• 제목/요약/키워드: Mesoscale model

검색결과 179건 처리시간 0.032초

중규모 수치모델 WRF를 이용한 강원 지방 하층 풍속 예측 평가 (Evaluation of Surface Wind Forecast over the Gangwon Province using the Mesoscale WRF Model)

  • 서범근;변재영;임윤진;최병철
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.158-170
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    • 2015
  • 큰 에디 모의과정을 포함한 WRF 모델 (WRF-LES)을 이용하여 수치모델의 수평공간 규모에 따른 대기경계층 모수화 실험과 LES 모의 결과를 지표층 근처의 풍속 예측에 대하여 비교하였다. 수치실험은 복잡한 산악지형과 해안지역을 포함하는 강원도 지역에서 수평해상도 1 km와 333 m 실험을 수행하였다. 수평해상도 1 km 실험은 대기경계층 모수화 방안을 채택하였으며, 333 m 실험에서는 LES를 이용하였다. 복잡한 산악지역에서의 풍속 예측의 정확성은 수평해상도 1 km 실험 보다 333 m 실험에서 향상되었으며 해안지역에서는 1 km 실험에서 관측과 더 일치하였다. 지표층 근처의 큰 난류를 직접 계산하는 LES 실험은 산악지역의 풍속예측 개선에 기여하였다.

한반도 풍력 자원 지도의 공간 해상도가 풍력자원 예측 정확도에 미치는 영향에 관한 수치연구 (Numerical Study on the Impact of the Spatial Resolution of Wind Map in the Korean Peninsula on the Accuracy of Wind Energy Resources Estimation)

  • 이순환;이화운;김동혁;김민정;김현구
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권8호
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    • pp.885-897
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    • 2009
  • In order to make sure the impact of spatial resolution of wind energy map on the estimation of wind power density in the Korean Peninsula, the comparison studies on the characteristics of wind energy map with three different spatial resolutions were carried out. Numerical model used in the establishment of wind map is MM5 (5th generation Mesoscale Model) with RBAPS (Regional Data Assimilation and Prediction System) as initial and boundary data. Analyzed Period are four months (March, August, October, and December), which are representative of four seasons. Since high spatial resolution of wind map make the undulation of topography be clear, wind pattern in high resolution wind map is correspond well with topography pattern and maximum value of wind speed is also increase. Indication of island and mountains in wind energy map depends on the its spatial resolution, so wind patterns in Heuksan island and Jiri mountains are clearly different in high and low resolutions. And area averaged power density can be changed by estimation method of wind speed for unit area in the numerical model and by treatment of air density. Therefore the studiable resolution for the topography should be evaluated and set before the estimation of wind resources in the Korean Peninsula.

기후변화에 따른 대청호 유역의 물 순환 및 토양 유실량 영향 (Impact of Climate Change on Water Cycle and Soil Loss in Daecheong Reservoir Watershed)

  • 예령;정세웅;오동근;윤성완
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.821-831
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    • 2009
  • The study was aimed to assess the expected impact of climate change on the water cycle and soil losses in Daecheong Reservoir watershed, Korea using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) that was validated for the watershed in a previous study. Future climate data including precipitation, temperature and humidity generated by introducing a regional climate model (Mesoscale Model Version 5, MM5) to dynamically downscale global circulation model (European Centre Hamburg Model Version 4, ECHAM4) were used to simulate the hydrological responses and soil erosion processes in the future 100 years (2001~2100) under the Special Report on Emissions Scenario (SRES) A1B. The results indicated that the climate change may increase in the amount of surface runoff and thereby sediment load to the reservoir. Spatially, the impact was relatively more significant in the subbasin Bocheongcheon because of its lower occupation rate of forest land compared to other subbasins. Seasonally, the increase of surface runoff and soil losses was more significant during late summer and fall season when both flood control and turbidity flow control are necessary for the reservoir and downstream. The occurrence of extreme turbidity flow events during these period is more vulnerable to reservoir operation because the suspended solids that remained water column can be resuspended by vertical mixing during winter turnover period. The study results provide useful information for the development of adaptive management strategy for the reservoir to cope with the expected impact of future climate change.

위성영상 해상풍 축출에 의한 수치바람모의 검증 (Validation of Numerical Wind Simulation by Offshore Wind Extraction from Satellite Images)

  • 김현구;황효정;이화운;김동혁;김덕진
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권8호
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    • pp.847-855
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    • 2009
  • As a part of effort to establish an offshore wind resource assessment system of the Korean Peninsula, a numeric wind simulation using mesoscale climate model MM5 and a spatial distribution of offshore wind extracted from SAR remote-sensing satellite image is compared and analyzed. According to the analyzed results, the numeric wind simulation is found to have wind speed over predication tendency at the coastal sea area. Therefore, it is determined that a high-resolution wind simulation is required for complicated coastal landforms. The two methods are verified as useful ways to identify the spatial distribution of offshore wind by mutual complementation and if the meteor-statistical comparative analysis is performed in the future using adequate number of satellite images, it is expected to derive a general methodology enabling systematic validation and correction of the numeric wind simulation.

두 개의 산악 위에서의 연속적으로 성층화된 흐름의 흐름 체계 (Flow Regimes of Continuously Stratified Flow over a Double Mountain)

  • 한지영;김재진;백종진
    • 대기
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.231-240
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    • 2007
  • The flow regimes of continuously stratified flow over a double mountain and the effects of a double mountain on wave breaking, upstream blocking, and severe downslope windstorms are investigated using a mesoscale numerical model (ARPS). According to the occurrence or non-occurrence of wave breaking and upstream blocking, three different flow regimes are identified over a double mountain. Higher critical Froude numbers are required for wave breaking and upstream blocking initiation for a double mountain than for an isolated mountain. This means that the nonlinearity and blocking effect for a double mountain is larger than that for an isolated mountain. As the separation distance between two mountains decreases, the degree of flow nonlinearity increases, while the blocking effect decreases. A rapid increase of the surface horizontal velocity downwind of each mountain near the critical mountain height for wave breaking initiation indicates that severe downslope windstorms are enhanced by wave breaking. For the flow with wave breaking, the numerically calculated surface drag is much larger than theoretically calculated one because the region with the maximum negative perturbation pressure moves from the top to the downwind slope of each mountain as the internal jump propagating downwind occurs.

한반도 호우유형의 중규모 특성 및 예보 가이던스 (Mesoscale Features and Forecasting Guidance of Heavy Rain Types over the Korean Peninsula)

  • 김선영;송환진;이혜숙
    • 대기
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.463-480
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    • 2019
  • This study classified heavy rain types from K-means clustering for the hourly relationship between rainfall intensity and cloud top height over the Korean peninsula, and then examined their statistical characteristics for the period of June~August 2013~2018. Total rainfall amount of warm-type events was 2.65 times larger than that of the cold-type, whereas the lightning frequency divided by total rainfall for the warm-type was only 46% of the cold-type. Typical cold-type cases exhibited high cloud top height around 16 km, large reflectivity in the upper layer, and frequent lightning flashes under convectively unstable condition. Phenomenally, the cold-type cases corresponded to cloud cluster or multi-cell thunderstorms. However, two warm-type cases related to Changma and typhoon were characterized by heavy rainfall due to long duration, relatively low cloud top height and upper-level reflectivity, and the absence of lightning under the convectively neutral and extremely humid conditions. This study further confirmed that the forecast skill of rainfall could be improved by applying correction factor with the overestimation for cold-type and underestimation for warm-type cases in the Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) operational model (e.g., BIAS score was improved by 5%).

복잡지형에서의 지표면 거칠기에 따른 오존 농도 수치모의 (Air Quality Modeling of Ozone Concentration According to the Roughness Length on the Complex Terrain)

  • 최현정;이화운;성경희
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.430-439
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this work is the air quality modeling according to the practical roughness length using the building information as surface boundary conditions. As accurate wind and temperature field are required to produce realistic urban air quality modeling, comparative simulations by various roughness length are discussed. The prognostic meteorological fields and air quality field over complex areas of Seoul, Korea are generated by the PSU/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5) and the Third Generation Community Multi-scale Air Quality Modeling System (Models-3/CMAQ), respectively. The simulated $O_3$ concentration on complex terrain and their interactions with the weak synoptic flow had relatively strong effects by the roughness length. A comparison of the three meteorological fields of respective roughness length reveals substantial localized differences in surface temperature and wind folds. Under these conditions, the ascended mixing height and weakened wind speed at night which induced the stable boundary stronger, and the difference of simulated $O_3$ concentration is $2{\sim}6\;ppb$.

알베도 증가에 따른 도시 기온 하강 효과에 관한 수치연구 (Numerical Study on the Air Cooling Effect due to Increased Albedo in Urban Area)

  • 이현주;이귀옥;이순환;이화운
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 2008
  • In order to clarify the influence of the change of urban surface albedo on mesoscale meteorological factors during the summertime, numerical experiments with various albedo of urban surface were carried out. Numerical model used in this study is PSU/NCAR MM5 V3.6. As a result of the numerical simulation intended of Busan assumed the increase of albedo of roofs, buildings, or roads, the increase of albedo can make decrease radiation effect of surface, so that it caused drops in ambient air temperature from $0.5^{\circ}C$ to $1^{\circ}C$ on the average, and the downtown of Busan formed along the trough presented a substantial drop in ambient air temperature about $1.5^{\circ}C$. Modeling studies suggest the increased surface albedo in urban area can reduce surface and air temperatures near the ground and affect related meteorological parameters such as winds and the depth of the mixed boundary layer.

기상수치모의 자료를 이용한 부산지역의 소형풍력발전 시스템 적용에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Applcation of Small Wind Power System using Meteorological Simulation Data in Pusan)

  • 이귀옥;이강열;강동배;박창현;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.1085-1093
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    • 2014
  • We investigate the amount of potential electricity energy generated by wind power in Busan metropolitan area, using the mesoscale meteorological model WRF (Weather Research & Forecasting), combined with small wind power generators. The WRF modeling has successfully simulated meteorological characteristics over the urban areas, and showed statistical significant to predict the amount of wind energy generation. The highest amount of wind power energy has been predicted at the coastal area, followed by at riverbank and upland, depending on predicted spatial distributions of wind speed. The electricity energy prediction method in this study is expected to be used for plans of wind farm constructions or the power supplies.

고해상도 바람지도 구축 시스템에 관한 연구 (Study of evaluation wind resource detailed area with complex terrain using combined MM5/CALMET system)

  • 이화운;김동혁;김민정;이순환;박순영;김현구
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.274-277
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    • 2008
  • To evaluate high-resolution wind resources for local and coastal area with complex terrain was attemped to combine the prognostic MM5 mesoscale model with CALMET diagnostic modeling this study. Firstly, MM5 was simulated for 1km resolution, nested fine domain, with FDDA using QuikSCAT seawinds data was employed to improve initial meteorological fields. Wind field and other meteorological variables from MM5 with all vertical levels used as initial guess field for CALMET. And 5 surface and 1 radio sonde observation data is performed objective analysis whole domain cells. Initial and boundary condition are given by 3 hourly RDAPS data of KMA in prognostic MM5 simulation. Geophysical data was used high-resolution terrain elevation and land cover(30 seconds) data from USGS with MM5 simulation. On the other hand SRTM 90m resolution and EGIS 30m landuse was adopted for CALMET diagnostic simulation. The simulation was performed on whole year for 2007. Vertical wind field a hour from CALMET and latest results of MM5 simulation was comparison with wind profiler(KEOP-2007 campaign) data at HAENAM site.

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