• 제목/요약/키워드: Median regression model

검색결과 117건 처리시간 0.023초

유해산출물을 고려한 서울시 간선버스노선의 효율성 평가 (Evaluation of Efficiency in the Seoul's Arterial Bus Routes Considering Undesirable Outputs)

  • 한진석;김혜란;고승영
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 현행 버스 서비스 평가체계를 보완하고 선행연구에 비해 합리적인 분석결과를 도출하기 위해 유익 유해산출물을 모두 반영한 수정 BCC 모형을 이용하여 2009년 서울시 113개 간선버스노선의 효율성을 추정하였다. 분석대상은 총 보유비와 총 가동비, 중앙차로 정류장수 비율과 타노선과의 중복길이를 사용하여 유익산출물인 총 승객수와 서비스 만족도 점수, 그리고 유해산출물인 CO2 배출량을 산출하는 형태로 상정하였다. 분석결과 유해산출물을 함께 반영한 모형이 유익산출물만을 반영한 모형에 비해 합리적인 결과를 도출하는 것으로 나타났다. 서울시 간선버스노선은 총 보유비와 총 가동비, 그리고 타노선과의 중복길이를 평균적으로 약 10% 감소할 수 있으며, 중앙차로 정류장수 비율은 약 160% 증가시킬 수 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 한편 효율성에 영향을 미치는 결정요인을 분석하기 위한 토빗회귀분석을 수행한 결과 총 보유비와 중앙차로 정류장수 비율이 통계적으로 유의미성을 확보하였다.

가속 열화 모형을 이용한 엘리베이터 와이어 수명 예측 (Estimation of Elevator Wire Life Using Accelerated Degradation Model)

  • 김상부;김승호
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.409-420
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study is to estimate the life of elevator wire rope by using the accelerated degradation test with two accelerating variables of applied load and corrosion. Methods: Linear regression method is used to find the pseudo life of elevator wire rope at each combination of accelerating variables and the median life of elevator wire rope at use condition is estimated under the assumption that the life of elevator wire rope follows lognormal distribution. Results: The particular case study demonstrated that the results of the elevator wire life estimation by using the proposed method can provide the better solutions than existing methods. Conclusion: It can be economical to use accelerated degradation model for estimating the life of elevator wire rope.

중도절단 회귀모형에서 역절단확률가중 방법 간의 비교연구 (A comparison study of inverse censoring probability weighting in censored regression)

  • 신정민;김형우;신승준
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.957-968
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    • 2021
  • 역중도절단확률가중(inverse censoring probability weighting, ICPW)은 생존분석에서 흔히 사용되는 방법이다. 중도절단 회귀모형과 같은 ICPW 방법의 응용에 있어서 중도절단 확률의 정확한 추정은 핵심적인 요소라고 할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 중도절단 확률의 추정이 ICPW 기반 중도절단 회귀모형의 성능에 어떠한 영향을 주는지 모의실험을 통하여 알아보았다. 모의실험에서는 Kaplan-Meier 추정량, Cox 비례위험(proportional hazard) 모형 추정량, 그리고 국소 Kaplan-Meier 추정량 세 가지를 비교하였다. 국소 KM 추정량에 대해서는 차원의 저주를 피하기 위해 공변량의 차원축소 방법을 추가적으로 적용하였다. 차원축소 방법으로는 흔히 사용되는 주성분분석(principal component analysis, PCA)과 절단역회귀(sliced inverse regression)방법을 고려하였다. 그 결과 Cox 비례위험 추정량이 평균 및 중위수 중도절단 회귀모형 모두에서 중도절단 확률을 추정하는 데 가장 좋은 성능을 보여주었다.

가산자료 모형을 이용한 국내 원형교차로 유형별 교통사고 분석 (Analysis of Traffic Accident by Circular Intersection Type in Korea Using Count Data Model)

  • 김태양;이민영;박병호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권5호
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to develop the traffic accident models by circular intersection type using count data model. The number of accident, the number of fatal and injured persons(FSI), and EPDO are calculated from the traffic accident data of TAAS. The circular intersection accident models are developed through Poisson and negative binomial regression analysis. The main results of this study are as follows. First, the null hypotheses that there are differences in the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO by type of circular intersections are rejected. Second, the scale of intersection(median, large), number of approach road, mean width and length of exit road, area of the circulating roadway and central island are selected as factors influencing the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO in rotary. Third, the scale of intersection(median), guide signs(limited speed, direction, roundabout), number of approach road, entry angle, area of the intersection and central island are adopted as factors influencing the number of traffic accidents, FSI and EPDO in roundabout. Finally, transferring from rotary to roundabout could be expected to make the accident decrease.

간호업무에 대한 법적의무인식에 관한 연구;간호관련판례와 간호사의 태도 비교분석 (The comparative analysis on nurse's legal duty;based on precedents in nursing - related cases)

  • 김기경
    • 간호행정학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to look into nurse's legal duty and to analyze influencing factors, by reading through precedents in nursing-related malpractice cases. 157 clinic nurses and 40 head nurses who were working in 3 university hospitals in the area of Seoul and KyongKi province were surveyed with pre-set questionnaires which were based on 20 cases and to compare precedents with nurses' attitudes. Independent variables were demographic characteristics, job characteristics, experience and education, and personal characteristics. Dependent variables were the extents of understanding in their duty. To analyze the extent of duty understanding t-text. ANOVA, and multiple regression were performed according to the characteristics of each study subject. Main findings are as follows; 1. $X^2$ test was performed for each hospitals and job category. The existence of religion and job-related advisers were significantly different according to hospitals and job categories. The existences of the orientation for nursing, education, and meeting were significantly different according to hospitals. 2. The extent of duty understanding according to the subject characteristics was assessed by means of median. Each case was given the median. 12 cases(46%)out of 26 cases demonstrated the median of more than 6 showing high extent of understanding. 3. When $X^2$ test was performed. the extent of duty understanding was significantly different in the areas of marriage status. the existence of meetings. and the experience of having dispute. When multiple regression(stepwise method) was performed, above variables were not statistically significant. 4.As result of comparative analysis on precedents and nurse's attitudes. it is 4 cases that nurse's attitudes is more active than precedents and it is 9 cases that nurse's attitudes is more passive than precedents and it is 4 cases that nurse's attitudes is parallel with precedents. This study does not present statistical model which can integrate all the cases. The significance of this study is in that it generalized and assessed the nurses' understanding of duty based on nursing -care which was legally disputed and compared nurse's attitude with precedents.

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Prediction of Acute Toxicity to Fathead Minnow by Local Model Based QSAR and Global QSAR Approaches

  • In, Young-Yong;Lee, Sung-Kwang;Kim, Pil-Je;No, Kyoung-Tai
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.613-619
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    • 2012
  • We applied several machine learning methods for developing QSAR models for prediction of acute toxicity to fathead minnow. The multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) method were applied to predict 96 h $LC_{50}$ (median lethal concentration) of 555 chemical compounds. Molecular descriptors based on 2D chemical structure were calculated by PreADMET program. The recursive partitioning (RP) model was used for grouping of mode of actions as reactive or narcosis, followed by MLR method of chemicals within the same mode of action. The MLR, ANN, and two RP-MLR models possessed correlation coefficients ($R^2$) as 0.553, 0.618, 0.632, and 0.605 on test set, respectively. The consensus model of ANN and two RP-MLR models was used as the best model on training set and showed good predictivity ($R^2$=0.663) on the test set.

Modeling strength of high-performance concrete using genetic operation trees with pruning techniques

  • Peng, Chien-Hua;Yeh, I-Cheng;Lien, Li-Chuan
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.203-223
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    • 2009
  • Regression analysis (RA) can establish an explicit formula to predict the strength of High-Performance Concrete (HPC); however, the accuracy of the formula is poor. Back-Propagation Networks (BPNs) can establish a highly accurate model to predict the strength of HPC, but cannot generate an explicit formula. Genetic Operation Trees (GOTs) can establish an explicit formula to predict the strength of HPC that achieves a level of accuracy in between the two aforementioned approaches. Although GOT can produce an explicit formula but the formula is often too complicated so that unable to explain the substantial meaning of the formula. This study developed a Backward Pruning Technique (BPT) to simplify the complexity of GOT formula by replacing each variable of the tip node of operation tree with the median of the variable in the training dataset belonging to the node, and then pruning the node with the most accurate test dataset. Such pruning reduces formula complexity while maintaining the accuracy. 404 experimental datasets were used to compare accuracy and complexity of three model building techniques, RA, BPN and GOT. Results show that the pruned GOT can generate simple and accurate formula for predicting the strength of HPC.

강도한계 이선형 단자유도 시스템의 동적 불안정 (Dynamic Instability of Strength-Limited Bilinear SDF Systems)

  • 한상환;김종보;배문수;문기훈
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2008
  • 강도한계 이선형 단자유도 시스템의 지진 하중 하에서의 동적 불안정에 대해 연구하였다. 강도한계 이선형 이력 모델은 철골 모멘트 골조의 이력거동을 가장 잘 모사한다. 단자유도 시스템의 동적 불안정을 판단하기 위해 붕괴 강도비를 사용하였고, 이것은 붕괴가 일어날 때의 항복강도 저감계수이다. 단단한 지반에서 측정된 240개의 지진을 이용하고 고유주기, 강성 경화 기울기, 음강성 기울기, 연성 그리고 $2{\sim}20%$의 감쇠비를 변수로 하여 강도한계 이선형 단자유도 시스템의 붕괴 강도비의 평균과 편차 값들을 구할 수 있도록 통계 분석을 하였다. 비선형 회귀분석을 통해 강도한계 이선형 단자유도 시스템의 붕괴 강도비의 평균과 표준편차를 계산할 수 있는 식을 구하였다. 제안한 식을 이용하여 붕괴 강도비의 확률적 분포를 구하였고, 실제 값과 비교하여 제안한 식의 정확성을 입증하였다.

산업용전력사용고객의 최대전력 예측에 의한 변압기용량 산정에 관한 연구 (Recommended Practice for the Assessment of Transformer Capacity by the Forecasting of Peak Power in Industrial Customers)

  • 김세동;신화영
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2009년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.383-386
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    • 2009
  • Contract power conversion factor which is applied to estimate contract power of industrial customers is an important standard to calculate transformer capacity. This paper shows a reasonable contract power conversion factor, that was made by the systematic and statistical way considering actual conditions, such as investigated contract power and peak power for the last 5 years of each customer for industrial customers as to AMR system. In this dissertation, it is necessary to analyze the key features and general trend from the investigated data. It made an analysis of the feature parameters, such as average, standard deviation, median, maximum. minimum and thus it was carried the linear and nonlinear regression analysis. Therefore, this paper compared characteristics for a contract power conversion factor which is applied to calculate contract power with characteristics for a regression model for customers which maximum utilization factor of transformer is more than 60%.

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사무소용빌딩의 최대전력 예측에 의한 변압기용량 산정에 관한 연구 (Recommended Practice for the Assessment of Transformer Capacity by the Forecasting of Peak Power in Office Building Customers)

  • 김세동;유상봉
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.293-296
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    • 2008
  • Contract power conversion factor which is applied to estimate contract power of general customers IS an important standard to caculate transformer capacity. This paper shows a reasonable contract power conversion factor, that was made by the systematic and statistical way considering actual conditions, such as investigated contract power and peak power for the last 5 years of each customer for 132 office building customers as to AMR system. In this dissertation, it is necessary to analyze the key features and general trend from the investigated data. It made an analysis of the feature parameters, such as average, standard deviation, median, maximum, minimun and thus it was carried the linear and nonlinear regression analysis. Therefore, this paper compared characteristics for a contract power conversion factor which is applied to calculate contract power with characteristics for a regression model for customers which maximum utilization factor of transformer is more than 60%.

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