• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제33권10호
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• pp.1119-1124
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• 2009

This paper deals with the variability analysis of short term creep rupture test data based on the previous creep rupture tests and the possibility of the creep life prediction. From creep tests performed by constant uniaxial stresses at 600, 650 and $700^{\circ}C$ elevated temperature, in order to investigate the variability of short-term creep rupture data, the creep curves were analyzed for normalized creep strain divided by initial strain. There are some variability in the creep rupture data. And, the difference between general creep curves and normalized creep curves were obtained. The effects of the creep rupture time (RT) and steady state creep rate (SSCR) on the Weibull distribution parameters were investigated. There were good relation between normal Weibull parameters and normalized Weibull parameters. Finally, the predicted creep life were compared with the Monkman-Grant model.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제34권4호
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• pp.457-465
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• 2010

본 연구에서는 McVetty 와 Monkman-Grant 의 모델에 기초하여 만들어진 새로운 크리프 수명예측 모델인 Taylor 급수(T-S) 모델을 제안하였다. 본 모델은 회귀분석에서 발생하는 오차를 줄이기 위하여 McVetty 모델에서 sinh 함수를 Taylor 급수에 의해 변환한 후 첫 3 개항을 취한 것으로서 모델중의 상수 값은 통계학적 방법인 최대가능성 기법을 이용하여 결정되었다. T-S 모델을 이용하여 Alloy 617 의 크리프 수명을 예측한 결과 Eno, 지수함수 및 Larson-Miller(L-M) 방법에 비해 더 정확한 예측을 하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 T-S 모델은 특정 온도에서 크리프 수명 예측을 할 수 있는 등온 T-S(IT-S) 모델로 표현될 수 있었으며, IT-S 모델은 Alloy 617 의 장시간 크리프 수명예측에서 가장 좋은 예측을 하는 것으로 나타났다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제33권4호
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• pp.366-372
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• 2009

Creep life prediction has been commonly used by a time-temperature parameter (TTP) which is correlated to an applied stress and temperature, such as Larson-Miller (LM), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (OSD), Manson-Haferd (MH) and Manson-Succop (MS) parameters. A stress-temperature linear model (STLM) based on Arrhenius, Dorn and Monkman-Grant equations was newly proposed through a mathematical procedure. For this model, the logarithm time to rupture was linearly dependent on both an applied stress and temperature. The model parameters were properly determined by using a technique of maximum likelihood estimation of a statistical method, and this model was applied to the creep data of Alloy 617. From the results, it is found that the STLM results showed better agreement than the Eno’s model and the LM parameter ones. Especially, the STLM revealed a good estimation in predicting the long-term creep life of Alloy 617.