• Title/Summary/Keyword: Modified Repeat Sales Model

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The Impacts of Time-Varying Accessibility of Facilities on Housing Price Change by the Modified Repeat Sales Model - The Case of Subway Line 9 in Seoul - (수정반복매매모형을 활용한 시설접근성의 변화가 주택가격 변화에 미치는 영향 분석 - 지하철 9호선을 중심으로 -)

  • Sung, Hyun-Gun;Kim, Jin-Yo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.3D
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    • pp.477-487
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    • 2011
  • The modified repeat-sales model is employed in this study in order to identify differentiating impacts of time-varying accessibility characteristics on housing price. The results demonstrate that accessibility measures have very differential impacts on housing price over time. The improvement of accessibility through newly built facilities and apartment complex has either increased or decreased housing price. For example, the new subway line 9 has positive impact on housing price nearby, therefore price gap between subway access area and the other parts has been increased. The impact of the wide area facilities such as shopping center and hospital are decreased because they can be used more easily by the new subway line before. However, the small service area facility such as elementary school doesn't lose their impact even though subway accessibility extremely increased. The results imply that new facilities in existing residential site can affect not only housing price but also the other facilities' impact of housing price.

The Dynamic Effects of Subway Network Expansion on Housing Rental Prices Using a Modified Repeat Sales Model (수도권 지하철 네트워크 확장이 아파트 월세 가격에 미치는 영향 분석 - 수정반복매매모형을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Hyojeong;Lee, Changmoo;Lee, Jisu;Kim, Minyoung;Ryu, Taeheyeon;Shin, Hyeyoung;Kim, Jiyeon
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.125-139
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    • 2021
  • Continuous subway line expansion over the years in Seoul metropolitan area has contributed to improved accessibility to public transport. Since public transport accessibility has a significant impact on housing decisions, quantitative analysis of correlation between housing prices and public transport accessibility is regarded as one of the most important factors for planning better housing policies. This study defines the reduction of traveling time resulted from the construction of new metro stations despite them not being the closest stations as 'Network Expansion Effect', and seeks to understand how the Network Expansion Effect impacts on housing prices. The study analyzes monthly rent data converted from upfront lump sum deposit, so called Jeonse in Korea, from 2012 to 2018, through 'A Modified Repeat Sales Model.' As a result, the effect of 'Network Expansion' on rental prices in Seoul has stronger during the period of 2017 to 2018 than the base period of 2012 to 2014, which suggests the 'Network Expansion' has a meaningful effect on rent. In addition, in comparison between the most and the least affected group of apartments by 'Network Expansion Effect', the most affected group has more price increase than the least affected group. These findings also indicate that different levels of 'Network Expansion Effect' have various influences on the value of residential real estate properties.

Dynamic Changes of Urban Spatial Structure in Seoul: Focusing on a Relative Office Price Gradient (오피스 가격경사계수를 이용한 서울시 도시공간구조 변화 분석)

  • Ryu, Kang Min;Song, Ki Wook
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.11-26
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    • 2021
  • With the increasing demand for office space, there have been questions on how office rent distribution produces a change in the urban spatial structure in Seoul. The purpose of this paper is to investigate a relative price gradient and to present a time-series model that can quantitatively explain the dynamic changes in the urban spatial structure. The analysis was dealt with office rent above 3,306 m2 for the past 10 years from 1Q 2010 to 4Q 2019 within Seoul. A modified repeat sales model was employed. The main findings are briefly summarized as follows. First, according to the estimates of the office price gradient in the three major urban centers of Seoul, the CBD remained at a certain level with little change, while those in the GBD and the YBD continued to increase. This result reveals that the urban form of Seoul has shifted from monocentric to polycentric. This shows that the spatial distribution of companies has gradually accelerated decentralized concentration implying that the business networks have become significant. Second, contrary to small and medium-sized office buildings that have undertaken no change in the gradient, large office buildings have seen an increase in the gradient. The relative price gradients in small and medium-sized buildings were inversely proportional among the CBD, the GBD, and the YBD, implying their heterogeneous submarkets by office rent movements. Presumably, those differences in the submarkets were attributed to investment attraction, industrial competition, and the credit and preference of tenants. The findings are consistent with the hierarchical system identified in the Seoul 2030 Plan as well as the literature about Seoul's urban form. This research claims that the proposed method, based on the modified repeat sales model, is useful in understanding temporal dynamic changes. Moreover, the findings can provide implications for urban growth strategies under rapidly changing market conditions.