• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
• /
• 제7권2호
• /
• pp.115-123
• /
• 1998

A simulation is performed to investigate the effect of the pipe supports on the change of the natural frequencies of curved pipe systems containing fluid flow, for different elbow angles and geometry of the pipe systems. Based upon the Hamilton's principle, the equations of motions are derived, and the finite element equation is constructed to solve the corresponding eigenvalue problem. The angles of elbows do not affect the change of the fundamental natural frequency, but affect the change of the third or higher natural frequencies. Without any support, the change of the fundamental natural frequency due to the geometric change is smaller than the change of the second or higher natural frequencies. The more curve parts exist in the pipe system, the less change of lower frequency range, compared with the change of higher frequency range, is observed. Spring supports can be used to reduce the fundamental natural frequency, without change of the second or higher natural frequencies. To avoid resonance, which is critically dangerous from the view point of structural dynamics, the mechanical properties such as stiffness or the location of pipe supports are need to be changed to isolate the natural frequencies from the frequency range of dominant vibration modes.

• 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국품질경영학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회
• /
• pp.319-324
• /
• 2006

In this paper, we propose Bayesian procedure for the multiple change points analysis in a sequence of fractions nonconforming. We first compute the Bayes factor for detecting the existence of no change, a single change or multiple changes. The Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings subchain is run to estimate parameters of the change point model, once the number of change points is identified. Finally, we apply the results developed in this paper to both a real and simulated data.

• 품질경영학회지
• /
• 제17권2호
• /
• pp.101-112
• /
• 1989

We investigate a procedure which detects the parameter change point in AR(1) by Bayesian Approach using Jeffrey prior, for example, coefficient change point, variance change point, coefficient and variance change point, etc. And we apply our procedure to the simulated data.

• 한국기후변화학회지
• /
• 제8권4호
• /
• pp.287-295
• /
• 2017

This paper provides a mathematical approach for estimating flood risks due to the effects of climate change by developing a one dimensional (1D) hydraulic model for the mountainous river reaches located close to the Yeongwol thermal power plant. Input data for the model, including topographical data and river discharges measured every 10 minutes from July $1^{st}$ to September $30^{th}$, 2013, were imported to a 1D hydraulic model. Climate change scenarios were estimated by referencing the climate change adaptation strategies of the government and historical information about the extreme flood event in 2006. The down stream boundary was determined as the friction slope, which is 0.001. The roughness coefficient of the main channels was determined to be 0.036. The results show the effectiveness of the riverbed widening strategy through the six flooding scenarios to reduce flood depth and flow velocity that impact on the power plant. In addition, the impact of upper Namhan River flow is more significant than Dong River.

• 무역상무연구
• /
• 제64권
• /
• pp.239-264
• /
• 2014

Two types of responses to climate change exist. First is climate mitigation which includes efforts of reducing CO2 and GHG emissions. Second response is climate adaptation process which is establishing climate resilience in the supply chain. The two are inherently different since mitigation strategy focus on eliminating the source of climate change and is long term in nature but adaptation strategy is moderating the impact of potential or current climate change. In order to embed climate resilience in the supply chain, mitigation strategies and adaption strategies must be implemented simultaneously. Corporation's adaptation to climate change related natural disaster can be seen as a response that includes mitigation and adaptation strategies simultaneously. A comprehensive climate change resilience supply chain approach has to be developed. This paper illustrated guidelines and adaptation process framework businesses can utilize in order to build climate resilience. Screening process before the actual assessment of risk was introduced as well as the whole adaptation process of establishing information system and strengthening climate-related operational flexibility.

• 농촌계획
• /
• 제14권4호
• /
• pp.1-9
• /
• 2008

Many urban people are attracted to the recreational opportunities and attractions of rural areas, such as beautiful scenery, lakes, mountains, forests, and resorts. Furthermore, rural development planning increasingly emphasizes the integration of resource extractive industries with non-market-based recreational and amenity values. This article outlines a method to estimate an amenity level of rural areas such as natural amenities index and shows the relation of the natural amenity and population growth. The results revealed that natural amenity classifying each region can be explained with geographical characteristics, temperature-humidity, and sunshine duration time. In analysis with population, natural amenity does not exactly explain that but can be one of the important factor of population change.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
• /
• 제10권1호
• /
• pp.63-65
• /
• 2001

To investigate the natural frequencies of curved piping systems with various elbow angles conveying flow fluid, a simulation is performed considering Initial tension due to the inside fluid. The system is analyzed by finite element method utilizing straight beam element. Elbow part is meshed using 4 elements, and the initial tension is considered by inserting equivalent terms into the stiffness matrix. Without considering the initial tension, the system becomes unstable, that is, the fundamental natural frequency approaches to zero value fast, as the flow velocity reaches critical value. With the initial tension terms, the system becomes stable where there is no abrupt decrease of the fundamental natural frequency. The change rate of the natural frequency with respect to the flow velocity reduces. As elbow angle increases, the system becomes stiffer, then around 150 degrees of the elbow angle the natural frequency has the largest value, the value decreases after the angle of the largest natural frequency. When angle is between 170 degrees and 179 degrees, the natural frequency is very sensitive. This means that small change of angle results in great change of natural frequency, which is expected to be utilized in the control of the natural frequency of the piping system conveying flow fluid.

• 한국해양공학회지
• /
• 제18권2호
• /
• pp.46-51
• /
• 2004

Natural frequencies of the transverse vibration of beams with step change in cross-section are obtained by using the asymptotic closed form solution. This closed form solution is found by using WKB method under the assumption of slowly varying properties, such as mass, cross-section, tension etc., along the beam length. However, this solution is found to be still very accurate even in the case of large variation in cross-section and tension. Therefore, this result can be easily applied to many engineering problems.

• 한국기후변화학회지
• /
• 제9권4호
• /
• pp.303-312
• /
• 2018

In Ethiopia, climate change and deforestation are major issues hindering sustainable development. Local Ethiopian communities commonly perceive an increase in temperature and a decrease in rainfall. Meteorological data shows that rainfall has declined in southern Ethiopia, and spring droughts have occurred more frequently during the last 10-15 years. The frequently occurring droughts have seriously affected the agriculture-dominated Ethiopian economy. Forests can play an important role in coping with climate change. However, deforestation is alarmingly high in Ethiopia, and this is attributed mainly to agricultural expansion and fuel wood extraction. Deforestation has led to a decrease in various benefits from forest ecosystem services, and increased ecological and environmental problems including loss of biodiversity. To resolve the issues effectively, it is crucial to enhance climate change resilience through reforestation and various international collaborations are urgently needed. To continue collaboration activities for resolving these issues, it is first necessary to address fundamental questions on the nature of collaboration: does collaboration aim for a support-benefit or a mutual benefit situation; dividing the workload or sharing the workload; an advanced technology or an appropriate technology; and short-term and intensive or long-term and extensive?. Potential collaboration activities were identified by sectors: in the governmental sector, advancing governmental structure and policy, enhancing international collaborations and negotiations, and capacity building for forest restoration and management; in the research and education sector, identifying and filling gaps in forestry and climate change education, capacity building for reforestation and climate change resilience research, and developing bioenergy and feed stocks; and in the business and industry sector, supporting conservation based forestry businesses and industries, while promoting collaboration with the research and education sectors. It is envisaged that international collaboration for enhancing climate change resilience through reforestation will provide a strong platform for resolving climate change and deforestation issues, and achieving sustainable development in Ethiopia.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제18권4호
• /
• pp.787-813
• /
• 2009

최근 기후변화가 가장 큰 이슈로 부각되고 있는 가운데 북극의 해빙이 점차 줄어들고 있다는 점을 강조하고 있다. 이에 따라 세계적으로 화석연료를 줄이려는 정책적 움직임을 보이고 있다. 그런데 기후변화로 인한 북극의 해빙 감소를 천연가스 자원개발 측면에서 보면 예전에 비해 오히려 낮은 단위 비용으로 천연가스를 생산할 수 있는 기회를 만들어주고 있는 것이다. 본 논문은 이러한 양자 모순관계에서 북극의 천연가스에 대한 영유권을 갖고 있는 국가들은 어떠한 정책을 갖고 움직이고 있는지를 살펴보고자 하였다. 특히 북극에서 가장 많은 매장량을 갖고 있는 러시아의 북극에서의 천연가스 개발 정책이 향후 세계 천연가스시장에서의 수급에 미칠 영향이 상당할 것으로 분석되는 바, 이에 대한 국가적 대응책이 마련되어져야 할 것이다. 러시아가 2030~2040년대에 매장량이 풍부한 야말 반도에서 생산된 천연가스를 북극항로를 통해 액화천연가스(LNG) 수송선으로 수출하게 되면 세계 천연가스시장의 구조는 새로운 단계로 발전될 것이다. 왜냐하면 이러한 거래 형태는 이전의 천연가스 거래에 있어서 지리적 한계를 뛰어 넘을 뿐만 아니라 이제까지의 파이프라인 가스(PNG) 거래 중심에서 액화천연가스(LNG) 거래 중심으로 무게가 이동하기 때문이다. 한편 우리나라와 같이 북극에 대한 영유권을 갖고 있지 않은 중국이나 일본의 움직임을 살펴보면서 우리에게 주는 타산지석의 교훈을 얻고자 하는 것이다.