• Title/Summary/Keyword: NCEP

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Evaluation of Clinical Usefulness of Gamma Glutamyl Transferase as a Surrogate Marker for Metabolic Syndrome in Non Obese Adult Men (비만하지 않은 성인 남성에서 대사증후군의 대리 표지자로서 감마 글루타밀 전이효소의 임상적 유용성 평가)

  • Shin, Kyung-A;Kim, Eun Jae
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.146-155
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    • 2020
  • This study was to evaluate the usefulness of gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT) as a surrogate marker predicting metabolic syndrome. 7,155 non obese men over the age of 20 were studied as subjects. The criteria for diagnosing MetS were the National Cholesterol Education Program - Third Adult Treatment Panel (NCEP-ATP III). The risk of developing MetS according to GGT was conducted logistic regression analysis, and the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve was obtained to confirm GGT ability to predict the risk of MetS. Regardless of age and body mass index, MetS had a 7.09 times higher risk of onset in the fourth quartile than in the first quartile of GGT (p<0.001). The AUC (area under the curve) of GGT for the diagnosis of MetS was 0.715, and the cutoff value of GGT was 40.0 U/L, the sensitivity was 65.0%, and the specificity was 70.2%. Therefore, GGT is considered to be a useful diagnostic index for diagnosing MetS.

Assessment of Climate Chanage Effect on Temperature and Drought in Seoul : Based on the AR4 SRES A2 Senario (기후변화가 서울지역의 기온 및 가뭄에 미치는 영향 평가 : AR4 SRES A2 시나리오를 기반으로)

  • Kyoung, Minsoo;Lee, Yongwon;Kim, Hungsoo;Kim, Byungsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.181-191
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    • 2009
  • This study suggests the assessment technique for climate change effect on drought in Korea based on the AR4 SRES A2 scenario reported in IPCC fourth assessment report in 2007. IPCC provides monthly outputs of 24 climate models through the DDC. One of the models is BCM2 model which was developed at BCCR in Norway and NCEP data is used for downscaling. The K-NN(K-Nearest Neighbor) and ANN(Artificial Neural Network) are selected as downscaling technique to downscale the temperature and precipitation at Seoul station in Korea. K-NN could downscale both temperature and precipitation well. ANN made a good result for temperature, but it gave a divergence result in precipitation. Finally, SPI of Seoul station is computed to evaluate the effect of climate change on drought. BCM2 predicted that temperature will increase and drought severity will increase because of the increased drought spell at Seoul station.

The Character of Distribution of Solar Radiation in Mongolia based on Meteorological Satellite Data (위성자료를 이용한 몽골의 일사량 분포 특성)

  • Jee, Joon-Bum;Jeon, Sang-Hee;Choi, Young-Jean;Lee, Seung-Woo;Park, Young-San;Lee, Kyu-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2012
  • Mongolia's solar-meteorological resources map has been developed using satellite data and reanalysis data. Solar radiation was calculated using solar radiation model, in which the input data were satellite data from SRTM, TERA, AQUA, AURA and MTSAT-1R satellites and the reanalysis data from NCEP/NCAR. The calculated results are validated by the DSWRF (Downward Short-Wave Radiation Flux) from NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Mongolia is composed of mountainous region in the western area and desert or semi-arid region in middle and southern parts of the country. South-central area comprises inside the continent with a clear day and less rainfall, and irradiation is higher than other regions on the same latitude. The western mountain region is reached a lot of solar energy due to high elevation but the area is covered with snow (high albedo) throughout the year. The snow cover is a cause of false detection from the cloud detection algorithm of satellite data. Eventually clearness index and solar radiation are underestimated. And southern region has high total precipitable water and aerosol optical depth, but high solar radiation reaches the surface as it is located on the relatively lower latitude. When calculated solar radiation is validated by DSWRF from NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, monthly mean solar radiation is 547.59 MJ which is approximately 2.89 MJ higher than DSWRF. The correlation coefficient between calculation and reanalysis data is 0.99 and the RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) is 6.17 MJ. It turned out to be highest correlation (r=0.94) in October, and lowest correlation (r=0.62) in March considering the error of cloud detection with melting and yellow sand.

Practical Application of Remote-Sensing Data for Offshore Wind Resource Assessment (해상 풍력자원평가를 위한 원격탐사자료의 활용)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Hwang, Hyo-Jeong;Kyong, Nam-Ho
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.319-320
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    • 2008
  • This paper introduces remote-sensing data which can be practically applied for offshore wind resource assessment. Development of offshore wind energy is inevitable for Korea to achieve the national dissemination target of renewable energy, i.e., 5% uptil 2010. However, the only available offshore in-situ measurement, marine buoy data would not represent areal wind characteristics. Consequently, remote-sensing technology has been started to apply to offshore wind resource assessment and is actively developing. Among them, NCAR/NCEP reanalysis dataset, QuikSCAT blended dataset, and offshore wind retrieval from SAR imagery are briefly summarized in this paper.

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Assessment of Climate Change Effect on Drought in Korea (기후변화가 한반도 가뭄에 미치는 영향평가)

  • Kyoung, Min-Soo;Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1457-1461
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    • 2009
  • 기후변화로 인한 강수의 양과 패턴의 변화는 가뭄이나 홍수와 같은 극한사상의 발생가능성을 점차 증가시키고 있다. 이러한 극한사상의 발생에 대비하고자 기후변화가 가뭄이나 홍수에 미치는 영향 평가에 대한 연구가 전 세계적으로 활발히 진행 중이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 월 단위로 IPCC를 통해서 제공되는 Global Climate Model(GCM)중 하나인 BCM2 모형(A2 시나리오 선택)을 기반으로 기후변화가 한반도 가뭄에 미치는 영향평가 방안을 제시하고자 한다. 우선 전구단위 기후모형인 BCM2 모형을 격자단위 관측자료인 NCEP(National Centers for Environmental Prediction)자료를 이용하여 서울기상관측소 지점으로 축소하였다. 또한 축소된 강우자료의 편의를 보정하기 위하여 Quantile mapping 기법을 적용하였으며, 최종적으로 제시된 서울지점의 월 강우를 대상으로 표준강수지수(SPI)를 산정하여 기후변화가 서울지점의 가뭄에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 분석결과 기후변화를 고려할 경우, 전반적인 가뭄의 심도는 크게 깊어지지 않았으나 가뭄의 지속기간이 길어져 가뭄으로 인한 피해가 더욱 증가할 것으로 예상되었다.

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Optimal Multi-Model Ensemble Model Development Using Hierarchical Bayesian Model Based (Hierarchical Bayesian Model을 이용한 GCMs 의 최적 Multi-Model Ensemble 모형 구축)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Min, Young-Mi;Hameed, Saji N.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1147-1151
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we address the problem of producing probability forecasts of summer seasonal rainfall, on the basis of Hindcast experiments from a ensemble of GCMs(cwb, gcps, gdaps, metri, msc_gem, msc_gm2, msc_gm3, msc_sef and ncep). An advanced Hierarchical Bayesian weighting scheme is developed and used to combine nine GCMs seasonal hindcast ensembles. Hindcast period is 23 years from 1981 to 2003. The simplest approach for combining GCM forecasts is to weight each model equally, and this approach is referred to as pooled ensemble. This study proposes a more complex approach which weights the models spatially and seasonally based on past model performance for rainfall. The Bayesian approach to multi-model combination of GCMs determines the relative weights of each GCM with climatology as the prior. The weights are chosen to maximize the likelihood score of the posterior probabilities. The individual GCM ensembles, simple poolings of three and six models, and the optimally combined multimodel ensemble are compared.

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TIME SERIES ANALYSIS USING GRIDDED WIND-STRESS PRODUCT DERIVED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER DATA

  • KUTSUWADA KUNIO;MORIMOTO NAOKI
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.52-53
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    • 2005
  • Time series of gridded surface wind and wind-stress vectors over the world ocean have been constructed by satellite scatterometer data. The products are derived from the ERS-l,2 covering 9 years during 1992-2000 and the Sea Winds on board QuikSCAT (Qscat) which has been operating up to the present since June 1999, so they allows us to analyze variabilities with various time scales. In this study, we focus on interannual variability of the wind stress in the mid- and high-latitude region of North Pacific. These are compared with those by numerical weather prediction(NWP) ones (NCEP Reanalysis). We also examine variability in the wind-stress curl field that is an important factor for ocean dynamics and focus its time and spatial characters in the northwestern Pacific around Japan. It is found that the vorticity field in the lower atmosphere tends to increase gradually with time, suggesting the enhancement of the North Pacific subtropical gyre.

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3-D similar weather retrieval system based on multiplex volume data processing technology (다중 volume 자료 처리 기술을 기반으로 한 3차원 유사 일기도 검색 시스템)

  • Jung, Chang-Sung;Lee, Sung-Hwan;Kim, Ji-Yoon;Hwang, Chi-Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2001.10b
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    • pp.1087-1090
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구의 목적은 동아시아 지역의 NCEP 데이터를 대상으로 1000hPa, 850hPa, 700hPa, 500hPa에서의 기온, 고도와 300hPa 에서의 풍향, 풍속과 지상의 기온, 기압 데이터를 이용하여 유사 일기도 검색시 동일한 파라메터를 사용하여 유사성 정도를 검색하는 알고리즘을 개발하는데 있다. 또한 각 파라메터에 해당하는 격자 데이터로부터 특징값들을 추출하고 이를 이용하여 유사도 측정을 수행하여 유사일기도를 검색하는 알고리즘을 개발하였다.

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Interrelationships between Sea Surface Temperatures and Clouds over the Tropical Oceans (열대 해양의 해수면온도와 구름의 상호관계)

  • 송봉근;김영섭;박경원
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2001.03a
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    • pp.92-97
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    • 2001
  • The intra-annual and interannual variations of total, high, middle, low clouds, and cloud forcing net solar radiation flux, cloud forcing net long-wave radiation flux, and SSTs over the tropical oceans are investigated with the use of ISCP D2, NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis for January 1983-December 1993. The intra-annual variation of total cloudiness is dominated by high and middle clouds in the western Pacific and central tropical oceans, the interannual variation of total cloudiness is also dominated by high and middle clouds in the central Pacific and Atlantic. The dominant intra-annual and interannual EOFs of total cloudiness have spatially coherent link with those SSTs. For the interannual EOFs, total cloudiness and SSTs are related to E1 nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO). The second most important intra-annual EOFs of total cloudiness are related to Inter Tropical Convergence Zone(ITCZ). The third most important intra-annual EOFs show coherent relation in the western Pacific. The correlation analysis between cloud radiative effects and SSTs show spatially coherent relation over the tropical oceans even though cloud forcing cooling effect is much higher than heating effect.

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COMBINED ACTIVE AND PASSIVE REMOTE SENSING OF HURRICANE OCEAN WINDS

  • Yueh, Simon H.
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.142-145
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    • 2006
  • The synergism of active and passive microwave techniques for hurricane ocean wind remote sensing is explored. We performed the analysis of Windsat data for Atlantic hurricanes in 2003-2005. The polarimetric third Stokes parameter observations from the Windsat 10, 18 and 37 GHz channels were collocated with the ocean surface winds from the Holland wind model, the NOAA HWind wind vectors and the Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) operated by the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The collocated data were binned as a function of wind speed and wind direction, and were expanded by sinusoidal series of the relative azimuth angles between wind and observation directions. The coefficients of the sinusoidal series, corrected for atmospheric attenuation, have been used to develop an empirical geophysical model function (GMF). The Windsat GMF for extreme high wind compares very well with the aircraft radiometer and radar measurements.

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