• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model Ensemble

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Exchange Anisotropy of Polycrystalline Ferromagnetic/Antiferromagnetic Bilayers

  • Tsunoda, Masakiyo;Takahashi, Migaku
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.80-93
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    • 2002
  • The role of magnetic anisotropy of the antiferromagnetic layer on the magnetization process of exchange coupled polycrystalline ferromagnetidantiferromagnetic bilayers is discussed. In order to elucidate the magnetic torque response of Ni-Fe/Mn-Ir bilayers, the single spin ensemble model is newly introduced, taking into account the two-dimensionally random distribution of the magnetic anisotropy axes of the antiferromagnetic grains. The mechanism of the reversible inducement of the exchange anisotropy along desirable directions by field cooling procedure is successfully explained with the new model. Unidirectional anisotropy constant, J$k$, of polycrystalline Ni-Fe/Mn-Ir and Co-Fe/Mn-Ir bilayers is investigated as functions of the chemical composition of both the ferromagnetic layer and the antiferromagnetic layer. The effects of microstructure and surface modification of the antiferromagnetic layer on JK are also discussed. As a notable result, an extra large value of J$k$, which exceeds 0.5 erg/cm$^2$, is obtained for $Co_{70}Fe_{30}Mn_{75}Ir_{25}$ bilayer with the ultra-thin (50${\AA}$∼100${\AA}$) Mn-Ir layer. The exchange anisotropy of $Co_{70}Fe_{30}$ 40 ${\AA}/Mn_{75}Ir_{25}$ 100 ${\AA}$ bilayer is stable for thermal annealing up to $400{^{\circ}C}$, which is sufficiently high for the application of spin valve magnetoresistive devices.

Recent Trends of Meteorological Research in North Korea (2007-2016) - Focusing on Journal of Weather and Hydrology - (최근 10년(2007~2016년) 북한의 기상기후 연구 동향 - 기상과 수문지를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Seung-Wook;Lee, Dae-Geun;Lim, Byunghwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.411-422
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    • 2017
  • The aim of this research is to review recent trends in weather and climate research in North Korea. We selected North Korean journal 'Weather and Hydrology' for the last 10 years (2007-2016), and identified trends in research subject, researchers, and affiliations. Furthermore, we analyzed the major achievements and trends by research sector. Our main results are same as follows. The largest number of researches on 'modernization and informatization on prediction' have been carried out in North Korea's recent meteorological and climatological research. This could be implicated that the scope of national science policy directly affected the promotion of specific research field. Especially, North Korea was evaluated to be concentrating its efforts on numerical model research and development. The numerical model which enables very short-term (6 hours) rainfall forecast which using ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation method (4D EnKF) was developed. In addition, development of automatic weather system and improvement of the data transfer system were promoted. However, the result reveals that the automated real-time data transfer system was not fully equipped yet. These results could be used as a basic data for meteorological cooperation between South and North Korea.

A redistribution model of the history-dependent Parrondo game (과거의존 파론도 게임의 재분배 모형)

  • Jin, Geonjoo;Lee, Jiyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2015
  • Parrondo paradox is the counter-intuitive phenomenon where two losing games can be combined to win or two winning games can be combined to lose. In this paper, we consider an ensemble of players, one of whom is chosen randomly to play game A' or game B. In game A', the randomly chosen player transfers one unit of his capital to another randomly selected player. In game B, the player plays the history-dependent Parrondo game in which the winning probability of the present trial depends on the results of the last two trials in the past. We show that Parrondo paradox exists in this redistribution model of the history-dependent Parrondo game.

The Characteristics of the Change of Hadley Circulation during the Late 20th Century in the Current AOGCMs (현 기후 모델에서 모의되는 20세기 후반 해들리 순환 변화의 특징)

  • Shin, Sang-Hye;Chung, Il-Ung
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.331-344
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    • 2012
  • The changes in the Hadley circulation during the second half of the 20th century were examined using observations and the 20C3M (Twentieth Century Climate in Coupled Models) simulations by the 21 IPCC AR4 models. Multi-model ensemble (MME) mean shows that the mean features of the Hadley circulation, such as the intensity, magnitude, and the seasonal variations, are very realistically reproduced, compared to the ERA40 reanalysis. But the long-term trends of the Hadley circulation in 20C3M MME are quite different to those of observations. The observed intensity of the Hadley cell is persistently enhanced, particularly during boreal winter. In comparison, the meridional overturning circulations reproduced in the MME mean remains invariant in time, and even weakened in boreal summer. This discrepancy between the ERA40 and 20C3M MME is consistently shown in the overall structure of the Hadley circulations, such as mass streamfunction, the velocity potential, the vertical shear of meridional wind, and the vertical velocity in the tropical region. This results indicate that the current climate models are skill-less to capture the long-term trend of Hadley circulation yet, and should be improved in simulation of the large-scale features to enhance the confidence level of future climate change projection.

Molecular Dynamic Simulation for Penetration of Carbon Nanotubes into an Array of Carbon Nnantotubes

  • Jang, Ilkwang;Jang, Yong Hoon
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.290-296
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    • 2020
  • When two layers of carbon nanotube (CNT) arrays are loaded to mate, the free ends of individual CNTs come into contact at the interface of the two layers. This leads to a higher contact resistance due to a smaller contact region. However, when the free CNT ends of one array penetrate into the mating array, the contact region increases, effectively lowering the contact resistance. To explore the penetration of mating CNTs, we perform molecular dynamic simulations of a simple unit cell model, incorporating four CNTs in the lower array layer coupled with a single moving CNT on the upper layer. The interaction with neighboring CNTs is modelled by long-range carbon bond order potential (LCBOP I). The model structure is optimized by energy minimization through the conjugate gradient method. A NVT ensemble is used for maintain a room temperature during simulation. The time integration is performed through the velocity-Verlet algorithm. A significant vibrational motion of CNTs is captured when penetration is not available, resulting in a specific vibration mode with a high frequency. Due to this vibrational behavior, the random behaviors of CNT motion for predicting the penetration are confirmed under the specific gap distances between CNTs. Thus, the probability of penetration is examined according to the gap distance between CNTs in the lower array and the aspect ratio of CNTs. The penetration is significantly affected by the vibration mode due to the van der Waals forces between CNTs.

Interdecadal Variability and Future Change in Spring Precipitation over South Korea (한반도 봄철 강수량의 장기변동과 미래변화)

  • Kim, Go-Un;Ok, Jung;Seo, Kyong-Hwan;Han, Sang-Dae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.449-454
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    • 2012
  • This study presents the long-term variability of spring precipitation over the Korean peninsula. It is found that the significant interdecadal change in the spring precipitation has occurred around year 1991. Over the Korean peninsula the precipitation for the post-1991 period increased by about 30 mm per year in CMAP and station-measured data compared to the precipitation prior to year 1991. Due to an increased baroclinicity during the later period, the low-level negative pressure anomaly has developed with its center over northern Japan. Korea is situated at the western end of the negative pressure anomaly, receiving moisture from westerly winds and producing more precipitation. Also, we estimate the change in the near future (years 2020~2040) spring precipitation using six best performing Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 3 (CMIP3) models. These best model ensemble mean shows that spring precipitation is anticipated to increase by about 4% due to the strengthened westerlies accompanied by the northwestern enhancement of the North Pacific subtropical high.

A gradient boosting regression based approach for energy consumption prediction in buildings

  • Bataineh, Ali S. Al
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2019
  • This paper proposes an efficient data-driven approach to build models for predicting energy consumption in buildings. Data used in this research is collected by installing humidity and temperature sensors at different locations in a building. In addition to this, weather data from nearby weather station is also included in the dataset to study the impact of weather conditions on energy consumption. One of the main emphasize of this research is to make feature selection independent of domain knowledge. Therefore, to extract useful features from data, two different approaches are tested: one is feature selection through principal component analysis and second is relative importance-based feature selection in original domain. The regression model used in this research is gradient boosting regression and its optimal parameters are chosen through a two staged coarse-fine search approach. In order to evaluate the performance of model, different performance evaluation metrics like r2-score and root mean squared error are used. Results have shown that best performance is achieved, when relative importance-based feature selection is used with gradient boosting regressor. Results of proposed technique has also outperformed the results of support vector machines and neural network-based approaches tested on the same dataset.

Viscosity and Diffusion Constants Calculation of n-Alkanes by Molecular Dynamics Simulations

  • Lee, Song-Hi;Chang, Tai-Hyun
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.24 no.11
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    • pp.1590-1598
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    • 2003
  • In this paper we have presented the results for viscosity and self-diffusion constants of model systems for four liquid n-alkanes ($C_{12}, C_{20}, C_{32}, and C_{44}$) in a canonical ensemble at several temperatures using molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. The small chains of these n-alkanes are clearly $<{R_{ee}}^2>/6<{R_g}^2>>1$, which leads to the conclusion that the liquid n-alkanes over the whole temperatures considered are far away from the Rouse regime. Calculated viscosity ${\eta}$ and self-diffusion constants D are comparable with experimental results and the temperature dependence of both ${\eta}$ and D is suitably described by the Arrhenius plot. The behavior of both activation energies, $E_{\eta}$ and $E_D$, with increasing chain length indicates that the activation energies approach asymptotic values as n increases to the higher value, which is experimentally observed. Two calculated monomeric friction constants ${\zeta}$ and ${\zeta}_D$ give a correct qualitative trend: decrease with increasing temperature and increase with increasing chain length n. Comparison of the time auto-correlation functions of the end-to-end vector calculated from the Rouse model for n-dodecane ($C_{12}$) at 273 K and for n-tetratetracontane ($C_{44}$) at 473 K with those extracted directly from our MD simulations confirms that the short chain n-alkanes considered in this study are far away from the Rouse regime.

Predicting the Number of People for Meals of an Institutional Foodservice by Applying Machine Learning Methods: S City Hall Case (기계학습방법을 활용한 대형 집단급식소의 식수 예측: S시청 구내직원식당의 실데이터를 기반으로)

  • Jeon, Jongshik;Park, Eunju;Kwon, Ohbyung
    • Journal of the Korean Dietetic Association
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.44-58
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    • 2019
  • Predicting the number of meals in a foodservice organization is an important decision-making process that is essential for successful food production, such as reducing the amount of residue, preventing menu quality deterioration, and preventing rising costs. Compared to other demand forecasts, the menu of dietary personnel includes diverse menus, and various dietary supplements include a range of side dishes. In addition to the menus, diverse subjects for prediction are very difficult problems. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to establish a method for predicting the number of meals including predictive modeling and considering various factors in addition to menus which are actually used in the field. For this purpose, 63 variables in eight categories such as the daily available number of people for the meals, the number of people in the time series, daily menu details, weekdays or seasons, days before or after holidays, weather and temperature, holidays or year-end, and events were identified as decision variables. An ensemble model using six prediction models was then constructed to predict the number of meals. As a result, the prediction error rate was reduced from 10%~11% to approximately 6~7%, which was expected to reduce the residual amount by approximately 40%.

Feasibility Test for Hydraulic Conductivity Characterization of Small Basin-Scale Aquifers Based on Geostatistical Evolution Strategy Using Naturally Imposed Hydraulic Stress (자연 수리자극을 이용한 소유역 규모 대수층 수리전도도 특성화: 지구통계 진화전략 역산해석 기법의 적용 가능성 시험)

  • Park, Eungyu
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.87-97
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the applicability of the geostatistical evolution strategy as an inverse analysis method of estimating hydraulic properties of small-scale basin was tested. The geostatistical evolution strategy is a type of data assimilation method that can effectively estimate aquifer hydraulic conductivity by combining a global optimization model of the evolution strategy and a local optimization model of the ensemble Kalman filtering. In the applicability test, the geometry, hydraulic boundary conditions, and the distribution of groundwater monitoring wells of Hanlim-Eup were employed. On the other hand, a synthetic hydraulic conductivity distribution was generated and used as the reference property for ease of estimation quality assessment. In the estimations, two different cases were tested where, in Case I, both groundwater levels and hydraulic conductivity measurements were assumed to be available, and only the groundwater levels were available, in Case II. In both cases, the reference and estimated hydraulic conductivity fields were found to show reasonable similarity, even though the prior information for estimation was not accurate. The ability to estimate hydraulic conductivity without accurate prior information suggests that this method can be used effectively to estimate mathematical properties in real-world cases, many of which little prior information is available for the aquifer conditions.