
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• 2024

For the pressurized water reactor two-step calculation, the traditional assembly homogenization and two-group neutron diffusion calculation have been widely used. When it comes to the core pin-by-pin simulation, many models and techniques are different and unsettled. In this paper, the homogenization methods based on the pin discontinuity factors and super homogenization factors are used to get the pin-cell homogenized parameters. The heterogeneous leakage model is applied to modify the infinite flux spectrum of the single assembly with reflective boundary condition and to determine the diffusion coefficients for the SP3 solver which is used in the core simulation. To reduce the environment effect of the single-assembly reflective boundary condition, the online method for the SPH factors updating is applied in this paper, and the functionalization of SPH factors based on the least-squares method will be pre-made alone with the table of the group constants. The fitting function will be used to update the thermal-group SPH factors with a whole-core pin-by-pin homogeneous solution online. The three-dimensional Watts Bar Nuclear Unit 1 (WBN1) problem was utilized to test the performance of pin-by-pin calculation. And numerical results have demonstrated that PWR pin-by-pin core calculation has more accurate results compared with the traditional assembly-homogenization scheme.