• 제목/요약/키워드: Monsoon climate

검색결과 165건 처리시간 0.032초

CMIP5 MME와 Best 모델의 비교를 통해 살펴본 미래전망: I. 동아시아 기온과 강수의 단기 및 장기 미래전망 (Future Change Using the CMIP5 MME and Best Models: I. Near and Long Term Future Change of Temperature and Precipitation over East Asia)

  • 문혜진;김병희;오효은;이준이;하경자
    • 대기
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.403-417
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    • 2014
  • Future changes in seasonal mean temperature and precipitation over East Asia under anthropogenic global warming are investigated by comparing the historical run for 1979~2005 and the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 run for 2006~2100 with 20 coupled models which participated in the phase five of Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5). Although an increase in future temperature over the East Asian monsoon region has been commonly accepted, the prediction of future precipitation under global warming still has considerable uncertainties with a large inter-model spread. Thus, we select best five models, based on the evaluation of models' performance in present climate for boreal summer and winter seasons, to reduce uncertainties in future projection. Overall, the CMIP5 models better simulate climatological temperature and precipitation over East Asia than the phase 3 of CMIP and the five best models' multi-model ensemble (B5MME) has better performance than all 20 models' multi-model ensemble (MME). Under anthropogenic global warming, significant increases are expected in both temperature and land-ocean thermal contrast over the entire East Asia region during both seasons for near and long term future. The contrast of future precipitation in winter between land and ocean will decrease over East Asia whereas that in summer particularly over the Korean Peninsula, associated with the Changma, will increase. Taking into account model validation and uncertainty estimation, this study has made an effort on providing a more reliable range of future change for temperature and precipitation particularly over the Korean Peninsula than previous studies.

월강우자료에 의한 한발측정 (A Study on the Evaluation of Drought from Monthly Rainfall Data)

  • 황은;최덕순
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 1984
  • Generally speaking, agriculture exist in a climatic environment of uncertainty. Namely, normal rainfall value, as given by the mean values, does not exist. Thought on exists, itl does not affect like extreme Precipitation value on the part of agriculture and of others. Therefore, it is important that we measure the duration and severity index of drought caused by extreme precipitation deficit. In this purpose, this study was dealt with the calculation of drought duration and severity indexs by the method of monthly weighting coefficient. There is no quantitive definition of drought that is universally acceptable. Most of the criteria was used to identify drought have been arbitrary because a drought is a 'non-event' as opposed to a distinct event such as a flood. Therefore, confusion arises when an attempt is made to define the drought phenomenon, the calculation of duration, drought index is based on the following four fundamental question, and this study was dealt with the answers of these four questions as they related to this analytical method, as follows. First, the primary interest in this study is to be the lack of precipitation as it relates to agricultural effective rainfall. Second, the time interval was used to be month in this analysis. Third, Drought event, distinguished analytically from other event, is noted by monthly weighting coefficient method based on monthly rainfall data. Fin-ally, the seven regions used in this study have continually affected by drought on account of their rainfall deficit. The result from this method was very similar to the previous papers studied by many workers. Therefore, I think that this method is very available in Korea to identify the duration of drought, the deficit of precipitation and severity index of drought, But according to the climate of Korea exist the Asia Monsoon zone. The monthly weighting coefficient is modify a little, Because get out of 0.1-0.4 occasionally.

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부상웨어 설치에 따른 대청호 조류 성장 억제 효과 수치모의 (Numerical Modeling Effects of a Skimmer Weir Method on the Control of Algal Growth in Daecheong Reservoir)

  • 김유경;정세웅;이흥수;정용락
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.581-590
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    • 2007
  • A float-type weir has been proposed for the control of algal blooms in some of eutrophic reservoirs recently. It is known as a costly and ecologically sound method, but there is little understanding about the sustainability of this low-cost technology for reservoirs that are located in monsoon climate areas where large flood events during the summer cause high water surface fluctuations. The objective of this study was to assess the effectiveness of a skimmer weir aimed at controlling algal blooms in the lacustrine zone and near the drinking water withdrawal structures of Daecheong Reservoir under various hydrodynamic flow conditions. The effect of weir on the control of algal blooms was simulated using a laterally averaged two-dimensional hydrodynamic and eutrophication model that can accommodate vertical displacement of the weir following the water surface fluctuations. Numerical simulations were performed for two different hydrological conditions, 2001 and 2004 for representing drought year and normal year, respectively. The results showed that the weir is very effective method to control algal blooms in the reservoir by curtailing the transport of phosphorus and algae from contaminated inflow to the downstream lacustrine epilimnion during the draught year. However, large flood events occurred in 2004 transported nutrients and algae built upstream of the weir into the downstream euphotic zone by strong entrainments.

ECOLOGICAL RESPONSE OF STREAMS IN KOREA UNDER DIFFERENT MANAGEMENT REGIMES

  • Lee Chang-Seok;Cho Yong-Chan;Shin Hyun-Cheol;Moon Jeong-Suk;Lee Byung-Cheon;Bae Yang-Seop;Byun Hwa-Geun;Yi Hoon-Bok
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.131-147
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    • 2005
  • Today, a trend that tries to return the artificial space of a river to a natural one is expanding. But in Korea, which lies in the monsoon climate zone, rivers endure flood damage every year. Moreover, climatic change from global warming causes severe variations in precipitation patterns. Until recently, river restoration practices in Korea have followed partial restoration. These restorative treatments transformed artificial structures of the stream to natural ones and introduced natural vegetation by imitating natural or semi-natural streams. Treatment transformed the riparian structure and increased the diversity of micro-topography and vegetation. Furthermore, restoration recovered species composition, increased species diversity, and inhibited the establishment of exotic species. In particular, the Suip stream, which was left to its natural process for approximately 50 years, recovered its natural features almost completely through passive restoration. An urban stream, the Yangjae, and a rural stream, the Dongmoon, were restored partially by applying ecological principles. On the contrary, technological treatment applied to recover flood damage induced species composition far from the natural vegetation and decreased species diversity. Additionally, this treatment increased exotic species. The same results were found also in benthic invertebrate and fish fauna. The above-mentioned results reflect the importance of ecological considerations in river management.

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한반도 중규모 대류복합체의 발달특성에 관한 연구 (Characters of Mesoscale Convective Complex Development in Korean Peninsula)

  • 이순환;원효성
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제26권7호
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    • pp.698-705
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    • 2005
  • 한반도 집중호우를 유발시키는 중규모대류복합체는 매우 복잡한 특성을 띠고 있다. 2004년 7월 14일 발생한 중 규모 대류복합체의 발달메커니즘을 분석한 결과, a) 대류복합체 생성 전에 강한 남서기류의 유입이 있었으며, b) 600hPa고도에서 강한 역전층이 나타났다. 역전층은 상층과 하층간의 상당온위의 차이를 유발하여 대기불안정을 더욱 강화시켰다. 그리고 c) 일반적인 중규모대류복합체 특징인 풍향의 쉬어보다는 풍속의 쉬어에 의해 대류계의 열역학 불안정이 강화되었다. 그리고 d) 흑산도 등 해안지방에 의해 유발되는 난류 및 대기불안정으로 인하여 중규모 대류복합체가 해안지방에서 발달한 것으로 보인다. 그러므로 지형에 의한 중규모 대류 복합체의 발달메커니즘 규명이 필요하다.

지리산국립공원 낙엽활엽수림 세 군락의 탄소저장량 평가 (Estimation of Carbon Storage in Three Cool-Temperate Broad-Leaved Deciduous Forests at Jirisan National Park, Korea)

  • 이나연
    • 환경생물
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.121-127
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    • 2012
  • 지리산국립공원 산림생태계의 탄소 수지에 관한 기초자료를 확보하기 위해 낙엽활엽수림에 대한 탄소저장량을 추정하였다. 지리산국립공원의 대표 낙엽활엽수림 군락을 중심으로 뱀사골 지구, 중산리 지구, 성삼재 지구로 나누어 조사구 ($30m{\times}30m$, 3지점)를 설치, 식생권과 토양권의 탄소저장량을 추정하였다. 식생권의 탄소량은 $107{\sim}119tC\;ha^{-1}$의 범위로 평균 약 $112tC\;ha^{-1}$ 정도의 양을 축적하고 있다. 또한 토양권의 탄소량은 $64{\sim}77tC\;ha^{-1}$의 범위로 평균 약 $66tC\;ha^{-1}$ 정도의 양을 축적하고 있다. 토양권과 식생권을 포함한 생태계 전체의 탄소저장량은 $167{\sim}184tC\;ha^{-1}$의 범위로 평균 약 $178tC\;ha^{-1}$ 정도의 양을 축적하고 있다. 값의 범위에서 알 수 있듯이 지구별 차이는 크게 나타나지 않았다. 다른 연구 결과와 비교하여 설악산국립공원을 비롯한 강원권 생태계를 제외하고 매우 많은 양의 탄소가 저장되어 있음을 알 수 있다.

Prolonged Turbidity of the Lower Nakdong River in 2003

  • Kim, Dong-Kyun;Kim, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Gu-Yeon;Kim, Young-Sang;Kim, Myoung-Chul;Jeong, Kwang-Seuk;Joo, Gea-Jae
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제38권spc호
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 2005
  • The Nakdong River, which lies in a monsoon climate zone with warm rainy summers and cold dry winters, is a typical ecosystem showing the attributes of a regulated river. In 2003, the total annual rainfall (1,805 mm) was higher than the average of the past nine years from 1994 to 2002 (1,250 mm). In September a powerful typhoon, Maemi, caused a big impact on the limnology of the river for over two months. Among the limnological variables, turbidity in 2003 (37.4 ${\pm}$ 94.1 NTU, n = 54) was higher than the annual average for ten years (18.5 ${\pm}$ 2.3 NTU, n = 486) in the lower part of the river (Mulgum: RK 28). Furthermore, physical disturbance (e.g. stream bank erosion within channel) in the upstream of the Imha Dam (RK ca. 350; river distance in kilometer from the estuary barrage) in the upper part of the river was a source of high turbidity, and impacted on the limnological dynamics along a 350 km section of the middle to lower part of the river. After the typhoon, high turbidity persisted more than two months in the late autumn from September to November in 2003. Flow regulation and the extended duration of turbid water are superimposed on the template of existing main channel hydroecology, which may cause spatial changes in the population dynamics of plankton in the river.

파이토그램을 이용한 월악산 기후요소, 토양환경 및 수목생장 장기간 모니터링 (Long-Term Monitoring of Climatic and Soil Factors, and Tree Growths in Worak Mountain Using Phytogram System)

  • 박원규;서정욱
    • 한국제4기학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2000
  • Phytogram을 이용하여 월악산에 자라는 침엽수류의 비대생장과 형성층의 전기화학적 활성을 기온, 토양수분, 토양온도, 광량 등과 함께 1996년 5월부터 1998년 10월초까지 28개월간 1시간 간격으로 연중 모니터링 함으로써, 이들 수목의 생장에 관여하는 기후인자를 추출하여 연륜을 이용한 고기후 복원과 기후변화(온난화와 강수량 변화)에 따른 수목생장 예측자료로 활용하고자 하였다. Phytogram은 미세전극을 식물체의 사부와 목부 사이에 삽입하여 형성층에서의 산소, 수소이온, 수분을 측정하는 전기화학적 시스템으로 운용되는 기기로서 토양수분, 토양온도, 기온, 광량 등 환경조건과 수목의 비대생장을 기록할 수 있었다. 직경생장개시 시기는 낙엽송, 소나무, 리기다소나무 순이었다. 3 수종 모두 생장초기 생장속도가 빠르며 이때의 환경조건이 이들 수종의 생장량에 가장 큰 영향을 주었다. 즉 장마철 이전(5월과 6월)의 수분조건이 생장량을 가장 크게 좌우하였다. Dendrometer(직경생장)와 proton(수소이온)은 증산작용에 의해 아침부터 오후까지 감소하여 16시에 최저가 되고, hydration(수분)은 아침부터 증가하기 시작하여 16시에 최대가 되었다.

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CE-QUAL-W2를 이용한 성층 저수지에서 CO2의 시공간적 분포 및 물질수지 분석 (Characterizing Spatiotemporal Variations and Mass Balance of CO2 in a Stratified Reservoir using CE-QUAL-W2)

  • 박형석;정세웅
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.508-520
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    • 2020
  • Dam reservoirs have been reported to contribute significantly to global carbon emissions, but unlike natural lakes, there is considerable uncertainty in calculating carbon emissions due to the complex of emission pathways. In particular, the method of calculating carbon dioxide (CO2) net atmospheric flux (NAF) based on a simple gas exchange theory from sporadic data has limitations in explaining the spatiotemporal variations in the CO2 flux in stratified reservoirs. This study was aimed to analyze the spatial and temporal CO2 distribution and mass balance in Daecheong Reservoir, located in the mid-latitude monsoon climate zone, by applying a two-dimensional hydrodynamic and water quality model (CE-QUAL-W2). Simulation results showed that the Daecheong Reservoir is a heterotrophic system in which CO2 is supersaturated as a whole and releases CO2 to the atmosphere. Spatially, CO2 emissions were greater in the lacustrine zone than in the riverine and transition zones. In terms of time, CO2 emissions changed dynamically according to the temporal stratification structure of the reservoir and temporal variations of algae biomass. CO2 emissions were greater at night than during the day and were seasonally greatest in winter. The CO2 NAF calculated by the CE-QUAL-W2 model and the gas exchange theory showed a similar range, but there was a difference in the point of occurrence of the peak value. The findings provide useful information to improve the quantification of CO2 emissions from reservoirs. In order to reduce the uncertainty in the estimation of reservoir carbon emissions, more precise monitoring in time and space is required.

Effect of precipitation on soil respiration in a temperate broad-leaved forest

  • Jeong, Seok-Hee;Eom, Ji-Young;Park, Joo-Yeon;Chun, Jung-Hwa;Lee, Jae-Seok
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2018
  • Background: For understanding and evaluating a more realistic and accurate assessment of ecosystem carbon balance related with environmental change or difference, it is necessary to analyze the various interrelationships between soil respiration and environmental factors. However, the soil temperature is mainly used for gap filling and estimation of soil respiration (Rs) under environmental change. Under the fact that changes in precipitation patterns due to climate change are expected, the effects of soil moisture content (SMC) on soil respiration have not been well studied relative to soil temperature. In this study, we attempt to analyze relationship between precipitation and soil respiration in temperate deciduous broad-leaved forest for 2 years in Gwangneung. Results: The average soil temperature (Ts) measured at a depth of 5 cm during the full study period was $12.0^{\circ}C$. The minimum value for monthly Ts was $-0.4^{\circ}C$ in February 2015 and $2.0^{\circ}C$ in January 2016. The maximum monthly Ts was $23.6^{\circ}C$ in August in both years. In 2015, annual precipitation was 823.4 mm and it was 1003.8 mm in 2016. The amount of precipitation increased by 21.9% in 2016 compared to 2015, but in 2015, it rained for 8 days more than in 2016. In 2015, the pattern of low precipitation was continuously shown, and there was a long dry period as well as a period of concentrated precipitation in 2016. 473.7 mm of precipitation, which accounted for about 51.8% of the precipitation during study period, was concentrated during summer (June to August) in 2016. The maximum values of daily Rs in both years were observed on the day when precipitation of 20 mm or more. From this, the maximum Rs value in 2015 was $784.3mg\;CO_2\;m^{-2}\;h^{-1}$ in July when 26.8 mm of daily precipitation was measured. The maximum was $913.6mg\;CO_2\;m^{-2}\;h^{-1}$ in August in 2016, when 23.8 mm of daily precipitation was measured. Rs on a rainy day was 1.5~1.6 times higher than it without precipitation. Consequently, the annual Rs in 2016 was about 12% higher than it was in 2015. It was shown a result of a 14% increase in summer precipitation from 2015. Conclusions: In this study, it was concluded that the precipitation pattern has a great effect on soil respiration. We confirmed that short-term but intense precipitation suppressed soil respiration due to a rapid increase in soil moisture, while sustained and adequate precipitation activated Rs. In especially, it is very important role on Rs in potential activating period such as summer high temperature season. Therefore, the accuracy of the calculated values by functional equation can be improved by considering the precipitation in addition to the soil temperature applied as the main factor for long-term prediction of soil respiration. In addition to this, we believe that the accuracy can be further improved by introducing an estimation equation based on seasonal temperature and soil moisture.