빅데이터와 딥러닝을 활용한 동물 감염병 확산 차단 (Animal Infectious Diseases Prevention through Big Data and Deep Learning)
-
- 지능정보연구
- /
- 제24권4호
- /
- pp.137-154
- /
- 2018
조류인플루엔자와 구제역 같은 동물감염병은 거의 매년 발생하며 국가에 막대한 경제적 사회적 손실을 일으키고 있다. 이를 예방하기 위해서 그간 방역당국은 다양한 인적, 물적 노력을 기울였지만 감염병은 지속적으로 발생해 왔다. 최근 빅데이터와 딥러닝 기술을 활용하여 감염병의 예측모델을 개발하고자 하는 시도가 시작되고 있지만, 실제로 활용가능한 모델구축 연구와 사례보고는 활발히 진행되고 있지 않은 실정이다. KT와 과학기술정보통신부는 2014년부터 국가 R&D사업의 일환으로 축산관련 차량의 이동경로를 분석하여 예측하는 빅데이터 사업을 수행하고 있다. 동물감염병 예방을 위하여 연구진은 최초에는 차량이동 데이터를 활용한 회귀분석모델을 기반으로 한 예측모델을 개발하였다. 이후에는 기계학습을 활용하여 좀 더 정확한 예측 모델을 구성하였다. 특히, 2017년 예측모델에서는 시설물에 대한 확산 위험도를 추가하였고 모델링의 하이퍼 파라미터를 다양하게 고려하여 모델의 성능을 높였다. 정오분류표와 ROC 커브를 확인한 결과, 기계 학습 모델보다 2017년 구성된 모형이 우수함을 확인 할 수 있었다. 또한 2017에는 결과에 대한 설명을 추가하여 방역당국의 의사결정을 돕고 이해관계자를 설득할 수 있는 근거를 확보하였다. 본 연구는 빅데이터를 활용하여 동물감염병예방시스템을 구축한 사례연구로 모델주요변수값, 이에따른 실제예측성능결과, 그리고 상세하게 기술된 시스템구축 프로세스는 향후 감염병예방 영역의 지속적인 빅데이터활용 및 분석 모델 개발에 기여할 수 있을 것이다. 또한 본 연구에서 구축한 시스템을 통해 보다 사전적이고 효과적인 방역을 할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.
The wall shear stress in the vicinity of end-to end anastomoses under steady flow conditions was measured using a flush-mounted hot-film anemometer(FMHFA) probe. The experimental measurements were in good agreement with numerical results except in flow with low Reynolds numbers. The wall shear stress increased proximal to the anastomosis in flow from the Penrose tubing (simulating an artery) to the PTFE: graft. In flow from the PTFE graft to the Penrose tubing, low wall shear stress was observed distal to the anastomosis. Abnormal distributions of wall shear stress in the vicinity of the anastomosis, resulting from the compliance mismatch between the graft and the host artery, might be an important factor of ANFH formation and the graft failure. The present study suggests a correlation between regions of the low wall shear stress and the development of anastomotic neointimal fibrous hyperplasia(ANPH) in end-to-end anastomoses. 30523 T00401030523 ^x Air pressure decay(APD) rate and ultrafiltration rate(UFR) tests were performed on new and saline rinsed dialyzers as well as those roused in patients several times. C-DAK 4000 (Cordis Dow) and CF IS-11 (Baxter Travenol) reused dialyzers obtained from the dialysis clinic were used in the present study. The new dialyzers exhibited a relatively flat APD, whereas saline rinsed and reused dialyzers showed considerable amount of decay. C-DAH dialyzers had a larger APD(11.70
The wall shear stress in the vicinity of end-to end anastomoses under steady flow conditions was measured using a flush-mounted hot-film anemometer(FMHFA) probe. The experimental measurements were in good agreement with numerical results except in flow with low Reynolds numbers. The wall shear stress increased proximal to the anastomosis in flow from the Penrose tubing (simulating an artery) to the PTFE: graft. In flow from the PTFE graft to the Penrose tubing, low wall shear stress was observed distal to the anastomosis. Abnormal distributions of wall shear stress in the vicinity of the anastomosis, resulting from the compliance mismatch between the graft and the host artery, might be an important factor of ANFH formation and the graft failure. The present study suggests a correlation between regions of the low wall shear stress and the development of anastomotic neointimal fibrous hyperplasia(ANPH) in end-to-end anastomoses. 30523 T00401030523 ^x Air pressure decay(APD) rate and ultrafiltration rate(UFR) tests were performed on new and saline rinsed dialyzers as well as those roused in patients several times. C-DAK 4000 (Cordis Dow) and CF IS-11 (Baxter Travenol) reused dialyzers obtained from the dialysis clinic were used in the present study. The new dialyzers exhibited a relatively flat APD, whereas saline rinsed and reused dialyzers showed considerable amount of decay. C-DAH dialyzers had a larger APD(11.70
This study was conducted to determine the factors affecting job satisfaction in workers by using the Job Stress Model proposed by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH). Data were collected from December 1 to December 30, 1999. The subjects were 2,133 workers employed at 155 work sites, who were examined using NIOSH Job Stress questionnaire translated by the Korea Occupational Safety
IFRS에 따른 재무제표 작성은 연결재무제표의 주재무제표화, 원칙중심의 회계처리기준 등으로 인해 재무제표 본문의 간략화 및 다양화, 상세내역 및 비재무사항 주석기재 요구량 증대 등 공시 전반에 걸친 중요성이 높아지고 있다. 한편 K-IFRS체제하의 적정공시 방향에 대한 기존의 연구와 검토들은 IFRS 전면도입의 당위론적 배경과 제도변화 초기상황이라는 시기적 요인에 따라 기준제정기구나 감독기관 중심으로 공시요구사항 증대나 정보의 완전성(completeness) 측면에 초점을 두고 전개되어 온 것이 사실이다. 이에, 본 연구는 기존의 접근에 더하여 보고기업 및 정보이용자의 관점에서 보다 균형적인 IFRS 적용에 따른 적정공시 방향성을 도출하고자 하였다. 먼저 주요기업 재무공시 실태 검토 결과, 2010년, 2011년 재무공시에서 다수의 미준수사항 또는 권고할 사항이 지적되었다. 이러한 원인으로는 IFRS 기준의 성격에 따른 문제, 업종별 기업별 특성에 따른 문제, IFRS 도입비용 및 촉박한 공시기한 등 공시기업의 부담 측면이 지적될 수 있으며, 이는 정보이용자 입장에서의 이해가능성 및 활용도, 비교가능성 저하를 일으키는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 실태의 개선을 위해, 제도의 완화/지원 측면에서 적용대상 기업의 추가 세분화 필요성 검토, 주석공시 내용과 범위 조정, 공시시기 조정 및 다원화, 공시환경 및 인센티브 지원 방안이 제안되었으며, 공시요구 강화 측면에서 기업, 정보이용자 참여비중 확대를 반영한 K-IFRS 제정체계 개선과 표준화된 세부양식 정의 및 적용의무화 필요성이 제시되었다.
In 1997 when cloned sheep Dolly and soon after Polly were born, it had become head-line news because in the former the nucleus that gave rise to the lamb came from cells of six-year-old adult sheep and in the latter case a foreign gene was inserted into the donor nucleus to make the cloned sheep produce human protein, factor IX, in e milk. In the last few years, once the realm of science fiction, cloned mammals especially in livestock have become almost commonplace. What the press accounts often fail to convey, however, is that behind every success lie hundreds of failures. Many of the nuclear-transferred egg cells fail to undergo normal cell divisions. Even when an embryo does successfully implant in the womb, pregnancy often ends in miscarriage. A significant fraction of the animals that are born die shortly after birth and some of those that survived have serious developmental abnormalities. Efficiency remains at less than one % out of some hundred attempts to clone an animal. These facts show that something is fundamentally wrong and enormous hurdles must be overcome before cloning becomes practical. Cloning researchers now tent to put aside their effort to create live animals in order to probe the fundamental questions on cell biology including stem cells, the questions of whether the hereditary material in the nucleus of each cell remains intact throughout development, and how transferred nucleus is reprogrammed exactly like the zygotic nucleus. Stem cells are defined as those cells which can divide to produce a daughter cell like themselves (self-renewal) as well as a daughter cell that will give rise to specific differentiated cells (cell-differentiation). Multicellular organisms are formed from a single totipotent stem cell commonly called fertilized egg or zygote. As this cell and its progeny undergo cell divisions the potency of the stem cells in each tissue and organ become gradually restricted in the order of totipotent, pluripotent, and multipotent. The differentiation potential of multipotent stem cells in each tissue has been thought to be limited to cell lineages present in the organ from which they were derived. Recent studies, however, revealed that multipotent stem cells derived from adult tissues have much wider differentiation potential than was previously thought. These cells can differentiate into developmentally unrelated cell types, such as nerve stem cell into blood cells or muscle stem cell into brain cells. Neural stem cells isolated from the adult forebrain were recently shown to be capable of repopulating the hematopoietic system and produce blood cells in irradiated condition. In plants although the term
Background: Cardiac arrest is one of the most critical diseases which can likely lead to severe cerebral disability or brain death when the cases can not recover their circulation within 10 minutes. Saving out-of-hospital cardiac arrest cases is a recent concern in Korea. Resuscitation has become an important multidisciplinary branch of medicine, demanding a spectrum of skills and attracting a plethora of specialities and organizations. The best survival can be achieved if all the following links have been optimized : rapid access, and early CPR, defibrillation and ACLS, Since the "Utstein Style" was advocated in 1991, many reports about out-of-hospital cardiac arrest have been published based on this guideline. These differences prevent valid inter-hospital and international comparisons. However, it is not known how effective resuscitation has become to the patients. In other words, there are no guidelines for reviewing, reporting, and conducting research on resuscitation in Korea. This dissertation aims to provide the basic data for a unified reporting guideline of resuscitation in Korea and evaluating the out-of-hospital factors associated with survival discharge of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Methods: As for this study, uses the collected data about Out-of-hospital cardiac arrests at 4 area, from January, 2005 to April. 2005. With a retrospective study, 174 cases were analyzed. The data was recorded based on the Out-of-Hospital Utstein Style. Results: Resuscitation was performed on 174 out-of-hospital cardiac arrest cases at the 4 area 14 patients(8.1%) recovered their spontaneous circulation. Overall, the ROSC of the out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients was 8.1%, which was poorer than that of western countries. Gender distribution was 50 females(28.7%) and 124 males(71.3%), approximately twice as many males as females. ROSC of witnessed arrests was found out to be 97.7%. The ratio of the witnessed arrest groups showed higher results than that of unwitnessed arrest groups in the above-examined cases. Cardiac etiology consisted of cardiac(33.5%), non-cardiac(45.7%), trauma(20.1%), and unknown(6.0%). Cardiac was the best performance. Initial rhythm showed Ventricular Tachycardia/pulseless Ventricular Fibrillation in 8 patients(6.0%), asystole in 100(75.2%) and unknown in 25(18.8%). The results of the Ventricular Tachycardia/pulseless Ventricular Fibrillation showed higher results than the others cases, The proportion of the cardiogenic cause was 33.5%, which was only half of western countries. Ventricular Tachycardia/pulseless Ventricular Fibrillation is relatively rare. These differences were due to the prevalent pattern of Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest as well as prematurity of the EMSS. Bystander CPR was practiced on 13 patients(7.52%). ROSC was shown in 46.2% cases. CPR by EMT was carried out on 167 cases(96.5%). ACLS by EMf was rare. From collapse, 4 cases(2.6%) arrived to ED within 6 minutes. 13 (8.6%) within 10 minutes, and 49(32.5%) over 31 minutes. The sooner the patients arrived, the greater the ratio of ROSC and discharged alive became, and the same with collapse time to ROSC. As the results of the logistic regression analysis, ROSC was found out to be highly influenced by the time of ED arrival from collapse and Ventricular Tachycardia/pulseless Ventricular Fibrillation. Therefore, the ratio of ROSC depends on not any single factor but various intervention factors. Conclusion: This dissertation presents the following suggestions and directions of the study hereafter. First, the first step for a chain of survival should be taken to activate EMSS early with a phone as soon as cardiac arrests are witnessed. Second, it is keenly needed that emergency medical technicians should be increased through emergency education for living. Third, it is necessary to establish the emergency transportation system. Fourth, most of the Koreans have little understanding of EMT and the present operation systems have many problems, which should be fundamentally changed. Fifth, it is required to have an active medical control over Out-of-hospital CPR, And proper psychological supports should be given not only to patients themselves and their family but also individuals who are engaged in emergency situation. Finally, through studies hereafter on nationwide, comprehensive, and standard forms, it is needed to examine into the biological figures of human body, causes and trends of cardiac arrests, and then, to enhance the survival rate of Out-of-hospital cardiac arrests. Korean guidelines for Cardiopulmonary resuscitation need to be made.
Hybrid rockets have lately attracted attention as a strong candidate of small, low cost, safe and reliable launch vehicles. A significant topic is that the first commercially sponsored space ship, SpaceShipOne vehicle chose a hybrid rocket. The main factors for the choice were safety of operation, system cost, quick turnaround, and thrust termination. In Japan, five universities including Hokkaido University and three private companies organized "Hybrid Rocket Research Group" from 1998 to 2002. Their main purpose was to downsize the cost and scale of rocket experiments. In 2002, UNISEC (University Space Engineering Consortium) and HASTIC (Hokkaido Aerospace Science and Technology Incubation Center) took over the educational and R&D rocket activities respectively and the research group dissolved. In 2008, JAXA/ISAS and eleven universities formed "Hybrid Rocket Research Working Group" as a subcommittee of the Steering Committee for Space Engineering in ISAS. Their goal is to demonstrate technical feasibility of lowcost and high frequency launches of nano/micro satellites into sun-synchronous orbits. Hybrid rockets use a combination of solid and liquid propellants. Usually the fuel is in a solid phase. A serious problem of hybrid rockets is the low regression rate of the solid fuel. In single port hybrids the low regression rate below 1 mm/s causes large L/D exceeding a hundred and small fuel loading ratio falling below 0.3. Multi-port hybrids are a typical solution to solve this problem. However, this solution is not the mainstream in Japan. Another approach is to use high regression rate fuels. For example, a fuel regression rate of 4 mm/s decreases L/D to around 10 and increases the loading ratio to around 0.75. Liquefying fuels such as paraffins are strong candidates for high regression fuels and subject of active research in Japan too. Nakagawa et al. in Tokai University employed EVA (Ethylene Vinyl Acetate) to modify viscosity of paraffin based fuels and investigated the effect of viscosity on regression rates. Wada et al. in Akita University employed LTP (Low melting ThermoPlastic) as another candidate of liquefying fuels and demonstrated high regression rates comparable to paraffin fuels. Hori et al. in JAXA/ISAS employed glycidylazide-poly(ethylene glycol) (GAP-PEG) copolymers as high regression rate fuels and modified the combustion characteristics by changing the PEG mixing ratio. Regression rate improvement by changing internal ballistics is another stream of research. The author proposed a new fuel configuration named "CAMUI" in 1998. CAMUI comes from an abbreviation of "cascaded multistage impinging-jet" meaning the distinctive flow field. A CAMUI type fuel grain consists of several cylindrical fuel blocks with two ports in axial direction. The port alignment shifts 90 degrees with each other to make jets out of ports impinge on the upstream end face of the downstream fuel block, resulting in intense heat transfer to the fuel. Yuasa et al. in Tokyo Metropolitan University employed swirling injection method and improved regression rates more than three times higher. However, regression rate distribution along the axis is not uniform due to the decay of the swirl strength. Aso et al. in Kyushu University employed multi-swirl injection to solve this problem. Combinations of swirling injection and paraffin based fuel have been tried and some results show very high regression rates exceeding ten times of conventional one. High fuel regression rates by new fuel, new internal ballistics, or combination of them require faster fuel-oxidizer mixing to maintain combustion efficiency. Nakagawa et al. succeeded to improve combustion efficiency of a paraffin-based fuel from 77% to 96% by a baffle plate. Another effective approach some researchers are trying is to use an aft-chamber to increase residence time. Better understanding of the new flow fields is necessary to reveal basic mechanisms of regression enhancement. Yuasa et al. visualized the combustion field in a swirling injection type motor. Nakagawa et al. observed boundary layer combustion of wax-based fuels. To understand detailed flow structures in swirling flow type hybrids, Sawada et al. (Tohoku Univ.), Teramoto et al. (Univ. of Tokyo), Shimada et al. (ISAS), and Tsuboi et al. (Kyushu Inst. Tech.) are trying to simulate the flow field numerically. Main challenges are turbulent reaction, stiffness due to low Mach number flow, fuel regression model, and other non-steady phenomena. Oshima et al. in Hokkaido University simulated CAMUI type flow fields and discussed correspondence relation between regression distribution of a burning surface and the vortex structure over the surface.
본 연구는 천연기념물 제374호 제주 평대리 비자나무 숲의 입지환경, 식생자원과 이용 및 관리현황을 조사하고, 현재 적용되는 관리구역에 대한 등급을 설정한 것으로써 다음과 같은 결과를 도출하였다. 첫째, 제주 평대리 비자나무 숲은 토지이용형태가 농업지역으로 변화하면서 대상지 주변지역으로의 개발압력에 의한 영향이 우려되며, 비자나무 숲 내 곶자왈지대는 종 다양성을 확보할 수 있는 기반요소로 원형보존의 관리계획 설정 및 지형의 변화를 야기하는 개발행위는 배제되어야 한다. 둘째, 제주 평대리 비자나무 숲의 소산식물상은 총 91과 263속 353종 41변종 8품종의 402분류군이 조사되었다. 이 중 환경부 지정 법정 멸종위기식물종 중 멸종위기식물 I II급에 해당하는 식물의 분포가 확인되었으나 현재의 서식처 변화 및 종의 병해, 불법 남획 등에 따른 개체 소실에 의해 비자나무 숲 내 종의 절멸 위험도 존재하므로 제주 평대리 비자나무 숲의 관리방안 설정 시 우선적으로 보호되어야 할 대상으로 고려되어야 한다. 셋째, 비자나무가 상관을 대표하는 식생구조를 나타내고 있으나, 노거수 위주의 영속적 관리와 보존전략은 빈약한 연령구조를 야기하였으며, 일부 구역의 인위적 관리에 의한 숲의 건조화, 자연적 천이에 의한 비자나무의 입지 감소 등의 문제점이 발생하는 바, 수목밀도의 조절 및 후계목 증식 등 제주 평대리 비자나무 숲의 특성을 유지할 수 있는 방안의 마련이 필요하다. 넷째, 이용에 따른 탐방로의 훼손이 발견되었으며, 특히 화산송이길의 훼손 및 분담율이 높게 나타났다. 따라서 화산송이의 단순한 보충보다는 현행 탐방로 외에 추가적인 관광루트 개발을 통한 분담율 완화 방안이 고려되어야 한다. 섯째, 제주 평대리 비자나무 숲의 관광요소 중 높은 선호도를 나타내는 식물적 요소는 이용에 관한 압력이 민감하게 작용하고, 비영속적인 특성상 지속적 모니터링이 필요하며, 추가적 관광요소 개발과 동시에 현재 높은 선호도를 나타내는 요소를 적극 활용하는 등의 방안이 마련되어야 한다. 여섯째, 보호강도별 중요도에 따라 I등급 지역은 존속개체군의 유지와 서식처의 훼손을 방지하고, II등급 지역은 연차별 숲의 재생을 위주로 관리방향을 설정하며, III등급 지역은 비자나무 시범림이나 후계목 증식을 위한 지역으로 설정되어야 한다. IV등급 지역은 고유 식생의 교란이 많이 발생하는 곳으로 부분별 휴식년제의 도입이 필요하다. V등급 지역은 비자나무 숲의 관광활용을 위한 서비스 공간 적지에 속한다. 상이한 등급의 지역 인접에 따른 가장자리효과에 대한 방안으로는 상대적으로 등급이 낮은 곳에 환경간섭을 피하기 위한 버퍼존의 설치와 주기적 모니터링이 요구된다.
인공지능(Artificial Intelligence)은 미래를 가장 크게 변화시킬 핵심 동력으로 산업 전반과 개인의 일상생활에 다양한 형태로 영향을 미치고 있다. 무엇보다 활용 가능한 데이터가 증가함에 따라 더욱더 많은 기업과 개인들이 인공지능 기술을 이용하여 데이터로부터 유용한 정보를 추출하고 이를 의사결정에 활용하고 있다. 인공지능에 관한 기존 연구는 모방 가능한 업무의 자동화에 초점을 두고 있으나, 인간을 배제한 자동화는 장점 못지않게 알고리즘 편향(Algorithms bias)으로 발생되는 오류나 자율성(Autonomy)의 한계점, 그리고 일자리 대체 등 사회적 부작용을 보여주고 있다. 최근 들어, 인간지능의 강화를 위한 증강 지능 (Augmented intelligence)으로서 인간과 인공지능의 협업에 관한 연구가 주목을 받고 있으며 기업도 관심을 가지기 시작하였다. 본 연구는 의사결정을 위해 조언(Advice)을 제공하는 조언자의 유형을 인간, 인공지능, 그리고 인간과 인공지능 협업의 세 가지로 나누고, 조언자의 유형과 의사결정자의 성격 특성이 의사결정에 미치는 영향을 살펴보았다. 311명의 실험자를 대상으로 사진 속 얼굴을 보고 나이를 예측하는 업무를 진행하였으며, 연구 결과 의사결정자가 조언활용을 하려면 먼저 조언의 유용성을 높게 인지하여하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 의사결정자의 성격 특성이 조언자 유형별로 조언의 유용성을 인지하고 조언을 활용하는 데에 미치는 영향을 살펴본 결과, 인간과 인공지능의 협업 형태인 경우 의사결정자의 성격 특성에 무관하게 조언의 유용성을 더 높게 인지하고 적극적으로 조언을 활용하는 것으로 나타났다. 인공지능 단독으로 활용될 경우에는 성격 특성 중 성실성과 외향성이 강하고 신경증이 낮은 의사결정자가 조언의 유용성을 더 높게 인지하고 조언을 활용하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 인공지능의 역할을 의사결정과 판단(Decision Making and Judgment) 연구 분야의 조언자의 역할로 보고 관련 연구를 확장하였다는데 학문적 의의가 있으며, 기업이 인공지능 활용 역량을 제고하기 위해 고려해야 할 점들을 제시하였다는데 실무적 의의가 있다.