• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maximum likelihood procedure

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Suggestion and Evaluation of a Multi-Regression Linear Model for Creep Life Prediction of Alloy 617 (Alloy 617의 장시간 크리프 수명 예측을 위한 다중회귀 선형 모델의 제안 및 평가)

  • Yin, Song-Nan;Kim, Woo-Gon;Jung, Ik-Hee;Kim, Yong-Wan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.366-372
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    • 2009
  • Creep life prediction has been commonly used by a time-temperature parameter (TTP) which is correlated to an applied stress and temperature, such as Larson-Miller (LM), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (OSD), Manson-Haferd (MH) and Manson-Succop (MS) parameters. A stress-temperature linear model (STLM) based on Arrhenius, Dorn and Monkman-Grant equations was newly proposed through a mathematical procedure. For this model, the logarithm time to rupture was linearly dependent on both an applied stress and temperature. The model parameters were properly determined by using a technique of maximum likelihood estimation of a statistical method, and this model was applied to the creep data of Alloy 617. From the results, it is found that the STLM results showed better agreement than the Eno’s model and the LM parameter ones. Especially, the STLM revealed a good estimation in predicting the long-term creep life of Alloy 617.

A Study on Change of Logistics in the region of Seoul, Incheon, Kyunggi (물류예측모형에 관한 연구 -수도권 물동량 예측을 중심으로-)

  • Roh Kyung-Ho
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.7
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    • pp.427-450
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    • 2001
  • This research suggests the estimation methodology of Logistics. This paper elucidates the main problems associated with estimation in the regression model. We review the methods for estimating the parameters in the model and introduce a modified procedure in which all models are fitted and combined to construct a combination of estimates. The resulting estimators are found to be as efficient as the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators in various cases. Our method requires more computations but has an advantage for large data sets. Also, it enables to detect particular features in the data structure. Examples of real data are used to illustrate the properties of the estimators. The backgrounds of estimation of logistic regression model is the increasing logistic environment importance today. In the first phase, we conduct an exploratory study to discuss 9 independent variables. In the second phase, we try to find the fittest logistic regression model. In the third phase, we calculate the logistic estimation using logistic regression model. The parameters of logistic regression model were estimated using ordinary least squares regression. The standard assumptions of OLS estimation were tested. The calculated value of the F-statistics for the logistic regression model is significant at the 5% level. The logistic regression model also explains a significant amount of variance in the dependent variable. The parameter estimates of the logistic regression model with t-statistics in parentheses are presented in Table. The object of this paper is to find the best logistic regression model to estimate the comparative accurate logistics.

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Land cover classification of a non-accessible area using multi-sensor images and GIS data (다중센서와 GIS 자료를 이용한 접근불능지역의 토지피복 분류)

  • Kim, Yong-Min;Park, Wan-Yong;Eo, Yang-Dam;Kim, Yong-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.493-504
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    • 2010
  • This study proposes a classification method based on an automated training extraction procedure that may be used with very high resolution (VHR) images of non-accessible areas. The proposed method overcomes the problem of scale difference between VHR images and geographic information system (GIS) data through filtering and use of a Landsat image. In order to automate maximum likelihood classification (MLC), GIS data were used as an input to the MLC of a Landsat image, and a binary edge and a normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were used to increase the purity of the training samples. We identified the thresholds of an NDVI and binary edge appropriate to obtain pure samples of each class. The proposed method was then applied to QuickBird and SPOT-5 images. In order to validate the method, visual interpretation and quantitative assessment of the results were compared with products of a manual method. The results showed that the proposed method could classify VHR images and efficiently update GIS data.

Valuation of Public Data Using Stated Preference Method: The Case of Agriculture Soil Database (진술선호방법을 이용한 공공 데이터의 가치 평가: 농업토양정보 데이터베이스 사례)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Ha, Sung-Ho;Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.149-165
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    • 2018
  • Purpose As Korean economy has been sluggish in recent years, firms' interest in publicly financed projects has increased due to the relatively increasing proportion in the economy. Since 1999, publicly financed projects in Korea need to undergo preliminary feasibility study to evaluate economic efficiency and policy quality if they are larger than a certain scale. The benefits of public projects are one of the most important factors in the preliminary feasibility study but are difficult to estimate due to their nature. Design/methodology/approach This study estimates the benefits of the agricultural soil information database, a public database in Korea. The method used in the study is the stated preference method which is formally used in Korea's preliminary feasibility study. Data are collected through surveys and a logit model is constructed to be estimated by the maximum likelihood estimation method. Findings As the first study evaluating a public database, this study can be used as a baseline in all public database projects developed in the future. In addition, this study can contribute to improving the understanding of both private companies and public organizations who are interested in the cost-benefit analysis and estimation procedure for the publicly financed projects.

Effective machine learning-based haze removal technique using haze-related features (안개관련 특징을 이용한 효과적인 머신러닝 기반 안개제거 기법)

  • Lee, Ju-Hee;Kang, Bong-Soon
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.83-87
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    • 2021
  • In harsh environments such as fog or fine dust, the cameras' detection ability for object recognition may significantly decrease. In order to accurately obtain important information even in bad weather, fog removal algorithms are necessarily required. Research has been conducted in various ways, such as computer vision/data-based fog removal technology. In those techniques, estimating the amount of fog through the input image's depth information is an important procedure. In this paper, a linear model is presented under the assumption that the image dark channel dictionary, saturation ∗ value, and sharpness characteristics are linearly related to depth information. The proposed method of haze removal through a linear model shows the superiority of algorithm performance in quantitative numerical evaluation.

Prevalence, Risk Factors and Consequent Effect of Dystocia in Holstein Dairy Cows in Iran

  • Atashi, Hadi;Abdolmohammadi, Alireza;Dadpasand, Mohammad;Asaadi, Anise
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.447-451
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this research was to determine the prevalence, risk factors and consequent effect of dystocia on lactation performance in Holstein dairy cows in Iran. The data set consisted of 55,577 calving records on 30,879 Holstein cows in 30 dairy herds for the period March 2000 to April 2009. Factors affecting dystocia were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression models through the maximum likelihood method in the GENMOD procedure. The effect of dystocia on lactation performance and factors affecting calf birth weight were analyzed using mixed linear model in the MIXED procedure. The average incidence of dystocia was 10.8% and the mean (SD) calf birth weight was 42.13 (5.42) kg. Primiparous cows had calves with lower body weight and were more likely to require assistance at parturition (p<0.05). Female calves had lower body weight, and had a lower odds ratio for dystocia than male calves (p<0.05). Twins had lower birth weight, and had a higher odds ratio for dystocia than singletons (p<0.05). Cows which gave birth to a calf with higher weight at birth experienced more calving difficulty (OR (95% CI) = 1.1(1.08-1.11). Total 305-d milk, fat and protein yield was 135 (23), 3.16 (0.80) and 6.52 (1.01) kg less, in cows that experienced dystocia at calving compared with those that did not (p<0.05).

Principal Components Logistic Regression based on Robust Estimation (로버스트추정에 바탕을 둔 주성분로지스틱회귀)

  • Kim, Bu-Yong;Kahng, Myung-Wook;Jang, Hea-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.531-539
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    • 2009
  • Logistic regression is widely used as a datamining technique for the customer relationship management. The maximum likelihood estimator has highly inflated variance when multicollinearity exists among the regressors, and it is not robust against outliers. Thus we propose the robust principal components logistic regression to deal with both multicollinearity and outlier problem. A procedure is suggested for the selection of principal components, which is based on the condition index. When a condition index is larger than the cutoff value obtained from the model constructed on the basis of the conjoint analysis, the corresponding principal component is removed from the logistic model. In addition, we employ an algorithm for the robust estimation, which strives to dampen the effect of outliers by applying the appropriate weights and factors to the leverage points and vertical outliers identified by the V-mask type criterion. The Monte Carlo simulation results indicate that the proposed procedure yields higher rate of correct classification than the existing method.

A Study on the Voice Dialing using HMM and Post Processing of the Connected Digits (HMM과 연결 숫자음의 후처리를 이용한 음성 다이얼링에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Jin-Woo;Kim, Soon-Hyob
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.74-82
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    • 1995
  • This paper is study on the voice dialing using HMM and post processing of the connected digits. HMM algorithm is widely used in the speech recognition with a good result. But, the maximum likelihood estimation of HMM(Hidden Markov Model) training in the speech recognition does not lead to values which maximize recognition rate. To solve the problem, we applied the post processing to segmental K-means procedure are in the recognition experiment. Korea connected digits are influenced by the prolongation more than English connected digits. To decrease the segmentation error in the level building algorithm some word models which can be produced by the prolongation are added. Some rules for the added models are applied to the recognition result and it is updated. The recognition system was implemented with DSP board having a TMS320C30 processor and IBM PC. The reference patterns were made by 3 male speakers in the noisy laboratory. The recognition experiment was performed for 21 sort of telephone number, 252 data. The recognition rate was $6\%$ in the speaker dependent, and $80.5\%$ in the speaker independent recognition test.

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Seismic Fragility Analysis of RC Bridge Piers in Terms of Seismic Ductility (철근콘크리트 교각의 연성 능력에 따른 지진취약도)

  • Chung, Young-Soo;Park, Chang-Young;Park, Ji-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2007
  • Through lessons in recent earthquakes, the bridge engineering community recognizes the need for new seismic design methodologies based on the inelastic structural performance of RC bridge structures. This study represents results of performance-based fragility analysis of reinforced concrete (RC) bridge. Monte carlo simulation is performed to study nonlinear dynamic responses of RC bridge. Two-parameter log-normal distribution function is used to represent the fragility curves. These two-parameters, referred to as fragility parameters, are estimated by the traditional maximum likelihood procedure, which is treated each event of RC bridge pier damage as a realization of Bernoulli experiment. In order to formulate the fragility curves, five different damage states are described by two practical factors: the displacement and curvature ductility, which are mostly influencing on the seismic behavior of RC bridge piers. Five damage states are quantitatively assessed in terms of these seismic ductilities on the basis of numerous experimental results of RC bridge piers. Thereby, the performance-based fragility curves of RC bridge pier are provided in this paper. This approach can be used in constructing the fragility curves of various bridge structures and be applied to construct the seismic hazard map.

A study on the performance of three methods of estimation in SEM under conditions of misspecification and small sample sizes (모형명세화 오류와 소표본에서 구조방정식모형 모수추정 방법들 비교: 모수추정 정확도와 이론모형 검정력을 중심으로)

  • Seo, Dong Gi;Jung, Sunho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1153-1165
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    • 2017
  • Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a basic tool for testing theories in a variety of disciplines. A maximum likelihood (ML) method for parameter estimation is by far the most widely used in SEM. Alternatively, two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimator has been proposed as a more robust procedure to address model misspecification. A regularized extension of 2SLS, two-stage ridge least squares (2SRLS) has recently been introduced as an alternative to ML to effectively handle the small-sample-size issue. However, it is unclear whether and when misspecification and small sample sizes may pose problems in theory testing with 2SLS, 2SRLS, and ML. The purpose of this article is to evaluate the three estimation methods in terms of inferences errors as well as parameter recovery under two experimental conditions. We find that: 1) when the model is misspecified, 2SRLS tends to recover parameters better than the other two estimation methods; 2) Regardless of specification errors, 2SRLS produces small or relatively acceptable Type II error rates for the small sample sizes.