• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multiple regression model

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Development of Multiple Regression Models for the Prediction of Daily Ammonia Nitrogen Concentrations (일별 암모니아성 질소(NH3-N)농도 예측을 위한 다중회귀모형 개발)

  • Chug, Se-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.1047-1058
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    • 2003
  • Seasonal occurrence of high ammonia nitrogen(NH3-N) concentrations has hampered chemical treatment processes of a water plant that intakes water at Buyeo site of Geum river. Thus it is often needed to quantify the effect of Daecheong Dam ouflow on the mitigation of $NH_3$-N contamination. In this study, multiple regression models were developed for forecasting daily $NH_3$-N concentrations using 8 years of water quality and dam outflow data, and verified with another 2 years of data set. During model development, the coefficients of determination($R^2$) and model efficiency($E_{m}$) were greater than 0.95. The verification results were also satisfactory although those statistical indices were slightly reduced to 0.84∼0.94 and 0.77∼0.93, respectively. The validated model was applied to assess the effect of different amounts of dam outflow on the reduction of $NH_3$-N concentrations in 2002. The NH3-N concentrations dropped by 0.332∼0.583 mg/L on average during January∼March as outflow increases from 5 to 50cms, and was most significant on February. The results of this research show that the multiple regression approach has potential for efficient cause and effect analysis between dam outflow and downstream water quality.

Evaluation and Predicting PM10 Concentration Using Multiple Linear Regression and Machine Learning (다중선형회귀와 기계학습 모델을 이용한 PM10 농도 예측 및 평가)

  • Son, Sanghun;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.6_3
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    • pp.1711-1720
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    • 2020
  • Particulate matter (PM) that has been artificially generated during the recent of rapid industrialization and urbanization moves and disperses according to weather conditions, and adversely affects the human skin and respiratory systems. The purpose of this study is to predict the PM10 concentration in Seoul using meteorological factors as input dataset for multiple linear regression (MLR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) models, and compared and evaluated the performance of the models. First, the PM10 concentration data obtained at 39 air quality monitoring sites (AQMS) in Seoul were divided into training and validation dataset (8:2 ratio). The nine meteorological factors (mean, maximum, and minimum temperature, precipitation, average and maximum wind speed, wind direction, yellow dust, and relative humidity), obtained by the automatic weather system (AWS), were composed to input dataset of models. The coefficients of determination (R2) between the observed PM10 concentration and that predicted by the MLR, SVM, and RF models was 0.260, 0.772, and 0.793, respectively, and the RF model best predicted the PM10 concentration. Among the AQMS used for model validation, Gwanak-gu and Gangnam-daero AQMS are relatively close to AWS, and the SVM and RF models were highly accurate according to the model validations. The Jongno-gu AQMS is relatively far from the AWS, but since PM10 concentration for the two adjacent AQMS were used for model training, both models presented high accuracy. By contrast, Yongsan-gu AQMS was relatively far from AQMS and AWS, both models performed poorly.

A Study on tool life in the high speed machining of small-size end mill by factorial design of experiments and regression model (요인 실험계획법 및 회귀분석을 이용한 소경 엔드밀의 공구수명에 대한 연구)

  • Lim P.;Park S.Y.;Yang G.E.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.993-996
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    • 2005
  • High speed machining(HSM) technique is widely used in the appliance, automobile part and mold industries, which has many advantages such as good quality, low cost and rapid machining time. but it also has problems like tool break, smooth tool path, and so on. In particular, small size end mill is easy to break, so it must be changed before interrupting operation. Generally, the tool life of small size end mill is effected by the milling conditions whose evaluated parameters are spindle, feedrate, and width of cut. The experiments are carried out by full factorial design of experiments using and orthogonal array. This paper shows optimal combination and mathematical model for tool life, and the analysis of variance(ANOVA) is employed to analyze the main effects and the interactions of these milling parameters and the second-order polynomial regression model with three independent variables is estimated to predict tool life by multiple regression analysis.

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A Study on tool life in the high speed machining of small-size end mill by factorial design of experiments and regression model (요인 실험계획법 회귀분석을 이용한 소경 엔드밀의 공구수명에 대한 연구)

  • Lim, Pyo;Park, Sang-Yoon;Yang, Gyun-Eui
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.23 no.2 s.179
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2006
  • High speed machining(HSM) technique is widely used in the appliance, automobile part and mold industries, because it has many advantages such as good quality, low cost and rapid machining time. But it also has problems such as tool breakage, smooth tool path, and so on. In particular, small size end mill is easy to break, so it must be changed before interrupting operation. Generally, the tool life of small size end mill is affected by the milling conditions whose selected parameters are spindle speed, feedrate, and width of cut. The experiments were carried out by full factorial design of experiments using an orthogonal array. This paper shows optimal combination and mathematical model for tool life, Therefore, the analysis of variance(ANOVA) is employed to analyze the main effects and the interactions of these milling parameters and the second-order polynomial regression model with three independent variables is estimated to predict tool life by multiple regression analysis.

A Study on the Prediction of Traffic Counts Based on Shortest Travel Path (최단경로 기반 교통량 공간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Park, Man-Sik;Eom, Jin-Ki;Oh, Ju-Sam
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.459-473
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we suggest a spatial regression model to predict AADT. Although Euclidian distances between one monitoring site and its neighboring sites were usually used in the many analysis, we consider the shortest travel path between monitoring sites to predict AADT for unmonitoring site using spatial regression model. We used universal Kriging method for prediction and found that the overall predictive capability of the spatial regression model based on shortest travel path is better than that of the model based on multiple regression by cross validation.

Price Determinant Factors of Artworks and Prediction Model Based on Machine Learning (작품 가격 추정을 위한 기계 학습 기법의 응용 및 가격 결정 요인 분석)

  • Jang, Dongryul;Park, Minjae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.687-700
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate the interaction effects between price determinants of artworks. We expand the methodology in art market by applying machine learning techniques to estimate the price of artworks and compare linear regression and machine learning in terms of prediction accuracy. Methods: Moderated regression analysis was performed to verify the interaction effects of artistic characteristics on price. The moderating effects were studied by confirming the significance level of the interaction terms of the derived regression equation. In order to derive price estimation model, we use multiple linear regression analysis, which is a parametric statistical technique, and k-nearest neighbor (kNN) regression, which is a nonparametric statistical technique in machine learning methods. Results: Mostly, the influences of the price determinants of art are different according to the auction types and the artist 's reputation. However, the auction type did not control the influence of the genre of the work on the price. As a result of the analysis, the kNN regression was superior to the linear regression analysis based on the prediction accuracy. Conclusion: It provides a theoretical basis for the complexity that exists between pricing determinant factors of artworks. In addition, the nonparametric models and machine learning techniques as well as existing parameter models are implemented to estimate the artworks' price.

Augmented Multiple Regression Algorithm for Accurate Estimation of Localized Solar Irradiance (국지적 일사량 산출 정확도 향상을 위한 다중회귀 증강 알고리즘)

  • Choi, Ji Nyeong;Lee, Sanghee;Ahn, Ki-Beom;Kim, Sug-Whan;Kim, Jinho
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.6_1
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    • pp.1435-1447
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    • 2020
  • The seasonal variations in weather parameters can significantly affect the atmospheric transmission characteristics. Herein, we propose a novel augmented multiple regression algorithm for the accurate estimation of atmospheric transmittance and solar irradiance over highly localized areas. The algorithm employs 1) adaptive atmospheric model selection using measured meteorological data and 2) multiple linear regression computation augmented with the conventional application of MODerate resolution atmospheric TRANsmission (MODTRAN). In this study, the proposed algorithm was employed to estimate the solar irradiance over Taean coastal area using the 2018 clear days' meteorological data of the area, and the results were compared with the measurement data. The difference between the measured and computed solar irradiance significantly improved from 89.27 ± 48.08σ W/㎡ (with standard MODTRAN) to 21.35 ± 16.54σ W/㎡ (with augmented multiple regression algorithm). The novel method proposed herein can be a useful tool for the accurate estimation of solar irradiance and atmospheric transmission characteristics of highly localized areas with various weather conditions; it can also be used to correct remotely sensed atmospheric data of such areas.

A Study on Color Management of Input and Output Device in Electronic Publishing (I) (전자출판에서 입.출력 장치의 컬러 관리에 관한 연구 (I))

  • Cho, Ga-Ram;Kim, Jae-Hae;Koo, Chul-Whoi
    • Journal of the Korean Graphic Arts Communication Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.11-26
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, an experiment was done where the input device used the linear multiple regression and the sRGB color space to perform a color transformation. The output device used the GOG, GOGO and sRGB for the color transformation. After the input device underwent a color transformation, a $3\;{\times}\;20\;size$ matrix was used in a linear multiple regression and the scanner's color representation of scanner was better than a digital still camera's color representation. When using the sRGB color space, the original copy and the output copy had a color difference of 11. Therefore it was more efficient to use the linear multiple regression method than using the sRGB color space. After the input device underwent a color transformation, the additivity of the LCD monitor's R, G and B signal value improved and therefore the error in the linear formula transformation decreased. From this change, the LCD monitor with the GOG model applied to the color transformation became better than LCD monitors with other models applied to the color transformation. Also, the color difference varied more than 11 from the original target in CRT and LCD monitors when a sRGB color transformation was done in restricted conditions.

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Quantified Impact Analysis of Construction Delay Factors on Steel Staircase Systems

  • Kim, Hyun-Mi;Kim, Tae-Hyung;Shin, Young-Keun;Kim, Young-Suk;Han, Seungwoo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.636-647
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    • 2012
  • Construction projects have become so large, complicated and incredibly high-tech that process management is currently considered one of the most important issues. Unlike typical manufacturing industries, most major construction activities are performed in the open air and thus are exposed to various environmental factors. Many studies have been conducted with the goal of establishing efficient techniques and tools for overcoming these limitations. Productivity analysis and prediction, one of the related research subjects, must be considered when evaluating approaches to reducing construction duration and costs. The aim of this research is to present a quantified impact analysis of construction delay factors on construction productivity of a steel staircase system, which has been widely applied to high rise building construction. It is also expected to improve the process by managing the factors, ultimately achieving an improvement in construction productivity. To achieve the research objectives, this paper analyzed different delay factors affecting construction duration by means of multiple regression analysis focusing on steel staircase systems, which have critical effects on the preceding and subsequent processes in structure construction. Statistical analysis on the multiple linear regression model indicated that the environment, labor and material delay factors were statistically significant, with 0.293, 0.491, and 0.203 as the respective quantified impacts on productivity.

Approximate Life Cycle Assessment of Product Concepts Using Multiple Regression Analysis and Artificial Neural Networks

  • Park, Ji-Hyung;Seo, Kwang-Kyu
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.1969-1976
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    • 2003
  • In the early phases of the product life cycle, Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is recently used to support the decision-making for the product concepts, and the best alternative can be selected based on its estimated LCA and benefits. Both the lack of detailed information and time for a full LCA for a various range of design concepts need a new approach for the environmental analysis. This paper explores a new approximate LCA methodology for the product concepts by grouping products according to their environmental characteristics and by mapping product attributes into environmental impact driver (EID) index. The relationship is statistically verified by exploring the correlation between total impact indicator and energy impact category. Then, a neural network approach is developed to predict an approximate LCA of grouping products in conceptual design. Trained learning algorithms for the known characteristics of existing products will quickly give the result of LCA for newly designed products. The training is generalized by using product attributes for an EID in a group as well as another product attributes for the other EIDs in other groups. The neural network model with back propagation algorithm is used, and the results are compared with those of multiple regression analysis. The proposed approach does not replace the full LCA but it would give some useful guidelines for the design of environmentally conscious products in conceptual design phase.