• 제목/요약/키워드: Model prediction

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A Study on Model of Regional Logistics Requirements Prediction

  • Lu, Bo;Park, Nam-Kyu
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제36권7호
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    • pp.553-559
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    • 2012
  • It is extremely important to predict the logistics requirements in a scientific and rational way. However, in recent years, the improvement effect on the prediction method is not very significant and the traditional statistical prediction method has the defects of low precision and poor interpretation of the prediction model, which cannot only guarantee the generalization ability of the prediction model theoretically, but also cannot explain the models effectively. Therefore, in combination with the theories of the spatial economics, industrial economics, and neo-classical economics, taking city of Erdos as the research object, the study identifies the leading industry that can produce a large number of cargoes, and further predicts the static logistics generation of the Erdos and hinterlands. By integrating various factors that can affect the regional logistics requirements, this study established a logistics requirements potential model from the aspect of spatial economic principles, and expanded the way of logistics requirements prediction from the single statistical principles to an new area of special and regional economics.

Aerosol을 이용한 Direct-Write 시스템에서 침착된 입자의 형상예측 모델에 관한 연구 (DEVELOPMENT OF PREDICTION MODEL OF THE SHAPE OF DEPOSITED PARTICLES APPLIED FOR AEROSOL BASED DIRECT-WRITE TECHNOLOGY)

  • 박준정;백성구;리광훈
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2008
  • Direct Write Technologies are being utilized in various industrial fields such as antennas, engineered structures, sensors and tissue engineering. With Direct Write Technologies, producing features have the mesoscale range, from 1 to 100 microns. One form of the Direct Write Technologies is based on aerosol dynamics. The shape of deposited aerosols determine the form of products in the Direct Write Technology based on aerosol dynamics. To predict shape of deposited aerosol, a prediction model is created. In this study, we estimated Line-Width and Line-Thickness from the prediction model. Results of prediction model is valid from comparison with experimental results.

유전 프로그래밍 기반 단기 기온 예보의 보정 기법 (Genetic Programming Based Compensation Technique for Short-range Temperature Prediction)

  • 현병용;현수환;이용희;서기성
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권11호
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    • pp.1682-1688
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces a GP(Genetic Programming) based robust technique for temperature compensation in short-range prediction. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, because forecast models do not reliably determine weather conditions. Most of MOS use a linear regression to compensate a prediction model, therefore it is hard to manage an irregular nature of prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation by a GP based nonlinear MOS for 3 days temperatures in Korean regions. This method is then compared to the UM model and has shown superior results. The training period of 2007-2009 summer is used, and the data of 2010 summer is adopted for verification.

다중 선형 회귀 기반 기계 학습을 이용한 인공지지체의 사각 기공 형태 진단 모델에 관한 연구 (A Study on Square Pore Shape Discrimination Model of Scaffold Using Machine Learning Based Multiple Linear Regression)

  • 이송연;허용정
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we found the solution using data based machine learning regression method to check the pore shape, to solve the problem of the experiment quantity occurring when producing scaffold with the 3d printer. Through experiments, we learned secured each print condition and pore shape. We have produced the scaffold from scaffold pore shape defect prediction model using multiple linear regression method. We predicted scaffold pore shapes of unsecured print condition using the manufactured scaffold pore shape defect prediction model. We randomly selected 20 print conditions from various predicted print conditions. We print scaffold five times under same print condition. We measured the pore shape of scaffold. We compared printed average pore shape with predicted pore shape. We have confirmed the prediction model precision is 99 %.

인턴십 지원자를 위한 기계학습기반 취업예측 모델 개발 (Development of the Machine Learning-based Employment Prediction Model for Internship Applicants)

  • 김현수;김선호;김도현
    • 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.138-143
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    • 2022
  • The employment prediction model proposed in this paper uses 16 independent variables, including self-introductions of M University students who applied for IPP and work-study internship, and 3 dependent variable data such as large companies, mid-sized companies, and unemployment. The employment prediction model for large companies was developed using Random Forest and Word2Vec with the result of F1_Weighted 82.4%. The employment prediction model for medium-sized companies and above was developed using Logistic Regression and Word2Vec with the result of F1_Weighted 73.24%. These two models can be actively used in predicting employment in large and medium-sized companies for M University students in the future.

통계모형을 이용한 NO2 농도 예측에 관한 연구 (A study on Estimation of NO2 concentration by Statistical model)

  • 장난심
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제14권11호
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    • pp.1049-1056
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    • 2005
  • [ $NO_2$ ] concentration characteristics of Busan metropolitan city was analysed by statistical method using hourly $NO_2$ concentration data$(1998\~2000)$ collected from air quality monitoring sites of the metropolitan city. 4 representative regions were selected among air quality monitoring sites of Ministry of environment. Concentration data of $NO_2$, 5 air pollutants, and data collected at AWS was used. Both Stepwise Multiple Regression model and ARIMA model for prediction of $NO_2$ concentrations were adopted, and then their results were compared with observed concentration. While ARIMA model was useful for the prediction of daily variation of the concentration, it was not satisfactory for the prediction of both rapid variation and seasonal variation of the concentration. Multiple Regression model was better estimated than ARIMA model for prediction of $NO_2$ concentration.

유한요소법에 기초한 박판에서의 압하력 및 압연동력 정밀 예측 On-Line모델 (II) 장력의 영향 (FE-based On-Line Model for the Prediction of Roll Force and Roll Power in Finishing Mill (II) Effect of Tension)

  • 곽우진;김영환;박해두;이중형;황상무
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소성가공학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.121-124
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    • 2001
  • On-line prediction model which calculate roll force, roll power and forward slip of continuous hot strip rolling was built based on the results of plane strait rigid-viscoplastic finite element process model. Using the integrated FE process model, a series of finite element simulation was conducted over the process variables, and the influence of various process conditions on non-dimensional parameters was inspected. The prediction accuracy of the proposed on-line model under front and back tension is examined through comparison with predictions from a finite element process model over the various process conditions. In addition, we examined the validity of the on-line prediction model through comparison with roll force of experiment in hot rolling.

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A Prediction Model of the Sum of Container Based on Combined BP Neural Network and SVM

  • Ding, Min-jie;Zhang, Shao-zhong;Zhong, Hai-dong;Wu, Yao-hui;Zhang, Liang-bin
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.305-319
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    • 2019
  • The prediction of the sum of container is very important in the field of container transport. Many influencing factors can affect the prediction results. These factors are usually composed of many variables, whose composition is often very complex. In this paper, we use gray relational analysis to set up a proper forecast index system for the prediction of the sum of containers in foreign trade. To address the issue of the low accuracy of the traditional prediction models and the problem of the difficulty of fully considering all the factors and other issues, this paper puts forward a prediction model which is combined with a back-propagation (BP) neural networks and the support vector machine (SVM). First, it gives the prediction with the data normalized by the BP neural network and generates a preliminary forecast data. Second, it employs SVM for the residual correction calculation for the results based on the preliminary data. The results of practical examples show that the overall relative error of the combined prediction model is no more than 1.5%, which is less than the relative error of the single prediction models. It is hoped that the research can provide a useful reference for the prediction of the sum of container and related studies.

A Novel Parameter Initialization Technique for the Stock Price Movement Prediction Model

  • Nguyen-Thi, Thu;Yoon, Seokhoon
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.132-139
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    • 2019
  • We address the problem about forecasting the direction of stock price movement in the Korea market. Recently, the deep neural network is popularly applied in this area of research. In deep neural network systems, proper parameter initialization reduces training time and improves the performance of the model. Therefore, in our study, we propose a novel parameter initialization technique and apply this technique for the stock price movement prediction model. Specifically, we design a framework which consists of two models: a base model and a main prediction model. The base model constructed with LSTM is trained by using the large data which is generated by a large amount of the stock data to achieve optimal parameters. The main prediction model with the same architecture as the base model uses the optimal parameter initialization. Thus, the main prediction model is trained by only using the data of the given stock. Moreover, the stock price movements can be affected by other related information in the stock market. For this reason, we conducted our research with two types of inputs. The first type is the stock features, and the second type is a combination of the stock features and the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) features. Empirical results conducted on the top five stocks in the KOSPI list in terms of market capitalization indicate that our approaches achieve better predictive accuracy and F1-score comparing to other baseline models.

Prediction model of resistivity and compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete

  • Wang, Chien-Chih
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.467-475
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to establish a prediction model for the electrical resistivity ($E_r$) of self-consolidating concrete by using waste LCD (liquid crystal display) glass as part of the fine aggregate and then, to analyze the results obtained from a series of laboratory tests. A hyperbolic function is used to perform nonlinear multivariate regression analysis of the electrical resistivity prediction model, with parameters such as water-binder ratio (w/b), curing age (t) and waste glass content (G). Furthermore, the relationship of compressive strength and electrical resistivity of waste LCD glass concrete is also found by a logarithm function, while compressive strength is evaluated by the electrical resistivity of non-destructive testing (NDT). According to relative regression analysis, the electrical resistivity and compressive strength prediction models are developed, and the results show that a good agreement is obtained using the proposed prediction models. From the comparison between the predicted analysis values and test results, the MAPE value of electrical resistivity is 17.0-18.2% and less than 20%, the MAPE value of compressive strength evaluated by $E_r$ is 5.9-10.6% and nearly less than 10%. Therefore, the prediction models established in this study have good predictive ability for electrical resistivity and compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete. However, further study is needed in regard to applying the proposed prediction models to other ranges of mixture parameters.