• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte Carlo simulation

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Decision of Error Tolerance in Sonar Array by the Monte-Carlo Method (Monte-Carlo 방법에 의한 소나배열 소자의 허용오차 규정)

  • 김형동;이용범;이준영
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2002
  • In thin paper, error tolerance of each array element which satisfies error tolerance of beam pattern is decided by using the Monte-Carlo method. Conventional deterministic method decides the error tolerance of each element from the acceptance pattern by testing all cases, but this method is not suitable for the analysis of large number of array elements because the computation resources increase exponentially as the number of array elements increases. To alleviate this problem, we applied new algorithm which reduces the increment of calculation time increased by the number of the array elements. We have validates the determined error tolerance region through several simulation.

Monte Carlo 모사, 그리고 분자동역학

  • 유동훈;이진호
    • Journal of the KSME
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2004
  • 이 글에서는 마이크로와 나노스케일의 해석에 사용하는 수치모사 방법인 직접모사 몬테 카를로 (Direct Simulation Monte Carlo : DSMC)방법과 분자동역학(Molecular Dynamics: MD)과이 관계에 대하여 설명한다.

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A Ship-Valuation Model Based on Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션방법을 이용한 선박가치 평가)

  • Choi, Jung-Suk;Lee, Ki-Hwan;Nam, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2015
  • This study utilizes Monte Carlo simulation to forecast the time charter rate of vessels, the three-month Libor interest rate, and the ship demolition price, to mitigate future uncertainties involving these factors. The simulation was performed 10,000 times to obtain an exact result. For the empirical analysis - based on considerations in ordering ships in 2010-a comparison between the Monte Carlo simulation-based stochastic discounted cash flow (DCF) method and traditional DCF methods was made. The analysis revealed that the net present value obtained through Monte Carlo simulation was lower than that obtained via regular DCF methods, alerting the owners to risks and preventing them from placing injudicious orders for ships. This research has implications in reducing the uncertainties that future shipping markets face, through the use of a stochastic DCF approach with relevant variables and probability methods.

Structural Safety Analysis of Launching System Through Monte-Carlo Simulation (몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션을 통한 발사관 구조 안전성 분석)

  • Park, Chul-Woo;Lee, Onsoo;Shin, Hyo-Sub;Park, Jin-Yong;Lee, Dong-Ju
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2018
  • Launching system is designed to store the payload, withstand the rigors, and prevent it from rusting and damaging. The behavior during initial deployment of the missile is determined by production, assembly and insertion condition of a launching tube and a missile. The purpose of this research is to confirm the safety of a launching tube by statistically analyzing behavior of the missile, during initial deployment stage. Error parameters which effect initial behavior of the missile are selected and analyzed through Monte-Carlo Simulation. Based on the result of simulation, tip-off and stress distribution between rail and shoe is predicted by using the commercial analysis program called Recurdyn. Lastly, the safety factor is calculated based on yield strength of the material and maximum stress of the rail during the process of launching. The safety of the launching system is verified from the result of the safety factors.

A Simulation of the Energy Distribution Function for Electron in CF4, CH4, Ar Gas Mixtures (시뮬레이션에 의한 CF4, CH4, Ar혼합기체(混合氣體)에서 전자(電子)에너지분포함수)

  • Kim, Sang-Nam
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.9-13
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    • 2003
  • Energy Distribution Function in pure $CH_4$, $CF_4$ and mixtures of $CF_4$ and Ar, have been analyzed over a range of the reduced electric field strength between 0.1 and 350[Td] by the two-term approximation of the Boltzmann equation (BEq.) method and the Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). The results of the Boltzmann equation and the Monte Carlo simulation have been compared with the data presented by several workers. The deduced transport coefficients for electrons agree reasonably well with the experimental and simulation data obtained by Nakamura and Hayashi. The energy distribution function of electrons in $CF_4-Ar$ mixtures shows the Maxwellian distribution for energy. That is, $f(\varepsilon)$ has the symmetrical shape whose axis of symmetry is a most probably energy. The measured results and the calculated results have been compared each other.

Monte Carlo Soft Handoff Modeling (몬데카를로 소프트 헨드오프 모델링)

  • 추현승;정민영;홍인기
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2004
  • In this paper some models for obtaining the distribution of a sojourn time in CDMA cellular systems are proposed. Knowledge on this is essential for reliable modeling of the soft handoff and for solving other related problems in the analysis of cellular system. The proposed model is based on random walk and can be adopted to different conditions. Analytical results can be obtained that lead to a quite complicated numerical scheme so simulation models are used for Monte Carlo experiments. Main assumptions include different kinds of mobile carriers (pedestrians and transport passengers) and round shape of a cell. The scheme for simulation experiments is presented along with the discussion of simulation results.

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A Study on Generation of Stochastic Rainfall Variation using Multivariate Monte Carlo method (다변량 Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 추계학적 강우 변동 생성기법에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Ki-Hong;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2009
  • In this study, dimensionless-cumulative rainfall curves were generated by multivariate Monte Carlo method. For generation of rainfall curve rainfall storms were divided and made into dimensionless type since it was required to remove the spatial and temporal variances as well as differences in rainfall data. The dimensionless rainfall curves were divided into 4 types, and log-ratio method was introduced to overcome the limitations that elements of dimensionless-cumulative rainfall curve should always be more than zero and the sum total should be one. Orthogonal transformation by Johnson system and the constrained non-normal multivariate Monte Carlo simulation were introduced to analyse the rainfall characteristics. The generative technique in stochastic rainfall variation using multivariate Monte Carlo method will contribute to the design and evaluation of hydrosystems and can use the establishment of the flood disaster prevention system.

The Effect of Annular Projection Collapse on Tolerance of ECV Assembly (링 프로젝션 돌기의 용입정도가 ECV 조립공차에 미치는 영향)

  • Chang, Hee-Seok;Won, Woong-Yeon;Choi, Duk-Jun;Kim, Jong-Ho;Kim, Jin-Sang;Nahm, Tak-Hyun;Kang, Hee-Jong
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.78-84
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    • 2012
  • Due to the inherent dimensional uncertainty, tolerances accumulate in the final assembly. Tolerance accumulation has serious effect on the performance of ECV assembly. This paper proposes a method of tolerance accumulation analysis using Monte Carlo simulation, which includes welding process in assemble process. This method can predict the final tolerance distributions of the completed assembly with the prescribed statistical tolerance distribution of each part to be assembled. With the inclusion of welding, another dimensional uncertainties due to partial melting is to be accounted as well. Partial melting of projection height was included in the tolerance propagation analysis. Verification of the proposed method was performed by making use of Monte Carlo simulation. Monte Carlo simulation results showed promising results in that we can predict the final tolerance distributions in advance before actual assembly process of precision machinery.

Stage Separation Analysis of Launch Vehicle Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 발사체 단 분리 운동 분석)

  • Oh, Choong-Seok;Sun, Byung-Chan;Park, Yong-Kyu;Roh, Woong-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.341-348
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    • 2015
  • This paper addresses Monte-Carlo simulation analyses for the stage separation of the general launch vehicle. The stage separation event of the launch vehicle occurs during a very short time and is related with many dynamic parameters. The stage separation is a critical event in that the launch fails if there is a collision during the stage separation. The stage separation analyses was conducted for the general launch vehicle to confirm the separation without collision within the designed clearance in case of the random input parameters. This paper presents the stochastic results of the stage separation of the launch vehicle using the Monte-Carlo simulation.