• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mean Load

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Estimation of load and resistance factors based on the fourth moment method

  • Lu, Zhao-Hui;Zhao, Yan-Gang;Ang, Alfredo H.S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.19-36
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    • 2010
  • The load and resistance factors are generally obtained using the First Order Reliability Method (FORM), in which the design point should be determined and derivative-based iterations have to be used. In this paper, a simple method for estimating the load and resistance factors using the first four moments of the basic random variables is proposed and a simple formula for the target mean resistance is also proposed to avoid iteration computation. Unlike the currently used method, the load and resistance factors can be determined using the proposed method even when the probability density functions (PDFs) of the basic random variables are not available. Moreover, the proposed method does not need either the iterative computation of derivatives or any design points. Thus, the present method provides a more convenient and effective way to estimate the load and resistance factors in practical engineering. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the advantages of the proposed fourth moment method for determining the load and resistance factors.

Short-term Electric Load Forecasting Using Data Mining Technique

  • Kim, Cheol-Hong;Koo, Bon-Gil;Park, June-Ho
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.807-813
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we introduce data mining techniques for short-term load forecasting (STLF). First, we use the K-mean algorithm to classify historical load data by season into four patterns. Second, we use the k-NN algorithm to divide the classified data into four patterns for Mondays, other weekdays, Saturdays, and Sundays. The classified data are used to develop a time series forecasting model. We then forecast the hourly load on weekdays and weekends, excluding special holidays. The historical load data are used as inputs for load forecasting. We compare our results with the KEPCO hourly record for 2008 and conclude that our approach is effective.

Incremental Theory of Reinforcement Damage in Discontinuously-Reinforced Composite (분산형 복합재료의 강화재 손상 증분형 이론)

  • 김홍건
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Marine Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.05a
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    • pp.122-126
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    • 2000
  • In particle or short-fiber reinforced composites cracking of the reinforcements is a significant damage mode because the broken reinformcements lose load carrying capacity . The average stress in the inhomogeneity represents its load carrying capacity and the difference between the average stresses of the intact and broken inhomogeneities indicates the loss of load carrying capacity due to cracking damage. The composite in damage process contains intact and broken reinforcements in a matrix, An incremental constitutive relation of particle or short-fiber reinforced composites including the progressive cracking damage of the reinforcements have been developed based on the Eshelby's equivalent inclusion method and Mori-Tanaka's mean field concept. influence of the cracking damage on the Eshelby's equivalent inclusion method and Mori-Tanaka's mean field concept. Influence of the cracking damage on the stress-strain response of the composites is demonstrated.

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A Novel Second Order Radial Basis Function Neural Network Technique for Enhanced Load Forecasting of Photovoltaic Power Systems

  • Farhat, Arwa Ben;Chandel, Shyam.Singh;Woo, Wai Lok;Adnene, Cherif
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a novel improved second order Radial Basis Function Neural Network based method with excellent scheduling capabilities is used for the dynamic prediction of short and long-term energy required applications. The effectiveness and the reliability of the algorithm are evaluated using training operations with New England-ISO database. The dynamic prediction algorithm is implemented in Matlab and the computation of mean absolute error and mean absolute percent error, and training time for the forecasted load, are determined. The results show the impact of temperature and other input parameters on the accuracy of solar Photovoltaic load forecasting. The mean absolute percent error is found to be between 1% to 3% and the training time is evaluated from 3s to 10s. The results are also compared with the previous studies, which show that this new method predicts short and long-term load better than sigmoidal neural network and bagged regression trees. The forecasted energy is found to be the nearest to the correct values as given by England ISO database, which shows that the method can be used reliably for short and long-term load forecasting of any electrical system.

Random vibration of multispan Timoshenko frames due to a moving load

  • Wang, Rong-Tyai;Lin, Jin-Sheng
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.673-691
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, an analytic method to examine the random vibration of multispan Timoshenko frames due to a concentrated load traversing at a constant velocity is presented. A load's magnitude is a stationary process in time with a constant mean value and a variance. Two types of variances of this load are considered: white noise process and cosine process. The effects of both velocity and statistical characteristics of load and span number of the frame on both the mean value and variance of deflection and moment of the structure are investigated. Results obtained from a multispan Timoshenko frame are compared with those of a multispan Bernoulli-Euler frame.

Wind tunnel tests on wind loads acting on steel tubular transmission towers under skewed wind

  • YANG, Fengli;NIU, Huawei
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.93-108
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    • 2022
  • Steel tubular towers are commonly used in UHV and long crossing transmission lines. By considering effects of the model scale, the solidity ratio and the ratio of the mean width to the mean height, wind tunnel tests under different wind speeds on twenty tubular steel tower body models and twenty-six tubular steel cross-arm models were completed. Drag coefficients and shielding factors of the experimental tower body models and cross-arm models in wind directional axis for typical skewed angles were obtained. The influence of the lift forces on the skewed wind load factors of tubular steel tower bodies was evaluated. The skewed wind load factors, the wind load distribution factors in transversal and longitudinal direction were calculated for the tubular tower body models and cross-arm models, respectively. Fitting expressions for the skewed wind load factors of tubular steel bodies and cross-arms were determined through nonlinear fitting analysis. Parameters for skewed wind loads determined by wind tunnel tests were compared with the regulations in applicable standards. Suggestions on the drag coefficients, the skewed wind load factors and the wind load distribution factors were proposed for tubular steel transmission towers.

Proposal of Return Period and Basic Wind Speed Map to Estimate Wind Loads for Strength Design in Korea (강도설계용 풍하중 평가를 위한 재현기간과 기본풍속지도의 제안)

  • Ha, Young-Cheol
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2018
  • Strength design wind loads for the wind resistance design of structures shall be evaluated by the product of wind loads calculated based on the basic wind speed with 100 years return period and the wind load factor 1.3 specified in the provisions of load combinations in Korean Building Code (KBC) 2016. It may be sure that the wind load factor 1.3 in KBC(2016) had not been determined by probabilistic method or empirical method using meteorological wind speed data in Korea. In this paper, wind load factors were evaluated by probabilistic method and empirical method. The annual maximum 10 minutes mean wind speed data at 69 meteorological stations during past 40 years from 1973 to 2012 were selected for this evaluation. From the comparison of the results of those two method, it can be found that the mean values of wind load factors calculated both probability based method and empirical based method were similar at all meteorological stations. When target level of reliability index is set up 2.5, the mean value of wind load factors for all regions should be presented about 1.35. When target level of reliability index is set up 3.0, wind load factor should be presented about 1.46. By using the relationship between importance factor(conversion factor for return period) and wind load factor, the return periods for strength design were estimated and expected wind speeds of all regions accounting for strength design were proposed. It can be found that return period to estimate wind loads for strength design should be 500 years and 800 years in according to target level of reliability index 2.5 and 3.0, respectively. The 500 years basic wind speed map for strength design was suggested and it can be used with a wind load factor 1.0.

Fatigue Life Prediction for the Skin Structures of Aircraft Sensor Pod Under Acoustic Load with Mean Stress (평균 응력을 고려한 음향 하중을 받는 항공기 센서 포드 외피 구조의 내구 수명 분석)

  • Min-Hyeok Jeon;Yeon-Ju Kim;Hyun-Jun Cho;Mi-Yeon Lee;In-Gul Kim;Hansol Lee;Jae Myung Cho;Jong In Bae;Ki-Young Park
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2023
  • The skin structure of sensor pod mounted on the exterior of aircraft can be exposed to the acoustic dynamic load and static load such as aerodynamic pressure and inertial load during flight. Fatigue life prediction of structural model under acoustic load should be performed and also differential stiffness of model modified by static load should be considered. The acoustic noise test spectrum of MIL-STD-810G was applied to the structural model and the stress response power spectral density (PSD) was calculated. The frequency response analysis was performed with or without prestress induced by inplane static load, and the response spectrum was compared. Time series data was generated using the calculated PSD, and the time and frequency domain fatigue life were predicted and compared. The variation of stress response spectrum due to static load and predicted fatigue life according to the different structural model considering mean stress were examined and decreasing fatigue life was observed in the model with prestress of compressive static load.

Flow Weighted Mean Concentration and Runoff -Mass Load Relationship of Pollutants Derived from Intensively Sampled Water Quality Data of a Paddy Field (논에서의 일주기 수질 조사로부터 유도된 오염물질의 강우 -유출 사상별 유량가중평균농도와 유출량- 유하부하량 관계)

  • 윤광식;최진용;한국헌;조재영
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2002
  • Water quality samples were taken for every two hours whenever runoff occurred by rainfall to investigate concentration variations of T-N, T-P and SS during runoff process from a paddy field. The difference between the highest concentration in a runoff event and flow weighted mean concentration for T-N, T-P, SS placed between 3.07∼40.16%, 11.44∼60.80%, and 15.11∼64.5%, respectively. The difference between the lowest concentration in event and event mean concentration for T-N, T-P, SS ranged between -7.24∼-31.84%, -11.59∼-47.86%, and -5.21∼-36.20%, respectively. The relationship between runoff and mass load was derived for each storm event using observed data. The relationship between runoff and mass load showed linear relationship regardless of water quality constituents and rainfall amount. The results suggested that relationship between T-N and T-P loads and runoff should be prepared separately in considering of fertilization effect and seasonal conditions. The relationship between SS and runoff should be made to reflect seasonal conditions and tillage effect.

Influence of non-Gaussian characteristics of wind load on fatigue damage of wind turbine

  • Zhu, Ying;Shuang, Miao
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.217-227
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    • 2020
  • Based on translation models, both Gaussian and non-Gaussian wind fields are generated using spectral representation method for investigating the influence of non-Gaussian characteristics and directivity effect of wind load on fatigue damage of wind turbine. Using the blade aerodynamic model and multi-body dynamics, dynamic responses are calculated. Using linear damage accumulation theory and linear crack propagation theory, crack initiation life and crack propagation life are discussed with consideration of the joint probability density distribution of the wind direction and mean wind speed in detail. The result shows that non-Gaussian characteristics of wind load have less influence on fatigue life of wind turbine in the area with smaller annual mean wind speeds. Whereas, the influence becomes significant with the increase of the annual mean wind speed. When the annual mean wind speeds are 7 m/s and 9 m/s at hub height of 90 m, the crack initiation lives under softening non-Gaussian wind decrease by 10% compared with Gaussian wind fields or at higher hub height. The study indicates that the consideration of the influence of softening non-Gaussian characteristics of wind inflows can significantly decrease the fatigue life, and, if neglected, it can result in non-conservative fatigue life estimates for the areas with higher annual mean wind speeds.