• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.31-36
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• 2010

An alternative method is presented for predicting failure probability of pipelines with corrosion defects in this paper. The failure of corroded pipeline occurs when the operating pressure is grater than the remaining strength of the pipeline, and a limit state function can be defined as the differences between the remaining strength and the operating pressure. Then, based on structural reliability theory, we can estimate the failure probability of corroded pipeline, which is dependent on elapsed time of the pipeline with active corrosion defects. In this study, a root finding (RF) method has been adopted to solve the limit state function instead of Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) method which traditionally has been employed to solve those kinds of problems. The calculation results shows that there are only small differences between the RF and the MCS method but the RF has higher efficiency in calculation than the MCS.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.595-603
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• 2010

Monte-Carlo simulation technique is often used in order to predict service life of concrete structure subjected to chloride penetration in marine environment based on probability theory. Monte-Carlo simulation method, however, the method gives different results every time that the simulation is run. On the other hand, moment method, which is frequently used in reliability analysis, needs negligible computational cost compared with simulation technique and gives a constant result for the same problem. Thus, in this study, moment method was applied to the calculation of corrosion-initiation probability. For this purpose, computer programs to calculate failure probabilities are developed using first-order second moment (FOSM) and second-order second moment (SOSM) methods, respectively. From the analysis examples with the developed programs, SOSM was found to give a more accurate result than FOSM does. The sensitivity analysis has shown that the factor affecting the corrosion-initiation probability the most was the cover depth, and the corrosion-initiation probability was influenced more by its coefficient of variation than its mean value.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.30 no.6
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• pp.679-690
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• 1997

The risk assessment model for hydrlolgic safety analysis of dam and levee in developed by using Monte-Carlo and AFOSM (Advanced First-Order Second-Moment) method. The fault tree analysis and four phases approach are presented for the safety eveluation of risk of dam and levee. The risk model consists of rainfall-runoff analysis, reservoir routing and channel routing considering the variations in the model parameter. For the rainfall-runoff analysis, KRRL method is adopted with 200-year precipitation and PMP (Probable Maximum Precipitation). Reservoir routing is performed by fourth order Runge-Kutta method and channel routing by standard step method. The suggested model will contribute to safety evaluation of dam and levee and their rehabilitation decision problem.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.437-447
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• 2010

A probabilistic analysis of slope stability is an appropriate solution in dealing with uncertainty in problems related to engineering geology. In this study, a Monte Carlo simulation was performed to evaluate the performance function that is Barton's equation. A large number of randomly generated values were obtained for random variables, and the performance function was calculated repeatedly using randomly generated values. A previous study provided information of slope geometry and the random characteristics of random variables such as JRC and JCS. The present approach was adopted to analyze two failed slopes. The probabilities of failure were evaluated for each slope, and sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the influence of each random variable on the probability of failure. The analysis results were then compared with the results of a deterministic analysis, indicating that the probabilistic analysis yielded reliable results.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.21 no.11
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• pp.2015-2021
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• 2017

Recently, a lot of attention is fallen to IoT(Internet of Things) for hyper-connected society and the number of unlicensed wireless device has been increasing. Thus, this paper analyzed the impact of unlicensed wireless device on the basis of 802.11ah on licensed LTE user equipment in 900 MHz frequency band for efficient frequency use. As the interference analysis method, Minimum Coupling Loss (MCL) method and Monte Carlo (MC) method were used. In case of one interferer, minimum separation distance between interferer and victim was calculated as about 22 m through the MCL method under the assumption of the worst case. The maximum number of interferer to meet the interference probability of 5% below within a cell radius of the victim was computed as about 3000 by using MC method based on statistical technique. The analysis method and results in this paper are expected to be used for the coexistence between unlicensed wireless device and licensed wireless device.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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• v.11 no.6
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• pp.423-428
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• 2017

In this study, the calculation of the effective spatial dose distribution of the diagnostic imaging laboratory of K university was performed by the Monte Carlo simulation. The radiation generator has a maximum tube voltage of 150 kVp and a maximum current of 700 mA. Using the results, we compared the spatial effective dose distributions of diagnostic imaging laboratory when the shielding door was closed and opened. In conclusion, it was found that the effective dose in the operating room of the diagnostic imaging laboratory does not exceed the annual dose limit (6 mSv/y) of the student (occasional visitor) even when the door is opened. However, since the effective dose when the door is open is about 16 times higher in front of the lead glass window and about 3,000 times higher in front of the doorway than the case when the door is closed, closing the shielding door at the time of the practical exercising reduces unnecessary radiation exposure by great extent.

• Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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• 1999.07a
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• pp.209-209
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• 1999

현재 magnetron sputter는 반도체, LCD 등을 포함하는 microelectronics 산업에서 박막형성을 위한 주요 장비로 널리 쓰이고 있으며, 소자의 고집적화 및 대형화 추세에 따라 그 이용가치는 더욱 증대되고 있다. 본 연구엣는 TFT-LCD용 Color Filter 제조시 ITO박막형성을 위해 사용하는 magnetron sputter 내부의 플라즈마 분포 및 ion kinetic energy에 대한 해석을 실시하였으며, ITO target의 erosion 형상의 원인을 실험결과와 비교하였다. Magnetron sputtering은 target에 가해지는 bias 전압(DC 혹은 RF)에 의해 target과 shield 혹은 target과 substrate 사이에서 생성될 수 잇는 플라즈마를 target 및 부분에 붙어있는 영구자석을 이용하여 target 근처에 집중시키고, target 표면과 플라즈마 사이의 전위차에 의해 가속된 이온들이 target 표면과 충돌하여 이차 전자방출을 일으킴과 동시에 target 표면에서 sputtering을 일으키고, 이들 sputtered 된 중성의 atom 들이 substrate로 날아가 박막을 형성하는 원리로 작동된다. 이때 target에서 방출되는 이차전자들은 영구자석에 의한 자기장 효과에 의해 target 근처에 갇히게 되어 중성 기체분자들과 이온화반응을 통해 플라즈마를 유지하고 그 밀도를 높혀주는 역할을 담당하게 된다. 즉 낮은 압력 및 bias 전압에서도 플라즈마 밀도를 높일수 있고 sputtering 공정이 가능한 장점을 가지고 있다. Magnetron sputtering 현상에 대한 시뮬레이션은 크게 magnetron discharge와 sputtering에 대한 해석 두가지로 나누어 볼 수 있는데, sputtering 현상 자체를 수치묘사할 수 있는 정량적인 모델은 아직까지 명확하게 정립되어 있지 않다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 magnetron plasma 자체에 대한 수치해석에 주안점을 두고 아울러 bulk plasma 영역에서 target으로 입사하는 이온들의 입사에너지 및 입사각도 등을 Monte Carlo 방법으로 추적하여 sputtering 현상을 유추해보았다. Sputtering 현상을 살펴보기 위해 magnetron sputter 내 플라즈마 밀도, 전자온도, 특히 target 및 substrate를 충돌하는 이온의 입사에너지 및 입사각 분포등을 계산하는데 hybrid 방법으로 시뮬레이션을 하였다. 즉 ion과 bulk electron에 대해서는 fluid 방식으로 접근하고, 이차전자 운동과 그로 인한 반응관계 및 target으로 입사하는 이온의 에너지와 입사각 분포는 Monte-Carlo 방법으로 처리하였다. 정지기장해석의 경우 상용 S/W인 Vector Fields를 사용하였다. 이를 통해 sputter 내 플라즈마 특성, target으로 입사하는 이온에너지 및 각 분포, 이들이 target erosion 형상에 미치는 영향을 살펴보았다. 또한 이들 결과로부터 간단한 sputtering 모델을 사용하여 target으로부터 sputter된 입자들이 substrate에 부착되는 현상을 Monte-Carlo 방법으로 추적하여 성막특성도 살펴보았다.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.119-124
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• 2017

In 1997, IBM's DeepBlue won the world chess championship, Garry Kasparov, and recently, Google's AlphaGo won all three games against Ke Jie, who was ranked 1st among all human Baduk players worldwide, interest in deep running has increased rapidly. DeepPurple, proposed in this paper, is a AI chess engine based on deep learning. DeepPurple Chess Engine consists largely of Monte Carlo Tree Search and policy network and value network, which are implemented by convolution neural networks. Through the policy network, the next move is predicted and the given situation is calculated through the value network. To select the most beneficial next move Monte Carlo Tree Search is used. The results show that the accuracy and the loss function cost of the policy network is 43% and 1.9. In the case of the value network, the accuracy is 50% and the loss function cost is 1, respectively.

• Journal of Korea Game Society
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.79-90
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• 2016

Recently, many researchers have paid attention to the improved generation of AI agent in the area of game industry. Monte-Carlo Tree Search(MCTS) is one of the algorithms to search an optimal solution through random search with perfect information, and it is suitable for the purpose of calculating an approximate value to the solution of an equation which cannot be expressed explicitly. Games in Trading Card Game(TCG) genre such as the heartstone has imperfect information because the cards and play of an opponent are not predictable. In this study, MCTS is suggested in imperfect information card games so as to generate AI agents. In addition, the practicality of MCTS algorithm is verified by applying to heartstone game which is currently used.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.219-227
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• 2011

In this paper, we proposed a generalized bivariate negative binomial distribution allowing heterogeneous dispersions on two dependent variables based on a trivariate reduction technique. In this model, we propose the score and LR tests for testing the equality of dispersions and compare the efficiencies of the proposed tests using a Monte Carlo study. The Monte Carlo study shows that the proposed score and LR tests prove to be an efficient test for the equality of dispersions in the view of the significance level and power. However, the score test is easier to compute than the LR test and it shows a slightly better performance than the LR test from the Monte Carlo study, we suggest the use of score tests for testing the equality of dispersions on two dependent variables. In addition, an empirical example is provided to illustrate the results.