• 제목/요약/키워드: North Korean Missiles

검색결과 28건 처리시간 0.019초

한국해군의 새로운 도전과 기동전단의 발전 방향 (The New Challenges for the Republic of Korea Navy and the Development of Maritime Task Flotilla's Force Development)

  • 김덕기
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권39호
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    • pp.163-197
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    • 2016
  • The completion of Jeju Naval Base on February 2016 made the Republic of Korea Navy(ROKN) review the size and role of the Maritime Task Flotilla(MTF). The new strategic environment for the 12st century and the new challenges require the Navy to counter North Korea's provocations and prevent potential enemy's threat. The Navy is also required to take part in the variety of international roles and missions commensurated with Korea's global status to maximize the national interest. Despite these changes, Korea's military construction concept is still unable to break away from the old paradigm of the North Korean threat largely centered. In order to develop the current MTF into the Task Group with the construction of Jeju Naval Base, the Navy must newly not only establish new force development plan and fleet management concepts but also go to persuade and convince policy decision makers. To this end, the following efforts should be promoted. First, the ROK Navy steps up efforts in order to share with the Task Group's vision and strategy. The Navy should also provide the size and structure as well as the missions and roles of the Task Group to react to new maritime security environment. Second, the Navy analyse the MTF's ability and what is required and necessary to perform its duty. After that, it must set out the direction of the Task Group's force development. Third, the current missions and roles of the MTF should be re-established to respond various threats. Finally, accommodating of new technology to the MTF should intensify its strengths. The ROK Navy has a mixed force structure consisting of three fixed- base fleets and a MTF. The fixed base fleet has a passive force to defend and protect its own sea areas, but the MTF should actively not only counter North Korea's threats, including ballistic missiles, but also fight potential threats and takes international missions as a primary task force. However, the MTF has a limited capability to accomplish given missions and long-range operations, and thus, the ROK Navy is strongly required to construct the Task Group.

A Research on the Nuclear Deterrence Strategy of South Korea through Dispute of India and Pakistan

  • Dong-Kwon Cho;Young-Hwan Ryu;Sin-Young Yu
    • 방사선산업학회지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.411-416
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    • 2023
  • From Cold War, Nuclear weapons have emerged military power into a very dangerous and important way of each national security. Throughout the era, the U.S. had stationed nuclear weapons in South Korea. But President George Bush initially started the withdrawal of nuclear tactical weapons deployed abroad in 1991. After that, under the protection of the nuclear umbrella, South Korea guarantees that the United States would operate its nuclear weapons to protect South Korea if it would be needed and the economy of South Korea has rapidly developed as more strong countries in the world. However, South Korea has seen and been realized the present state from the recent war between Russia and Ukraine. The protection of the U.S. nuclear umbrella from nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles of North Korea is unlikely to be permanently guaranteed. At the same time, South Korea should consider the security environment changes of surrounding nations such as China as military power acceleration and Russia as re-formation ambition. Because of these reasons, South Korea independently wants to protect itself and have the own nuclear weapons as a way to counter security threats. A majority of South Koreans also definitely believe that North Korea will not denuclearize or give up because North Korea has been having nuclear weapons as the final survival strategy of Kim Jong Un's regime. However, South Korea considers and makes new nuclear strategy through the role and effect of nuclear deterrence strategy in dispute between India and Pakistan and how to overcome the paradox of nuclear deterrence strategy. Therefore, this research is to suggest the effective nuclear deterrence strategy of South Korea from new security threats of surrounding nations through dispute between India and Pakistan. The focus of this research is that what is the role and paradox of nuclear deterrence strategy in dispute between India and Pakistan and how to find the effective nuclear deterrence strategy of South Korea.

극초음속 무기체계의 개발 경쟁과 국가 안보의 함의 (Hypersonic Weapons and National Security)

  • 손현승;이호일;고덕곤
    • 항공우주시스템공학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.56-69
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    • 2022
  • 주요 선진국들은 극초음속 무기체계 개발에 경쟁을 가속화하고 있다. 북한은 잠수함 발사 탄도 미사일을 탑재한 신형 잠수함 건조를 눈앞에 두고 있고, 한국은 핵추진 잠수함, 경 항공모함, 신형 미사일 개발 등 다양한 전력 증강 계획을 추진하고 있다. 동북 아시아 지역은 한국을 비롯하여, 북한, 미국, 중국, 러시아, 일본이 군사적 경쟁 속에서 긴장감을 늦출 수 없는 상황을 지속하고 있다. 이에 따라, 이들 국가들의 무기체계 개발 경쟁도 전 세계의 최고 수준을 보여주고 있으며, 그 중심에 한국이 놓여있다. 본 논문에서는 주요 국가들이 개발 경쟁을 하고 있는 극초음속 무기체계가 왜 필요한지 기술적 분석을 통해 그 의미를 알아보고, 한국군이 추구하고자 하는 군사력 발전 방향을 분석해 본다. 그리고 극초음속 무기체계 개발을 위해 극복해야 하는 기술적 한계와 추진 전략에 대해 제안하고자 한다.

민방위 대피시설 계획 및 설계 방안에 관한 연구 1 - 민방위 대피시설의 현황 및 설계기준을 중심으로 - (A Study on the Planning of Civil Defense Shelter and Design 1 - On the ideas of the State of Civil Defense Shelter & Design Criteria -)

  • Park, Namkwun;Paik, Sungkun
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.358-365
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    • 2014
  • 북한은 화생방 무기체계운용의 경제성과 재래식 무기의 한계성을 인지하여 비대칭 전력을 활용한 대량살상무기에 대해 꾸준한 준비를 하고 있는 상황이다. 그러나 현재의 민방위 대피시설은 실질적으로 재래식 폭탄 및 미사일 등에 대한 위협만을 고려하고 있으며, 화생방 및 각종 테러 등의 재난 발생 시 적절하게 대응하지 못하여 민간의 피해를 가중시킬 수 있는 위험성을 내포하고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 우리의 실정과 재난 특성에 따라 적절히 대응할 수 있는 민방위대피시설의 계획 및 설계 방안을 도출하기 위해 화생방 재난을 중심으로 민방위 대피시설의 현황 및 설계기준을 파악하였으며 연구를 통해 얻은 결과 및 제안사항을 제시하고 있다.

유도탄의 실시간 표적 재지정을 위한 랜덤 포레스트 기법과 시뮬레이션 기반 효과 분석 (Random Forest Method and Simulation-based Effect Analysis for Real-time Target Re-designation in Missile Flight)

  • 이한강;장재연;안재민;김창욱
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2018
  • 북한의 전술탄도미사일(TBM, tactical ballistic missile)에 대한 방공 분야 연구는 빠른 속도로 변화하는 전장 환경을 고려해야 한다. 아군 유도탄의 표적 재지정 연구는 동적인 전장에 대한 대응뿐만 아니라 아군 방어 자산의 효과적인 운용을 가능하게 한다. 현재까지 진행된 연구는 의사 결정 과정에서 중요한 역할을 하는 TBM의 명중 확률이 고정된 값이기 때문에 실시간 전장 상황을 대변하지 못한다. 따라서 본 연구는 실시간 전장 환경을 고려한 명중 확률을 기반으로 의사 결정을 내리는 표적 재지정 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안 방법론은 랜덤 포레스트와 무빙윈도우(moving window) 기법을 사용하여 현재 TBM의 위치 및 속도 정보로 TBM의 예상 궤적을 예측하는 궤적 예측 모형을 포함한다. 예상 명중 확률은 궤적 예측 모형과 유도탄의 시뮬레이터를 통해서 계산할 수 있으며, 계산된 명중 확률은 유도탄에 대한 표적 재지정 알고리즘의 의사결정 기준이 된다. 실험에서는 TBM 궤적 예측 모형에 사용한 방법론의 타당성이 검증되었으며, 표적 재지정 의사 결정 과정에서 제안된 모델을 통해 명중 확률을 사용하는 것의 우수성이 확인되었다.

한국형 미사일 방어체계 특성과 전략적 타격체계 효과를 고려한 다층방어 요격미사일 운용방안 연구 (A Study on the Operation Plan of Multi-layered Defense Interceptor Missiles considering the Korean Missile Defense System and the Strategic Strike System)

  • 서민수;마정목
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2021
  • 한국군은 북한의 탄도미사일 위협에 대응하기 위해 단층방어의 취약점을 보완할 수 있는 다층방어를 구성 중이다. 이에 따라 다층방어체계의 요격률을 극대화 할 수 있는 운용방안 연구가 필요하며, 한국형 미사일 방어체계의 운용방안을 연구하기 위해서는 한국군의 작전환경, 전략적 타격체계의 효과 등을 종합적으로 고려해야 할 것이다. 따라서 본 연구는 한국형 미사일 방어체계의 특성을 반영한 시뮬레이션을 구성하고 총 4가지 요격미사일 운용방안을 선정하여 비교분석 하였다. 시뮬레이션 결과, 탄도미사일 위협 추정량과 요격미사일 보유량, 전략적 타격체계의 효과를 종합적으로 고려하는 것이 다양한 상황에서 높은 요격률을 달성할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

집단안보체제의 형성 및 발전요인과 동아시아 안보체제의 변화 가능성 연구 (A Study on the Formation and Development of Collective Security System and the Possibility of Security System Shift in East Asia)

  • 오동건
    • 해양안보
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2023
  • 동북아시아에서는 '바큇살 구조'라 불리우는 미국 중심의 양자동맹체제가 지속되고 있다. 그러나 최근 급변하는 동아시아의 국제정세와 이에 대응하기 위해 국가들 간 다각도로 협력하는 양상들을 보았을 때, 이러한 동맹체제의 변화 가능성에 대해서 진단해 볼 필요성이 제기되었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 주 위협, 위협의 강도, 국가 간 신뢰도라는 요인을 바탕으로, 유럽과 동남아시아의 집단안보체제에 관한 사례연구 및 비교분석을 통해 이에 대한 영향을 분석하였다. 본 연구는 이를 바탕으로 동북아에서의 안보체제 변화 가능성에 대해서 연구를 진행하였으며, 현재의 갈등이 지속적으로 악화된다면 동북아를 넘어 동아시아 전반에서의 집단안보체제가 형성될 가능성이 분명히 존재한다고 보았다.

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중국군의 해양작전능력과 한국군의 과제 (PRC Maritime Operational Capability and the Task for the ROK Military)

  • 김민석
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권33호
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    • pp.65-112
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    • 2014
  • Recent trends show that the PRC has stepped aside its "army-centered approach" and placed greater emphasis on its Navy and Air Force for a wider range of operations, thereby reducing its ground force and harnessing its economic power and military technology into naval development. A quantitative growth of the PLA Navy itself is no surprise as this is not a recent phenomenon. Now is the time to pay closer attention to the level of PRC naval force's performance and the extent of its warfighting capacity in the maritime domain. It is also worth asking what China can do with its widening naval power foundation. In short, it is time to delve into several possible scenarios I which the PRC poses a real threat. With this in mind, in Section Two the paper seeks to observe the construction progress of PRC's naval power and its future prospects up to the year 2020, and categorize time frame according to its major force improvement trends. By analyzing qualitative improvements made over time, such as the scale of investment and the number of ships compared to increase in displacement (tonnage), this paper attempts to identify salient features in the construction of naval power. Chapter Three sets out performance evaluation on each type of PRC naval ships as well as capabilities of the Navy, Air Force, the Second Artillery (i.e., strategic missile forces) and satellites that could support maritime warfare. Finall, the concluding chapter estimates the PRC's maritime warfighting capability as anticipated in respective conflict scenarios, and considers its impact on the Korean Peninsula and proposes the directions ROK should steer in response. First of all, since the 1980s the PRC navy has undergone transitions as the focus of its military strategic outlook shifted from ground warfare to maritime warfare, and within 30 years of its effort to construct naval power while greatly reducing the size of its ground forces, the PRC has succeeded in building its naval power next to the U.S.'s in the world in terms of number, with acquisition of an aircraft carrier, Chinese-version of the Aegis, submarines and so on. The PRC also enjoys great potentials to qualitatively develop its forces such as indigenous aircraft carriers, next-generation strategic submarines, next-generation destroyers and so forth, which is possible because the PRC has accumulated its independent production capabilities in the process of its 30-year-long efforts. Secondly, one could argue that ROK still has its chances of coping with the PRC in naval power since, despite its continuous efforts, many estimate that the PRC naval force is roughly ten or more years behind that of superpowers such as the U.S., on areas including radar detection capability, EW capability, C4I and data-link systems, doctrines on force employment as well as tactics, and such gap cannot be easily overcome. The most probable scenarios involving the PRC in sea areas surrounding the Korean Peninsula are: first, upon the outbreak of war in the peninsula, the PRC may pursue military intervention through sea, thereby undermining efforts of the ROK-U.S. combined operations; second, ROK-PRC or PRC-Japan conflicts over maritime jurisdiction or ownership over the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands could inflict damage to ROK territorial sovereignty or economic gains. The PRC would likely attempt to resolve the conflict employing blitzkrieg tactics before U.S. forces arrive on the scene, while at the same time delaying and denying access of the incoming U.S. forces. If this proves unattainable, the PRC could take a course of action adopting "long-term attrition warfare," thus weakening its enemy's sustainability. All in all, thiss paper makes three proposals on how the ROK should respond. First, modern warfare as well as the emergent future warfare demonstrates that the center stage of battle is no longer the domestic territory, but rather further away into the sea and space. In this respect, the ROKN should take advantage of the distinct feature of battle space on the peninsula, which is surrounded by the seas, and obtain capabilities to intercept more than 50 percent of the enemy's ballistic missiles, including those of North Korea. In tandem with this capacity, employment of a large scale of UAV/F Carrier for Kill Chain operations should enhance effectiveness. This is because conditions are more favorable to defend from sea, on matters concerning accuracy rates against enemy targets, minimized threat of friendly damage, and cost effectiveness. Second, to maintain readiness for a North Korean crisis where timely deployment of US forces is not possible, the ROKN ought to obtain capabilities to hold the enemy attack at bay while deterring PRC naval intervention. It is also argued that ROKN should strengthen its power so as to protect national interests in the seas surrounding the peninsula without support from the USN, should ROK-PRC or ROK-Japan conflict arise concerning maritime jurisprudence. Third, the ROK should fortify infrastructures for independent construction of naval power and expand its R&D efforts, and for this purpose, the ROK should make the most of the advantages stemming from the ROK-U.S. alliance inducing active support from the United States. The rationale behind this argument is that while it is strategically effective to rely on alliance or jump on the bandwagon, the ultimate goal is always to acquire an independent response capability as much as possible.