• Title/Summary/Keyword: Neural Network Prediction System

Search Result 618, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

A Study on the Damping Loads Prediction to prevent Harmonic Resonance during the Power System Restoration (전력계통의 정전복구시 고조파 공진억제를 위한 완충부하투입량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Heung-Jae;Yu, Won-Kun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.62 no.7
    • /
    • pp.913-917
    • /
    • 2013
  • During the restoration process of primary restorative transmission system, some over voltages may happen due to nonlinear interaction between unloaded transformers and transmission systems. These over voltages caused by harmonic resonance can be suppressed by inserting damping loads before energizing transformers. But it is very difficult to predict the occurrence possibility of harmonic resonance and complex simulation must be repeated to estimate the sufficient damping loads. This paper presents a damping loads prediction system to prevent harmonic resonance. Detailed analysis of the relationship between harmonic resonance and the amount of damping loads is discussed. The prediction system is developed using a curve fitting and a neural network based on this relationship. A curve fitting used a Gaussian function based on non-linear least square method and multi-layer back-propagation neural network is applied. The system is applied to primary restorative transmission lines in korean power system and the result showed satisfactory performance.

A Novel Framework Based on CNN-LSTM Neural Network for Prediction of Missing Values in Electricity Consumption Time-Series Datasets

  • Hussain, Syed Nazir;Aziz, Azlan Abd;Hossen, Md. Jakir;Aziz, Nor Azlina Ab;Murthy, G. Ramana;Mustakim, Fajaruddin Bin
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.115-129
    • /
    • 2022
  • Adopting Internet of Things (IoT)-based technologies in smart homes helps users analyze home appliances electricity consumption for better overall cost monitoring. The IoT application like smart home system (SHS) could suffer from large missing values gaps due to several factors such as security attacks, sensor faults, or connection errors. In this paper, a novel framework has been proposed to predict large gaps of missing values from the SHS home appliances electricity consumption time-series datasets. The framework follows a series of steps to detect, predict and reconstruct the input time-series datasets of missing values. A hybrid convolutional neural network-long short term memory (CNN-LSTM) neural network used to forecast large missing values gaps. A comparative experiment has been conducted to evaluate the performance of hybrid CNN-LSTM with its single variant CNN and LSTM in forecasting missing values. The experimental results indicate a performance superiority of the CNN-LSTM model over the single CNN and LSTM neural networks.

A Study on the Prediction of Welded Residual Stresses using Neural Network (신경회로망을 이용한 용접잔류응력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 차용훈;김일수;김하식;이연신;김덕중;성백섭;서준열
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
    • /
    • v.9 no.6
    • /
    • pp.89-95
    • /
    • 2000
  • In order to achieve effective prediction of residual stresses, the series experiment were carried out and the residual stresses were measured using the backgpropagation algorithm from the neural network and the sectional method. Using the experimental results, the optimal control algorithms using a neural network should be developed in order to reduce the effect of the external disturbances on residual stresses during GMA welding processes. The results obtained from the comparison between the measured and calculated results, showed that the neural network based on backpropagation algorithm can be sued in order to control weld quality. This system can not only help to understand the interaction between the process parameters and residual stress, but also, improve the quantity control for welded structures. The development of the system is goal in this study.

  • PDF

Dynamics-Based Location Prediction and Neural Network Fine-Tuning for Task Offloading in Vehicular Networks

  • Yuanguang Wu;Lusheng Wang;Caihong Kai;Min Peng
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.17 no.12
    • /
    • pp.3416-3435
    • /
    • 2023
  • Task offloading in vehicular networks is hot topic in the development of autonomous driving. In these scenarios, due to the role of vehicles and pedestrians, task characteristics are changing constantly. The classical deep learning algorithm always uses a pre-trained neural network to optimize task offloading, which leads to system performance degradation. Therefore, this paper proposes a neural network fine-tuning task offloading algorithm, combining with location prediction for pedestrians and vehicles by the Payne model of fluid dynamics and the car-following model, respectively. After the locations are predicted, characteristics of tasks can be obtained and the neural network will be fine-tuned. Finally, the proposed algorithm continuously predicts task characteristics and fine-tunes a neural network to maintain high system performance and meet low delay requirements. From the simulation results, compared with other algorithms, the proposed algorithm still guarantees a lower task offloading delay, especially when congestion occurs.

Modeling of Strength of High Performance Concrete with Artificial Neural Network and Mahalanobis Distance Outlier Detection Method (신경망 이론과 Mahalanobis Distance 이상치 탐색방법을 이용한 고강도 콘크리트 강도 예측 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Jung-Eui
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.33 no.4
    • /
    • pp.122-129
    • /
    • 2010
  • High-performance concrete (HPC) is a new terminology used in concrete construction industry. Several studies have shown that concrete strength development is determined not only by the water-to-cement ratio but also influenced by the content of other concrete ingredients. HPC is a highly complex material, which makes modeling its behavior a very difficult task. This paper aimed at demonstrating the possibilities of adapting artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the comprresive strength of HPC. Mahalanobis Distance (MD) outlier detection method used for the purpose increase prediction ability of ANN. The detailed procedure of calculating Mahalanobis Distance (MD) is described. The effects of outlier compared with before and after artificial neural network training. MD outlier detection method successfully removed existence of outlier and improved the neural network training and prediction performance.

A Study on the Flexible Disk Deburring Process Arc Zone Parameter Prediction Using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 유연디스크 디버링가공 아크형상구간 인자예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Song-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
    • /
    • v.18 no.6
    • /
    • pp.681-689
    • /
    • 2009
  • Disk grinding was often applied to deburring process in order to enhance the final product quality. Inherent chamfering capability of the flexible disk grinding process in the early stage was analyzed with respect to various process parameters including workpiece length, wheel speed, depth of cut and feed. Initial chamfered edge defined as arc zone was characterized with local radius of curvature. Averaged radius and arc zone ratio was well evaluated using neural network system. Additional neural network analysis adding workpiece length showed enhance performance in predicting arc zone ratio and curvature radius with reduced error rate. A process condition design parameter was estimated using remaining input and output parameters with the prediction error rate lower than 2.0% depending on the relevant input parameter combination and neural network structure composition.

  • PDF

The Prediction and Analysis of the Power Energy Time Series by Using the Elman Recurrent Neural Network (엘만 순환 신경망을 사용한 전력 에너지 시계열의 예측 및 분석)

  • Lee, Chang-Yong;Kim, Jinho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.41 no.1
    • /
    • pp.84-93
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose an Elman recurrent neural network to predict and analyze a time series of power energy consumption. To this end, we consider the volatility of the time series and apply the sample variance and the detrended fluctuation analyses to the volatilities. We demonstrate that there exists a correlation in the time series of the volatilities, which suggests that the power consumption time series contain a non-negligible amount of the non-linear correlation. Based on this finding, we adopt the Elman recurrent neural network as the model for the prediction of the power consumption. As the simplest form of the recurrent network, the Elman network is designed to learn sequential or time-varying pattern and could predict learned series of values. The Elman network has a layer of "context units" in addition to a standard feedforward network. By adjusting two parameters in the model and performing the cross validation, we demonstrated that the proposed model predicts the power consumption with the relative errors and the average errors in the range of 2%~5% and 3kWh~8kWh, respectively. To further confirm the experimental results, we performed two types of the cross validations designed for the time series data. We also support the validity of the model by analyzing the multi-step forecasting. We found that the prediction errors tend to be saturated although they increase as the prediction time step increases. The results of this study can be used to the energy management system in terms of the effective control of the cross usage of the electric and the gas energies.

A Study on the Self-Evolving Expert System using Neural Network and Fuzzy Rule Extraction (인공신경망과 퍼지규칙 추출을 이용한 상황적응적 전문가시스템 구축에 관한 연구)

  • 이건창;김진성
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.231-240
    • /
    • 2001
  • Conventional expert systems has been criticized due to its lack of capability to adapt to the changing decision-making environments. In literature, many methods have been proposed to make expert systems more environment-adaptive by incorporating fuzzy logic and neural networks. The objective of this paper is to propose a new approach to building a self-evolving expert system inference mechanism by integrating fuzzy neural network and fuzzy rule extraction technique. The main recipe of our proposed approach is to fuzzify the training data, train them by a fuzzy neural network, extract a set of fuzzy rules from the trained network, organize a knowledge base, and refine the fuzzy rules by applying a pruning algorithm when the decision-making environments are detected to be changed significantly. To prove the validity, we tested our proposed self-evolving expert systems inference mechanism by using the bankruptcy data, and compared its results with the conventional neural network. Non-parametric statistical analysis of the experimental results showed that our proposed approach is valid significantly.

  • PDF

Software Vulnerability Prediction System Using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 소프트웨어 취약 여부 예측 시스템)

  • Choi, Minjun;Koo, Dongyoung;Yun, Joobeom
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.557-564
    • /
    • 2019
  • As the number and type of software increases, those security vulnerabilities are also increasing. Various types of software may have multiple vulnerabilities and those vulnerabilities as they can cause irrecoverable significant damage must be detected and deleted quickly. Various studies have been carried out to detect the vulnerability of the current software, but it is slow, and prediction accuracy is low. Therefore, in this paper, we describe a method to efficiently predict software vulnerability by using neural network algorithm and compare prediction accuracy with conventional system using machine learning algorithm. As a result of the experiment, the prediction system proposed in this paper showed the highest prediction rate.

NEURAL NETWORK DYNAMIC IDENTIFICATION OF A FERMENTATION PROCESS

  • Syu, Mei-J.;Tsao, G.T.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
    • /
    • 1993.06a
    • /
    • pp.1021-1024
    • /
    • 1993
  • System identification is a major component for a control system. In biosystems, which is nonlinear and dynamic, precise identification would be very helpful for implementing a control system. It is difficult to precisely identify such non-linear systems. The measurable data on products from 2,3-butanediol fermentation could not be included in a process model based on kinetic approach. Meanwhile, a predictive capability is required in developing a control system. A neural network (NN) dynamic identifier with a by/(1+ t ) transfer function was therefore designed being able to predict this fermentation. This modified inverse NN identifier differs from traditional models in which it is not only able to see but also able to predict the system. A moving window, with a dimension of 11 and a fixed data size of seven, was properly designed. One-step ahead identification/prediction by an 11-3-1 BPNN is demonstrated. Even under process fault, this neural network is still able to perform several-step ahead prediction.

  • PDF