• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maximum likelihood Estimation

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System Reliability Estimation in Bivariate Pareto Model Affected by Common Stress : Bivariate Random Censored Data Case

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.791-799
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    • 2005
  • We consider two components parallel system in which the lifetimes have the bivariate Pareto model with bivariate random censored data. We assume that bivariate Pareto model is affected by common stress which is independent of the lifetimes of the components. We obtain estimators for the system reliability based on likelihood function and relative frequency. Also we construct approximated confidence intervals for the reliability based on maximum likelihood estimator and relative frequency estimator, respectively. Finally we present a numerical study.

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Estimation for Exponential Distribution Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Kang, Suk-Bok
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.203-210
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    • 2004
  • When the available sample is multiply Type-II censored, the maximum likelihood estimators of the location and the scale parameters of two- parameter exponential distribution do not admit explicitly. In this case, we propose some estimators which are linear functions of the order statistics and also propose some estimators by approximating the likelihood equations appropriately. We compare the proposed estimators by the mean squared errors.

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Estimation of Seasonal Cointegration under Conditional Heteroskedasticity

  • Seong, Byeongchan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.615-624
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    • 2015
  • We consider the estimation of seasonal cointegration in the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity (CH) using a feasible generalized least squares method. We capture cointegrating relationships and time-varying volatility for long-run and short-run dynamics in the same model. This procedure can be easily implemented using common methods such as ordinary least squares and generalized least squares. The maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method is computationally difficult and may not be feasible for larger models. The simulation results indicate that the proposed method is superior to the ML method when CH exists. In order to illustrate the proposed method, an empirical example is presented to model a seasonally cointegrated times series under CH.

CONSISTENCY AND ASYMPTOTIC NORMALITY OF A MODIFIED LIKELIHOOD APPROACH CONTINUAL REASSESSMENT METHOD

  • Kang, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 2003
  • The continual reassessment method (CRM) provides a Bayesian estimation of the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) in phase I clinical trials. The CRM has been proposed as an alternative design of the standard design. The CRM has been modified to improve practical feasibility and, recently, the likelihood approach CRM has been proposed. In this paper we investigate the consistency and asymptotic normality of the modified likelihood approach CRM in which the maximum likelihood estimate is used instead of the posterior mean. Small-sample properties of the consistency is examined using complete enumeration. Both the asymptotic results and their small-sample properties show that the modified CRML outperforms the standard design.

Target Detection Performance in a Clutter Environment Based on the Generalized Likelihood Ratio Test (클러터 환경에서의 GLRT 기반 표적 탐지성능)

  • Suh, Jin-Bae;Chun, Joo-Hwan;Jung, Ji-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Uk
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.365-372
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    • 2019
  • We propose a method to estimate unknown parameters(e.g., target amplitude and clutter parameters) in the generalized likelihood ratio test(GLRT) using maximum likelihood estimation and the Newton-Raphson method. When detecting targets in a clutter environ- ment, it is important to establish a modular model of clutter similar to the actual environment. These correlated clutter models can be generated using spherically invariant random vectors. We obtain the GLRT of the generated clutter model and check its detection probability using estimated parameters.

A Sequential Joint Maximum Likelihood Algorithm for Blind Co-Channel Signal Separation (블라인드 동채널 신호 분리를 위한 순차적인 Joint Maximum Likelihood 알고리듬)

  • Inseon Jang;Park, Seungjin
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2001.09a
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    • pp.85-88
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    • 2001
  • In this paper we consider a problem of blind co-channel signal separation, the goal of which is to estimate multiple co-channel digitally modulated signals using an antenna array. We employ the joint maximum likelihood estimation and present a sequential algorithm, which is referred to as sequential joint maximum likelihood (SJML) algorithm. It separates multiple co-channel signal on-line and converges fast in overdetermined noisy communication environment. And the computational complexity of SJML for M-QAM (M=8, 16, 64,...) signals is less expensive compared to the SLSP. Useful behavior of this algorithm are confirmed by simulations.

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Estimation for the Half Logistic Distribution under Progressive Type-II Censoring

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Cho, Young-Seuk;Han, Jun-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.815-823
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators(AMLEs) and maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter in a half-logistic distribution based on progressive Type-II censored samples. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error for various censored samples. We also obtain the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the reliability function using the proposed estimators. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error.

Estimating multiplicative competitive interaction model using kernel machine technique

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Kim, Mal-Suk;Park, Hye-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.825-832
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    • 2012
  • We propose a novel way of forecasting the market shares of several brands simultaneously in a multiplicative competitive interaction model, which uses kernel regression technique incorporated with kernel machine technique applied in support vector machines and other machine learning techniques. Traditionally, the estimations of the market share attraction model are performed via a maximum likelihood estimation procedure under the assumption that the data are drawn from a normal distribution. The proposed method is shown to be a good candidate for forecasting method of the market share attraction model when normal distribution is not assumed. We apply the proposed method to forecast the market shares of 4 Korean car brands simultaneously and represent better performances than maximum likelihood estimation procedure.

Improved Maximum Access Delay Time, Noise Variance, and Power Delay Profile Estimations for OFDM Systems

  • Wang, Hanho;Lim, Sungmook;Ko, Kyunbyoung
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.4099-4113
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose improved maximum access delay time, noise variance, and power delay profile (PDP) estimation schemes for orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) system in multipath fading channels. To this end, we adopt the approximate maximum likelihood (ML) estimation strategy. For the first step, the log-likelihood function (LLF) of the received OFDM symbols is derived by utilizing only the cyclic redundancy induced by cyclic prefix (CP) without additional information. Then, the set of the initial path powers is sub-optimally obtained to maximize the derived LLF. In the second step, we can select a subset of the initial path power set, i.e. the maximum access delay time, so as to maximize the modified LLF. Through numerical simulations, the benefit of the proposed method is verified by comparison with the existing methods in terms of normalized mean square error, erroneous detection, and good detection probabilities.

Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous-time Diffusion Models for Exchange Rates

  • Choi, Seungmoon;Lee, Jaebum
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.61-87
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    • 2020
  • Five diffusion models are estimated using three different foreign exchange rates to find an appropriate model for each. Daily spot exchange rates expressed as the prices of 1 euro, 1 British pound and 100 Japanese yen in US dollars, respectively denoted by USD/EUR, USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY, are used. The maximum likelihood estimation method is implemented after deriving an approximate log-transition density function (log-TDF) of the diffusion processes because the true log-TDF is unknown. Of the five models, the most general model is the best fit for the USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY exchange rates, but it is not the case for the case of USD/EUR. Although we could not find any evidence of the mean-reverting property for the USD/EUR exchange rate, the USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY exchange rates show the mean-reversion behavior. Interestingly, the volatility function of the USD/EUR exchange rate is increasing in the exchange rate while the volatility functions of the USD/GBP and USD/100Yen exchange rates have a U-shape. Our results reveal that more care has to be taken when determining a diffusion model for the exchange rate. The results also imply that we may have to use a more general diffusion model than those proposed in the literature when developing economic theories for the behavior of the exchange rate and pricing foreign currency options or derivatives.