• International Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.14-21
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• 2016

This paper presents research on predicting the possible intercept time for a Nodong missile based on its flight trajectory. North Korea possesses ballistic missiles of various ranges, and nuclear warhead miniaturization tests and ballistic missile launch tests conducted last year and in previous years have made these missiles into a serious security threat for the international community. With North Korea's current miniaturization skills, the range of the nuclear capable Nodong missiles can be adjusted according to their use goals and operating environment by using a variety of adjustment methods such as payload, fuel mass, Isp, loft angle, cut-off, etc., and therefore precise flight trajectory prediction is difficult. In this regards, this research performs model simulations of the flight trajectory of North Korea's domestically developed Nodong missiles and uses these as a basis for predicting the possible intercept times for major ballistic missile defense systems such as PAC-3, THAAD, and SM-3.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.590-597
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• 2013

For a lower tier defense, the distance between a launcher and an engagement control station is quite important to estimate the proper defense area and to effectively arrange missile launchers. In this paper, we have analyzed an effectiveness of anti-ballistic missile launcher arrangement for the lower tier defense against the ballistic missile. The operation concept, specific configuration and aerodynamic characteristics of the ballistic missile such as SCUD-B/C, Nodong are considered in order to develop a realistic engagement simulation. The diverse engagement results through numerical simulations are provided to conduct the effectiveness analysis of anti-ballistic missiles.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.1009-1017
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• 2011

A Ballistic Missile(BM) is a missile that follows a sub-orbital ballistic flightpath with the objective of delivering one or more wardheads to a predetermined target and An Anti-Ballistic Missile(ABM) is a missile designed to destroy a ballistic missile before reaching its target. The main objective of this study is to assess the requirement of ABM by considering both flight characteristic of the SCUD-B/C, Nodong missiles and intercept performance of ABM in the Lower tier Ballistic Missile Defense(BMD). The Ballistic Missile's flight characteristics, such as trajectory, velocity etc., are estimated by simulation using the physical motion equations. The requirement of ABM is calculated by evaluating whether the BMD forces can defend those when the ballistic missiles attack prime facilities.

• 한국항행학회논문지
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.134-140
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• 2016

본 연구는 항력을 고려한 탄도미사일의 비행궤적 특성에 대한 해석이다. 탄도미사일은 대부분 대기권 밖에서 초고속으로 비행하고 RCS가 작기 때문에 요격이 어렵다. 특히 부스트 및 종말단계에서는 급격한 항력의 변화에 따라 속도의 변화가 매우 커진다. 따라서 성공적인 탄도미사일 방어체계를 구축하기 위해서는 탄도미사일의 비행궤적 해석 시 항력 특성을 반드시 고려해야 한다. 이러한 관점에서 본 연구는 항력에 대한 특성을 분석하고, 이를 고려하여 스커드 B, C 및 노동미사일의 비행궤적 특성을 도출하였다. 탄도미사일의 비행궤적 모델은 지구 자전에 의한 코리올리힘과 원심력을 반영하였으며, 탄도미사일의 제원은 공개된 자료를 활용하였다.

• Strategy21
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• 통권40호
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• pp.82-114
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• 2016

The purpose of this article is to analyze the progress of North Korea's SLBM threat, and to assess the technological capacity and threat level of its SLBMs. Currently, North Korea has approximately 1000 ballistic missiles, such as the SCUD, Musudan, and Nodong, in stock. This article pays close attention to the background and strategical implication behind North Korea's obsession with developing SLBMs despite possessing sufficient means to launch provocations with its current arsenal of ground based ballistic missiles and conventional weapons. Based on the abovementioned analysis, this article will recommend possible response directions for the ROK Armed Forces to North Korea's SLBM threat. It is highly difficult to detect SLBMs due to its stealthy nature, as it is launched underwater after covert infiltration. North Korea's SLBM is considered a game changer in that even one SLBM can significantly change the strategic balance of North East Asia. North Korea's SLBM test launch in August has made a 500km flight, landing 80km inside the JADIZ (Japan Air Defense Identification Zone), and as such, it is assessed that North Korea already possesses underwater ejection and cold launch capabilities. The most realistic response to North Korea's imminent SLBM threat is bolstering anti-submarine capabilities. ROK Armed Forces need to upgrade its underwater kill-chain by modernizing and introducing new airborne anti-submarine assets and nuclear-powered submarines, among many options. Moreover, we should integrate SM-3 missiles with the Aegis Combat system that possess strong detection capabilities and flexibility, thereby establishing a sea-based Ballistic Missle Defense (BMD) system centered around the Aegis Combat System, as sea-based ballistic missile threats are best countered out in the seas. Finally, the capabilities gap that could arise as a result of budgetary concerns and timing of fielding new assets should be filled by establishing firm ROK-US-Japan combined defense posture.