• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제13권5호
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• pp.845-860
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• 2017

It is very important to study displacement prediction in geotechnical engineering. Nowadays, the grey system method, time series analysis method and artificial neural network method are three main methods. Based on the brief introduction, the three methods are analyzed comprehensively. Their merits and demerits, applied ranges are revealed. To solve the shortcomings of the artificial neural network method, a new prediction method based on new evolutionary neural network is proposed. Finally, through two real engineering applications, the analysis of three main methods and the new evolutionary neural network method all have been verified. The results show that, the grey system method is a kind of exponential approximation to displacement sequence, and time series analysis is linear autoregression approximation, while artificial neural network is nonlinear autoregression approximation. Thus, the grey system method can suitably analyze the sequence, which has the exponential law, the time series method can suitably analyze the random sequence and the neural network method almostly can be applied in any sequences. Moreover, the prediction results of new evolutionary neural network method is the best, and its approximation sequence and the generalization prediction sequence are all coincided with the real displacement sequence well. Thus, the new evolutionary neural network method is an acceptable method to predict the measurement displacements of geotechnical engineering.

• 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지구물리탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the international symposium on the fusion technology
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• pp.252-254
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• 2003

In this study, it was purposed to develop the new method for the prediction of pollutant concentration in road tunnels. The new method was the use of artificial neural network with the back-propagation algorithm which can model the non-linear system of tunnel environment. This network system was separated into two parts as the visibility and the CO concentration. For this study, data was collected from two highway road tunnels on Yeongdong Expressway. The tunnels have two lanes with one-way direction and adopt the longitudinal ventilation system. The actually measured data from the tunnels was used to develop the neural network system for the prediction of pollutant concentration. The output results from the newly developed neural network system were analysed and compared with the calculated values by PIARC method. Results showed that the prediction accuracy by the neural network system was approximately five times better than the one by PIARC method. ill addition, the system predicted much more accurately at the situation where the drivers have to be stayed for a while in tunnels caused by the low velocity of vehicles.

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.7-12
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• 2003

In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used the neural network models for the stock market forecasting. The KOSPI 200 (Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200) is modeled by using different neural networks and fuzzy logic. In this paper, the neural network, the dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) and the fuzzy logic employed for the prediction of the KOSPI 200. The prediction results are compared by the root mean squared error (RMSE) and scatter plot, respectively. The results show that the performance of the fuzzy system is little bit worse than that of the DPNN but better than that of the neural network. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by optimization methods.

• 통합자연과학논문집
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.105-115
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• 2019

In this paper, a prediction system is proposed to control the brightness of smart street lamps by predicting the moving path through the reduction of consumption power and information of pedestrian's past moving direction while meeting the function of existing smart street lamps. The brightness of smart street lamps is adjusted by utilizing the walk tracking vector and soft hand-off characteristics obtained through the motion sensing sensor of smart street lamps. In addition, the motion vector is used to analyze and predict the pedestrian path, and the GPU is used for high-speed computation. Pedestrians were detected using adaptive Gaussian mixing, weighted difference imaging, and motion vectors, and motions of pedestrians were analyzed using the extracted motion vectors. The preprocessing process using linear interpolation is performed to improve the performance of the proposed prediction system. Fuzzy prediction system and neural network prediction system are designed in parallel to improve efficiency and rough set is used for error correction.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 G
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• pp.2863-2865
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• 1999

In this paper we present the modeling of ozone prediction system using polynomial neural network. The Polynomial Neural Network is a useful tool for data learning, nonlinear function estimation and prediction of dynamic system. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, nonstationary. The purposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon a polynomial neural network gives us a good performance for ozone prediction with ability of superior data approximation.

• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
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• pp.255-258
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• 2001

This paper is implementation of cellular automata neural network system which is a living creatures' brain using evolving hardware concept. Cellular automata neural network system is based on the development and the evolution, in other words, it is modeled on the ontogeny and phylogeny of natural living things. The proposed system developes each cell's state in neural network by CA. And it regards code of CA rule as individual of genetic algorithm, and evolved by genetic algorithm. In this paper we implement this system using evolving hardware concept Evolving hardware is reconfigurable hardware whose configuration is under the control of an evolutionary algorithm. We design genetic algorithm process for evolutionary algorithm and cells in cellular automata neural network for the construction of reconfigurable system. The effectiveness of the proposed system is verified by applying it to time-series prediction.

• 터널과지하공간
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• 제13권6호
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• pp.434-443
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• 2003

본 연구에서는 비서형 모델에 적용 가능한 역전파 알고리즘을 이용하여 도로터널에서 발생하는 오염물질을 예측하기 위한 인공신경망을 개발하였다. 도로 터널에서 중요시되는 오염인자는 CO농도와 가시도이므로, 인공신경망의 구성을 각각의 독립적인 네트워크로서 구성하였다. 사용한 입력데이터는 영동고속도로에 위치한 종류식 환기 방식을 채택한 일방향 2차선 도로 터널 2개소에서 실측한 데이터를 사용하였다. 예측치와 실측치를 비교할 때 인공신경망의 학습도는 약 95%의 정확성을 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 분석결과 개발된 인공신경망에 의한 결과는 PIARC 방식에 의한 계산치 보다 약 5배 정도의 정확성을 보였다. 특히 주행속도가 낮을 경우 더 높은 정확도를 나타낼 것으로 기대 되었다.

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.123-130
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• 2008

In order to clarify detailed mechanism of the flexible disk grinding system, workpiece length was introduced and its performance was evaluated. Flat zone ratio increased as the workpiece length increased. Increasing wheel speed and depth of cut also enhanced process performance by producing larger flat zone ratio. Neural network system was successfully applied to predict minimum depth of engagement and flat zone ratio. An additional input parameter as workpiece length to the neural network system enhanced the prediction performance by reducing error rate. By rearranging the Input combinations to the network, the workpiece length was precisely predicted with the prediction error rate lower than 2.8% depending on the network structure.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제67권1호
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• pp.96-102
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• 2018

For efficient operating strategy of electric power system, forecasting of daily peak electric load is an important but difficult problem. Therefore a daily peak electric load forecasting system using a neural network and fuzzy system is presented in this paper. First, original peak load data is interpolated in order to overcome the shortage of data for effective prediction. Next, the prediction of peak load using these interpolated data as input is performed in parallel by a neural network predictor and a fuzzy predictor. The neural network predictor shows better performance at drastic change of peak load, while the fuzzy predictor yields better prediction results in gradual changes. Finally, the superior one of two predictors is selected by the rules based on rough sets at every prediction time. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, the computer simulation is performed on peak load data in 2015 provided by KPX.

• 융합신호처리학회논문지
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.53-59
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• 2006

동적 신경망은 시스템 식별과 신호예측과 같이 temporal 신호처리가 요구되는 여러 분야에서 적용되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 신경망의 동특성을 향상시키기 위해 순방향 다층 신경망의 히든 층에 감마(Gamma) 메모리 커넬을 사용하는 감마 신경망(GAM)을 제안하고, 적응필터로 제안된 신경망을 사용하여 비선형 적응예측을 다루고 있다. 제안된 신경망은 비선형 신호예측을 통해 평가되었으며, 예측성능의 상대적인 비교를 위해 순방향 신경망(FNN)과 리커런트 신경망(RNN)과 비교하였다. 시뮬레이션 결과에 의하면 GAM 신경망은 수렴속도와 예측의 정확도에서 이러한 신경망보다 더 우수한 동작을 수행함으로써, 제안된 신경망이 기존의 다층 신경망보다 비정적 신호에 대한 비선형 예측에 더 효과적인 예측모델임을 확인하였다.