• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제53권12호
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• pp.1173-1181
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• 2020

최근 단기간의 국지성호우가 빈번하게 발생하면서 단순 1차적 피해를 넘어 경제적, 사회적 영향이 커지고 있다. 기상선진국에서는 단순 기상예보로서의 정보전달이 아닌 사회 경제적 영향을 분석하여 현실적이고 신뢰할 수 있는 영향예보를 실시하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 사람의 보행에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 영향한계강우량을 산정하기 위해서 Spatial Runoff Assessment Tool (S-RAT), FLO-2D 모델을 사용하여 침수정도를 도출하였고 Grid to Grid (G2G)개념의 한계강우량을 산정하였다. 또한, 과거 의학 분야에서 많이 사용하였지만 현재는 가뭄이나 홍수 등의 자연현상 및 머신러닝에 많이 사용하는 ROC 분석 기법을 통해 정량적인 정확도분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 실제 침수와 모의 침수가 비슷한 시간대의 결과가 나왔으며 ROC 곡선의 결과 0.7이상으로 Fair 단계의 적정성을 확보하였다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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• pp.187-187
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• 2016

High intensity of population distribution in deltaic setting especially in Asia tends to have increased and causes coastal flood risk due to lower elevations and significant subsidence. Maximum or peak discharge of flood always causes numerous deaths and huge economic losses. New technology of spatial satellite image has been applied to analyze flood damage. In this research, the relationship of nightlight intensity associated with flood damages has been determined during 1992-2013 with spatial resolution of 30 arc sec ($0.0083^{\circ}$) which is nearly one kilometer at the equator in whole six countries along the Mekong River (i.e., China, Myanmar, Lao PDR, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam). ArcGIS Hydrological Flow Length Tool has been used to determine the distance of each pixel areas from the rivers and streams. Statistical analysis results highlight the significant correlation R = 0.47 between nightlight digital number and economic damages per unit area (US$/km2) and R = 0.62 for number of affected people for unit area ($people/km^2$). The areas near by the Mekong River and its tributaries correspond to high flood damage. This spatial analysis result is going to be prestigious key information to the regions and all related stakeholders for decisions and mitigation strategies.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.145-168
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• 2014

백두산은 남한과 600km 이상 떨어져 있어, 백두산 화산 분화로 인해 남한에 직접적으로 영향을 미칠 수 있는 화산성 재해는 화산재에 국한될 것으로 판단된다. 화산재의 침적으로 인한 피해뿐만 아니라 미세먼지(PM10)의 형태로 유입되어 영향을 미치는 부분이 있을 것으로 보이며, 제조업 중심의 산업구조를 가진 우리나라로서는 산업부문에 대한 피해액을 예측하여 대비할 필요가 있다. 한편, 최근 황사 및 미세먼지 농도의 증가로 인한 여러 가지 피해를 산출하고자 하는 시도들이 발표되고는 있지만 화산재로 인한 산업분야 피해액을 산출하려는 연구는 극히 드물다. 본 연구는 황사 및 미세먼지 피해사례를 분석함으로써, 백두산 분화로 인한 화산재 확산 시에 피해가 발생될 것으로 예상되는 업종을 선정하고, 화산재로 인한 PM10 농도 확산 시나리오를 활용하여 예상되는 피해액을 산출하였다. 다양한 산업분야 중 특히 항공, 초정밀(전자, 반도체), 유통, 조선, 자동차, 레저, 유리, 낙농 등의 산업에 피해가 예상되는 것으로 나타났으며, 이 중 자동차산업과 조선산업에 대한 피해를 산정한 결과 6시간의 조업중단으로 인해 발생하는 피해액은 464억 9,238만원으로 계산되었다.

• 사물인터넷융복합논문지
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.13-20
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• 2024

본 연구의 목적은 장애인의 사회적 배제 정도를 객관적으로 수치화하여 도출된 사회적 배제 정도가 장애인의 삶의 질에 미치는 영향과 직무만족이 장애인의 사회적 배제와 삶의 질에 미치는 영향을 조절하는지를 검증한 것이다. 연구대상은 장애인 고용 패널조사를 통하여 추출된 1,280명을 대상으로 하였다. 독립변수인 사회적 배제는 경제적 어려움, 고용상태, 정신적 건강, 사회활동이다. 종속변수는 삶의 질 그리고 조절변수는 직무만족으로 하였다. 이 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 삶의 질에 영향을 미치는 사회적 배제의 하위요인은 경제적 어려움, 정신적 건강, 사회활동, 고용상태로 나타났다. 둘째, 사회적 배제와 삶의 질의 영향 관계에서 직무만족은 조절효과가 나타났다. 그리고 삶의 질에 조절효과가 있는 사회적 배제의 하위요인은 경제적 어려움, 고용상태, 사회활동으로 확인되었다. 후속 연구는 선진국의 장애인고용프로그램을 조사하여 시행 배경, 시행내용, 성과, 한계 등을 분석하여 장애인 고용정책의 수립에 기여해야 할 것이다. 이러한 연구를 통하여 장애인의 사회적 배제와 차별의 악순환이 개선되고 장애인의 경제활동을 통하여 삶의 질이 향상되는 계기가 마련되길 기대한다.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.451-463
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• 2016

We explore the impact of Chinese future air pollutant emissions on ozone air quality in Northeast Asia (NEA) and health in South-Korea using an assessment framework including ICAMS (The Integrated Climate and Air Quality Modeling System) and BenMAP (The Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program). The emissions data sets from the climate change scenarios, the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) (emission scenarios, EMSO), are used to simulate ozone air quality in NEA in the current (1996~2005, 2000s), the near future (2016~2025, 2020s) and the distant future (2046~2055, 2050s). Furthermore, the simulated ozone changes in the 2050s are used to analyze ozone-related premature mortality and economic cost in South-Korea. While different EMSOs are applied to the China region, fixed EMSO are used for other country regions to isolate the impacts of the Chinese emissions. Predicted ozone changes in NEA are distinctively affected by large changes in NOx emission over most of China region. Comparing the 2020s with the 2000s situation, the largest increase in mean ozone concentrations in NEA is simulated under RCP 8.5 and similarly small increases are under other RCPs. In the 2050s in NEA, the largest increase in mean ozone concentrations is simulated under RCP 6.0 and leads to the occurrence of the highest premature mortalities and economic costs in South-Korea. Whereas, the largest decrease is simulated under RCP 4.5 leads to the highest avoided premature mortality numbers and economic costs. Our results suggest that continuous reduction of NOx emissions across the China region under an assertive climate change mitigation scenario like RCP 4.5 leads to improved future ozone air quality and health benefits in the NEA countries including South-Korea.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제64권11호
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• pp.1535-1542
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• 2015

An increasing number of electric vehicles (EVs) in power system affects its reliability in various aspects. Especially under high EV penetration level, new generating units are required to satisfy system's adequacy criterion. Wind power generation is expected to take the major portion of the new units due to environmental and economic issues. In this paper, the system reliability is analyzed using Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) and Expected Energy Not Served (EENS) under each and both cases of increasing wind power generation and EVs. A probabilistic multi-state modeling method of wind turbine generator under various power output for adequate reliability evaluation is presented as well. EVs are modeled as loads under charging algorithm with Time-Of-Use (TOU) rates in order to incorporate EVs into hour-to-hour yearly load curve. With the expected load curve, the impact of EVs on the system adequacy is analyzed. Simulations show the reliability evaluation of increasing wind power capacity and number of EVs. With this method, system operator becomes capable of measuring appropriate wind power capacity to meet system reliability standard.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신재생에너지학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.656-659
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• 2005

his paper develops the systematic and quantitative priority-determining method for national investment using the framework of evaluating R&D. This study proposes multi criteria for evaluating the R&D of New & Renewable Energy through analysing the attribute of 11 types of energy. The framework is constituted by 4 criteria, the political urgency, economic impact, regional constraint. and technological attribute and the each criteria has 3 or 4 sub-criteria. These sub-criteria are weighted using AHP.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제61권7호
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• pp.957-965
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• 2012

Korean government has been preparing the introduction of Emission Trading as part of the framework convention on Climate Change as a relief of negative downstream effect over electricity industry. This paper develops a mathematical model amenable to analyzing the economic impact of introduced emission trading system on the national generation expansion planning. The developed model was also employed with a case study to verify its applicability.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.59-74
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• 1992

The change of industrial structure, the expansion of economic scale, the elevation of national life level and rapid motorization bring about social problems that are traffic accident, traffic congestion, etc. Especially, big traffic accidents bring about the great number of dead and wounded person with damage of property. But there are no study results available mainly focused on the big traffic accident analysis. Accordingly, this study is essentially for the factor analysis of big accident types including laws violation and the assaulting driver's death using Quantification ll method.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권18호
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• pp.7625-7628
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• 2014

Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women worldwide. The primary aim of this work was to provide an in-depth evaluation of research publications in the field of diets and breast cancer. The impact of economic outcome on national academic productivity was also investigated. Data were retrieved using Pubmed for English-language publications. The search included all research for which articles included words relating to "diets and breast cancer". Population and national income data were obtained from publicly available databases. Impact factors for journals were obtained from Journal Citation Reports$^{(R)}$ (Thomson Scientific). There were 2,396 publications from 60 countries in 384 journals with an impact factor. Among them, 1,652 (68.94%) publications were Original articles. The United States had the highest quantity (51% of total) and highest of mean impact factor (8.852) for publication. Sweden had the highest productivity of publication when adjusted for number of population (6 publications per million population). Publications from the Asian nation increased from 5.3% in 2006 to 14.6% in 2012. The Original article type was also associated with geography (p<0.001; OR=2.183; 95%CI=1.526-3.123), Asian countries produced more proportion of Original articles (82%) than those of rest of the world (67.6%). Diets and breast cancer-associated research output continues to increase annually worldwide including publications from Asian countries. Although the United States produced the most publications, European nations per capita were higher in publication output.