• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte Carlo model

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A Study on Counting Statistics of the Hybrid G-M Counter Dead Time Model Using Monte Carlo Simulations (몬테칼로 전산모사를 이용한 복합 G-M 계수기 불감시간 모형의 계측 통계 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon;Jae, Moo-Sung
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.269-273
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    • 2004
  • The hybrid dead time model adopting paralyzable (or extendable) and non-paralyzable (or non-extendable) dead times has been introduced to extend the usable range of G-M counters in high counting rate environment and the relationship between true and observed counting rates is more accurately expressed in the hybrid model. GMSIM, dead time effects simulator, has been developed to analyze the counting statistics of G-M counters using Monte Carlo simulations. GMSIM accurately described the counting statistics of the paralyzable and non-paralyzable models. For G-M counters that follow the hybrid model, the counting statistics behaved in between two idealized models. In the future, GMSIM may be used in predicting counting statistics of three G-M dead time models, which are paralyzable, non-paralyzable and hybrid models.

Monte Carlo Simulation Using QUALKO2 Model for Water Quality Reliability Analysis (수질 신뢰도 분석을 위한 QUALKO2 모형의 Monte Carlo 해석)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Choi, Hyun-Gu;Kwon, Na-Young;Im, Jae-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.2058-2062
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    • 2009
  • 1992년 한강수계법이 제정되면서 우리나라에 도입된 오염총량관리제는 현재 2차총량관리 시행계획수립 단계에 이르렀다. 오염총량제에서 수질모델은 수계구간별로 설정된 기준유량과 목표수질 조건을 달성하는 지를 판단할 수 있는 도구로 사용되며, 다양한 모델들이 사용되고 있다. 그 중 하천수질모형으로는 주로 QUAL2E, QUALKO, QUALKO2 모형으로 압축할 수 있다. QUAL2E 모형은 1980년대에 개발되어 국내외로 널리 이용하고 있으나 SOD를 0차나 일정량으로 처리하였고, 부착조류에 의한 용존산소 변화와 부유 조류 사멸시 발생하는 유기물이 고려되지 않았다. 또한 용존산소가 부족한 상태에서 반응이 활발한 탈질화과정이 포함되지 않아 이들 반응에 의해 수질이 영향을 받는 하천에 적용하기에는 한계가 있었다. 그리고 QUAL2E 모델은 여러 개의 지류를 가진 대형 하천에는 적용하기 어려운 단점이 있다. 국내에서는 1999년 QUAL2E 모델에 WASP5의 장점을 접목시켜 QUALKO 모델을 개발하였다. 이 모델은 QUAL2E에 부유성 조류의 사멸로 인한 유기물의 내부증가, 탈질화 반응 및 부착식물의 광합성 호흡 과정을 추가한 것이다. 또한 QUAL2E 모델에서 BOD는 CBOD로 입력되고 모의되므로 bottle BOD의 개념이 결여되어 있으므로 이러한 문제점을 보완하고, 조류의 생산 및 사멸에 의한 내부생산 유기물 증가와 탈질화 반응 과정을 추가한 것이다. 우리나라에서 진행되고 있는 총량관리 대상물질은 2010년까지는 $BOD_5$이며, 2011년부터는 일부 지역에 총인이 포함될 예정이다. 2007년에 실험실에서 측정하는 BOD5나 유기성 질소 또는 유기성 인을 그대로 입력하여 계산되고 출력할 수 있으며, 향후 오염총량제의 관리대상항목으로 논의되고 있는 TOC를 모의할 수 있는 QUALKO2가 개발되었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 향후 활용도가 클 것으로 기대되는 QUALKO2 모형에 기존 QUAL2E-UNCAS 모형에 서 수행할 수 있는 불확실성 해석 기법인 Monte Carlo 모의를 가능하도록 모형을 수정하고자 한다. 실제 하천에서의 수질해석에 대한 단순한 표현인 수학적 모형은 불확실성을 내포하고 있으며, Monte Carlo 해석을 사용하여 모형의 불확실도 정량화와 매개변수의 불확실성을 통계학적으로 기술할 수 있다. 또한 각 지점에 대한 계산결과치들에 대해 빈도 및 누가빈도분포 값을 제시함으로서 모형 예측치들의 전반적인 분포경향을 평가할 수 있으며, 하천수질에 대해서 환경기준치를 위배할 가능성을 산정하는데 활용할 수 있다. 우리나라 실정에 맞는 QUALKO2 모형에 Monte Carlo 모의를 통해 신뢰도 기반의 수질해석을 수행하게 된다면 수질정책의 기초자료 제공에 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

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Neutron Induced Capture Gamma Spectroscopy Sonde Design and Response Analysis Based on Monte Carlo Simulation (Monte Carlo 시물레이션에 기초한 포획모드 중성자-감마 스펙트럼 존데 설계 및 반응 분석)

  • Won, Byeongho;Hwang, Seho;Shin, Jehyun;Kim, Jongman;Kim, Ki-Seog;Park, Chang Je
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.154-161
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    • 2015
  • For efficiently designing neutron induced gamma spectroscopy sonde, Monte Carlo simulation is employed to understand a dominant location of thermal neutron and classify the formation elements from the energy peak of capture gamma spectrum. A pulsed neutron generator emitting 14 MeV neutron particles was used as a source, and flux of thermal neutron was calculated from the twelve detectors arranged at each 10 cm intervals from the source. Design for reducing borehole effects using shielding materials was also applied to numerical sonde model. Moreover, principal elements and quantities of numerical earth models were verified through the energy spectrum analysis of capture gamma detected from a gamma detector. These results can help to enhance the signal-to-noise ratio, and determine an optimal placement of capture gamma detectors of neutron induced gamma spectroscopy sonde.

Developing efficient model updating approaches for different structural complexity - an ensemble learning and uncertainty quantifications

  • Lin, Guangwei;Zhang, Yi;Liao, Qinzhuo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.321-336
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    • 2022
  • Model uncertainty is a key factor that could influence the accuracy and reliability of numerical model-based analysis. It is necessary to acquire an appropriate updating approach which could search and determine the realistic model parameter values from measurements. In this paper, the Bayesian model updating theory combined with the transitional Markov chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC) method and K-means cluster analysis is utilized in the updating of the structural model parameters. Kriging and polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) are employed to generate surrogate models to reduce the computational burden in TMCMC. The selected updating approaches are applied to three structural examples with different complexity, including a two-storey frame, a ten-storey frame, and the national stadium model. These models stand for the low-dimensional linear model, the high-dimensional linear model, and the nonlinear model, respectively. The performances of updating in these three models are assessed in terms of the prediction uncertainty, numerical efforts, and prior information. This study also investigates the updating scenarios using the analytical approach and surrogate models. The uncertainty quantification in the Bayesian approach is further discussed to verify the validity and accuracy of the surrogate models. Finally, the advantages and limitations of the surrogate model-based updating approaches are discussed for different structural complexity. The possibility of utilizing the boosting algorithm as an ensemble learning method for improving the surrogate models is also presented.

Analysis of Electromagnetic Wave Scattering From a Perfectly Conducting One Dimensional Fractal Surface Using the Monte-Carlo Moment Method (몬테칼로 모멘트 방법을 이용한 1차원 프랙탈 완전도체 표면에서의 전자파 산란 해석)

  • 최동묵;김채영
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.39 no.12
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    • pp.566-574
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, the scattered field from a perfectly conducting fractal surface by the Monte-Carlo moment method was computed. An one-dimensional fractal surface was generated by using the fractional Brownian motion model. Back scattering coefficients are calculated with different values of the spectral parameter(S$\_$0/), and fractal dimension(D) which determine characteristics of the fractal surface. The number of surface realization for the computed field, the point number, and the width of surface realization are set to be 80, 2048, and 64L, respectively. In order to verify the computed results these results are compared with those of small perturbation methods, which show good agreement between them.

The Prediction of Etching Characteristics Using Monte-Carlo Simulation in Etching Process of Lead-Frame (Lead-Frame 에칭공정에서 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 에칭특성 예측)

  • Jeong Heung-Cheol;Choi Gyung-Min;Kim Duck-Jool
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.23 no.1 s.178
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    • pp.72-79
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this work is to simulate the etching characteristics for the optimization on the etching process of Lead-Frame. The etching characteristics such as etching factor, etching uniformity were investigated under different the actual operating conditions. The correlation between the etching characteristics and the spray ones were analyzed to simulate the etching characteristics in the etching process. To improve the etching characteristics in the etching process, effects of the various operating conditions such as pressure, distance from nozzle tip, pipe pitch, and feed speed should be understood in detail. The spray characteristics obtained by experiment using PDA system were simulated by the Monte-Carlo simulation. The etching process model was coded by Java language. It was found that the spray characteristics were correlated with the etching ones and simulation results generally agreed well with the measured results of etching characteristics in the etching process of Lead-Frame. The optimal operating parameters were successfully found under variable conditions.

Calculation of the Detection Range for a Given Cumulative Probability in Airborne Surveillance Radars (탐색 레이다에서 누적확률에 기인한 탐지거리 계산에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun Hee;Roh, Ji-Eun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.24-27
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    • 2018
  • The performance measure of airborne radars is the range at which the cumulative probability of detection has some specified value, because the per-scan detection probability is an oscillatory function of the target range in airborne radars operating with the dynamic clutter environment. As a result, no one range, at which the per-scan detection probability has a given value, can give a meaningful description of the range performance. In this paper, we provide the equation to calculate the cumulative detection probability and show that the result of Monte Carlo simulation is same as the calculated value in a simple scenario. This verified Monte Carlo model will be used to evaluate the performance of airborne radars in various operating scenarios, at which the numerical calculation is difficult.

Uncertainty reduction of seismic fragility of intake tower using Bayesian Inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation

  • Alam, Jahangir;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.63 no.1
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2017
  • The fundamental goal of this study is to minimize the uncertainty of the median fragility curve and to assess the structural vulnerability under earthquake excitation. Bayesian Inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation has been presented for efficient collapse response assessment of the independent intake water tower. The intake tower is significantly used as a diversion type of the hydropower station for maintaining power plant, reservoir and spillway tunnel. Therefore, the seismic fragility assessment of the intake tower is a pivotal component for estimating total system risk of the reservoir. In this investigation, an asymmetrical independent slender reinforced concrete structure is considered. The Bayesian Inference method provides the flexibility to integrate the prior information of collapse response data with the numerical analysis results. The preliminary information of risk data can be obtained from various sources like experiments, existing studies, and simplified linear dynamic analysis or nonlinear static analysis. The conventional lognormal model is used for plotting the fragility curve using the data from time history simulation and nonlinear static pushover analysis respectively. The Bayesian Inference approach is applied for integrating the data from both analyses with the help of MCMC simulation. The method achieves meaningful improvement of uncertainty associated with the fragility curve, and provides significant statistical and computational efficiency.

Monte Carlo Simulation on Light Distribution in Turbid Material (혼탁매질에서 광분포에 관한 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Ki-Jun;Sung, Ki-Chun
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 1998
  • The propagation of light radiation in a turbid medium is an important problem that confronts dosimetry of therapeutic laser delivery and the development of diagnostic spectroscopy. Scattered light is measured as a function of the position(distance r, depth z) between the axis of the incident beam and the detection spot. Turbid sample yields a very forward-directed scattering pattern at short range of position from source to detector, whereas the thicker samples greatly attenuated the on-axis intensity at long range of position. The portions of scattered light reflected from or transmitted throughphantom depend upon internal reflectance and absorption properties of the phantom. Monte Carlo simulation method for modelling light transport in tissue is applied. It uses the photon is moved a distance where it may be scattered, absorbed, propagated, internally reflected, or transmitted out of tissue. The photon is repeatedly moved until it either escape from or is absorbed by the phantom. In order to obtain an optimum therapeutic ratio in phantom material, optimum control the light energy fluence rate is essential. This study is to discuss the physical mechanisms determining the actual light dose in phantom. Permitting a qualitative understanding of the measurements. It may also aid in designing the best model for laser medicine and application of medical engineering.

Interpretation of two SINBAD photon-leakage benchmarks with nuclear library ENDF/B-VIII.0 and Monte Carlo code MCS

  • Lemaire, Matthieu;Lee, Hyunsuk;Zhang, Peng;Lee, Deokjung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.1355-1366
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    • 2020
  • A review of the documentation and an interpretation of the NEA-1517/74 and NEA-1517/80 shielding benchmarks (measurements of photon leakage flux from a hollow sphere with a central 14 MeV neutron source) from the SINBAD database with the Monte Carlo code MCS and the most up-to-date ENDF/B-VIII.0 neutron data library are conducted. The two analyzed benchmarks describe satisfactorily the energy resolution of the photon detector and the geometry of the spherical samples with inner beam tube, tritium target and cooling water circuit, but lack information regarding the detector geometry and the distances of shields and collimators relatively to the neutron source and the detector. Calculations are therefore conducted for a sphere model only. A preliminary verification of MCS neutron-photon calculations against MCNP6.2 is first conducted, then the impact of modelling the inner beam tube, tritium target and cooling water circuit is assessed. Finally, a comparison of calculated results with the libraries ENDF/B-VII.1 and ENDF/B-VIII.0 against the measurements is conducted and shows reasonable agreement. The MCS and MCNP inputs used for the interpretation are available as supplementary material of this article.