• 제목/요약/키워드: Maximum Precipitation

검색결과 708건 처리시간 0.027초

최근 4년간(2005~2008) 울릉도와 독도의 강수 및 기온 특성 (Characteristics of Precipitation and Temperature at Ulleung-do and Dok-do, Korea for Recent Four Years(2005~2008))

  • 이영곤;김백조;박길운;안보영
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권9호
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    • pp.1109-1118
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    • 2010
  • Characteristics of precipitation and temperature in Ulleung-do and Dok-do were analyzed with hourly accumulated precipitation and mean temperature data obtained from Automatic Weather System(AWS) for latest four years(2005~2008). In Ulleung-do, total annual mean precipitation for this period is 1,574.4 mm, which shows larger amount than 1434.2 mm of whole Korean peninsula for latest 10 years(1999~2008) and 1,236.2 mm at Ulleung-do on common years(1971~2000), shows that the trend of precipitation gradually increases during the recent years. This amount is also 1.4 times larger than the total annual mean precipitation of 660.1 mm in Dok-do. Mean precipitation intensity(mm $h^{-1}$) at each time of a day in each month at Ulleung-do represents that the maximum values larger than $3.0\;mm\;h^{-1}$ were shown in May and on 0200 LST, whereas these were found in August and 0700 LST with $3.1\;mm\;h^{-1}$ in Dok-do. The difference of the precipitation amount and its intensity between Uleung-do and Dok-do is explained by the topological effect came from each covering area, and this fact is also identified from similar comparison of the precipitation characteristics for the islands in West Sea. The annual mean temperature of $14.0^{\circ}C$ in Dok-do is $1.2^{\circ}C$ higher than that of $12.8^{\circ}C$ in Ulleung-do. Trends of monthly mean temperature in both islands are shown to increase for the observed period.

GCM 및 상세화 기법 선정을 고려한 충주댐 유입량 기후변화 영향 평가 (Future Climate Change Impact Assessment of Chungju Dam Inflow Considering Selection of GCMs and Downscaling Technique)

  • 김철겸;박지훈;조재필
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we evaluated the uncertainty in the process of selecting GCM and downscaling method for assessing the impact of climate change, and influence of user-centered climate change information on reproducibility of Chungju Dam inflow was analyzed. First, we selected the top 16 GCMs through the evaluation of spatio-temporal reproducibility of 29 raw GCMs using 30-year average of 10-day precipitation without any bias-correction. The climate extreme indices including annual total precipitation and annual maximum 1-day precipitation were selected as the relevant indices to the dam inflow. The Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) downscaling method was selected through the evaluation of reproducibility of selected indices and spatial correlation among weather stations. SWAT simulation results for the past 30 years period by considering limitations in weather input showed the satisfactory results with monthly model efficiency of 0.92. The error in average dam inflow according to selection of GCMs and downscaling method showed the bests result when 16 GCMs selected raw GCM analysi were used. It was found that selection of downscaling method rather than selection of GCM is more is important in overall uncertainties. The average inflow for the future period increased in all RCP scenarios as time goes on from near-future to far-future periods. Also, it was predicted that the inflow volume will be higher in the RCP 8.5 scenario than in the RCP 4.5 scenario in all future periods. Maximum daily inflow, which is important for flood control, showed a high changing rate more than twice as much as the average inflow amount. It is also important to understand the seasonal fluctuation of the inflow for the dam management purpose. Both average inflow and maximum inflow showed a tendency to increase mainly in July and August during near-future period while average and maximum inflows increased through the whole period of months in both mid-future and far-future periods.

처리수(處理水) 재사용(再使用)을 위한 칼슘 침전법(沈澱法)에 의한 불소폐수(弗素廢水) 처리(處理) 특성(特性) (Treatment Features of Fluorine-containing Wastewater Using Calcium as a Precipitant for Its Reuse)

  • 김영임;백미화;김동수
    • 자원리싸이클링
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2007
  • 불소함유 폐수의 처리 후의 재사용 방안과 관련하여 칼슘을 침전제로 한 침전법에 의한 불소제거양상에 관해 조사하였다. 초기 불소농도를 10 mM로 고정한 상태에서 pH 4의 조건에서 칼슘 첨가에 따른 불소의 제거는 반응개시 수 분 이내에 신속히 진행되었으며 반응속도론적으로 2차 반응을 따르는 것으로 파악되었다. 또한 첨가된 칼슘의 양이 증가할수록 반응속도상수가 커지는 것으로 관찰되었다. pH 4에서의 불소제거율을 최대제거율로 설정한 상태에서 pH 2 및 pH 3의 조건에서 칼슘을 당량비 이상으로 첨가하여 불소의 제거율을 관찰한 결과, 칼슘의 첨가량이 당량비의 10 배로 첨가되었을 때 pH 2에 대해서는 불소제거율이 약 70%,그리고 pH 3에서는 약 96%의 불소가 제거되는 것으로 나타났다. 온도의 증가시 칼슘 첨가에 따른 불소의 제거율은 상승하여 침전반응은 흡열반응의 특성을 나타내었다. 불소폐수에 $SiF_6{^{2-}}$가 공존할 경우 불소의 제거율은 감소하였으며 침전반응에 의해 형성된 침전물의 등전점은 pH 5 부근인 것으로 파악되었다.

익산지역에서 자동 및 수동채취방식에 따른 강수의 화학적 특성 비교 (Comparison of Chemical Characteristics in Wet and Bulk Precipitation Collected in the Iksan Area)

  • 강공언
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.381-396
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    • 2004
  • In order to understand the precipitation acidity and chemical composition of ion species in Iksan area as well as to know the difference of chemical characteristics in precipitation samples from the viewpoint of precipitation sampling method, precipitation samples were collected by wet-only automatic precipitation sampler and bulk manual precipitation sampler in Iksan, from March 2003 to August 2003. The mean pH of precipitation was 5.0. There was a little significant difference in the mean value of pH between automatic and manual sampler. However, pH values of some precipitation samples were lower in automatic sampler than in manual sampler, especially in case of precipitation samples with small rainfall for March 2003. The mean concentrations of each ions in precipitation were generally a little higher in precipitation samples collected by the manual sampler than in those collected by the automatic sampler because of accumulation of dry deposition on the surface of glass funnel installed at the manual sampler during the sampling period or no rainfall. Dominant species determining the acidity of precipitation, were N $H_4$$^{[-10]}$ and nss-C $a^{2+}$ for cations and nss-S $O_4$$^{2-}$ and N $O_3$$^{[-10]}$ for anions. The mean concentration of N $H_4$$^{+}$ and nss-C $a^{2+}$ were 31 $\mu$eq/L and 9 $\mu$eq/L for the automatic sampler and 40 ueq/L and 16 ueq/L for the manual sampler, respectively. In addition, nss-S $O_4$$^{2-}$ and N $O_3$$^{[-10]}$ were 27 $\mu$eq/L and 13 $\mu$eq/L for the automatic sampler and 32 $\mu$eq/L and 17 $\mu$eq/L for the manual sampler, respectively. Although the concentrations of the acidifying ions of nss-S $O_4$$^{2-}$ and N $O_3$$^{[-10]}$ were about 3 times higher than those for foreign pristine sites, precipitation acidity were estimated to be natural due to the neutralization reaction of the alkaline species of N $H_4$$^{+}$ and nss-C $a^{2+}$ with its higher concentrations. Considering the ratios of nss-S $O_4$$^{2-}$/N $O_4$$^{[-10]}$ nss-S $O_4$$^{2-}$, it was found that ammonium sulphate was dominant in Iksan precipitation. The major non-sea salt ions were maximum concentrations for March, but decreased with increasing of precipitation amount.on amount.

한국의 지하수위와 강우이동평균간의 상관관계 (The Correlation Between the Moving Average of Precipitation and Groundwater Level in Korea)

  • 양정석;김남기
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제31권3B호
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    • pp.265-276
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    • 2011
  • 한반도와 제주를 포함한 전국의 강우 자료와 국가지하수위 관측소에 관측된 지하수위 관측 자료를 수집하였다. 강우와 지하수위의 관계를 분석한 후 강우자료를 이용하여 이동평균을 취한 후 지하수위와의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 또한 유역평균 일최대침투량인 한계침투량을 고려한 후, 강우이동평균과 지하수위간의 상관계수를 산정하였다. 한계침투량 고려시 상관계수가 0.6 이상인 곳을 최종적으로 선정하였고, 선정된 지역의 공통점과 지역 특성에 따른 차이점 등을 비교 분석하였다. 총 26개 지역이 선정되었고 행정구역별로 경기도가 4개소, 강원도가 4개소, 충청도가 5개소, 전라도가 3개소, 경상도가 9개소, 제주도가 1개소이다. 상관계수가 높을수록 강우사상 발생에 따른 지하수위 변동은 뚜렷하게 나타났으며, 강우와 상관없는 요인에 의한 지하수위의 변동이 거의 없는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구를 토대로 강우 예측 시나리오를 활용한다면 상관계수가 높은 지역에서 지하수위 또한 예측이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

Forecasting Probability of Precipitation Using Morkov Logistic Regression Model

  • Park, Jeong-Soo;Kim, Yun-Seon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2007
  • A three-state Markov logistic regression model is suggested to forecast the probability of tomorrow's precipitation based on the current meteorological situation. The suggested model turns out to be better than Markov regression model in the sense of the mean squared error of forecasting for the rainfall data of Seoul area.

지리산 개서어나무림에서의 12년간 지역기후의 변화에 따른 연간 종자생산량의 변동 (Twelve Years Changes in Local climate Factors and Annual fluctuations of Seed Production of the Carpinus tschonoskii Forest in Mt. jiri in Southern Korea)

  • 임영득;홍선기
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제21권6호
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    • pp.809-814
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    • 1998
  • Changes of annual seed production related to climate change were studied for 12 years in Piagol, a riparian valley in Mt. Jiri. Sixty-four seed traps (sized 0.5 ${\times}$ 0.5 $m^{2}$) were set up on the forest floor of surveyed area. Seeds were collected from these traps at an interval of 15 days from September to November since 1984. Vegetation of the study area was mainly consisted of the naturally regenerated Carpinus tschonoskii in the tree layer. Acer mono, Quercus serrata, Carpinus laxiflora and Symplocos chinensis also appeared in the same layer. Maximum production occurred in 1984 and 1994. As a result of comparing seed production with local climate factors for 12 years, seed productivity and the year of maximum production of Carpinus forest were merely related with precipitation, air temperature and duration of sunshine among local climate factors. Duration of sunshine was, however, not contributed to periodically high productivity of seed of riparian valley carpinus forest.

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THE STUDY OF FLOOD FREQUENCY ESTIMATES USING CAUCHY VARIABLE KERNEL

  • Moon, Young-Il;Cha, Young-Il;Ashish Sharma
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2001
  • The frequency analyses for the precipitation data in Korea were performed. We used daily maximum series, monthly maximum series, and annual series. For nonparametric frequency analyses, variable kernel estimators were used. Nonparametric methods do not require assumptions about the underlying populations from which the data are obtained. Therefore, they are better suited for multimodal distributions with the advantage of not requiring a distributional assumption. In order to compare their performance with parametric distributions, we considered several probability density functions. They are Gamma, Gumbel, Log-normal, Log-Pearson type III, Exponential, Generalized logistic, Generalized Pareto, and Wakeby distributions. The variable kernel estimates are comparable and are in the middle of the range of the parametric estimates. The variable kernel estimates show a very small probability in extrapolation beyond the largest observed data in the sample. However, the log-variable kernel estimates remedied these defects with the log-transformed data.

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RCM을 이용한 최대강수량 산정에 대한 국내적용가능성 연구 (Study for Estimation of MP using RCM)

  • 이정훈;김상단
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.598-598
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    • 2015
  • 본 논문에서는 물리적 기반의 지역 대기 모형(Regional Climate Model)을 이용하여 최대강수량(Maximum Precipitation, MP)을 산정하는 방안에 대한 국내 적용가능성을 알아보고자 한다. 물리적 기반의 지역 대기 모형을 이용한 최대강수량을 산정하는 방안은 Ohara et al.(2011)에 의해 제안된 방법으로 기존의 통계학적/수문기상학적 방법의 논리적 약점인 기후의 정상성 가정을 극복하고 비정상성을 그대로 반영할 수 있기 때문에 추후 가능최대강수량(Probable Maximum Precipitation, PMP) 산정 연구에도 좋은 대안이 될 것으로 기대된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 차세대 대기모델인 WRF를 이용하여 이러한 방법론을 국내에 적용하고 그 가능성을 평가해보았다.

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최근 한반도 중부 황해안의 Pu 핵종 습식 침착 (Current Wet Deposition of Pu Isotopes in the mid-Yellow Sea Coast of Korea)

  • 이상한;정창수;김석현;이광우
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 1999
  • $^{239+240}Pu$ concentrations in precipitation were determined for the period of May 1994 to August 1996 in oder to describe current $^{239+240}Pu$ deposition at the mid-western coat of Korea (Ansan, 37$^{\circ}$17'N, $126^{\circ}$50'E). $^{239+240}Pu$ concentration in daily precipitation varied from 0.05 to 131$\mu$Bq $kg^{-1}$ with a geometric mean of $1.26\mu$Bq $kg^{-1}$. The concentration was high in the period of Yellow Sand Storm in spring and low in wet summer monsoon. The specific $^{239+240}Pu$ concentration in daily precipitation appears to be controlled by the $^{239+240}Pu$ input to the atmosphere in spring and washout effects by precipitation in the wet summer monsoon. Wet depositional flux of $^{239+240}Pu$ varied from 4 to 123$\mu$Bq $m^{-2}d^{-1}$ with a geometric mean of $33.8\mu$Bq $m^{-2}d^{-1}$ and with a maximum in the period of Yellow Sand Storm and a minimum in the period of wet summer monsoon. $^{238}Pu$/$^{239+240}Pu$ activity raios(0.04~0.31) in precipitation for March-June period suggested that one of the major sources of Pu isotopes falling in Ansan area is the arid region of the Chinese continent.

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