• 제목/요약/키워드: Model validation

검색결과 3,188건 처리시간 0.034초

HSPF를 이용한 임하호 유역 유사량 모의 (Simulation of Sediment Yield from Imha Watershed Using HSPF)

  • 전지홍
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2010
  • Sediment yields from Imha watershed were simulated during 1993-2008 using Hydrologic Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF). Using observed daily stream flow for 2004-2008 and hourly suspended solid concentration for three events during 2006, HSPF was calibrated and validated at the sites of Imha and Youngyang for stream flow and Dongchun and Jangpachun for sediment yield. The calibration and validation results represented high model efficiency for simulating daily stream flow and hourly suspended solid. The determination coefficients of calibration and validation were 0.90 and 0.81 for daily stream flow, and 0.91 and 0.86 for monthly stream flow, respectively. Based on model tolerances for calibration and validation of stream flow, HSPF performance for simulating stream flow represented 'very good'. The determination coefficients of calibration and validation were 0.94-0.96 and 0.95 for hourly sediment yields, respectively. The average yearly sediment yield during 1993-2008 was 122,290 ton/year and most of sediment yield (77 % of total yield) were generated from June to August. The calibrated HSPF simulated well the movement of water and eroded soil within Imha watershed.

교통사고모형 개발에서의 함수식 도출 방법론에 관한 연구 (Methodology for Determining Functional Forms in Developing Statistical Collision Models)

  • 백종대;험머 조셉
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES: The purpose of this study is to propose a new methodology for developing statistical collision models and to show the validation results of the methodology. METHODS: A new modeling method of introducing variables into the model one by one in a multiplicative form is suggested. A method for choosing explanatory variables to be introduced into the model is explained. A method for determining functional forms for each explanatory variable is introduced as well as a parameter estimating procedure. A model selection method is also dealt with. Finally, the validation results is provided to demonstrate the efficacy of the final models developed using the method suggested in this study. RESULTS: According to the results of the validation for the total and injury collisions, the predictive powers of the models developed using the method suggested in this study were better than those of generalized linear models for the same data. CONCLUSIONS: Using the methodology suggested in this study, we could develop better statistical collision models having better predictive powers. This was because the methodology enabled us to find the relationships between dependant variable and each explanatory variable individually and to find the functional forms for the relationships which can be more likely non-linear.

Validation of the correlation-based aerosol model in the ISFRA sodium-cooled fast reactor safety analysis code

  • Yoon, Churl;Kim, Sung Il;Lee, Sung Jin;Kang, Seok Hun;Paik, Chan Y.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권12호
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    • pp.3966-3978
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    • 2021
  • ISFRA (Integrated SFR Analysis Program for PSA) computer program has been developed for simulating the response of the PGSFR pool design with metal fuel during a severe accident. This paper describes validation of the ISFRA aerosol model against the Aerosol Behavior Code Validation and Evaluation (ABCOVE) experiments undertaken in 1980s for radionuclide transport within a SFR containment. ABCOVE AB5, AB6, and AB7 tests are simulated using the ISFRA aerosol model and the results are compared against the measured data as well as with the simulation results of the MELCOR severe accident code. It is revealed that the ISFRA prediction of single-component aerosols inside a vessel (AB5) is in good agreement with the experimental data as well as with the results of the aerosol model in MELCOR. Moreover, the ISFRA aerosol model can predict the "washout" phenomenon due to the interaction between two aerosol species (AB6) and two-component aerosols without strong mutual interference (AB7). Based on the theory review of the aerosol correlation technique, it is concluded that the ISFRA aerosol model can provide fast, stable calculations with reasonable accuracy for most of the cases unless the aerosol size distribution is strongly deformed from log-normal distribution.

Predictive Modeling for the Growth of Salmonella Enterica Serovar Typhimurium on Lettuce Washed with Combined Chlorine and Ultrasound During Storage

  • Park, Shin Young;Zhang, Cheng Yi;Ha, Sang-Do
    • 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.374-379
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 대표적인 신선 잎채소류인 상추의 세척 단계에서 초음파 (37 kHz) 와 염소 (100~300 ppm) 의 병용처리 후 냉장 ~ 실온저장 ($10{\sim}25^{\circ}C$)에 따른 이 식품 중의 Salmonella Typhimurium의 성장예측모델을 개발하였다. 1 차 모델 개발을 위해 Gompertz 방정식을 활용하여 각기 다른 실험 조건에서의 S. Typhimurium의 생육도 (SGR 과 LT)를 조사했다. 본 방정식에 의한 1 차 모델 개발시 $R^2$가 0.92 이상으로 우수하게 나타났으며 저장온도가 낮을수록 초음파에 사용된 염소의 농도가 높을수록 SGR 값은 감소하였고 LT 값은 증가하였다. 이를 바탕으로 2 차 polynomial 모델을 개발하여 다양한 통계적 지표 ($R^2$, MSE, $A_f$$B_f$)를 통해 분석한 결과 개발된 모델의 적합성을 확인할 수 있었다. 따라서 개발된 모델이 초음파와 염소의 병용 세척에 따른 저장 중 상추에 대한 S. Typhimurium의 성장예측모델로 사용 가능하다고 판단되어지며, 신선 잎채소류에서의 식중독을 예방하고 미생물학적 위생관리기준을 설정하는데 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

Combined Age and Segregated Kinetic Model for Industrial-scale Penicillin Fed-batch Cultivation

  • Wang Zhifeng;Lauwerijssen Maarten J. C.;Yuan Jingqi
    • Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.142-148
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a cell age model for Penicillium chrysogenum fed-batch cultivation to supply a qualitative insight into morphology-associated dynamics. The average ages of the segregated cell populations, such as growing cells, non-growing cells and intact productive cells, were estimated by this model. A combined model was obtained by incorporating the aver-age ages of the cell sub-populations into a known but modified segregated kinetic model from literature. For simulations, no additional effort was needed for parameter identification since the cell age model has no internal parameters. Validation of the combined model was per-formed by 20 charges of industrial-scale penicillin cultivation. Meanwhile, only two charge-dependent parameters were required in the combined model among approximately 20 parameters in total. The model is thus easily transformed into an adaptive model for a further application in on-line state variables prediction and optimal scheduling.

강수패턴과 토지이용의 시공간적 분석을 위한 SWAT모형의 검보정 개선방안 연구 (Study on Improvement of Calibration/Validation of SWAT for Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Land Uses and Rainfall Patterns)

  • 이지원;금동혁;김범철;김영석;정교철;김기성;최중대;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.365-376
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate effects of spatio-temporal changes in land uses and rainfall magnitude using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Prior of application of the model to real-world problem, the model should be calibrated and validated properly. In most modeling approaches, the validation process is done assuming no significant changes occurring at the study watershed between calibration and validation periods, which is not proper assumption for agricultural watersheds. If simulated results obtained with calibrated parameters match observed data with higher accuracy for validation period, this does not always mean the simulated result represents rainfall-runoff, pollutant generation and transport mechanism for validation period because temporal and spatial variables and rainfall magnitude are often not the same. In this study SWAT was applied to Mandae study watershed in Korea to evaluate effects of spatio-temporal changes in landuses using 2009 and 2010 crop data for each field at the watershed. The Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency (NSE) values for calibration and validation with either 2009 or 2010 was evaluated and the NSE value for calibration with 2009 and calibration with 2010 were compared. It was found that if there is substantial change in land use and rainfall, model calibration period should be determined to reflect those changes. Through these approaches, inherent limitation of the SWAT, which does not consider changes in land uses over the simulation period, was investigated. Also, Effects of changes in rainfall magnitude during calibration process were analyzed.

크라우드소싱 드론 영상의 기하학적 품질 자동 검증 (Automatic Validation of the Geometric Quality of Crowdsourcing Drone Imagery)

  • 이동호;최경아
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제39권5_1호
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    • pp.577-587
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    • 2023
  • 크라우드소싱(crowdsourcing) 공간 데이터 활용 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있으나 데이터 품질의 불확실성으로 인한 문제점이 제기되고 있다. 특히 드론 영상 데이터셋에 품질이 낮은 데이터가 포함될 경우, 출력되는 공간 정보의 품질이 저하될 수 있다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 크라우드소싱된 영상의 기하학적 품질을 자동으로 검증하는 방법론을 제안하였다. 주요 품질 요소로는 영상의 공간해상도, 해상도 변화량, 매칭점 재투영 오차, 번들 조정 결과 등을 입력변수로 활용하였다. 공간 정보 생성에 적합한 영상을 분류하기 위해 학습 및 검증 데이터를 구축하고, radial basis function (RBF) 기반의 support vector machine (SVM) 모델로 학습을 진행하였다. 학습된 SVM 모델의 분류 정확도는 99.1%를 기록하였다. 품질 검증 모델 효과를 확인하기 위해 학습 및 검증에 사용하지 않은 드론 영상에 대하여 해당 모델을 적용하기 전후의 영상 데이터셋으로 각각 정사영상을 생성하고 비교하였다. 그 결과 모델 적용을 통하여 정사영상에 포함될 수 있는 다양한 왜곡을 줄이고 객체 식별력을 증대시키는 것을 확인하였다. 제안된 품질 검증 방법론은 다양한 품질의 크라우드소싱 데이터를 입력으로 받아 양질의 정보만을 자동 선별하게 함으로써 공간정보 생성에서의 활용 가능성을 증대시킬 것으로 기대한다.

규칙 기반 특성 모델 검증 도구 (Rule-based Feature Model Validation Tool)

  • 최승훈
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2009
  • 특성 모델(Feature Model)은 소프트웨어 제품 라인 개발 시 도메인 공학 단계에서 제품들 사이의 공통점과 차이점을 모델링하는데 널리 사용된다. 특성 모델의 오류 또는 불일치성에 대한 발견 및 수정은 성공적인 소프트웨어 제품 라인 공학을 위해서 필수적이다. 특성 모델의 검증을 효과적으로 수행하기 위해서는 자동화된 도구의 도움이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 JESS 규칙 기반 시스템을 이용하여 특성 모델의 유효성을 검증하는 기법을 기술하고 이를 이용한 특성 모델 검증 도구를 제안한다. 본 논문의 도구는 특성 모델링 작업 시 실시간으로 특성 모델을 검증하여 오류의 존재 여부와 오류의 원인에 대한 설명을 제공함으로써 오류 없는 특성 모델을 생성할 수 있도록 해 준다. 특성 모델 검증 기법에 규칙 기반 시스템을 이용한 경우는 본 논문이 최초의 시도로 사료된다.

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HSPF 모형을 이용한 합천댐 유입량 추정 (Estimation of the Hapcheon Dam Inflow Using HSPF Model)

  • 조현경;김상민
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권5호
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study was to calibrate and validate the HSPF (Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran) model for estimating the runoff of the Hapcheon dam watershed. Spatial data, such as watershed, stream, land use, and a digital elevation map, were used as input data for the HSPF model. Observed runoff data from 2000 to 2016 in study watershed were used for calibration and validation. Hydrologic parameters for runoff calibration were selected based on the user's manual and references, and trial and error method was used for parameter calibration. The $R^2$, RMSE (root-mean-square error), RMAE (relative mean absolute error), and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient) were used to evaluate the model's performance. Calibration and validation results showed that annual mean runoff was within ${\pm}4%$ error. The model performance criteria for calibration and validation showed that $R^2$ was in the rang of 0.78 to 0.83, RMSE was 2.55 to 2.76 mm/day, RMAE was 0.46 to 0.48 mm/day, and NSE was 0.81 to 0.82 for daily runoff. The amount of inflow to Hapcheon Dam was calculated from the calibrated HSPF model and the result was compared with observed inflow, which was -0.9% error. As a result of analyzing the relation between inflow and storage capacity, it was found that as the inflow increases, the storage increases, and when the inflow decreases, the storage also decreases. As a result of correlation between inflow and storage, $R^2$ of the measured inflow and storage was 0.67, and the simulated inflow and storage was 0.61.

포함관계 추론에서 접근 권한에 대한 효율적 RDF 질의 유효성 검증 (An Efficient RDF Query Validation for Access Authorization in Subsumption Inference)

  • 김재훈;박석
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:데이타베이스
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.422-433
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    • 2009
  • 시맨틱 웹을 위한 하나의 보안연구로, 본 논문에서는, 온톨로지 계층 구조와 RDF 트리플 패턴에 기반한 RDF 접근 권한 명세 모델을 소개한다. 또한 권한 명세 모델을 승인된 접근 권한들에 대한 RDF 질의 유효성 검증 과정에 적용한다. RDF 트리플 패턴을 가지는 대표적 RDF 질의 언어인 SPARQL 또는 RQL 질의는 RDF 트리플 패턴 형식으로 명세된 접근 권한에 따라 실행 거부되거나 인가될 수 있다. 이러한 질의 유효성 검증 과정을 효율적으로 수행하기 위하여 RDF 포함 관계 추론에서의 주요한 권한 충돌 조건들을 분석한다. 다음으로 분석된 충돌조건과 Dewey 그래프 레이블링 기술을 활용하는 효율적 질의 유효성 검증 알고리즘을 제시한다. 실험을 통하여 제시된 검증 알고리즘이 합리적인 유효성 검증 시간과, 데이터와 접근권한들이 증가할 때 확장성을 가짐을 보인다.