• 동아시아경상학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.33-49
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• 2017

This article can see the analysis of the monetary market of Russia at the present stage, its main segments. An assessment is given to the regulation of mechanism by liquidity, the transactions of the Bank of Russia on the provision of liquidity and on absorption of liquidity, the transaction of fixed action and the transaction in the public market are analyzed. To determine the tendency of development of the monetary market and its segments. In the work using the methods of multivariate statistics, the tools of financial mathematics. To be analyzed the amount of data from the 2015 -2016 year, the 2013 year. (daily data). Hypothesis 1. The dynamics of the money market of Russia at the present stage of development of domestic economy is rather stable. Hypothesis 2.The many transactions of regulation to decrease the liquidity of by monetary movement, the control function. Also in the article consider the contour of the financial transaction. This article reveals the theoretical bases of analysis of profitability of credit operations.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.307-336
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• 2018

This paper proposes a monetary aggregate "Liquidity" that could serve as a useful indicator for gauging the appropriateness of monetary policy. If liquidity rises above a certain threshold, it is signaling that monetary policy is losing traction due to structural and other impediments even when the inflation gap remains open. This indicator supplements the financial cycle approach but adds value by providing a benchmark that is derived from the national account, and not based on its own trend. Over the last two decades, each time this measure rose above the threshold range, it was followed by a decline in GDP growth. The latter was greater when accompanied by a high physical asset value to GDP, e.g., an elevated property market.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.143-161
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• 2014

This paper examines the effects of global liquidity expansion on advanced and emerging economies by using panel VAR methodology. The results show that global liquidity expansion tends to boost economy by increasing GDP growth and stock prices. However, we find that the effects are asymmetric. The effects of global liquidity on GDP and stock prices are greater and more persistent in emerging economies than in liquidity recipient advanced economies. Moreover, global liquidity appreciates emerging economies' exchange rates more persistently than those of advanced economies. Lastly, while global liquidity expansion increases foreign portfolio investment inflows to Asian countries and liquidity recipient advanced economies, there is no evidence for Latin American countries.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.699-707
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• 2021

The objective of this study is to examine the determinants of the liquidity of 17 commercial banks listed on the Vietnamese Stock Exchanges, HOSE, HNX and UPCoM. The study uses the quarterly audited financial statements from the first quarter of 2006 to first quarter of 2020; it includes 496 observations. Data on GDP and inflation are compiled from the International Monetary Fund and the General Statistics Office of Vietnam. Once collected, the data were organized along the line of unbalanced panel data. The results show that total asset size, return on total assets, and credit growth are positively associated with the liquidity of the listed banks; whereas the interaction between the bank size and the return on total assets has a negative impact on the liquidity of commercial banks listed on the HNX, HOSE, UPCoM. In order to maintain good liquidity, commercial banks need to focus on effective credit growth, ensure a high rate of profit over total assets, and at the same time focus on developing the scale of total assets. However, the development of the size of the total assets should be noted in the balance between the total assets and the rate of return on the total assets.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권7호
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• pp.31-42
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• 2021

This study aims to determine the relation between the real sector and the financial sector in underdeveloped areas in Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia. To facilitate understanding of these linkages, researchers use the logic of credit channel mechanism of monetary policy, financial intermediation, as well as supply leading and demand following theories. The research variables include economic growth, inflation, liquidity, and NPL at the provincial level, with a data sample from 2008 to 2019. This research uses VAR/VECM as the analysis tools. The findings of the long-term analysis in East Nusa Tenggara show there is a phenomenon of cost-push inflation as well as the negative relation between inflation and economic growth. The impact of liquidity on inflation is positive, while the impact of economic growth on inflation is negative. Meanwhile, in West Nusa Tenggara, the impact of economic growth on inflation is positive. On the other hand, the impact of liquidity and NPL on inflation and economic growth is negative. In conclusion, generally, the economy in West Nusa Tenggara is better than the East Nusa Tenggara. The key to improving the economy of Nusa Tenggara is by improving its liquidity. This can be done by increasing the volume of public savings to increase bank credit capacity.

• 분석과 대안
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.143-162
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• 2018

This paper focuses on the policy framework about "Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE)" of Japan, and analyzes reasons why the policy goal was not reached. The QQE was introduced by the Bank of Japan in 2013 with the purpose of meeting the price stability target of 2% and getting out of deflation that prevents sustained price decline. However, despite the implementation of the bold monetary easing policy unprecedented in the world, the policy goal was not achieved as of June 2018. As a result of analyzing the causes, the following three structural factors were confirmed. 1) The rise in prices by QQE was limited because Japan's consumer price is strongly depending on import price. 2) The effect is high degree of uncertainty and limited because theoretical framework of reflationist which adopted QQE depends on "expectation formation" by "self-fulfilling expectation" and "multiple equilibria". 3) It was confirmed that the expansion of the monetary base did not lead to money stock due to the existence of Japanese liquidity trap, long-term low interest rate policy.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.171-194
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• 2008

이 논문은 1980:1-2006:3분기간 자료를 이용하여 한국의 광의통화(M2)와 광의유동성(L)에 대한 개방형 화폐수요함수를 계절성과 외환위기를 고려한 공적분 검정 및 오차수정모형으로 분석하였다. 실증 분석결과 한국의 광의통화(M2)와 광의유동성(L)은 실질소득, 회사채수익률, 인플레이션 불확실성, 실질실효환율, 환율불확실성, LIBOR금리간 공적분 관계가 존재하여 이들 변수들 사이에 안정적인 장기균형관계가 성립하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 광의통화(M2)변동은 환율불확실성 변화에 가장 크게 의존하며 LIBOR금리 변화와 미세하지만 실질실효환율 및 소득변화에 의해 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 광의유동성(L)의 경우에는 환율불확실성의 변화에 가장 크게 의존하며 광의유동성 수요와 실질소득변화에 의해서도 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났으나, 회사채수익률, 인플레이션불확실성, 실질실효환율, LIBOR금리 등의 변화에 의해서는 영향을 받지 않는 것으로 밝혀졌다.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.59-80
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• 2017

This paper examines the operational limitations of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization (CMIM) as a regional financial safety net in East Asia and presents a new regional financial arrangement. To overcome the drawbacks of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization which has never been activated so far, this study proposes that ASEAN+3 establish a new lending facility, so-called a Reserve Fund Facility, and create a regional common reserves asset. The proposed Reserve Fund Facility framework guarantees lending automaticity of the liquidity facility, based on upfront funding instead of pledge funding. Establishing the Reserve Fund Facility could find a way of making up for weakness of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization and responding to the regional needs for effective regional financial arrangement. The full-fledged Reserve Fund Facility will ultimately contribute to the future development of East Asia's monetary and financial cooperation beyond the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제18권11호
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• pp.43-49
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• 2020

본 연구는 유동성 지표인 가계대출과 M2, 경기변동을 반영하는 산업생산지수를 변수로 설정하여 주택시장에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석하고 기대 주택가격의 영향을 파악하고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 2005년 1월부터 2020년 5월까지의 자료를 바탕으로 실증분석을 실시하였으며, 주택가격변수는 실질 매매가격지수를 사용하였다. 모형을 3개로 구분하여 각 변수들의 계수 값을 비교한 결과, 실질 가계대출, 실질 M2 순서로 주택가격에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났는데 이는 저금리 기조에 따른 레버리지 효과로 인한 결과로 해석할 수 있다. 그리고 과거의 주택가격과 주택가격에 대한 기대는 현재기의 주택가격을 상승시키는 것으로 나타났다. 주택자산에 대한 기대 가격상승률이 높아지면 주택가격이 높아지는데, 이는 시장을 형성하는 중심가치가 투자가치로 변하게 되어 가격상승으로 이어질 수 있다는 점을 시사한다. 이러한 결과는 유동성의 확대가 경기 활성화에 목적을 두고 있음에도 불구하고 주택가격에도 영향을 미칠 수 있다는 결과를 보여주고 있다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제17권5호
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• pp.179-185
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• 2016

본 연구에서는 금융위기 이후 투기적 성향의 거래가 원자재 가격 상승의 주요 요인으로 작용했음을 구조적 벡터자기회귀(SVAR: Structural Vector Auto Regressive) 모형을 이용해 정량적으로 증명했다. SVAR 모형을 추정 후 충격반응 분석과 분산분해 결과에서 금융위기 이후 투기 거래가 원자재 가격에 미친 영향력이 금융위기 전 보다 3~6배 커진 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 금융위기 이후 급증한 글로벌 유동성도 원자재 가격에 영향을 준 것으로 나타났다. 금융위기 이전에는 산업생산 등 수요와 경기 요인이 원자재 가격에 크게 영향을 주었으나 금융위기 이후에는 그 영향력이 감소했다. 따라서 금융위기 이후 원자재 가격 반등은 유동성 확대에 따른 투기 거래 증가에 영향을 받은 것으로 판단할 수 있다. 미국은 2015년 12월 금리 인상을 시작했고 향후 금융 긴축 기조를 지속할 것으로 전망되어 글로벌 유동성이 감소할 가능성이 커지고 있다. 금융위기 이후 원자재 가격이 금융 변수의 영향을 크게 받았기 때문에 향후 유동성이 감소한다면 투기 거래가 위축되고 원자재 가격의 하락 요인으로 작용할 것으로 예상된다.