• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multi-state model

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State-of-charge Estimation for Lithium-ion Batteries Using a Multi-state Closed-loop Observer

  • Zhao, Yulan;Yun, Haitao;Liu, Shude;Jiao, Huirong;Wang, Chengzhen
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.1038-1046
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    • 2014
  • Lithium-ion batteries are widely used in hybrid and pure electric vehicles. State-of-charge (SOC) estimation is a fundamental issue in vehicle power train control and battery management systems. This study proposes a novel model-based SOC estimation method that applies closed-loop state observer theory and a comprehensive battery model. The state-space model of lithium-ion battery is developed based on a three-order resistor-capacitor equivalent circuit model. The least square algorithm is used to identify model parameters. A multi-state closed-loop state observer is designed to predict the open-circuit voltage (OCV) of a battery based on the battery state-space model. Battery SOC can then be estimated based on the corresponding relationship between battery OCV and SOC. Finally, practical driving tests that use two types of typical driving cycle are performed to verify the proposed SOC estimation method. Test results prove that the proposed estimation method is reasonably accurate and exhibits accuracy in estimating SOC within 2% under different driving cycles.

An analysis of the Design heating load calculation in multi-family houses (공동주택 최대난방부하 계산법의 분석)

  • 조동우
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2000
  • Design load calculations which depend on the thermal characteristics of the building structure such as the wall, roof, and fenestration provide the basic data for selecting an HVAC system and its equipment. Most of domestic multi-family houses include a high thermal storage layer like massive concrete structure and a floor heating structure. This study is to compare the results of the design heating load between steady state and unsteady state calculation in order to comprehend the thermal storage effect in multi-family houses. The design heating load under the steady state calculation is estimated from 5.4% to 7.8% larger than that under the unsteady state in the typical floor of a multi-family house model. The design heating load considered the safety factors like a orientation and location factor also is 21.4% to 26.5% larger than that by the unsteady state calculation. So, the safety factors for use of the practicing engineer are analyzed as the main factor of a heating plant oversizing.

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Modeling and Steady-state Analysis of the Multi-Phase Interleaved Buck converter in Discontinuous Inductor Current Mode (불연속 전류모드에서의 다상 교호 강압컨버터의 정상상태 해석 및 모델링)

  • Chang, Sung-Dong;Jang, Eun-Sung;Chung, Se-Kyo;Shin, Hwi-Boem;Lee, Hyun-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.506-510
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    • 2004
  • A multi-phase interleaved buck converter is used to reduce current ripples and filter size of a power supply. This paper addresses the modelling and steady-state analysis of the multi-phase interleaved buck converter operated in discontinuous inductor current mode. The model is derived using an averaging technique in steady state. The do voltage ratio and the range of the discontinuous inductor current mode(DICM) and the continuous output current mode(COCM) are derived from the averaged state-space model. In addition, the efficiency is investigated according to the number of phase.

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Optimal Buffer Allocation in Multi-Product Repairable Production Lines Based on Multi-State Reliability and Structural Complexity

  • Duan, Jianguo;Xie, Nan;Li, Lianhui
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1579-1602
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    • 2020
  • In the design of production system, buffer capacity allocation is a major step. Through polymorphism analysis of production capacity and production capability, this paper investigates a buffer allocation optimization problem aiming at the multi-stage production line including unreliable machines, which is concerned with maximizing the system theoretical production rate and minimizing the system state entropy for a certain amount of buffers simultaneously. Stochastic process analysis is employed to establish Markov models for repairable modular machines. Considering the complex structure, an improved vector UGF (Universal Generating Function) technique and composition operators are introduced to construct the system model. Then the measures to assess the system's multi-state reliability and structural complexity are given. Based on system theoretical production rate and system state entropy, mathematical model for buffer capacity optimization is built and optimized by a specific genetic algorithm. The feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by an application of an engine head production line.

A Study on Probabilistic Reliability Evaluation of Power System Considering Solar Cell Generators (태양광발전원(太陽光發電原)을 고려한 전력계통(電力系統)의 확률논적(確率論的)인 신뢰도(信賴度) 평가(評價)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Park, Jeong-Je;Liang, Wu;Choi, Jae-Seok;Cha, Jun-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.486-495
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a new methodology on reliability evaluation of a power system including solar cell generators (SCG). The SCGs using renewable energy resource such as solar radiation(SR) should be modeled as multi-state operational model because the uncertainty of the resource supply may occur an effect as same as the forced outage of generator in viewpoint of adequacy reliability of system. While a two-state model is well suited for modeling conventional generators, a multi-state model is needed to model the SCGs due to the random variation of solar radiation. This makes the method of calculating reliability evaluation indices of the SCG different from the conventional generator. After identifying the typical pattern of the SR probability distribution function(pdf) from SR actual data, this paper describes modelling, methodology and details process for reliability evaluation of the solar cell generators integrated with power system. Two test results indicate the viability of the proposed method.

A multi-state model approach for risk analysis of pensions for married couples with consideration of mortality difference by marital status

  • Stefani, Anastasia;Kwon, Hyuk-Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.611-626
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    • 2021
  • Marital status has been identified as an important risk factor affecting adult mortality. Many studies have found that marriage has positive effects on mortality and increases life expectancy. Since most pension contracts providing retirement income are provided to married couples, mortality assumption for actuarial valuation based on the entire population is likely to overestimate the actual mortality of the group of beneficiaries specified in the contracts. This study considered the differences in mortality according to marital status to analyze the length and value of the payments of a typical pension contract for a married couple. The study quantified the effect on actuarial measurements of considering marital status in mortality assumptions with a multi-state model framework using Korean experience mortality data organized by marital status. The results of analysis indicate that considering marital status in mortality assumptions improves mortality risk management.

Regression models for interval-censored semi-competing risks data with missing intermediate transition status (중간 사건이 결측되었거나 구간 중도절단된 준 경쟁 위험 자료에 대한 회귀모형)

  • Kim, Jinheum;Kim, Jayoun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1311-1327
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    • 2016
  • We propose a multi-state model for analyzing semi-competing risks data with interval-censored or missing intermediate events. This model is an extension of the 'illness-death model', which composes three states, such as 'healthy', 'diseased', and 'dead'. The state of 'diseased' can be considered as an intermediate event. Two more states are added into the illness-death model to describe missing events caused by a loss of follow-up before the end of the study. One of them is a state of 'LTF', representing a lost-to-follow-up, and the other is an unobservable state that represents the intermediate event experienced after LTF occurred. Given covariates, we employ the Cox proportional hazards model with a normal frailty and construct a full likelihood to estimate transition intensities between states in the multi-state model. Marginalization of the full likelihood is completed using the adaptive Gaussian quadrature, and the optimal solution of the regression parameters is achieved through the iterative Newton-Raphson algorithm. Simulation studies are carried out to investigate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimation procedure in terms of the empirical coverage probability of the true regression parameter. Our proposed method is also illustrated with the dataset adapted from Helmer et al. (2001).

Development of Multi-Ensemble GCMs Based Spatio-Temporal Downscaling Scheme for Short-term Prediction (여름강수량의 단기예측을 위한 Multi-Ensemble GCMs 기반 시공간적 Downscaling 기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Min, Young-Mi;Hameed, Saji N.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1142-1146
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    • 2009
  • A rainfall simulation and forecasting technique that can generate daily rainfall sequences conditional on multi-model ensemble GCMs is developed and applied to data in Korea for the major rainy season. The GCM forecasts are provided by APEC climate center. A Weather State Based Downscaling Model (WSDM) is used to map teleconnections from ocean-atmosphere data or key state variables from numerical integrations of Ocean-Atmosphere General Circulation Models to simulate daily sequences at multiple rain gauges. The method presented is general and is applied to the wet season which is JJA(June-July-August) data in Korea. The sequences of weather states identified by the EM algorithm are shown to correspond to dominant synoptic-scale features of rainfall generating mechanisms. Application of the methodology to seasonal rainfall forecasts using empirical teleconnections and GCM derived climate forecast are discussed.

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A Multi-target Tracking Algorithm for Application to Adaptive Cruise Control

  • Moon Il-ki;Yi Kyongsu;Cavency Derek;Hedrick J. Karl
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.1742-1752
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a Multiple Target Tracking (MTT) Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC) system which consists of three parts; a multi-model-based multi-target state estimator, a primary vehicular target determination algorithm, and a single-target adaptive cruise control algorithm. Three motion models, which are validated using simulated and experimental data, are adopted to distinguish large lateral motions from longitudinally excited motions. The improvement in the state estimation performance when using three models is verified in target tracking simulations. However, the performance and safety benefits of a multi-model-based MTT-ACC system is investigated via simulations using real driving radar sensor data. The MTT-ACC system is tested under lane changing situations to examine how much the system performance is improved when multiple models are incorporated. Simulation results show system response that is more realistic and reflective of actual human driving behavior.

Experiment and simulation analysis on full scale double-layer concrete shell

  • Thanh Quang Khai Lam;Thi My Dung Do
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 2023
  • The published studies usually used analytical method, numerical methods or experimental method to determine the stress-strain state and displacement of the single-layer or multi-layer curved shell types, but with a small scale model. However, a full scale multi-layer doubly curved concrete shell roof model should be researched. This paper presents the results of the experiment and simulation analysis involving stress-strain state, sliding between layers, the formation and development of the full scale double-layer doubly curved concrete shell roof when this shell begins to crack. The results of the this study have constructed the load-sliding strain relationship; strain diagram; stress diagram in the shell layers; the Nx, Ny membrane force diagram and deflection of shell. Thisresults by experimental method on a full scale model of concrete have clarified the working of multi-layer doubly curved concrete shell roof. The experimental and simulation results are compared with each other and compared with the Sap2000 software.