• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model validation

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The Simulation System for Scheduling Validation of the Panel Block Shop (판넬 블록공정 모델에 대한 일정검증 시뮬레이션 시스템)

  • Lee, Phi-Lippe;Oh, Dae-Kyun;Lee, Kwang-Kook;Shin, Jong-Gye
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.641-649
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    • 2009
  • There were many simulation models that made for validation of industrial environment and estimate of efficiency to be constructed. And there will be more simulation models made for same reason, too. Already, there have been a lot of simulation models in industry field and scholar labs. To reuse these simulation models, it is necessary to find common properties and make the high abstract simulation model. Based on this idea, this study shows to define the high abstract simulation model to be able to specialize in need and to make the software framework for connecting the specific simulation model to the abstract model. And it is held up as the example that applying the simulation framework to the Ship Panel Block shop simulation model.

Estimating the Natural Cubic Spline Volatilities of the ASEAN-5 Exchange Rates

  • LAIPAPORN, Jetsada;TONGKUMCHUM, Phattrawan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the dynamic pattern of the exchange rate volatilities of the ASEAN-5 currencies from January 2006 to August 2020. The exchange rates applied in this study comprise bilateral and effective exchange rates in order to investigate the influence of the US dollar on the stability of the ASEAN-5 currencies. Since a volatility model employed in this study is a natural cubic spline volatility model, the Monte Carlo simulation is consequently conducted to determine an appropriate criterion to select a number of quantile knots for this model. The simulation results reveal that, among four candidate criteria, Generalized Cross-Validation is a suitable criterion for modeling the ASEAN-5 exchange rate volatilities. The estimated volatilities showed the inconstant dynamic patterns reflecting the uncertain exchange rate risk arising in international transactions. The bilateral exchange rate volatilities of the ASEAN-5 currencies to the US dollar are more variable than their corresponding effective exchange rate volatilities, indicating the influence of the US dollar on the stability of the ASEAN-5 currencies. The findings of this study suggest that the natural cubic spline volatility model with the quantile knots selected by Generalized Cross-Validation is practical and can be used to examine the dynamic patterns of the financial volatility.

An Algebraic Approach to Validation of Class Diagram with Constraints

  • Munakata, Kazuki;Futatsugi, Kokichi
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2002.07b
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    • pp.920-923
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we propose Class Diagram With Constraints (CDWC) as an object oriented modeling technique which makes validation possible in software development. CDWC is a simple and basic model for the object oriented analysis, and has a reasonable strictness for software developers. CDWC consists of class diagrams and constraints (invariant and pre/post conditions), using UML and a subset of OCL.. We introduce a method of validation of CDWC using the verification technique of algebraic formal specification language CafeOBJ.

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Calibration of APEX-Paddy Model using Experimental Field Data

  • Mohammad, Kamruzzaman;Hwang, Syewoon;Cho, Jaepil;Choi, Soon-Kun;Park, Chanwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.155-155
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    • 2019
  • The Agricultural Policy/Environmental eXtender (APEX) models have been developed for assessing agricultural management efforts and their effects on soil and water at the field scale as well as more complex multi-subarea landscapes, whole farms, and watersheds. National Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Wanju, Korea, has modified a key component of APEX application, named APEX-Paddy for simulating water quality with considering appropriate paddy management practices, such as puddling and flood irrigation management. Calibration and validation are an anticipated step before any model application. Simple techniques are essential to assess whether or not a parameter should be adjusted for calibration. However, very few study has been done to evaluate the ability of APEX-Paddy to simulate the impact of multiple management scenarios on nutrients loss. In this study, the observation data from experimental fields at Iksan in South Kora was used in calibration and evaluation process during 2013-2015. The APEX auto- calibration tool (APEX-CUTE) was used for model calibration and sensitivity analysis. Four quantitative statistics, the coefficient of determination ($R^2$),Nash-Sutcliffe(NSE),percentbias(PBIAS)androotmeansquareerror(RMSE)were used in model evaluation. In this study, the hydrological process of the modified model, APEX-Paddy, is being calibrated and tested in predicting runoff discharge rate and nutrient yield. Field-scale calibration and validation processes are described with an emphasis on essential calibration parameters and direction regarding logical sequences of calibration steps. This study helps to understand the calibration and validation way is further provided for applications of APEX-Paddy at the field scales.

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Validation of the vehicle dynamic model for the static vehicle testing (정차상태 시험 결과를 이용한 차량동특성 해석 모델의 검증)

  • Park, Kil-Bae;Seong, Jae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.317-325
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    • 2011
  • Vehicle model validation for the static vehicle testing has been done by comparison of the simulation results and test results and the parameters of the vehicle model to be used in the simulation have been adjusted to reflect the measured behaviour. The vehicle model fort the simulation should be validated by suitable tests and/or practical experience. The static vehicle test used to validate the vehicle model are the weight measurement, the wheel offloading test, the bogie rotational resistance test and the sway test. Finally, the computer simulation model has been validated and using the validated vehicle model the acceptance of the vehicle safety of the resistance to flange climbing derailment at low speed can be examined.

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Model Parameter Determination of Industrial Co-generator Model Parameters through Filed Measurement (현장 계측을 통한 산업용 열병합 발전설비 모델 파라미터 결정)

  • Kim, Hak-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a method for the derivation of model parameters of a co-generation system using data measured through on-site generator characteristic testing and validates its model parameters. Dynamic models such as generator, excitation system, and turbine/governor are mainly dealt in this paper. For the purpose of validation of derived model parameters, the measured results are compared with simulation results. The comparisons between measured results and simulation results show good match.

Application of Proxy-basin Differential Split-Sampling and Blind-Validation Tests for Evaluating Hydrological Impact of Climate Change Using SWAT (SWAT을 이용한 기후변화의 수문학적 영향평가를 위한 Proxy-basin Differential Split-Sampling 및 Blind-Validation 테스트 적용)

  • Son, Kyong-Ho;Kim, Jeong-Kon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.969-982
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    • 2008
  • As hydrological models have been progressively developed, they are recognized as appropriate tools to manage water resources. Especially, the need to evaluate the effects of landuse and climate change on hydrological phenomena has been increased, which requires powerful validation methods for the hydrological models to be employed. As measured streamflow data at many locations may not be available, or include significant errors in application of hydrological models, streamflow data simulated by models only might be used to conduct hydrological analysis. In many cases, reducing errors in model simulations requires a powerful model validation method. In this research, we demonstrated a validation methodology of SWAT model using observed flow in two basins with different physical characteristics. First, we selected two basins, Gap-cheon basin and Yongdam basin located in the Guem River Basin, showing different hydrological characteristics. Next, the methodology developed to estimate parameter values for the Gap-cheon basin was applied for estimating those for the Yongdam basin without calibration a priori, and sought for validation of the SWAT. Application result with SWAT for Yongdam basin showed $R_{eff}$ ranging from 0.49 to 0.85, and $R^{2}$ from 0.49 to 0.84. As well, comparison of predicted flow and measured flow in each subbasin showed reasonable agreement. Furthermore, the model reproduced the whole trends of measured total flow and low flow, though peak flows were rather underestimated. The results of this study suggest that SWAT can be applied for predicting effects of future climate and landuse changes on flow variability in river basins. However, additional studies are recommended to further verify the validity of the mixed method in other river basins.

Mixed-effects LS-SVR for longitudinal dat

  • Cho, Dae-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.363-369
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    • 2010
  • In this paper we propose a mixed-effects least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) for longitudinal data. We add a random-effect term in the optimization function of LS-SVR to take random effects into LS-SVR for analyzing longitudinal data. We also present the model selection method that employs generalized cross validation function for choosing the hyper-parameters which affect the performance of the mixed-effects LS-SVR. A simulated example is provided to indicate the usefulness of mixed-effect method for analyzing longitudinal data.

Some Issues on Criterion for Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test in Credit Rating Model Validation (신용평가모형에서 콜모고로프-스미르노프 검정기준의 문제점)

  • Park, Yong-Seok;Hong, Chong-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.1013-1026
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    • 2008
  • Kolmogorov-Smirnov(K-S) statistic has been widely used for the model validation of credit rating models. Validation criteria for the K-S statistic is empirically used at the levels of 0.3 or 0.4 which are much larger than the critical values of K-S test statistic. We examine whether these criteria are reasonable and appropriate through the simulations according to various sample sizes, type II error rates, and the ratio of bads among data. The simulation results say that the currently used validation criteria are too lower than values of K-S statistics obtained from any credit rating models in Korea, so that any credit rating models have good discriminatory power. In this work, alternative criteria of K-S statistic are proposed as critical levels under realistic situations of credit rating models.

Model Validation and Controller Design for Vibration Suppression of Flexible Rotor Using AMB

  • Soo Jeon;Ahn, Hyeong-Joon;Han, Dong-Chul
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.1583-1593
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    • 2002
  • This paper discusses the model validation and vibration suppression of an AMB flexible rotor via additional LQG controller. The main difficulty in the vibration suppression of the flexible rotor using AMB is to realize a controller that can minimize resonance without injuring the stabilized rigid modes. In order to solve this problem, simple scheme for system modeling and controller design are developed. Firstly, the AMB flexible rotor is stabilized with a PID controller, which leads to a new stable rotor-bearing system. Then, authors propose the model validation procedure using measured open-loop frequency responses to obtain an accurate model of the AMB flexible rotor system. After that, LQG controller with modal weighting is designed to suppress resonances of the stable rotor-bearing system. Due to the poor controllability and observability of flexible modes compared to rigid ones, balancing of two Gramians is prerequisite for the fair LQG controller design. Simulation with step disturbance and experimental results of unbalance response up to 10,000 rpm verified the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.