• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.98-103
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• 2002

In case of power demand forecasting, the most important problems are to deal with the load of special-days. Accordingly, this paper presents the method that forecasting long (the Lunar New Year, the Full Moon Festival) and short(the Planting Trees Day, the Memorial Day, etc) special-days peak load using neural networks and regression models. long and short special-days peak load forecast by neural networks models uses pattern conversion ratio and four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. There are using that special-days peak load data during ten years(1985∼1994). In the result of special-days peak load forecasting, forecasting % error shows good results as about 1 ∼2[%] both neural networks models and four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. Besides, from the result of analysis of adjusted coefficient of determination and F-test, the significance of the are convinced four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. When the neural networks models are compared with the four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models at a view of the results of special-days peak load forecasting, the neural networks models which uses pattern conversion ratio are more effective on forecasting long special-days peak load. On the other hand, in case of forecasting short special-days peak load, both are valid.

• Korean journal of applied entomology
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• v.56 no.1
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• pp.1-18
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• 2017

Temperature-dependent development model is an essential component for forecasting models of insect pests as well as for insect population models. This study reviewed the nonlinear models which explain the relationship between temperature and development rate of insects. In the present study, the types of models were classified largely into empirical and biophysical model, and the groups were subdivided into subgroups according to the similarity of mathematical equations or the connection with original idea. Empirical models that apply analytical functions describing the suitable shape of development curve were subdivided into multiple subgroups as Stinner-based types, Logan-based types, performance models and Beta distribution types. Biophysical models based on enzyme kinetic reaction were grouped as monophyletic group leading to Eyring-model, SM-model, SS-mode, and SSI-model. Finally, we described the historical development and characteristics of non-linear development models and discussed the availability of models.

• Spatial Information Research
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.45-54
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• 2013

Analytical and simulation error models have the ability to describe (or realize) error-corrupted versions of spatial data. But the different approaches for modeling positional errors require an internal validation that ascertains whether the analytical and simulation error models predict correct positional errors in a defined set of conditions. This paper presents stochastic simulation models of a point and a line segm ent to be validated w ith analytical error models, which are an error ellipse and an error band model, respectively. The simulation error models populate positional errors by the Monte Carlo simulation, according to an assumed error distribution prescribed by given parameters of a variance-covariance matrix. In the validation process, a set of positional errors by the simulation models is compared to a theoretical description by the analytical error models. Results show that the proposed simulation models realize positional uncertainties of the same spatial data according to a defined level of positional quality.

• Journal of ILASS-Korea
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.35-42
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• 2000

A number of atomization and droplet breakup models have been developed and used to predict the diesel spray characteristics. Of the many atomization and droplet breakup models based on the breakup mechanism due to aerodynamic liquid and gas interaction, four models classified as mathematical models, such as TAB, modified TAB, DDB, WB and one of the hybrid model based on WB and TAB models were selected for the assessment of prediction ability of diesel spray dynamics. The assessment of these models by using KIVA-II code was performed by comparing with the experimental data of spray tip penetration and sauter mean diameter(SMD) from the literature. It is found that the prediction of spray tip penetration and SMD by the hybrid model was only influenced by the initial parcel number. All the atomization and droplet breakup models considered here was strongly dependent on the grid resolution. Therefore it is important to check the grid resolution to get an acceptable results in selecting the models. At low injection pressure, modified TAB model could only give the good agreement with experimental data of spray tip penetration and both of modified TAB and DDB models were recommendable for the prediction of SMD. At high injection pressure, hybrid model could only give the good agreement with the experimental data of spray tip penetration and the prediction of all of the selected models did not match the experimental data. Spray tip penetration was increased with the increase the $B_1$ and the increase of $B_1$ did not affected the prediction of SMD.

• Journal of dental hygiene science
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.15-21
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• 2014

The purpose of this study in vitro investigation was to evaluate the dimensional stability of dental digital models made by impression scanning method. Twenty working models were produced. Twenty impressions were made from study models. The dimensional stability of models of two groups (stone and digital models) was examined using six landmark distances. Stone models were measured through digital vernier calipers. Digital models were measured by the computer program. Statistical analyses were performed with Wilcoxon rank sum test (${\alpha}=0.05$). The mean of six landmark distances were significantly larger in the stone models than in the digital models (p<0.05) but digital models showed clinically acceptable accuracy.

• Atmosphere
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.291-303
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• 2018

In this study, a new consensus technique for predicting tropical cyclone (TC) intensity in the western North Pacific was developed. The most important feature of the present consensus model is to select and combine the guidance numerical models with the best performance in the previous years based on various evaluation criteria and averaging methods. Specifically, the performance of the guidance models was evaluated using both the mean absolute error and the correlation coefficient for each forecast lead time, and the number of the numerical models used for the consensus model was not fixed. In averaging multiple models, both simple and weighted methods are used. These approaches are important because that the performance of the available guidance models differs according to forecast lead time and is changing every year. In particular, this study develops both a multi-consensus model (M-CON), which constructs the best consensus models with the lowest error for each forecast lead time, and a single best consensus model (S-CON) having the lowest 72-hour cumulative mean error, through on training process. The evaluation results of the selected consensus models for the training and forecast periods reveal that the M-CON and S-CON outperform the individual best-performance guidance models. In particular, the M-CON showed the best overall performance, having advantages in the early stages of prediction. This study finally suggests that forecaster needs to use the latest evaluation results of the guidance models every year rather than rely on the well-known accuracy of models for a long time to reduce prediction error.

• Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.195-202
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• 2011

The study focuses on the Repeated Measurements Design (RMD) which observations are periodically made for identical subjects within definite time periods. One of the purposes of this design is to monitor and keep track of replicated records within regular period over years. This paper also presents the classification models of RMD that is developed according to the number of factors in Between-Subject (BS) variates and Within-Subject (WS) variates. The types of models belong to each number of factors: One factor is 0BS 1WS. Two factors are 1BS 1WS and 0BS 2WS. Three factors are 1BS 2WS and 2BS 1WS. Lastly, the four factors include model of 2BS 2WS In addition, the study explains the generation mechanism of models for RMD using Generalizability Design (GD). GD is a useful method for practitioners to identify linear model of experimental design, since it generates a Venn diagram. Lastly, the research develops three types of 1BS 2WS RMDs with crossed factors and nested factors. Those are random models, mixed models and fixed models and they are presented by using Generalizability Design, $(S:A{\times}B){\times}C$. Moreover, the example of applications and its implementation steps of models developed in the study are presented for better comprehension.

• Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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• v.64 no.5
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• pp.267-276
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• 2020

This study analyzed the level of chemistry teachers' cognition related to two types of acid-base models taught in secondary schools. For the purpose, a questionnaire was developed to identify teachers' cognitions based on previous studies that analyzed the 'Ignorance' of each model. The questionnaire consisted of two items, one related to acid and base reactions and one related to acid and base dissociation, which suggested inconsistencies between the two models. The subjects were 15 chemistry teachers, and as a result, teachers' cognitions were analyzed at four levels. The four levels are: if they don't know the two models, if they only understand one model, if they understand the two models, and perceived the 'Ignorance' of one model, and if they understand the two models and perceived the 'Ignorance' of the two models. The largest proportion of teachers understood the two models and perceived the 'Ignorance' of one model. However, the proportion of understanding the two models and perceiving the 'Ignorance' of the two models was very small. Through this, we argued that efforts to increase the level of chemistry teachers' cognition of the model and 'Ignorance' were necessary.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.37 no.4
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• pp.467-484
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• 2024

Longitudinal data are measured repeatedly over time from the same subject, so there is a correlation from the repeated outcomes. Therefore, when analyzing this correlation, both serial correlation and between-subject variation must be considered in longitudinal data analysis. In this paper, we will focus on the marginalized models to estimate the population average effect of covariates among models for analyzing longitudinal binary data. Marginalized models for longitudinal binary data include marginalized random effects models, marginalized transition models, and marginalized transition random effect models, and in this paper, these models are first reviewed, and simulations are conducted using complete data and missing data to compare the performance of the models. When there were missing values in the data, there is a difference in performance depending on the model in which the data was generated. We analyze Korea Health Panel data using marginalized models. The Korean Medical Panel data considers subjective unhealthy responses as response variables as binary variables, compares models with several explanatory variables, and presents the most suitable model.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• v.1 no.2
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• pp.161-169
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• 2006

Load representation has a significant impact on power system analysis and control results. In this paper, composite load models are developed based on on-line measurement data from a practical power system. Three types of static-dynamic load models are derived: general ZIP-induction motor model, Exponential-induction motor model and Z-induction motor model. For the dynamic induction motor model, two different third-order induction motor models are studied. The performances in modeling real and reactive power behaviors by composite load models are compared with other dynamic load models in terms of relative mismatch error. In addition, numerical consideration of ill-conditioned parameters is addressed based on trajectory sensitivity. Numerical studies indicate that the developed composite load models can accurately capture the dynamic behaviors of loads during disturbance.