• 제목/요약/키워드: Mean time to failure

검색결과 511건 처리시간 0.033초

대동맥 질환 수술의 임상적 고찰 (Clinical Analysis of Surgery for Aortic Disease)

  • 안정태
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제28권10호
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    • pp.906-911
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    • 1995
  • From January 1991 to January 1995, 11 patients with aortic diseases underwent various surgical repairs. The age at operation ranged from 26 years to 63 years[ mean=50.9 years . The disease entities included 8 aortic dissections[ type I in 4, type II in 2 and type III in 2 cases , 2 Marfan`s syndrome with annuloaortic ectasia and 1 desecending thoracic aortic aneurysm The operative procedures we tried were 3 Bentall`s operation, 5 graft replacement of ascending aorta, and 3 graft interposition in descending thoracic aorta.Overall hospital mortality rate is 36.3%[4/11 . And causes of death are pump weaning failure in 2 cases and multiorgan failure in 2 cases. It was that 2 sternal dehiscence & mediastinitis, 1 acute renal failure, 2 hypoxic brain damages and 2 postoperative psychosis were complicated. Recently we tried surgical repair of aortic dissection five out of 6 cases using total circulatory arrest with deep hypothermia at 14$^{\circ}C$. Total circulatory arrest time ranged from 18 to 26 minutes[ mean 22.2 minutes , and mean aortic cross-clamping time was 48.2 minutes. One of 5 patient died on the 7th postoperative day due to multiorgan failure. Mortality of patients with TCA was 20%[1/5 , and it of remainders was 50%[3/6 . Our result for surgical repair using total circulatory arrest with deep hypothermia is satisfactory on the basis of our clinical data.

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시변환 스트레스 조건에서의 와이블 분포의 모수 및 가속 모수에 대한 베이시안 추정을 사용하는 이산 시간 접근 방법 (A Discrete Time Approximation Method using Bayesian Inference of Parameters of Weibull Distribution and Acceleration Parameters with Time-Varying Stresses)

  • 정인승
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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    • pp.1331-1336
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    • 2008
  • This paper suggests a method using Bayesian inference to estimate the parameters of Weibull distribution and acceleration parameters under the condition that the stresses are time-dependent functions. A Bayesian model based on the discrete time approximation is formulated to infer the parameters of interest from the failure data of the virtual tests and a statistical analysis is considered to decide the most probable mean values of the parameters for reasoning of the failure data.

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ARIMA AR(1) 모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구 (The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using ARIMA AR(1))

  • 김희철;신현철
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2008
  • 소트프웨어 고장 시간은 테스팅 시간과 관계없이 일정하거나, 단조 증가 혹은 단조 감소 추세를 가지고 있다. 이러한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형들을 분석하기 위한 자료척도로 자료에 대한 추세 검정이 개발되어 있다. 추세 분석에는 산술평균 검정과 라플라스 추세 검정 등이 있다. 추세분석들은 전체적인 자료의 개요의 정보만 제공한다. 본 논문에서는 고장시간을 측정하다가 시간절단이 될 경우에 미래의 고장 시간 예측에 관하여 연구되었다. 고장 시간 예측에 사용된 고장시간자료는 소프트웨어 고장 시간 분포에 널리 사용되는 와이블 분포에서 형상모수가 1이고 척도모수가 0.5를 가진 난수를 발생된 모의 자료를 이용 하였다. 이 자료를 이용하여 시계열 분석에 이용되는 ARIMA 모형 중에서 AR(1) 모형과 모의실험을 통한 예측 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법에서 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 예측방법이 효율적임을 입증 하였다.

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기계류 핵심 유니트의 신뢰성 평가기술 (Evaluation of Reliability for critical unit of machinery system)

  • 이승우;송준엽;강재훈;황주호;이현용;박화영
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1014-1017
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    • 2000
  • Reliability engineering is regarded as the major and important roll for all industry. And advanced manufacturing systems with high speed and intelligent have been developed for the betterment of machining ability. In this study, we have systemized evaluation of reliability for machinery system. We proposed the reliability assessment and design review method using analyzing critical units of high speed and intelligent machine system. In addition, we have not only designed and developed test bed system for acquiring reliability data, but also have constructing WEB system for suppling reliability which is provided in design phase. From this study, we will expect to guide and introduce the reliability engineering in developing and processing phase of high quality product.

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자기부상열차 RAM DATA 관리방안 (Review on RAM Data Management to Urban Maglev Transit)

  • 이창덕;강찬용
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.191-196
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    • 2007
  • This paper is reviewed RAM(Reliability, Availability and Maintainability) data table utilized for RAM data management to Urban Maglev Transit. As railway systems become more complex, the RAM requirements are reinforced to ensure that a design meets Reliability, Availability, Maintainability criteria. Therefore, it needs the efficient management for RAM data of railway system to meet RAM target. At this study, RAM data management format is suggested to ensure reliability and maintainability based on acquired experience for overseas rolling stock. This RAM data table and FMECA(Failure Mode Effect Criticality Analysis) table are useful to the calculation of MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure), MTBSF(Mean Time Between Service Failure) and Maintainability. Also, this RAM management table will be efficient to improve the RAM evaluation to Urban Maglev Transit.

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테이프 피더 내장 공압 액추에이터에 대한 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Analysis for the High Precision Pneumatic Actuator within Tape Feeder)

  • 최진화;전병철;조명우;강성민;이수진
    • 한국공작기계학회논문집
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2006
  • This research presents the reliability analysis of the pneumatic actuator within the tape feeder that is used to transfer the correct force to linked parts during l.0E+7 cycles. First, the degradation analysis for thrust and air leakage is executed to obtain the failure data of a product based on its performance over time. Second, once the parameters has been calculated using the weibull 2-parameter distribution and MLE(Maximum Likelihood Estimation), information related to life such as reliability, failure rate, probability density function is estimated. Finally, MTTF(Mean Time To Failure) and $B_{10}$ life of actuators are calculated. MTTF means the mean life at the confidence level and $B_{10}$ life refers to the time by which 10% of the product would fail. In this study, failure causes and solutions are examined using the reliability analysis.

낮은 교통밀도 하에서 서버 고장을 고려한 복수 서버 대기행렬 모형의 체제시간에 대한 분석 (On the Exact Cycle Time of Failure Prone Multiserver Queueing Model Operating in Low Loading)

  • 김우성;임대은
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we present a new way to derive the mean cycle time of the G/G/m failure prone queue when the loading of the system approaches to zero. The loading is the relative ratio of the arrival rate to the service rate multiplied by the number of servers. The system with low loading means the busy fraction of the system is low. The queueing system with low loading can be found in the semiconductor manufacturing process. Cluster tools in semiconductor manufacturing need a setup whenever the types of two successive lots are different. To setup a cluster tool, all wafers of preceding lot should be removed. Then, the waiting time of the next lot is zero excluding the setup time. This kind of situation can be regarded as the system with low loading. By employing absorbing Markov chain model and renewal theory, we propose a new way to derive the exact mean cycle time. In addition, using the proposed method, we present the cycle times of other types of queueing systems. For a queueing model with phase type service time distribution, we can obtain a two dimensional Markov chain model, which leads us to calculate the exact cycle time. The results also can be applied to a queueing model with batch arrivals. Our results can be employed to test the accuracy of existing or newly developed approximation methods. Furthermore, we provide intuitive interpretations to the results regarding the expected waiting time. The intuitive interpretations can be used to understand logically the characteristics of systems with low loading.

Stochastic Properties of Life Distribution with Increasing Tail Failure Rate and Nonparametric Testing Procedure

  • Lim, Jae-Hak;Park, Dong Ho
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.220-228
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate the tail behavior of the life distribution which exhibits an increasing failure rate or other positive aging effects after a certain time point. Methods: We characterize the tail behavior of the life distribution with regard to certain reliability measures such as failure rate, mean residual life and reliability function and derive several stochastic properties regarding such life distributions. Also, utilizing an L-statistic and its asymptotic normality, we propose new nonparametric testing procedures which verify if the life distribution has an increasing tail failure rate. Results: We propose the IFR-Tail (Increasing Failure Rate in Tail), DMRL-Tail (Decreasing Mean Residual Life in Tail) and NBU-Tail (New Better than Used in Tail) classes, all of which represent the tail behavior of the life distribution. And we discuss some stochastic properties of these proposed classes. Also, we develop a new nonparametric test procedure for detecting the IFR-Tail class and discuss its relative efficiency to explore the power of the test. Conclusion: The results of our research could be utilized in the study of wide range of applications including the maintenance and warranty policy of the second-hand system.

고속주축의 고장 및 수명평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Failure and Life Assessment of High Speed Spindle)

  • 이태홍
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2014
  • A reliability evaluation or prediction can be defined as MTBF which stands for mean time between failures (Exclusively for repairable failures). Spindle system has huge effect on performance of machine tools and working quality as well as is required of high reliability. Especially, it takes great importance in producing automobiles which includes a large number of working processes. However, it is unusually difficult to predict reliability because there are lack of data and research about reliability of spindle system. Standards and methods of examinations for reliability evaluation of machine tools are scarce at local and abroad as well. Therefore, this research is meant to improve the reliability of spindle system before mass produced with developing standards of reliability and methods of examinations through FMEA to assess reliability of spindle system in prototype stages of developing high speed spindle system of machining center.

분진을 이용한 연기감지기 신뢰성 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Analysis for Smoke Detector using Dust)

  • 홍성호;최문수;이영만
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a study on the analyzing reliability of smoke fire detector using accelerated life test. In general, the smoke fire detector is broken by dust which flow in smoke detection chamber. In order to conduct accelerated life test of smoke fire detector dust is set accelerated factor in this paper. The dust is fly-ash which is test particle 5th regulated by KS A 0090. The dust accelerated level is 60 g, 180 g and 360 g and failure time is measured by smoke sensitivity testing. It is considered to failure of detector if detector don't operate within 30 secconds when subjected to an air stream having a velocity of 20 cm/s~40 cm/s containing smoke with a concentration of 15% of rate of light-response of 1 m. The goodness of fit test and mean life prediction conduct using the failure time. The result show that life distribution fits the weibull distribution for failure time data and the mean lifes calculate 22.5 year in domestic product and 14.7 years in overseas product applied dust stress only.