• 제목/요약/키워드: Nonlinear Regression Model

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Prediction of unconfined compressive and Brazilian tensile strength of fiber reinforced cement stabilized fly ash mixes using multiple linear regression and artificial neural network

  • Chore, H.S.;Magar, R.B.
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.225-240
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents the application of multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) techniques for developing the models to predict the unconfined compressive strength (UCS) and Brazilian tensile strength (BTS) of the fiber reinforced cement stabilized fly ash mixes. UCS and BTS is a highly nonlinear function of its constituents, thereby, making its modeling and prediction a difficult task. To establish relationship between the independent and dependent variables, a computational technique like ANN is employed which provides an efficient and easy approach to model the complex and nonlinear relationship. The data generated in the laboratory through systematic experimental programme for evaluating UCS and BTS of fiber reinforced cement fly ash mixes with respect to 7, 14 and 28 days' curing is used for development of the MLR and ANN model. The data used in the models is arranged in the format of four input parameters that cover the contents of cement and fibers along with maximum dry density (MDD) and optimum moisture contents (OMC), respectively and one dependent variable as unconfined compressive as well as Brazilian tensile strength. ANN models are trained and tested for various combinations of input and output data sets. Performance of networks is checked with the statistical error criteria of correlation coefficient (R), mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). It is observed that the ANN model predicts both, the unconfined compressive and Brazilian tensile, strength quite well in the form of R, RMSE and MAE. This study shows that as an alternative to classical modeling techniques, ANN approach can be used accurately for predicting the unconfined compressive strength and Brazilian tensile strength of fiber reinforced cement stabilized fly ash mixes.

How Does Financial Development Impact Economic Growth in Pakistan?: New Evidence from Threshold Model

  • TARIQ, Rameez;KHAN, Muhammad Arshad;RAHMAN, Abdul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권8호
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 2020
  • This study examines the nonlinear relationship between financial development and economic growth in Pakistan using the threshold regression model for the period 1980-2017. We also employed quantile regression with 0.25, 0.50, and 0.75 quantiles of conditional distribution. The quantile regression is based on minimizing of sum of squared residuals. The result indicates that economic growth responds positively to financial development when the level of financial development surpasses the threshold value of 0.151. However, when financial development lies below the threshold value (that is, 0.151), its impact on economic growth is negative. Thus, when financial development of Pakistan surpasses the threshold level, it contributes more towards economic growth since greater level of financial development contributes more to boosts economic growth. This finding reveals that economic growth reacts differently to financial development, and the relationship between financial development and economic growth is U-shaped in Pakistan. Among the other variables, physical capital, labor force, and government expenditure exert a positive effect on economic growth. Furthermore, inflation rate and trade openness have an insignificant impact on economic growth. The results of quantile regression also confirm the non-linear relationship between financial development and economic growth in Pakistan. The finding of this study suggests revamping of financial sector policies in Pakistan.

Chloride penetration resistance of concrete containing ground fly ash, bottom ash and rice husk ash

  • Inthata, Somchai;Cheerarot, Raungrut
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 2014
  • This research presents the effect of various ground pozzolanic materials in blended cement concrete on the strength and chloride penetration resistance. An experimental investigation dealing with concrete incorporating ground fly ash (GFA), ground bottom ash (GBA) and ground rice husk ash (GRHA). The concretes were mixed by replacing each pozzolan to Ordinary Portland cement at levels of 0%, 10%, 20% and 40% by weight of binder. Three different water to cement ratios (0.35, 0.48 and 0.62) were used and type F superplasticizer was added to keep the required slump. Compressive strength and chloride permeability were determined at the ages of 28, 60, and 90 days. Furthermore, using this experimental database, linear and nonlinear multiple regression techniques were developed to construct a mathematical model of chloride permeability in concretes. Experimental results indicated that the incorporation of GFA, GBA and GRHA as a partial cement replacement significantly improved compressive strength and chloride penetration resistance. The chloride penetration of blended concrete continuously decreases with an increase in pozzolan content up to 40% of cement replacement and yields the highest reduction in the chloride permeability. Compressive strength of concretes incorporating with these pozzolans was obviously higher than those of the control concretes at all ages. In addition, the nonlinear technique gives a higher degree of accuracy than the linear regression based on statistical parameters and provides fairly reasonable absolute fraction of variance ($R^2$) of 0.974 and 0.960 for the charge passed and chloride penetration depth, respectively.

서포트벡터 기계를 이용한 이상치 진단 (Outlier Detection Using Support Vector Machines)

  • 서한손;윤민
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.171-177
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    • 2011
  • 실생활에서 얻어지는 자료에서 근사함수를 구성하기 위하여 모델링을 하기 전에 측정된 원자료로부터 이상치를 제거하는 것이 필요하다. 기존의 이상치 진단의 방법들은 시각화나 최대 잔차들을 이용해왔다. 그러나 종종 다차원의 입력자료를 가지는 비선형함수에 대한 이상치 진단은 좋지 않은 결과를 얻었다. 다차원 입력자료를 갖는 비선형함수에 대한 전형적인서포트 벡터 회귀에 기초한 이상치 진단방법들은 좋은 수행능력을 얻어지지만, 계산비용이나 모수들의 보정 등의 실질적인 문제점들을 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서 계산비용을 감소하고 이상치의 문턱을 적절히 정의하는 서포트 벡터회귀를 이용한 이상치 진단의 실질적인방법을 제안한다. 제안한 방법을 실제자료들에 적용하여 타당성을 보일 것이다.

감마과정 모델을 적용한 포구속도 저하량에 따른 저장수명 예측기법 연구 (A Study on the Storage Life Estimation Method for Decrease of Muzzle Velocity using Gamma Process Model)

  • 박성호;김재훈
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.639-645
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    • 2013
  • The aim of the study is to investigate the method to estimate a storage life of propelling charge on the decrease of muzzle velocity by stochastic gamma process model. It is required to establish criterion for state failure to estimate the storage life and it is defined in this paper as a muzzle velocity difference between reference value and maximum allowable standard deviation multiplied by 6. The relationship between storage time and muzzle velocity is investigated by nonlinear regression analysis. The stochastic gamma process model is used to estimated the state distribution and the life distribution for storage time for 155mm propelling charge KM4A2 because the regression analysis is a deterministic method and it can't describe the distribution of life for storage time.

비선형 회귀모형에서 오차의 분산에 따른 예비검정 추정방법 (Preliminary test estimation method accounting for error variance structure in nonlinear regression models)

  • 유혜원;임창원
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.595-611
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    • 2016
  • 일반적으로 독성학 또는 약리학에서는 자료를 분석할 때 Hill Model과 같은 비선형 회귀모형을 사용한다. 비선형 회귀모형에서 모수의 추정량과 그것의 불확실성(uncertainty)에 대한 측도의 추정은 오차의 분산 구조에 영향을 받게 된다. 따라서 자료가 등분산인지 혹은 이분산인지에 따라 사용하여야 할 추정 방법이 달라져야 한다. 그러나 일반적으로 자료를 실제로 분석하기 전에는 오차의 분산구조에 대해서 잘 알 수 없다. 그러므로 오차의 분산구조에 로버스트한 추정 방법을 개발하는 것은 중요한 문제이다. 본 논문에서는 예비검정 방법을 기반으로 한 비선형 회귀모형에서의 모수 추정 방법을 제안하였다. 오차 분산의 등분산성에 대한 간단한 예비검정의 결과에 따라 보통 최소제곱 추정(ordinary Least Square Estimation) 방법과 반복 가중 최소제곱 추정(iterative weighted least square estimation) 방법을 사용하는 추정량을 정의하였다. 제안된 추정량은 모의실험 연구를 통하여 기존의 표준적인 추정량들과 그 성능을 비교하였다. 또한 미국의 National Toxicology Program으로부터 얻어진 실제자료를 사용하여 추정 방법들을 비교하였다.

농업수리구조물의 적정설계홍수량 유도를 위한 유출수문곡선 모형의 개발(II) (Development of Runoff Hydrograph Model for the Derivation of Optimal Design Flood of Agricultural Hydraulic Structures(II))

  • 이순혁;박명근;맹승진
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.112-126
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    • 1996
  • This study was conducted to develop an optimal runoff bydrograph model by comparison of the peak discharge and time to peak between observed and simulated flows derived by four different models, that is, linear time-invariant, linear time-variant, nonlinear time-invariant and nonlinear time-variant models under the conditions of heavy rainfalls with regionally uniform rainfall intensity in short durations at nine small watersheds. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follows. 1. Parameters for four models including linear time-invariant, linear time-variant, nonlinear time-invariant and nonlinear time-variant models were calibrated using a trial and error method with rainfall and runoff data for the applied watersheds. Regression analysis among parameters, rainfall and watershed characteristics were established for both linear time-invariant and nonlinear time-invariant models. 2. Correlation coefficients of the simulated peak discharge of calibrated runoff hydrographs by using four models were shown to be a high significant to the peak of observed runoff graphs. Especially, it can be concluded that the simulated peak discharge of a linear time-variant model is approaching more closely to the observed runoff hydrograph in comparison with those of three models in the applied watersheds. 3. Correlation coefficients of the simulated time to peak of calibrated runoff hydrographs by using a linear time-variant model were shown to be a high significant to the time to peak of observed runoff hydrographs than those of the other models. 4. The peak discharge and time to peak of simulated runoff hydrogaphs by using linear time-variant model are verified to be approached more closely to those of observed runoff hydrographs than those of three models in the applied watersheds. 5. It can be generally concluded that the shape of simulated hydrograph based on a linear time-variant model is getting closer to the observed runoff hydrograph than those of three models in the applied watersheds. 6. Simulated hydrographs using the nonlinear time-variant model which is based on more closely to the theoritical background of the natural runoff process are not closer to the observed runoff hydrographs in comparison with those of three models in the applied watersheds. Consequently, it is to be desired that futher study for the nonlinear time-variant model should be continued with verification using rainfall-runoff data of the other watersheds in addition to the review of analyical techniques.

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Predicting strength of SCC using artificial neural network and multivariable regression analysis

  • Saha, Prasenjit;Prasad, M.L.V.;Kumar, P. Rathish
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2017
  • In the present study an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was used to predict the compressive strength of self-compacting concrete. The data developed experimentally for self-compacting concrete and the data sets of a total of 99 concrete samples were used in this work. ANN's are considered as nonlinear statistical data modeling tools where complex relationships between inputs and outputs are modeled or patterns are found. In the present ANN model, eight input parameters are used to predict the compressive strength of self-compacting of concrete. These include varying amounts of cement, coarse aggregate, fine aggregate, fly ash, fiber, water, super plasticizer (SP), viscosity modifying admixture (VMA) while the single output parameter is the compressive strength of concrete. The importance of different input parameters for predicting the strengths at various ages using neural network was discussed in the study. There is a perfect correlation between the experimental and prediction of the compressive strength of SCC based on ANN with very low root mean square errors. Also, the efficiency of ANN model is better compared to the multivariable regression analysis (MRA). Hence it can be concluded that the ANN model has more potential compared to MRA model in developing an optimum mix proportion for predicting the compressive strength of concrete without much loss of material and time.

Characterization of Quintinite Particles in Fluoride Removal from Aqueous Solutions

  • Kim, Jae-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Ann;Kang, Jin-Kyu;Son, Jeong-Woo;Yi, In-Geol;Kim, Song-Bae
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 2014
  • The aim of this study was to characterize quintinite in fluoride removal from aqueous solutions, using batch experiments. Experimental results showed that the maximum adsorption capacity of fluoride to quintinite was 7.71 mg/g. The adsorption of fluoride to quintinite was not changed at pH 5-9, but decreased considerably in highly acidic (pH < 3) and alkaline (pH > 11) solution conditions. Kinetic model analysis showed that among the three models (pseudo-first-order, pseudo-second-order, and Elovich), the pseudo-second-order model was the most suitable for describing the kinetic data. From the nonlinear regression analysis, the pseudo-second-order parameter values were determined to be $q_e=0.18mg/g$ and $k_2=28.80g/mg/hr$. Equilibrium isotherm model analysis demonstrated that among the three models (Langmuir, Freundlich, and Redlich-Peterson), both the Freundlich and Redlich-Peterson models were suitable for describing the equilibrium data. The model analysis superimposed the Redlich-Peterson model fit on the Freundlich fit. The Freundlich model parameter values were determined from the nonlinear regression to be $K_F=0.20L/g$ and 1/n=0.51. This study demonstrated that quintinite could be used as an adsorbent for the removal of fluoride from aqueous solutions.

지역가중다항식을 이용한 예측모형 (Locally Weighted Polynomial Forecasting Model)

  • 문영일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2000
  • 수문변량 사이의 관계는 대부분 비선형 관계를 보이고 있다. 일반적으로 이런 비선형 관계는 어떤 선행하는 명백한 하나의 함수적인 형태로 표현할 수 없는 것이 일반적이다. 본 논문에서는, 비매개변수적 다변량 회귀분석 방법을 지역적으로 가중된 다항식을 이용하여 비선형 예상 함수를 추정하였다. 지역적으로 가중된 다항식은 추정치 각 점에서의 인접한 이웃자료를 가지고 목적 함수를 테일러 급수 확장을 통하여 고려하였다. 이런 비매개변수적 회귀분석을 실용성을 Great Salt Lake의 격주 체적자료에 대한 단기간 예측을 통하여 보여주었다.

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