• 정보처리학회 논문지
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.199-207
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• 2024

지역 저수지들은 농업용수 공급의 중요한 수원공으로 가뭄과 같은 극단적 기후 조건을 대비하여 안정적인 저수율 관리가 필수적이다. 저수율 예측은 국지적 강우와 같은 지역적 기후 특성뿐만 아니라 작부시기를 포함하는 계절적 요인 등에 크게 영향을 받기 때문에 적절한 예측 모델을 선정하는 것만큼 입/출력 데이터 간 상관관계 파악이 무엇보다 중요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 1991년부터 2022년까지의 전라북도 400여 개 저수지의 광범위한 다변량 데이터를 활용하여 각 저수지의 복잡한 수문학·기후학적 환경요인을 포괄적으로 반영한 저수율 예측 모델을 학습 및 검증하고, 각 입력 특성이 저수율 예측 성능에 미치는 영향력을 분석하고자 한다. 신경망 구조에 따른 저수율 예측 성능 개선이 아닌 다변량의 입력 데이터와 예측 성능 간의 상관관계에 초점을 맞추기 위하여 실험에 사용된 예측 모델로 합성곱신경망 또는 순환신경망과 같은 복잡한 형태가 아닌 완전연결계층, 배치정규화, 드롭아웃, 활성화 함수 등의 조합으로 구성된 기본적인 순방향 신경망을 채택하였다. 추가적으로 대부분의 기존 연구에서는 하루 단위의 단기 예측 성능만을 제시하고 있으며 이러한 단기 예측 방식은 10일, 한 달 단위 등 중장기적 예측이 필요한 실무환경에 적합하지 않기 때문에, 본 연구에서는 하루 단위 예측값을 다음 입력으로 사용하는 재귀적 방식을 통해 최대 한 달 뒤 저수율 예측 성능을 측정하였다. 실험을 통해 예측 기간에 따른 성능 변화 양상을 파악하였으며, Ablation study를 바탕으로 예측 모델의 각 입력 특성이 전체 성능에 끼치는 영향을 분석하였다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.259-269
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• 2022

In this study, we introduce a canonical correlation analysis method to accurately assess the tunnel damage potential of ground motion. The proposed method can retain information relating to the initial variables. A total of 100 ground motion records are used as seismic inputs to analyze the dynamic response of three different profiles of tunnels under deep and shallow burial conditions. Nine commonly used ground motion parameters were selected to form the canonical variables of ground motion parameters (GMP_CCA). Five structural dynamic response parameters were selected to form canonical variables of structural dynamic response parameters (DRP_CCA). Canonical correlation analysis is used to maximize the correlation coefficients between GMP_CCA and DRP_CCA to obtain multivariate ground motion parameters that can be used to comprehensively assess the tunnel damage potential. The results indicate that the multivariate ground motion parameters used in this study exhibit good stability, making them suitable for evaluating the tunnel damage potential induced by ground motion. Among the nine selected ground motion parameters, peck ground acceleration (PGA), peck ground velocity (PGV), root-mean-square acceleration (RMSA), and spectral acceleration (Sa) have the highest contribution rates to GMP_CCA and DRP_CCA and the highest importance in assessing the tunnel damage potential. In contrast to univariate ground motion parameters, multivariate ground motion parameters exhibit a higher correlation with tunnel dynamic response parameters and enable accurate assessment of tunnel damage potential.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제60권3호
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• pp.471-488
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• 2016

This study predicts the strength of rotary brace damper by analyzing a new set of probabilistic models using the usual method of multiple linear regressions (MLR) and advanced machine-learning methods of multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), Rotary brace damper can be easily assembled with high energy-dissipation capability. To investigate the behavior of this damper in structures, a steel frame is modeled with this device subjected to monotonic and cyclic loading. Several response parameters are considered, and the performance of damper in reducing each response is evaluated. MLR and MARS methods were used to predict the strength of this damper. Displacement was determined to be the most effective parameter of damper strength, whereas the thickness did not exhibit any effect. Adding thickness parameter as inputs to MARS and MLR models did not increase the accuracies of the models in predicting the strength of this damper. The MARS model with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.127 and mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.090 performed better than the MLR model with an RMSE of 0.221 and MAE of 0.181.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.437-444
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• 2013

Eight fecal sterols were analyzed in surface sediments collected from shellfish farming areas in Yeoja Bay and Gangjin Bay, Korea, to evaluate sewage-derived fecal pollution. The concentrations of coprostanol, a good marker of sewage-derived organic contamination, in sediments were in the range of 10-530 ng/g-dry in Yeoja Bay, and 10-190 ng/g-dry in Gangjin Bay. Coprostanol levels were markedly higher in the inner bay than in the outer bay. These levels were lower than those reported in urbanized bays in Korea, however, they were comparable to levels in other shellfish farming areas including Gamak Bay. A multivariate analysis of the ratios of other sterols suggested that the sterols originated from sewage and plankton/benthos. Sewage was the dominant source at stations located close to the river mouth and wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) outfalls, and plankton/benthos was the primary source in the outer bay. These results suggest that management of point sources, e.g., WWTP as well as non-point sources, e.g., riverine inputs is important for improving the water quality in Yeoja Bay and Gangjin Bay.

• 생태와환경
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.42-57
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• 2011

We described the above-ground plant species composition and measured a range of soil physico-chemical properties and the composition and size of the soil seed bank in the remnant natural vegetations on the flood plains of the Han River within Seoul, South Korea. We used analysis of variance and multivariate analyses to analyse the data and S${\o}$rensen's similarity index to compare the composition of the vegetation and seed banks. The soils were circum-neutral and composed of mainly sand and silt fractions with a very limited clay component; a gradient based on sand/clay proportions was identified. The soil seed banks varied markedly between- and within-sites and had much greater species diversity than the above-ground vegetation. Two of the major dominants in the vegetation (Miscanthus saccariflorus and Phragmites australis) were found at very low densities in the seed bank. The site differences appeared to be correlated with the sand-clay gradient, suggesting that the soil properties differentially affected seed inputs into the soil, or that the processes than controlled sediment deposition during floods was also important in differentially affecting seed deposition. Lastly, there was relatively little similarity between the vegetation, dominated mainly by perennials, and the seed bank which contained a relatively large proportion of annuals and biennials. This result suggests that after disturbance caused by flooding there is the potential for many other species to colonize. This may impinge on the regeneration potential of the sites and cause concern for the future conservation of these important remnants of natural vegetation.

• 한국간담췌외과학회지
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.17-30
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• 2022

Oncological scoring systems in surgery are used as evidence-based decision aids to best support management through assessing prognosis, effectiveness and recurrence. Currently, the use of scoring systems in the hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) field is limited as concerns over precision and applicability prevent their widespread clinical implementation. The aim of this review was to discuss clinically useful oncological scoring systems for surgical management of HPB patients. A narrative review was conducted to appraise oncological HPB scoring systems. Original research articles of established and novel scoring systems were searched using Google Scholar, PubMed, Cochrane, and Ovid Medline. Selected models were determined by authors. This review discusses nine scoring systems in cancers of the liver (CLIP, BCLC, ALBI Grade, RETREAT, Fong's score), pancreas (Genç's score, mGPS), and biliary tract (TMHSS, MEGNA). Eight models used exclusively objective measurements to compute their scores while one used a mixture of both subjective and objective inputs. Seven models evaluated their scoring performance in external populations, with reported discriminatory c-statistic ranging from 0.58 to 0.82. Selection of model variables was most frequently determined using a combination of univariate and multivariate analysis. Calibration, another determinant of model accuracy, was poorly reported amongst nine scoring systems. A diverse range of HPB surgical scoring systems may facilitate evidence-based decisions on patient management and treatment. Future scoring systems need to be developed using heterogenous patient cohorts with improved stratification, with future trends integrating machine learning and genetics to improve outcome prediction.